米歇尔·查普曼 国际能源署正在下调其今年全球石油需求预测，指出伊朗战争正导致燃料价格上涨、石油供应受限以及经济前景恶化。
MICHELLE CHAPMAN The International Energy Agency is lowering its world oil demand forecast for the year, noting that the war in Iran is leading to escalating fuel prices, limited oil supplies and a deteriorating economic outlook.
该署周三发布的报告称，全球石油需求预计将在第四季度环比下降250万桶/日，全年平均下降260万桶/日。柴油预计将占降幅的25%。
The agency’s report on Wednesday said that global oil demand is predicted to drop 2.5 million barrels a day year-over-year in the fourth quarter and fall 2.6 million barrels a day on average this year. Diesel is expected to account for 25% of the drop.
国际能源署预测明年将部分恢复200万桶/日，但即便如此，全球石油使用量仍将低于2025年水平0.6%。
The IEA foresees a partial recovery of 2 million barrels a day next year, but that still puts global oil use 0.6% below 2025 levels.
全球石油产量在9月环比增长250万桶/日，达到10230万桶/日，增长主要由海湾产油国推动。OPEC+产量增加210万桶/日，其中沙特阿拉伯贡献最大，而阿拉伯联合酋长国则推动了非OPEC+的增长。
Global production climbed 2.5 million barrels a day month-over-month to 102.3 million barrels a day in September, driven by Gulf producers. OPEC+ gains of 2.1 million barrels a day were led by Saudi Arabia, while the United Arab Emirates drove non-OPEC+ increases.
石油供应预计今年将下降580万桶/日，降至10070万桶/日，明年将增长770万桶/日。该署表示，海湾地区的新一轮袭击“使复苏变得脆弱”。虽然美国近几周汽油价格有所下降，但仍高于一个月前。根据AAA的数据，周三汽油平均价格为每加仑4.33美元，较一个月前略有上涨。
Oil supply is expected to drop by 5.8 million barrels a day to 100.7 million barrels a day this year before climbing by 7.7 million barrels a day next year. The agency said that renewed Gulf attacks “leave the recovery fragile.”While gas prices in the U.S. have moved lower in recent weeks, they remain higher than a month ago. Gas prices averaged $4.33 per gallon on Wednesday, according to AAA, up slightly from a month ago.
布伦特原油作为国际基准，周三早上上涨0.6%，至每桶106.37美元。美国基准原油上涨1.2%，至每桶95.30美元。
Brent crude, the international standard, gained 0.6% to $106.37 a barrel Wednesday morning. Benchmark U.S. crude rose 1.2% to $95.30 a barrel.
在过去一个月里，布伦特原油价格在96美元至近110美元之间波动，原因是市场对伊朗战争何时结束、全球能源行业何时能恢复正常存在不确定性。
Brent has been pinballing between $96 and nearly $110 over the last month on uncertainty about when the war with Iran will allow the global energy industry to return to normal.
周五，总统唐纳德·特朗普宣布，他已与俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京达成协议，立即向美国供应超过30万吨柴油。随后将在11月再追加50万吨，此后某个时间再追加400万吨。但能源政策专家表示，这项新协议不太可能缓解加油站或其他地方疼痛般高涨的油价。近年来几周，柴油价格屡创新高，推动了广泛消费品的通胀上升。
On Friday, President Donald Trump announced that he had struck a deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin to immediately supply the U.S. more than 300,000 tons of diesel . That would be followed by an additional 500,000 tons in November, then 4 million more tons at some point after that. But energy policy experts say that the new pact is unlikely to make a dent in painfully high prices at the pump or elsewhere. The price of diesel has shattered records in recent weeks, ratcheting up inflation for a broad swath of consumer goods.
特朗普的宣布是在七国集团富裕民主国家表示计划在未来几周释放1亿桶石油和燃料产品之后一周作出的，起始阶段将释放“大量”柴油。
Trump’s announcement came a week after the Group of Seven wealthy democracies said that they plan to release 100 million barrels of oil and fuel products in the coming weeks, starting with “substantial” amounts of diesel.
此次释放紧随3月份的宣布之后，即国际能源署成员国计划释放4.26亿桶石油及产品以稳定石油市场。欧盟国家承诺约9200万桶，这一承诺侧重于由原油炼制而成的产品，如柴油。
The release follows on from a March announcement that IEA member countries would release 426 million barrels of oil and products to stabilize the oil market. European Union countries committed about 92 million barrels, a promise weighted toward refined products made from crude such as diesel.