据Salma El Wardany和Grant Smith报道,主要OPEC+成员国原则上已达成一致,决定下个月维持石油产量配额不变。目前中东地区冲突持续,导致该组织部分产油国无法正常生产。
OPEC+ nations have an agreement in principle to keep oil production quotas unchanged next month, as conflict in the Middle East continues to shutter swaths of the group’s output. A sub-group of seven countries led by Saudi Arabia and Russia is set to keep targets steady in November, in line with an existing road map, delegates said ahead of a video conference on Sunday at which the agreement would be finalized.
消息人士透露,由沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯牵头的七个成员国小组将按照既定规划,在11月份维持产量目标不变。这一决定将在周日举行的视频会议上正式敲定。
近期中东冲突持续,国际油价重新回升至每桶100美元左右,柴油价格也创下历史新高,促使七国集团决定释放紧急石油储备。
The plans come as oil futures creep back up to the $100-a-barrel mark and diesel hits records at the pump amid ongoing conflict in the Middle East, spurring Group of Seven nations to release emergency stocks.
此前,OPEC及其盟友已表示,鉴于今年8月前实施的几次小幅增产举措,今年剩余时间内将暂停进一步调整产量配额。这些增产措施实际上更多是象征性举措,因为伊朗战争严重影响了波斯湾地区的石油产出。理论上来说,这些措施能抵消2023年实施的减产影响,待冲突平息后,海湾地区成员国也将获得更大的增产空间。
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies had already signaled that they would pause production quota hikes through the end of this year, after agreeing a series of modest increases in the six months through August. Those increases, largely symbolic because of the impact the Iran war has had on Persian Gulf output, theoretically unwound cutbacks made in 2023 and may give the group’s Gulf members greater scope to boost output when the conflict abates.
不过,由于沙特、伊拉克和科威特等主要产油国的实际产量仍远低于冲突发生前的水平,伊朗战争的影响实际上抵消了OPEC+各项决策的实际效果。
The Iran war has blunted the impact of any decisions the group has made because production in leading OPEC members such as Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Kuwait remains significantly below levels pumped before the conflict.
接下来,该组织需要决定是否恢复2022年暂时削减的产量。这一决策过程较为复杂,将取决于对各成员国产能的评估结果。至于明年的产量政策,则将在11月29日的全体部长级会议上最终确定。
The alliance’s next decision will be whether to restore another layer of halted output taken offline in 2022, a complicated process likely to be shaped by the outcome of an ongoing audit of members’ production capacity. Policy for next year will be settled at a full ministerial meeting on Nov. 29.