欧佩克+国家预计将维持12月的石油产量目标不变,因为该集团因持续的美伊战争继续面临石油运输问题。该决定预计将在11月1日周日的会议上做出。
OPEC+ countries are expected to keep their oil production targets unchanged for December as the group continues to face problems shipping oil because of the ongoing US-Iran war. The decision is expected to be taken at a meeting on Sunday, November 1.
三位知情人士周六告诉路透社,七个关键欧佩克+成员国已原则上同意维持其当前的12月产量目标。这意味着它们不打算在下个月增加或减少计划的石油产量。
Seven key OPEC+ members have agreed in principle to maintain their current production targets for December. This means they are not planning to increase or reduce their planned oil output next month.
这七个国家分别是沙特阿拉伯、俄罗斯、伊拉克、科威特、阿尔及利亚、哈萨克斯坦和阿曼。其中一位知情人士告诉路透社,它们的在线会议定于周日格林威治时间1200开始。
Three people familiar with the discussions told Reuters on Saturday.OPEC+ members to keep December oil production targets unchangedThe seven countries are Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan and Oman. Their online meeting is scheduled to begin at 1200 GMT on Sunday, one of the sources told Reuters.
维持产量目标不变的决定符合市场预期。随着欧佩克+准备就未来的产量上限进行讨论,预计该组织将避免在2027年前进一步改变其生产政策。美伊战争持续扰乱海湾石油出口美伊战争已扰乱海湾国家的石油出口数月。这些扰乱影响了成员国向国际市场运送石油的数量,即使它们有能力生产更多石油。
The decision to keep production targets unchanged is in line with market expectations. OPEC+ is expected to avoid further changes to its production policy until 2027, as it prepares for discussions on future production limits.US-Iran war continues to disrupt Gulf oil exportsThe US-Iran war has disrupted oil exports from Gulf countries for several months. These disruptions have affected the amount of oil that member countries can send to international markets, even when they have the capacity to produce more.
尽管存在这些扰乱,海湾石油生产国已开始增加出口。据路透社10月6日报道的数据,它们的石油总出口量在9月恢复至战前水平的平均约81%。然而,出口尚未完全恢复正常。
401(k)可携带制度减少跳槽者提取退休金,但仅6%资金进入新计划大多数欧佩克+成员国目前的产油量仍低于其官方产量目标。
Gulf oil producers have started increasing their exports despite the disruptions. Their combined oil flows recovered to an average of around 81% of their pre-war levels in September, according to data reported by Reuters on October 6. However, exports have not fully returned to normal.401(k) portability system cuts retirement cash-outs among job switchers, but only 6% reach new plansMost OPEC+ members are still producing less oil than their official production targets.
这主要是因为出口中断和其他困难限制了它们能够泵出并交付给买家的石油量。
This is mainly because export disruptions and other difficulties have limited how much oil they can pump and deliver to buyers.OPEC+ production cuts and oil supply plans for 2027OPEC+ has already increased its production targets several times during 2026.
OPEC+ 2026 年已多次上调生产目标。该集团一直在逐步恢复根据早期减产协议削减的石油供应。
The group had been gradually bringing back oil supplies that were reduced under earlier production-cut agreements.
9 月,OPEC+ 完成了向市场恢复 165 万桶/日的石油供应的计划。这些减产最早于 2023 年达成一致。增产是分阶段进行的,而非一次性完成。
In September, OPEC+ completed the planned return of 1.65 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil supplies to the market. These production cuts were first agreed upon in 2023. The increase was carried out in stages rather than all at once.
该集团还决定 10 月和 11 月维持生产目标不变。周日的预期决定将意味着 OPEC+ 连续第三个月保持同一方法。
The group had also decided to keep its production targets unchanged for October and November. Sunday's expected decision would mean that OPEC+ maintains the same approach for a third consecutive month.OPEC+ is also preparing to shift its attention towards production plans for 2027.
OPEC+ 也正准备将重心转向 2027 年的生产计划。路透社 7 月报道称,该集团在第四季度专注于未来生产配额谈判,届时不太可能改变生产目标。
Reuters reported in July that the group was likely to avoid changing its production targets during the fourth quarter of 2026 as it focused on negotiations over future production quotas.
另一轮约 200 万桶/日的减产仍在实施中。这些减产涵盖大多数 OPEC+ 成员国,计划持续至 2026 年底。它们与该集团于 9 月完成逆转的 165 万桶/日减产是分开的。OPEC+ 将在设定 2027 年配额前审查石油产能在决定 2027 年生产限额前,OPEC+ 必须审查每个成员国能生产多少石油。预计审查将于 2026 年第四季度完成。
Another round of production cuts, amounting to around 2 million bpd, is still in place. These cuts cover most OPEC+ members and are scheduled to remain in effect until the end of 2026. They are separate from the 1.65 million bpd of cuts that the group completed reversing in September.OPEC+ to review oil production capacity before setting 2027 quotasBefore deciding production limits for 2027, OPEC+ must review how much oil each member country can produce. The review is expected to be completed during the fourth quarter of 2026.
该审查将帮助集团确定成员国的新生产基准线。这些基准线将决定每个国家在未来配额下被允许生产多少石油。
The review will help the group decide new production baselines for its members. These baselines will determine how much oil each country is allowed to produce under its future quota.
新的生产基准线也将影响 OPEC+ 如何计划削减其剩余减产量。
The new production baselines will also influence how OPEC+ plans to reduce its remaining production cuts.
据路透社报道,该集团将利用此次评估来决定如何以及何时将更多石油供应重新投放市场。OPEC+包括石油输出国组织(OPEC)以及与其合作的其他产油国,其中包括俄罗斯。该联盟协调成员国的生产政策,以影响全球石油供应。
The group will use the review to decide how and when to bring more oil supplies back to the market, according to Reuters.OPEC+ includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other oil-producing countries that work with it, including Russia. The alliance coordinates production policies among its members to influence global oil supply.