
周二油价小幅上涨,此前有报道称美国袭击了伊朗的格什姆岛,引发了人们对这场持续八个月的冲突升级以及中东石油供应长期中断的担忧。
Oil prices edged up on Tuesday after a report that the United States had struck Iran's Qeshm Island, raising concerns about an escalation of the eight-month conflict and prolonged disruptions to Middle East oil supplies.
截至格林威治标准时间0355,美国西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)上涨20美分,涨幅0.21%,报每桶96.66美元;布伦特原油期货上涨3美分,涨幅0.03%,报每桶104.8美元。
U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was up 20 cents, or 0.21%, at $96.66 a barrel while Brent crude futures rose 3 cents, or 0.03%, to $104.8 a barrel by 0355 GMT.
周一,随着伊朗和卡塔尔官员的会谈提振了结束美以与伊朗战争的希望,两大基准油价均下跌逾7%。
Both benchmark prices dropped more than 7% on Monday as talks between Iranian and Qatari officials lifted hopes for an end to the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran.
《华尔街日报》周二援引美国官员报道称,美国袭击了伊朗的格什姆岛。部分官员将此次袭击描述为防御性质,旨在防止伊朗获得在霍尔木兹海峡袭击商船的自由。
The United States struck Iran's Qeshm Island, the Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday, citing U.S. officials. Some of the officials described the assaults as defensive in nature to prevent Iran from having the freedom to attack commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz.
KCM Trade首席市场分析师蒂姆·沃特尔表示:“该报道使油价重新计入了一定程度的风险溢价。就在市场开始为更外交化的路径定价之际,这一持续军事行动的提醒扭转了基调。”
"The report added a degree of risk premium back into the oil price. Just when markets were starting to price in a more diplomatic path, this reminder of ongoing military activity has flipped the tone," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.
然而,菲利普诺瓦市场洞察主管普里扬卡·萨奇德瓦表示,油价无法维持涨幅表明,巨大的地缘政治风险溢价已嵌入油价之中。
However, the inability of prices to sustain those gains suggests that a substantial geopolitical risk premium is already embedded in oil prices, said Priyanka Sachdeva, head of market insight at Phillip Nova.
“除非有实物供应或关键能源基础设施进一步中断的确凿证据,否则仅凭新头条新闻可能难以维持另一轮反弹。”与此同时,德黑兰周一表示,伊朗与美国为结束战争的接触仍在继续,此前伊朗与卡塔尔调解人的多日会谈以修改后的提案告终,但未取得突破。
"Unless there is concrete evidence of further disruption to physical supplies or critical energy infrastructure, fresh headlines alone may struggle to sustain another rally." Meanwhile, Tehran said on Monday that contacts between Iran and the U.S. to end their war are continuing, after days of Iranian talks with Qatari mediators ended with altered proposals but no breakthrough.
特朗普周一对于是否会兑现恢复对伊朗军事打击的威胁表示怀疑,并称与德黑兰达成协议的可能性存在。
Trump raised doubts on Monday about whether he would follow through on a threatened resumption of military strikes against Iran and said a deal with Tehran could happen.
始于2月下旬的美伊冲突已大幅减少霍尔木兹海峡的通行量,该海峡此前承载着全球约五分之一的原油和天然气供应。
The U.S.-Iran conflict that began in late February has sharply reduced traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, which previously carried about a fifth of global crude oil and natural gas supplies.
伊朗战争是导致汽油价格高企、给选民带来压力的主要原因之一,特朗普面临结束冲突的压力。
The Iran war is a leading cause of high gasoline prices that are weighing on voters, and Trump is under pressure to end the conflict.
受担忧中东冲突可能在周二美国中期选举后再度升级的影响,布伦特原油10月底收于六个月来的最高水平。
Brent ended October at its highest in six months on concerns that the Middle East conflict could escalate again after Tuesday's U.S. midterm elections.
伊朗总统马苏德·佩泽希齐扬表示,最高领袖阿亚图拉·穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊已授予政府进行和平谈判的若干权力。
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei had granted the government certain authorities for peace talks.
此外,美国将于11月10日至11日在阿布扎比召集乌克兰和俄罗斯代表团,讨论结束莫斯科对乌克兰的战争、战后安全协议以及降级局势。
Additionally, the U.S. will bring together delegations from Ukraine and Russia in Abu Dhabi on Nov. 10 to 11 to discuss ending Moscow's war against Ukraine, postwar security agreements and deescalation.