石油输出国组织（OPEC）在伊朗及其代理团体对航运构成持续风险的背景下，下调了今年全球石油需求增长的预测。
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) lowered its forecast of global oil demand growth for this year, amid persistent risks to shipping from Iran and its proxy groups.
该组织周二预测，今年石油需求将比2025年每日增长约20万桶，低于其9月份的预测，当时预测为每日约40万桶。
The group projected Tuesday that oil demand for this year will grow by roughly 200,000 barrels per day relative to 2025, down from OPEC’s forecast in September of about 400,000 barrels per day.
OPEC对2026年石油需求的预测也在上个月从8月份的约60万桶/日下调，原因是伊朗战争及其对能源行业的溢出影响持续存在。
OPEC’s forecast of 2026 oil demand also fell last month from roughly 600,000 barrels per day in August, as the Iran war and its spillover impacts on the energy industry persist.
“中东地缘政治紧张局势加剧，区域原油流通受阻，以及对即期桶的强劲需求推动了近月价格相对于远月价格的上涨，”OPEC的月度报告指出。
“Heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, disruptions to regional crude flows, and strong demand for prompt barrels pushed front-month prices higher relative to forward prices,” OPEC’s monthly report stated.
这个石油富国组织共有11个成员国，包括伊朗、伊拉克、科威特、沙特阿拉伯和委内瑞拉。
The group of oil-rich nations has 11 members, including Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Venezuela.
在美以于2月下旬发动的伊朗冲突期间，伊朗军队一直限制霍尔木兹海峡的航运 — — 据国际能源署称，去年全球近34%的原油正是通过该海峡运输。
Throughout the Iran conflict, which the U.S. and Israel launched in late February, the Iranian military has restricted shipping in the Strait of Hormuz — through which nearly 34 percent of the world’s crude oil passed last year, according to the International Energy Agency.
尽管特朗普总统周一表示，在美国军队封锁伊朗港口的情况下，美国正在“控制”该海峡，但世界贸易组织（WTO）的数据显示，7月和8月该水道的航运活动处于“高度受限”状态。
While President Trump said Monday the U.S. is in “control” of the strait amid American forces’ blockade of Iranian ports, data from July and August show that shipping activity in the waterway was “highly restricted,” according to the World Trade Organization (WTO).
“7月下旬、8月初以及再次在8月中旬仅能看到零星的船只航迹。这些偶发的航运活动不足以产生持续的移动平均增长，且在8月的大部分时间里，移动平均值始终接近零，”WTO上个月指出。
“Only isolated shipments were visible around the end of July, early August, and again in mid-August. These sporadic movements were insufficient to generate a sustained increase in the moving average, which remained close to zero through most of August,” the WTO noted last month.
伊朗支持的胡塞武装也最近在红海和阿曼湾袭击了船只，并在周末对沙特阿拉伯的两个机场发动了袭击。
The Iran-backed Houthis have also recently targeted ships in the Red Sea and Gulf of Oman and launched strikes over the weekend at two airports in Saudi Arabia.
这些攻击引发了周一油价上涨，国际基准布伦特原油价格一度升至每桶107.33美元。
Those attacks sparked a rise in oil prices on Monday, with Brent crude, the international benchmark, peaking at $107.33 per barrel.
但布伦特原油价格周二略有下跌，截至周二下午中段，该商品交易价格低于每桶106美元。北美基准西得克萨斯中质原油价格较周一收盘时上涨了约40美分。石油行业面临的挑战不会减缓明年对石油的需求，欧佩克预测称。
But the price of Brent crude is down slightly on Tuesday, with the commodity trading at less than $106 per barrel as of the mid-afternoon. West Texas Intermediate crude, the North American benchmark, is up roughly 40 cents from closing time Monday. Challenges that the oil industry is facing will not slow demand for petroleum next year, OPEC projected.
该组织将2027年全球石油需求预测上调至约每日260万桶，高于其9月份预测的约每日240万桶。
The organization raised its forecast for global oil demand in 2027 to about 2.6 million barrels per day, up from its September projection of roughly 2.4 million barrels per day.