特朗普周一在接受Axios电话采访时表示，他“毫不着急”决定是否恢复对伊朗的军事行动。
President Trump told Axios in a phone interview Monday he's "in no rush" to decide whether to resume fighting in Iran Why it matters:
为何重要：中期选举一直被视为特朗普在是否发动大规模轰炸行动以试图结束战争这一问题上的转折点。
midterm elections have been seen as an inflection point for Trump on whether to unleash a massive bombing campaign to try to bring the war to an end.
- 但目前看来，总统至少暂时将继续走双轨并行的路线——让谈判继续进行，同时为一旦认定无法达成协议时重返战争状态做准备。
• But it appears the president, at least for now, will continue on dual tracks — letting negotiations play out while preparing to go back to war if he concludes a deal isn't reachable. What he is saying:
他怎么说：“无论哪种方式，我们都会采取行动，但毫不着急。我们在财政上使他们瘫痪。他们没钱、没汽油，他们的民众对此已非常厌倦，”特朗普在采访中说。
"One way or the other, we will do something, but there is no rush. We crippled them financially. They have no money, no gasoline and their people are getting very tired of it," Trump said in the interview.
新闻背景：据地区消息人士透露，卡塔尔调解人已起草一份协议，概述了一项为期三天的建立互信措施序列，旨在恢复美伊直接谈判。
Driving the news: Qatari mediators have written a draft agreement outlining a three-day sequence of confidence-building measures aimed at resuming direct U.S.-Iran negotiations, according to regional sources.
- 一位知情外交官表示，卡塔尔调解人正等待美伊双方的反馈。卡塔尔调解人阿里·萨瓦迪周一前往德黑兰，继续就草案协议进行磋商，该外交官称进展正在积累。
• A diplomat with knowledge of the situation said the Qatari mediators are waiting for feedback from the U.S. and Iran. Qatari mediator Ali al-Thawadi traveled to Tehran on Monday to continue talks on the draft agreement and the diplomat said progress is building.
- 特朗普给外交斡旋一个机会，但对达成协议的前景看得很清楚。
• Trump is giving diplomacy a chance but is clear-eyed about the chances of reaching a deal. • "We are talking to them.
- “我们在跟他们谈。进展不错。他们的问题在于……他们试图拖拖拉拉[拖着我们]。伊朗方面的紧迫感比你想象的要小，但他们达成协议的意愿比以往任何时候都强烈，”特朗普说。
It's going fine. The problem with them is ... they try and tap tap tap [us along]. There's less urgency [on the Iranian side] than you think there would be, but they want to make a deal more than they ever wanted," Trump said.
最新动态：采访结束几小时后，特朗普在Truth Social发文：“油价像石头一样暴跌，每桶下跌近10美元，创纪录，因为人们感觉不会与伊朗开战。伊朗想要尽快达成和解。这可能会成真！”
The latest: Hours after the interview, Trump posted on Truth Social: "Oil Prices are DROPPING LIKE A ROCK, down almost $10 a Barrel, A RECORD, because people feel that there will not be a War with Iran. Iran wants a settlement, as soon as possible.
深层含义：特朗普正在权衡三种行动方案，分别得到三个不同阵营的支持：
It could happen!" Between the lines: Trump is weighing three courses of action, backed by three different camps:
1. 达成协议：副总统JD·万斯和白宫特使史蒂夫·威特科夫正在敦促他推动达成协议，因为重燃战火可能无法让局势向有利方向发展。
1. Make a deal: Vice President JD Vance and White House envoy Steve Witkoff are urging him to move toward a deal because a renewed war might not change the situation for the better.
- 消息人士称，大多数海湾国家支持这一立场，并已向特朗普传达了这一信息。
• Most Gulf countries support this position and have communicated that to Trump, sources say. **2.
2. 重返战场：以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡希望恢复战斗，国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯也持同样主张。他们认为，伊朗无法被信任达成协议，更遑论遵守协议，特朗普应当在军事上彻底解决问题。
Go back to battle:** Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu wants to resume combat, as does Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth. They argue that Iran can't be trusted to make a deal let alone abide by one, and that Trump should finish the job militarily. **3.
3. 施加最大经济痛苦：消息人士称，财政部长斯科特·贝森特、中央情报局局长约翰·拉特克利夫和国务卿马可·鲁比奥建议特朗普维持“不战、不谈”的现状，让经济施压行动持续下去。
Maximum economic pain:** Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, CIA Director John Ratcliffe and Secretary of State Marco Rubio are advising Trump to maintain the "no war, no deal" status quo and allow the economic pressure campaign to continue, sources said.
- 一位直接知情人士透露，拉特克利夫对特朗普表示，长期的经济痛苦将迫使伊朗做出更多让步——或者在国内制造足够的动荡，导致民众起义。中央情报局拒绝置评。
• Ratcliffe told Trump that prolonged economic pain will induce Iran to make more concessions — or create enough instability inside the country that citizens revolt, a source with direct knowledge said. The CIA declined to comment. The other side:
另一方：伊朗文职领导层周一对达成协议的前景表示乐观。
Iran's civilian leadership sounded hopeful on Monday about the prospects of reaching a deal.
- 伊朗总统马苏德·佩泽希齐扬表示，最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊“授予政府特定权力”，试图通过外交途径达成协议。
• Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei "granted the government certain authorities" to try to reach an agreement through diplomacy.
- 伊朗外交部长阿巴斯·阿拉格齐周一表示，外交接触“已变得非常密集”。
• Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Monday that the diplomatic exchanges "have become very intensive." • "Qatar and Pakistan are playing very active roles as mediators.
- 他说：“卡塔尔和巴基斯坦正发挥非常积极的调解作用。我们已提出我们的条件和方案，一切取决于华盛顿的政治理性。如果他们选择真正的外交，我们已准备好接触。但如果他们意图搞欺骗和军事行动，将面临比过去更痛苦、更严厉的回应。”
We have presented our conditions and our proposal, and everything depends on Washington's political rationality. If they choose genuine diplomacy, we are ready to engage. But if they intend to engage in deception and military operations, they will face a response more painful and severe than in the past," he said.
- 阿拉格齐表示，如果美国接受德黑兰关于重新开放霍尔木兹海峡的条件，“谈判将恢复”。
• Araghchi said that if the U.S. accepts Tehran's conditions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, then "negotiations will resume."
- “否则，目前的局势将持续下去，伊朗不会屈服，”他说。
• "Otherwise, the current situation will continue, and Iran will not bow down," he said.
大局：俄罗斯和中国正在为达成协议的努力发挥积极作用。
The big picture: Russia and China are taking an active role in the effort to reach a deal.
- 俄罗斯总统普京周一与伊朗最高国家安全委员会秘书穆赫辛·礼萨伊将军通电话。双方讨论了达成外交协议的努力。
• Russian President Vladimir Putin spoke by phone Monday with Iran's Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council Gen. Mohsen Rezaei. The two discussed the efforts to reach a diplomatic agreement.
- 礼萨伊与哈梅内伊关系密切，也是万斯最近致信提议恢复谈判的收信人。
• Rezaei, who is very close to Khamenei, was also the recipient of a letter Vance sent recently proposing to resume negotiations.
- 俄罗斯还提出参与任何核协议，包括接收伊朗的浓缩铀储备。
• Russia has also offered to be part of any nuclear agreement, including by receiving Iran's enriched uranium stockpile.
- 与此同时，礼萨伊的副手周一访问北京，会见了中国外长。中国也在敦促美国和伊朗恢复直接谈判以结束战争。
• At the same time, Rezaei's deputy visited Beijing on Monday and met with the Chinese foreign minister. China is also urging the U.S. and Iran to resume direct negotiations to end the war.
万斯周一对记者表示，他和特朗普“对达成和解的前景感觉相当不错”。
Vance told reporters on Monday that he and Trump "feel pretty good about the prospect of reaching a settlement" with Iran.
- “我们取得了一些进展，我们将看看能否取得更多进展，”万斯说。
• "We made some progress and we will see if we can make some more," Vance said.
- 他补充道：“我们没有设定最后期限（用于恢复打击）。我们要确保伊朗人不重建或试图重建其核计划。我们确实认为那里有一条路径，但这需要一个坚定且可核查的承诺，即他们不重建核计划。”
• He added: "We haven't set deadlines (for resuming strikes). We want to make sure the Iranians don't rebuild or try to rebuild their nuclear program. We do think there is a pathway there but it requires a firm and verifiable commitment that they don't rebuild their nuclear program."