佛罗里达州彭布罗克派恩斯——民主党人大卫·乔利正在尝试一件在当前这种有毒的美国政治氛围中听起来近乎古雅的事：把自己包装成“好人”。
PEMBROKE PINES, Fla.—Democrat David Jolly is trying something that sounds almost quaint in this current era of toxic American politics: presenting himself as the nice guy.
“在唐纳德·特朗普的世界里，要做泰德·拉索，”乔利在接受采访时援引热播喜剧剧集中那位不知疲倦的乐观教练说道。“拜伦·唐纳兹是唐纳德·特朗普，而我正试图做泰德·拉索。”
“In the world of Donald Trump, be Ted Lasso,” Jolly said in an interview, invoking the relentlessly optimistic coach in the hit comedy series. “Byron Donalds is Donald Trump, and I’m trying to be Ted Lasso.”
在佛罗里达州州长竞选中，乔利将政治体面作为其竞选活动的核心部分，而这发生在近来记忆中最肮脏的中期选举季之一之中。面对唐纳兹——一位48岁的国会议员和特朗普的坚定盟友——乔利发起了一场旨在吸引那些想要一种分裂性更小、更文明的政治的选民的竞选活动。
In the Florida governor’s race, Jolly has made political decency a central part of his campaign during one of the nastiest midterm seasons in recent memory. Facing off against Donalds—a 48-year-old congressman and staunch Trump ally—Jolly is waging a campaign aimed at voters who want a less divisive, more civil kind of politics.
“我认为我们在政治中下意识地将愤怒和极端主义视为力量，因为它们鲁莽且大胆——而在某处我们将其与力量混为一谈，”现年54岁的乔利说。“我正试图表明，善良和社区意识才是真正的力量。”
“I think we reflexively see in politics anger and extremism as strength because it’s brash and it’s bold—and somewhere we conflate that with strength,” said Jolly, 54. “I am trying to show that kindness and community is actually the real strength.”
大卫·乔利8月在佛罗里达州“村落”社区的科洛尼小屋娱乐中心与民众交谈。
David Jolly spoke with people at Colony Cottage Recreation Center in The Villages, Fla., in August.
乔利的佛罗里达州州长竞选活动从一开始就受到这个曾经至关重要的摇摆州的政治现实的制约：他在资金上远远落后于共和党人，选民登记的数学计算也不利于其所在党派。
Jolly’s campaign for governor of Florida has been shaped from the start by the political realities of the once-crucial swing state: He is sharply outspent by Republicans, and the voter registration math isn’t on his party’s side.
乔利的核心押注取决于赢得一个超越该州登记民主党选民的选民联盟。
Jolly’s central bet hinges on winning over a coalition of voters that extends beyond the state’s registered Democrats.
唐纳兹将乔利主张文明的温和派形象描绘成一种假象。“这家伙想让你相信他是某种理性的独立声音，但别上当，”唐纳兹9月在共和党中期大会上说。“他是一名职业华盛顿游说者，已完全向激进社会主义投降。”
Donalds has portrayed Jolly’s pitch as a moderate calling for civility as a facade. “This guy wants you to believe that he’s some kind of reasonable independent voice but don’t be fooled,” Donalds said at the GOP midterm convention in September. “He is a career Washington lobbyist who has completely surrendered to radical socialism.”
佛罗里达州民主党看到一条扭转多年选举失利的狭窄道路。他们希望乔利——一名前共和党众议员，在特朗普时代转投民主党——能够时隔30多年首次夺得州长官邸。他们还希望赢得全州范围的选举，打破共和党在州议会的超级多数席位，并在佛罗里达州各地翻转竞争激烈的国会席位。民调显示，唐纳兹在特朗普2024年以13个百分点优势赢得的这个州，以微弱优势领先。乔利的竞选活动一直回避多年来主导佛罗里达州政治的文化战争。
Florida Democrats see a narrow path to reverse years of electoral setbacks. They are hoping Jolly—a former Republican congressman who became a Democrat in the Trump era—can flip the governor’s mansion for the first time in more than 30 years. They are also looking to win statewide races, break the GOP’s supermajority in the state legislature and flip competitive congressional seats across Florida. Polls show Donalds with a tight lead in a state Trump won by 13 percentage points in 2024. Jolly’s campaign has dodged the culture wars that have dominated Florida politics for years.
唐纳兹拥有庞大的竞选资金和MAGA建制派的强力支持。如果当选，他将成为重建时期以来首位担任州长的黑人共和党人。
Donalds commands a massive war chest and strong support from the MAGA establishment. If elected, he would be the first Black Republican to serve as governor since Reconstruction.
作为浸信会牧师的儿子，乔利经常提及过去的政治，从前州长鲍勃·格雷厄姆和劳顿·奇尔斯等民主党人身上汲取灵感，谈论自己的信仰，并推动跨党派联盟建设。
The son of a Baptist preacher, Jolly frequently invokes the politics of the past, drawing inspiration from Democrats like former governors Bob Graham and Lawton Chiles as he talks about his faith and pitches cross-party coalition-building.
乔利的竞选活动聚焦于家庭开销的可负担性以及对人工智能数据中心热潮的不满，同时回避多年来主导塔拉哈西的文化战争。
Jolly’s campaign has zeroed in on kitchen-table affordability and frustrations over the artificial-intelligence data-center boom, while dodging the culture wars that have dominated Tallahassee for years.
“我们的政客在建造舞厅和数据中心，而你只想在这里的佛罗里达州过上好日子，”乔利在一则15秒的广告中说，画面中他正和妻子及两个年幼的孩子坐在一起玩UNO牌。“这就是为什么我关注住房、医疗保健、食品和汽油、为孩子们提供好学校，以及不建数据中心。就这些。”
“We’ve got politicians building ballrooms and data centers, when you just want to build a good life here in Florida,” Jolly says in a 15-second ad, as he sits playing Uno with his wife and their two young children. “That’s why I’m focused on housing, healthcare, food and gas, good schools for our kids, and no data centers. That’s it.”
去年8月，大卫·乔利在佛罗里达州怀尔德伍德的外展牛排馆与家人共进晚餐，并与顾客交谈。
David Jolly ate with his family and spoke with patrons at the Outback Steakhouse in Wildwood, Fla., in August.
全国民主党人已在最后时刻冲刺，为乔利（Jolly）提供支持。前总统比尔·克林顿（Bill Clinton），曾在1996年赢得该州选票，前往南佛罗里达与乔利一起竞选，并在一次筹款活动中为他筹得超过300万美元。前总统巴拉克·奥巴马（Barack Obama），曾两次赢得该州选票，发布了一段视频背书，称他“独立思考”。民主党州长协会（Democratic Governor’s Association）上月也向乔利的竞选投入了100万美元。
National Democrats have made a late dash to boost Jolly. Former President Bill Clinton, who carried the state in 1996, visited South Florida to campaign with Jolly, hauling in over $3 million for him at a fundraiser. Former President Barack Obama, who won the state twice, released a video endorsement calling him “independent-minded.”And the Democratic Governor’s Association sent $1 million to boost Jolly’s bid last month.
在争夺受任期限制的共和党州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯（Ron DeSantis）继任者的竞争中，乔利的筹款远不及唐纳斯（Donalds）。根据佛罗里达州的竞选财务备案，捐助者为唐纳斯投入了超过1.77亿美元，而乔利则筹得了超过2700万美元。
Jolly has been dramatically outraised by Donalds in the race to replace term-limited Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis. Donors have funneled more than $177 million to boost Donalds, while Jolly has brought in more than $27 million, according to Florida campaign-finance filings.
这笔资金差距激起了佛罗里达民主党人的公开不满，也招致了共和党的嘲讽。德桑蒂斯在X上写道，民主党州长协会的这笔投资“对佛罗里达这样的大州来说只是小意思”。
That spending gap has fueled open frustration among Florida Democrats and mocking from Republicans. “That is peanuts for a state as big as Florida,” DeSantis wrote on X of the DGA investment.
佛罗里达州共和党州长候选人拜伦·唐纳斯（Byron Donalds）于八月在奥兰多接受记者采访。
Florida Republican gubernatorial candidate Byron Donalds spoke with reporters in Orlando in August.
乔利辩称，翻转该州的政治格局具有深远的长期意义。随着2030年人口普查后佛罗里达预计将获得更多国会席位和选举人票，人口增长将带来影响。乔利说：“如果佛罗里达选民选出一位民主党州长，我们就为2028年的白宫选举重新洗牌。”
Jolly has argued that flipping the state carries stakes extending well into the future. Florida is projected to gain congressional seats and Electoral College votes after the 2030 census, reflecting its population growth. “If Florida’s voters elect a Democratic governor, we’ve reset the table for the White House in 2028,” Jolly said.
民主党全国委员会（Democratic National Committee）筹款主席、佛罗里达本土人士克里斯·科尔格（Chris Korge）将此次竞争形容为“一场每二十年才有一次的竞选”，而主要捐助者却愚蠢地把它忽视了。他说，这是一场开放席位的选举，恰逢共和党选民热情不高，同时还有一位拥有“克林顿式”政治风格的民主党候选人。
Chris Korge, the Democratic National Committee’s finance chair and a lifelong Floridian, described the contest as a “once-in-a-20-year race” that major donors have foolishly written off. It is an open-seat race in a year when Republican voters aren’t as enthusiastic, he said, and there is a Democratic candidate with a “throwback Clinton type of politics.”
科尔格在选举后的早晨表示：“这是一场完美的风暴，我们可能会醒来后说两种情况之一：要么‘天哪，我们赢得了一场没人认为能赢的选举’，要么‘真可惜，民主党人背弃了自己’。”
“It is a perfect storm and we could wake up saying one of two things: Either ‘Oh, my God, we won a race that no one thought we could win,’ or what a shame that Democrats turned their backs,” Korge said of the morning after the election.
共和党人抨击乔利拒绝与唐纳兹辩论——这一举动让一些期待黄金时段曝光的民主党人感到沮丧。乔利反驳称，辩论不会产生建设性对话，只会“进一步煽动分裂、敌意和恶意”。
Republicans have slammed Jolly for declining to debate Donalds—a move that frustrated some Democrats hoping for prime-time exposure. Jolly countered that debates wouldn’t produce constructive dialogue and would “only further stoke division, animosity, and bad will.”
共和党还批评他转换党派。然而，唐纳兹在大约15年前加入“茶党”浪潮之前，曾是一名注册民主党人。
Republicans also criticize him for his party-switch. However, Donalds was a registered Democrat before joining the Tea Party wave about 15 years ago.
佛罗里达州民主党人指出，该州在一系列地方选举和特别选举中获胜，显示出势头正旺，包括迈阿密去年底选出一位民主党市长，以及今年早些时候两名民主党人在州议会选举中翻转了两个共和党把持的席位。大卫·乔利在8月的活动现场外与人们打招呼。今年夏天，乔利的儿子泰迪将竞选庭院标语搬进了自家住宅。
Florida Democrats point to a string of local and special-election victories as signs of momentum in the state, including Miami’s election of a Democratic mayor late last year and a pair of Democrats flipping two Republican-held seats in the state legislature earlier this year. David Jolly greeted people outside the August event. Jolly’s son, Teddy, moved campaign yard signs inside the family’s home this summer.
乔利与竞选搭档一起奔走竞选，最引人注目的是州众议员安吉·尼克松，这位进步派参议员提名人。乔利认为，与其掩盖分歧，不如说他们二人在民主党基本盘中互补。
Jolly has hit the trail alongside his ticket-mates, most notably state Rep. Angie Nixon, the progressive Senate nominee. Rather than papering over their differences, Jolly argues the two complement each other across the Democratic base.
今年早些时候，乔利在彭布罗克派恩斯的世纪村向退休人群发表演讲，他用牧师般的语调登上讲台，援引了1974年水门事件后的中期选举——那次选举让共和党失去了多数席位。
Speaking to retirees at Century Village in Pembroke Pines earlier this year, Jolly brought a preacher’s cadence to the podium, invoking the post-Watergate midterms of 1974 that wiped out Republican majorities.
他谈到了住房、医疗和公立学校等“餐桌议题”，但当他表达对文化战争和塔拉哈西约30年一党统治结束、开启政治新时代的渴望时，语气最为激昂。
He spoke of kitchen-table issues, like housing, healthcare and public schools, but he grew most animated as he shared his wish for a new era of politics after years of culture wars and roughly 30 years of one-party rule in Tallahassee.