今天是美国的选举日，选民们正前往投票站，决定未来两年美国国会众议院和参议院的控制权。
It's Election Day in America, with voters heading to the polls to determine control of the U.S. House and Senate for the next two years.
共和党人正在捍卫其微弱的国会多数地位，但总统唐纳德·特朗普预测，共和党将在他总统任期的最后两年里保住众议院和参议院。
Republicans are defending their slim congressional majorities, but President Donald Trump predicts the GOP will hold the House and Senate for the final two years of his presidency.
特朗普周日晚间在堪萨斯州的一次集会上对支持者说：“我们会赢，让我们把接下来的两年变得比以往任何时候都更大、更好、更强。”
"We're going to win and let's make the next two years bigger and better and stronger than ever before," Trump told supporters Sunday night at a rally in Kansas.
但共和党人正在与政治历史进行抗衡，因为华盛顿的执政党在传统上会在中期选举年失去席位。共和党还面临着充满挑战的政治氛围，通货膨胀持续存在，部分原因与民调显示的民怨沸腾的对伊朗战争以及特朗普不断走低的满意度有关。
But Republicans are fighting political history, as the party in power in Washington has traditionally lost seats during midterm election years. The GOP also faces a challenging political climate fueled by persistent inflation tied in part to what polls show is an unpopular war with Iran and Trump's increasingly negative approval ratings.
共和党还面临着潜在的投票率赤字，民意调查显示，民主党人比共和党人更有热情在中期选举中投下选票。
The GOP is also facing a potential turnout deficit, with public opinion polls indicating Democrats are more energized than Republicans to cast ballots in the midterms.
据美联社报道，中期选举的提前投票打破了以往的纪录，已有超过5400万人投票。这比上一次中期选举即2022年的提前投票人数多出近900万票。
Early voting in the midterms has shattered previous records, with more than 54 million people already casting ballots, according to the Associated Press. That's nearly nine million more ballots cast in early voting than in 2022, the previous midterm elections.
由于提前投票传统上对民主党有利，共和党全国委员会主席乔·格鲁特斯近日在谈到选举日投票率时对“福克斯新闻数字频道”表示：“如果我们的选民出来投票，我们就会赢。”在总统试图激发共和党基本盘之际，政治氛围让共和党人在竞选活动中进行了大量的防御。
With early voting traditionally favoring Democrats, Republican National Committee Chair Joe Gruters, pointing to Election Day turnout, recently told Fox News Digital, "If our voters turn out, we win." The political climate has the GOP playing plenty of defense on the campaign trail, as the president tries to energize the GOP base.
特朗普在倾向于红州的堪萨斯州举行的这场活动，被他吹嘘为过去一个月内的第3场集会。几小时前，“福克斯新闻实力排名”将该州的参议院竞选从“倾向共和党”调整为“胜负难料”。正在挑战共和党参议员罗杰·马歇尔的民主党牧师亚当·汉密尔顿，正力争成为近一个世纪以来首位赢得堪萨斯州参议院选举的民主党人。
Trump's event in red-leaning Kansas, which he touted as his 30th rally over the past month, came hours after the Fox News Power Rankings shifted the state's Senate race from Lean Republican to Toss-up. Democratic pastor Adam Hamilton, who is challenging GOP Sen. Roger Marshall, is aiming to become the first Democrat in nearly a century to win a Senate election in Kansas.
福克斯新闻权力榜（Fox News Power Rankings）以及许多主流无党派政治预测人士指出，民主党有望夺回众议院的控制权，而参议院的多数党归属在选举日到来之际仍然是一个胜负难料的悬念。
The Fox News Power Rankings, as well as many of the leading nonpartisan political handicappers, point to Democrats retaking control of the House, with the majority in the Senate a toss-up heading into Election Day.
民主党全国委员会主席肯·马丁在选举前夕的一篇社交媒体贴文中强调：“想想明天可能发生的事情：民主党可以翻转众议院、夺回参议院，并阻止特朗普有害的议程。”
"Think of what is possible tomorrow: Democrats can flip the House, take back the Senate, and stop Trump’s harmful agenda," Democratic National Committee Chair Ken Martin spotlighted, in an Election Eve social media post.
今年选举中同样竞争激烈的还有50个州中36个州的州长职位。此外，除了四个州之外，所有州都将举行州议会选举。从东海岸到西海岸，选民还将对145项全州范围的投票公投议案进行表决。
Also up for grabs in this year's elections — governorships in 36 of the 50 states. Plus, all but four states are holding legislative elections. And voters will also weigh in on 145 statewide ballot measures in states from coast to coast.
随着选举日的到来，最大的问题是——指出可能出现“蓝色浪潮”的民意调查是否低估了共和党选民？我们将在接下来的几个小时内揭晓答案。在此之前，以下是对2026年选举日各项竞选悬念的详细梳理。
The big question with Election Day upon us — have the public opinion polls that point to a potential blue wave undercounted Republican voters? We'll find out in the coming hours. Until then, here's a closer look at what's up for grabs on Election Day 2026.
共和党目前以53比47控制着该院，这意味着民主党需要净增4个席位才能赢回多数党地位。共和党需要守住至少50个席位才能保留对该院的控制权，因为共和党籍副总统万斯拥有参议院的决定性投票权。
Republicans currently control the chamber 53-47, which means Democrats need a net gain of four seats to win back the majority. The GOP needs to hold at least 50 seats to retain control of the chamber, since Republican Vice President JD Vance is the tie-breaking vote in the Senate.
除了堪萨斯州，共和党还在阿拉斯加州、艾奥瓦州、缅因州、内布拉斯加州、俄亥俄州、南卡罗来纳州和得克萨斯州处于防守状态，这些州在权力榜上均被评为胜负难料。他们还在堪萨斯州（被评为倾向共和党）和俄亥俄州（被评为倾向民主党）的竞争激烈的竞选中捍卫席位。民主党则在密歇根州、明尼苏达州和新罕布什尔州处于防守状态。
Besides Kansas, Republicans are also playing defense in Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Nebraska, Ohio, South Carolina and Texas, which are all rated toss-ups in the Power Rankings. They're also defending seats in competitive races in Kansas, which is rated Lean Republican, and Ohio, which is rated Lean Democrat. Democrats are on defense in Michigan, Minnesota and New Hampshire.
共和党在众议院仅保持着微弱的多数优势，民主党只需净增3个席位即可达到218席，从而将多数党地位收入囊中。
The GOP is hanging on to a razor-thin majority in the House, with Democrats needing a net gain of just three seats to reach 218, which would hand them the majority.
根据权力榜预测，如果民主党当晚表现理想，他们最终可能在这座拥有435个席位的议事厅里拿下多达240个席位。但如果共和党当晚表现出色，他们最终可能获得212个席位。这距离多数席位少6票，但足以让下一任民主党籍众议院议长举步维艰，因为他或她将不得不平衡该党温和派与极左翼的要求.选举之夜最早关闭投票的选区将让人对众议院的未来产生一些预感。
A good night for the Democrats could see them ending up with as many as 240 seats in the 435-seat chamber, according to the Power Rankings. But if Republicans have a good night, they could end up with 212 seats. That’s six short of a majority, but enough to make life difficult for the next Democratic House speaker, who would have to balance the demands of the moderate and far-left wings of the party. The earliest-closing districts on election night will give some sense of the House’s future.
福克斯新闻撰稿人、负责该网络权力榜的雷米·努马表示：“密切关注肯塔基州第6选区，该选区涵盖列克星敦及该州中部的大片区域。在上一届总统大选中，特朗普在这里以15个百分点的优势获胜。由于左翼倾向的高校选民与应对更高成本的农民相结合，本轮选举看起来竞争激烈。”目前有26位共和党籍州长和24位民主党籍州长。
"Keep an eye on Kentucky’s 6th District, which covers Lexington and a large central area of the state. Trump won here by 15 points in the last presidential election. Thanks to a combination of left-leaning college voters and farmers grappling with higher costs, it looks close this cycle," Remy Numa, a Fox News contributor who steers the network's Power Rankings, said. There are currently 26 Republican and 24 Democratic governors.
权力榜将共和党控制州长办公室的三个州——阿拉斯加州、内华达州和佐治亚州——列为摇摆州。威斯康星州目前由民主党控制且现任州长不再竞选连任，也被评为摇摆州。
The Power Rankings list three states where the GOP controls the governor's office – Alaska, Nevada and Georgia – as toss-ups. Wisconsin, which has an open Democratic-controlled governor's office, is also rated a toss-up.
根据权力榜，传统红州佛罗里达州、堪萨斯州和得克萨斯州的州长竞选被评为倾向共和党。与此同时，亚利桑那州、艾奥瓦州、密歇根州、俄亥俄州和俄勒冈州的对决被评为倾向民主党。
The gubernatorial races in red states Florida, Kansas and Texas are rated Lean Republican, according to the Power Rankings. Meanwhile, the showdowns in Arizona, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio and Oregon are rated Lean Democrat.
要求选民在投票时出示身份证件或禁止非公民投票的全民公投，正在以下11个州的选票上进行表决：阿拉斯加州、亚利桑那州、阿肯色州、加利福尼亚州、科罗拉多州、堪萨斯州、内华达州、北卡罗来纳州、俄亥俄州、南达科他州和西弗吉尼亚州。
Referendums requiring voters to present identification when they show up at the polls, or bans on noncitizen voting, are on the ballot in 11 states: Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Kansas, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, South Dakota and West Virginia.
阿拉斯加州的选民还将决定是否废除该州的排序选择投票系统、开放式初选以及一项竞选资金披露规则。选民们于2020年批准了现行系统，并在2024年以微弱优势将其保留。
Voters in Alaska will also decide if they want to repeal the state’s ranked choice voting system, open primaries and a campaign finance disclosure rule. Voters approved the current system in 2020 and narrowly kept it in 2024.
但在阿拉斯加州美国参议员竞选中，围绕一名潜在的搅局候选人的争议正引发对该投票系统的新一轮审视。弗吉尼亚州选民将决定是否应在罪犯刑满释放时恢复其投票权。加利福尼亚州的第40号提案正登上全国各大媒体头条。
But the voting system has come under fresh scrutiny amid the controversy over a potential spoiler candidate in Alaska's U.S. Senate race. Voters in Virginia will decide whether the right to vote should be restored to convicted felons upon their release. California's Proposition 40 is making national headlines.
这项开创先河的法案将对财富超过10亿美元的加州人征收一次性5%的财富税，所产生的大部分收入将用于支付医疗费用。
The measure, the first of its kind, would slap a one-time 5% tax on wealth for Californians worth over $1 billion, with the vast majority of the revenue generated going to pay for healthcare.
同样备受瞩目的还有华盛顿州的富豪税。如果该公投案获得通过，将废除州议员近期批准的一项针对年收入超过100万美元的部分征收9.9%的税。华盛顿州目前没有个人所得税。
Also in the spotlight is a millionaires' tax in Washington state. If passed, the referendum would repeal a 9.9% tax on income over $1 million a year, which state lawmakers recently approved. Washington state currently does not have a personal income tax.
马里兰州、密苏里州和科罗拉多州的选民正在权衡关于国会选区划分调整的公投提案，因为民主党与共和党之间跨十年代中期选区划分争夺战将在2028年再次上演。
Voters in Maryland, Missouri and Colorado weigh in on ballot measures on congressional redistricting, as the mid-decade redistricting fight between Democrats and Republicans will be waged again in 2028.
亚利桑那州、科罗拉多州、内布拉斯加州和华盛顿州迎来了关于跨性别学生参加体育运动的公投。科罗拉多州还举行了一项公投，内容是阻止未成年人进行性别变性手术，并防止州或联邦资金被用于这些手术。
Arizona, Colorado, Nebraska and Washington state have referendums on transgender students’ participation in sports. Colorado also has a referendum on blocking gender transition surgeries for minors and preventing state or federal funding from being used for those operations.
密苏里州选民正在权衡废除堕胎权以及禁止儿童接受性别变性医疗护理的提案。与此同时，一项艾达荷州的公民投票动议将推翻全美最严厉的堕胎禁令之一，而弗吉尼亚州和内华达州的选民则将决定是否在其州宪法中确立堕胎权。
Voters in Missouri weigh in on repealing a right to abortion and banning gender transition medical care for children. Meanwhile, an Idaho initiative would overturn one of the nation's strictest abortion bans, while Virginia and Nevada voters decide on establishing a right to abortion in their state constitutions.
加利福尼亚州、科罗拉多州和亚利桑那州就有关能源、交通和发展的政策举行公投。
California, Colorado and Arizona hold ballot measures on policy around energy, transportation and development.
首批投票站将于美东时间下午6点关闭，最后一批投票站将于美东时间凌晨1点关闭。
The first poll closings come at 6 p.m. ET, with the final poll closings happening at 1 a.m.
美东时间下午6点：肯塔基州和印第安纳州的部分地区投票站关闭。
ET. 6 p.m. ET: Polls close in parts of Kentucky and Indiana.
美东时间下午7点：佐治亚州、南卡罗来纳州、佛蒙特州和弗吉尼亚州的投票站关闭。肯塔基州和印第安纳州的最后投票站关闭。佛罗里达州和新罕布什尔州的大多数投票站关闭。
7 p.m. ET: Polls close in Georgia, South Carolina, Vermont and Virginia. The final polls in Kentucky and Indiana close. And most polls in Florida and New Hampshire close. 7:30 p.m.
美国东部时间晚上7点30分：北卡罗来纳州、俄亥俄州和西弗吉尼亚州的投票站关闭。
ET: Polls close in North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia. 8 p.m.
美国东部时间晚上8点：阿拉巴马州、康涅狄格州、特拉华州、伊利诺伊州、缅因州、马里兰州、马萨诸塞州、密西西比州、密苏里州、新泽西州、俄克拉荷马州、宾夕法尼亚州、罗得岛州、田纳西州和华盛顿特区的投票站关闭。佛罗里达州和新罕布什尔州的其余投票站关闭。得克萨斯州、密歇根州、堪萨斯州、北达科他州和南达科他州的大多数投票站关闭。美国东部时间晚上8点30分：阿肯色州的投票站关闭。
ET: Polls close in Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Missouri, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Tennessee and Washington, D.C. The remaining polls in Florida and New Hampshire close. Most polls close in Texas, Michigan, Kansas, North Dakota and South Dakota. 8:30 p.m. ET: Polls close in Arkansas.
美国东部时间晚上9点：亚利桑那州、科罗拉多州、艾奥瓦州、路易斯安那州、明尼苏达州、内布拉斯加州、新墨西哥州、纽约州、威斯康星州和怀俄明州的投票站关闭。得克萨斯州、密歇根州、堪萨斯州、北达科他州和南达科他州的最后投票站关闭。
9 p.m. ET: Polls close in Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Louisiana, Minnesota, Nebraska, New Mexico, New York, Wisconsin and Wyoming. The final polls close in Texas, Michigan, Kansas, North Dakota and South Dakota.
美国东部时间晚上10点：蒙大拿州和犹他州的投票站关闭。爱达荷州和俄勒冈州的大多数投票站也同时关闭。
10 p.m. ET: Polls close in Montana and Utah. Most polls also close in Idaho and Oregon. 11 p.m.
美国东部时间晚上11点：加利福尼亚州和华盛顿州的投票站关闭，爱达荷州和俄勒冈州的其余投票站也同时关闭。
ET: Polls close in California and Washington state, with the remaining polls in Idaho and Oregon also closing.
美国东部时间午夜：夏威夷州全境及阿拉斯加州大部分地区的投票站关闭，阿拉斯加州的其余投票站将于美国东部时间凌晨1点关闭。
Midnight ET: Polls in all of Hawaii and most of Alaska close, with the remaining polls in Alaska closing at 1 a.m. ET.