美国总统唐纳德·特朗普周三表示，他不再希望与伊朗达成协议，此前有报道称美军正准备可能对伊朗发动打击，很可能在中期选举前进行。
U.S. President Donald Trump said Wednesday that he no longer wants a deal with Iran, following reports that the U.S. military is preparing for possible strikes against the country, likely before the midterm election.
“我认为这项协议并非我真正想做的事，但他们愿意提供任何东西来阻止它，”特朗普周三晚间在德克萨斯州圣安东尼奥与共和党候选人举行的竞选集会上表示。特朗普补充道，美国中东问题特使史蒂夫·威特科夫一直在推动该协议，并且“进展非常顺利”。
"I think the deal isn't really something that I want to do, but they're willing to offer us anything to stop," Trump said at a campaign rally with Republican candidates in San Antonio, Texas, late Wednesday stateside. Steve Witkoff, the U.S. special envoy to the Middle East, has been working on the deal and "doing very well," Trump added.
据美国全国广播公司新闻（NBC News）周三报道，引述一名美国官员和另一位知情人士透露，美国总统及其国家安全团队已讨论可能在未来几周恢复大规模美军军事行动。
The U.S. president and his national security team has discussed possibly resuming large-scale U.S. military operations in the coming weeks, NBC News reported Wednesday, citing a U.S. official and another person with knowledge of the discussions.
Axios 当天早些时候报道称，武装冲突可能重燃，这可能包括对伊朗能源、基础设施和核目标进行“大规模轰炸”，并补充称军事行动可能影响即将到来的中期选举结果。
Axios reported earlier in the day that a possible resumption in armed conflict could include "massive bombing" of Iranian energy, infrastructure, and nuclear targets, adding that military aggression could influence the outcome of the upcoming midterm elections.
在汽油和柴油价格飙升推高生活成本的担忧中，特朗普的支持率已跌至历史低点。
Trump has seen his approval ratings fall to a record low amid concerns over high living costs spurred by soaring gasoline and diesel prices.
本周早些时候，特朗普表示，华盛顿面临的最大问题是，在结束冲突的谈判期间，没人知道是谁在掌管伊朗。伊朗官员驳回了这些言论，称“问题实际上恰恰相反。”伊朗外交部发言人埃斯梅利·巴盖伊指出美方官员的“相互矛盾的立场和混乱的信息传递”。据 Kpler 数据，尽管中东石油出口已恢复至接近战前水平，但原油价格依然居高不下。除伊朗外，波斯湾出口的原油总量，加上沙特阿拉伯和阿拉伯联合酋长国的产量，约为冲突前水平的日均 1850 万桶。
Earlier this week, Trump said the biggest problem for Washington was that nobody knew who was running Iran during the talks to end the conflict. Iranian officials rejected those claims, saying "the problem is actually the opposite." Iran's foreign ministry spokesperson Esmaeli Baghaei pointed to the "contradictory positions and mixed messaging from U.S. officials." Crude oil prices have remained elevated even as Middle East exports have been recovering to near pre-war levels, according to Kpler. Combined crude volumes exiting the Gulf, excluding Iran, plus volumes from Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, were around pre-conflict levels of 18.5 million barrels per day (Mbd).
“常态化不再需要等待达成协议，”Kpler首席货运分析师马特·赖特表示，他预测在冲突持续的情况下将出现“更缓慢、不均衡的常态化”，航运将通过运营适应实现恢复，而非等待外交突破。
"Normalisation no longer needs to wait for a deal," said Matt Wright, lead freight analyst at Kpler, forecasting "slower, uneven normalisation" under continued conflict, with traffic recovering through operational adaptation rather than waiting for a diplomatic trigger.