
如果民主党在周二的中期选举中夺回美国众议院或参议院控制权,唐纳德·特朗普总统任期最后两年的局面将与前半段截然不同。但如果民主党控制国会一个或两个议院,他们实际上能做些什么?如果民主党赢得众议院能做什么?
If Democrats win back the US House of Representatives or the Senate in the midterm elections on Tuesday, the final two years of Donald Trump’s presidency will look markedly different from the first half. But what would the Democrats’ actually be able to do with either – or both – chambers of Congress in their control? What can Democrats do if they win the House?
如果民主党夺取众议院,共和党将失去在无需民主党支持的情况下通过该议院立法的能力。民主党多数派可对政府发起调查、要求提交文件和作证,并让高级官员接受持续的国会监督。他们可能面临来自支持者的压力,第三次弹劾特朗普。
If Democrats take the House, Republicans would lose their ability to pass legislation through that chamber without Democratic support. A Democratic majority could launch investigations into the administration, demand documents and testimony, and subject senior officials to sustained congressional scrutiny. They might come under pressure from their support base to impeach Trump for a third time.
参议院负责批准内阁官员、大使和联邦法官(包括最高法院大法官提名人)。民主党多数派可阻挠或拖延特朗普的许多任命,并迫使白宫在立法问题上进行谈判。如果共和党获胜会怎样?
The Senate confirms cabinet officials, ambassadors and federal judges, including supreme court nominees. A Democratic majority could block or delay many of Trump’s appointments, and force the White House to negotiate over legislation. What if Republicans win?
即使共和党保住一个或两个议院的控制权,多数席位缩减也可能增加执政难度,尤其是在立法需要党内成员近乎一致支持的情况下。如果民主党获胜将调查什么?
Even if Republicans retain one or both chambers, a reduced majority could make governing more difficult, particularly when legislation requires near-unanimous support from the party’s own members. What will Democrats investigate if they win?
政治记者约瑟夫·杰迪恩梳理了民主党若夺回国会控制权可能发起的最具影响力的调查。以下是其中几项调查:家族生意:众议院监督委员会民主党首席议员罗伯特·加西亚将特朗普家族腐败问题列为首要优先事项,而众议员杰米·拉斯金已要求提供特朗普女婿贾里德·库什纳和长子小唐纳德·特朗普商业交易的相关信息。
Political reporter Joseph Gedeon laid out the most consequential investigations Democrats could launch if they take back Congress. Here are a few of the investigations: The family business: Robert Garcia, the top Democrat on the House oversight committee, has ranked Trump family corruption first on his list of priorities, while Representative Jamie Raskin has requested information on the business dealings of Trump son-in-law Jared Kushner and son Donald Trump Jr.
爱泼斯坦与电邮:得益于众议员罗·卡纳和托马斯·马西的联手努力,司法部去年被迫发布了数百万份与杰弗里·爱泼斯坦相关的文件。但一开始,司法部就错过了法律规定的披露截止日期。随后,它仅发布了其掌握的600万页文件中的约350万页;它称其余文件经认定为重复件。对于部分文件大量涂黑,以及在其他地方显然意外泄露了受害者姓名,两党均表示担忧。
Epstein and the emails: Thanks to a tag-team effort by Representatives Ro Khanna and Thomas Massie, the Department of Justice was forced to release millions of files related to Jeffrey Epstein last year. But off the bat, the justice department blew the legally mandated deadline to disclose the files. Then it released only about 3.5m pages of the 6m in its possession; it said it had deemed the rest duplicates. And there has been bipartisan consternation about heavy redactions in some places, and the apparently accidental disclosure of the names of victims in other places.
司法部目前正面临记者凯蒂·方就上述诸多问题提起的诉讼。即使在共和党控制的国会中,由共和党主席詹姆斯·科默领导的监督委员会也是两党和睦相处的罕见亮点,两党成员经常(但并非总是)协同行动,传唤证人,并在证人不配合时以蔑视国会罪将其定罪。预计这种情况将在任何新的民主党控制的国会中持续下去。
The justice department is now facing a lawsuit from journalist Katie Phang over many of these issues. Even under a Republican-controlled Congress, the oversight committee under its GOP chair, James Comer, has been a rare spot of bipartisan comity, with members of both sides routinely (but not always) acting in concert to subpoena witnesses and hold them in contempt when they don’t cooperate. Expect that to continue in any new Democratic Congress.
五角大楼与战争:科罗拉多州众议员杰森·克劳身兼武装力量委员会和情报委员会成员,并共同担任众议院反腐败核心小组联合主席,他表示将从五角大楼入手,理由是有报道称国防资金流向了与特朗普家族有关联的公司。
The Pentagon and the war: Jason Crow, a Colorado congressman who sits on the armed services and intelligence committees and co-chairs the House end corruption caucus, says he will start with the Pentagon, citing reports of defense money steered toward companies linked to the Trump family.
弹劾:众议院少数党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯表示,民主党此次在弹劾问题上未排除任何选项,而共和党众议院多数党领袖史蒂夫·斯卡利斯则预测将在“第一天”就发起弹劾尝试。上一次民主党在特朗普执政期间夺回众议院控制权时做了什么?
Impeachment: House minority leader Hakeem Jeffries says Democrats have ruled nothing out regarding impeachment this time around, while the Republican House majority leader, Steve Scalise, predicts an attempt on “Day 1”. What did the Democrats do last time they flipped the House under Trump?
2018年,特朗普首个任期过半之际,民主党在一场席卷全国的“蓝色浪潮”中夺回了众议院控制权。众议院各委员会迅速发起了数十项调查,针对他的商业帝国、他对“通俄”调查的处理方式以及可能存在的利益冲突。
In 2018, halfway through Trump’s first term, the Democrats flipped the House of Representatives in a sweeping blue wave. House committees quickly launched dozens of inquiries into his businesses, his handling of the Russia probes and possible conflicts of interest.
2018年中期选举刚过一年多,在左翼要求弹劾的呼声持续数月后,众议院以基本按党派路线投票的方式通过了对特朗普的弹劾。
Just over a year after the 2018 midterms, after months of leftwing calls for impeachment, the House voted mostly on party lines to impeach Trump.
民主党人指控特朗普实施了一项阴谋,企图在即将到来的总统大选中作弊,手段是施压乌克兰制造针对乔·拜登的负面消息,随后又阻挠国会监督。后来,在共和党控制的参议院,特朗普在两项弹劾条款上均被判定无罪。
Democrats had accused Trump of pursuing a scheme to cheat in the upcoming presidential election by pressuring Ukraine to manufacture bad news about Joe Biden and then blocking congressional oversight. Trump was later acquitted in the Republican-controlled Senate on both articles of impeachment.
2021年,特朗普因煽动1月6日冲击美国国会大厦事件,再次遭到弹劾——并再次被判无罪。
In 2021, Trump was impeached – and acquitted – a second time for inciting the January 6 attack on the US Capitol.