
密歇根州奥克兰县 — 密歇根州共和党竞选组合向准备参加中期选举的选民传递了明确信息:他们获胜的路径依赖于赢得通常不认同共和党的选民支持。
OAKLAND COUNTY, MICHIGAN — Michigan’s Republican ticket had a clear message for voters preparing to vote in the midterm elections: Their path to victory relies on winning over voters who typically don’t align themselves with the GOP.
这一前景似乎因民主党众议员海莉·史蒂文斯(Haley Stevens)在最后关头背书共和党参议员候选人迈克·罗杰斯(Mike Rogers)而非其初选对手阿卜杜勒·赛义德(Abdul El-Sayed)而得到提振。周一早些时候,密歇根州共和党操盘手发布新闻稿,宣传几小时后将举行的一场活动,旨在宣扬史蒂文斯的背书及其据称对黑人和犹太选民的影响。
That prospect appeared to be buoyed by Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens’ 11th-hour endorsement of Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers over her primary rival, Abdul El-Sayed. Early Monday afternoon, Republican operatives in Michigan blasted out a press release advertising an event just hours later intended to tout Stevens’ endorsement and its purported impact on Black and Jewish voters.
在密歇根州共和党总部,六位代表非裔美国人和犹太人的社区领袖在众多媒体面前,批评了他们眼中赛义德的过激言行,并赞扬了史蒂文斯对罗杰斯的背书。总体而言,他们辩称赛义德未能充分与其部分激进关联划清界限,史蒂文斯的背书对竞选具有实质意义,且他们正在同龄人中看到前所未有的支持共和党浪潮。
In front of a throng of press at the Michigan GOP’s headquarters, six community leaders representing African Americans and Jews criticized what they saw as El-Sayed’s excesses and lauded Stevens’ endorsement of Rogers. Broadly, they argued that El-Sayed had insufficiently distanced himself from some of his radical associations, that Stevens' endorsement had real significance for the race and that they were seeing an unprecedented groundswell of support for Republicans among their peers.
除社区领袖外,近二十余人也出席了活动,其中许多人是黑人或犹太人。尽管一些政治观察人士对史蒂文斯背书的影响力以及非裔美国人和犹太人脱离民主党的程度表示怀疑,但这些社区的成员向福克斯新闻数字频道表示,这种转变正在发生。
In addition to the community leaders, close to two dozen others — many of whom were Black or Jewish — attended the event as well. While some political observers have cast doubt on the impact of Steven’s endorsement and the degree to which African Americans and Jews are defecting from the Democratic Party, members of those communities told Fox News Digital the shift is happening.
“我认为她的表态将产生巨大影响,”竞选州参议员的非裔美国前民主党人米歇尔·纳德对福克斯新闻数字频道表示。“她拥有大量追随者。她是一位优秀的众议员,也是美国杰出的州议员。”
"I believe it's going to make a big difference that she came out," Michelle Nard, an African American former Democrat running for State Senate told Fox News Digital. "She had a big following. She's a great congresswoman, a great state representative for the United States."
纳德讲述了她最近与一位黑人女性的交谈,对方强调她们社区非常重视在选举日去投票,纳德以此指出,尽管海利的背书在选举周期中来得较晚,但仍可能影响最后时刻决定的选民。
Nard recounted how she had recently spoken to a Black woman who highlighted that her community makes a big deal of going to the polls on Election Day, a point she used to stress that Haley’s endorsement, though late in the cycle, could still influence last-second voters.
“你会看到我们社区中有坚定的海利·史蒂文斯支持者,他们将支持她到底;但也有人感到被背叛了,”底特律都会区学区董事会受托人马库斯·鲍曼对福克斯新闻数字频道表示。
"You have strong Haley Stevens supporters in our community that will support her to the end, and then you have some that feel betrayed," Marcus Bowman, a metro Detroit school board trustee, told Fox News Digital.
鲍曼表示他私下认识史蒂文斯,他说:“真正的海利·史蒂文斯支持者了解她这个人,也了解她代表什么。我认为他们会追随她,并尊重她的决定,因为我们听到关于阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德的一些激进言论。”虽然发言者是为共和党新闻发布会精心挑选的,但也有一些数据支持黑人选民倒戈的说法。8月至9月间,埃尔-赛义德在非裔美国人中的支持率维持在75%左右,远低于该党的典型基准线。
Bowman, who says he knows Stevens personally, said "true supporters of Haley Stevens, they know her as a person and they know what she represents. I think they will follow her and respect her for her decision based off some of the radical things we've heard about Abdul El-Sayed." While those who spoke were handpicked for a Republican news conference, there is some data to back up Black voter defection. Between August and September, El-Sayed’s support among African Americans held steady at around 75%, well below the party's typical benchmark.

底特律都会区的阿拉伯裔美国人社区历史上在许多问题上与非裔美国人社区存在对立,这一主题在埃尔-赛义德的竞选过程中偶尔浮现。
The Arab American community in the Detroit metropolitan area has historically been at odds with African Americans in the areas across a number of issues, a theme that has come up occasionally during El-Sayed’s campaign.
虽然类似的民调未在犹太裔选民中发现类似趋势——他们在密歇根州选民中占比要小得多——但包括主要捐赠者在内的多位社区知名人士已纷纷投向罗杰斯阵营。
While comparable polls have not found similar trends among Jewish voters, who are a much smaller part of Michigan’s electorate, a number of high-profile members of the communities, including top donors, have flocked to the Rogers camp.

“海莉所做的,是给了许多犹太人——那些铁杆左翼民主党人——许可,让他们现在可以说:‘你知道吗,如果海莉能背书他,我也可以投他一票,’”保守派犹太社区领袖亚伦·托宾在谈到迈克·罗杰斯时对福克斯新闻数字频道表示。“现在我认为她打破了那堵墙,现在他们能看到,一个铁杆民主党人——而且她在密歇根州非常成功、非常受欢迎——如果她说迈克·罗杰斯对她来说足够好,我认为许多犹太人会说:‘我要投他,因为阿卜杜勒只会说最糟糕的话。’”
"Haley, what she did was give a lot of Jews permission, hardcore left-wing Democrats, permission to now say, you know what, if Haley can endorse him, I can vote for him," Aaron Tobin, a conservative Jewish community leader, told Fox News Digital in reference to Mike Rogers. "Now I think she's broken that wall down and now they can see that a hardcore Democrat — and she was very successful and very popular in Michigan — if she said Mike Rogers is good enough for her, I think a lot of Jews are going to say, 'I'm going to vote for him because Abdul just says the worst things.'"
另一位犹太选民埃兹拉对福克斯新闻数字频道表示,他认为犹太人越来越多地被民主党抛弃,即使史蒂文斯的背书无法扭转局势,他也很感激她采取了立场。
Ezra, another Jewish voter, told Fox News Digital that he believes Jews have increasingly been abandoned by the Democratic Party and, even if Stevens’ endorsement doesn’t move the needle, he’s grateful that she took a stand.
“[3月12日]西布鲁姆菲尔德[犹太教堂]发生的恐怖袭击,我认为是底特律犹太社区感到恐惧的起点,而在接下来的[六个月]里,这种恐惧并未得到缓解。阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德以任何方式都未能缓解这种恐惧,这就是为什么我认为你会看到这种情况,”他说。“我们在等待一些事情发生,但它没有到来。所以我认为你会看到犹太社区中有这么多人转向支持迈克·罗杰斯,因为他们想:‘你知道吗,那家伙会保护我的家人安全。另一个家伙不会。’”
"The [March 12] terrorist attack in [a] West Bloomfield [synagogue], I believe was the starting point of the Detroit Jewish community being afraid and that fear was not alleviated over the next [six months]. That fear has not been alleviated by Abdul El-Sayed in any sort of way, which is why I think you're seeing this," he said. "We're waiting for something and it's not coming. And so that's why I think you're seeing so many in the Jewish community moving for Mike Rogers because they're like, you know what, that guy's going to keep my family safe. The other guy's not."
“我认为在某些方面,这更勇敢,因为是在最后关头。在某些方面,谁知道呢,即使只有100票或1000票,也能产生影响,”他补充道。
"I think in some ways, it's, it's more brave because it's at the last minute. In some ways, you know what, who knows, even if it, if it's 100 votes or 1000 votes, then it makes a difference," he added.
这些据称在传统民主党选民群体中取得的突破,成为了罗杰斯周一晚收官集会的焦点。一度,竞选团队邀请了六位黑人和犹太裔选民(其中大多数是前民主党人)登台,他们解释了为何认为埃尔-赛义德过于极端,无法获得他们的支持。罗杰斯本人在最后的竞选演讲中赞扬了这群人,呼吁团结,并长篇幅地感谢了史蒂文斯的背书。
These alleged breakthroughs with traditionally Democratic constituencies took center stage at Rogers’ closing rally on Monday night. At one point, the campaign invited six Black and Jewish voters, most of them former Democrats, to take the stage where they explained why they believed El-Sayed to be too extreme for their support. Rogers himself praised the group during his final campaign speech, invoked the need for unity and thanked Stevens at length for her endorsement.

集会上的保守派显然对史蒂文斯的背书心存感激,几乎每次提到她的名字都会引来欢呼或高呼她名字的口号。共和党人甚至乐观地认为,史蒂文斯的背书可能会产生“连带效应”,惠及他们在同一选票下的其他竞选。
Conservatives at the rally were clearly grateful to Stevens for her endorsement, with nearly every mention of her name being met with cheers or chants of her name. Republicans are even optimistic that Stevens’ endorsement could trickle down to their down-ballot races.
共和党州检察长协会执行主任亚当·派珀对福克斯新闻数字频道表示:“我上周在密歇根州和俄亥俄州实地走访,密歇根州的势头是真实的。在海莉·史蒂文斯背书迈克·罗杰斯之前势头就是真实的,现在更真实了。”
"I was on the ground last week in Michigan and Ohio, and the momentum in Michigan is real. It was real before Haley Stevens endorsed Mike Rogers, even more real now," Adam Piper, executive director of the Republican Attorneys General Association, told Fox News Digital.
派珀说,他“绝对”相信史蒂文斯的背书将为密歇根州共和党检察长提名人道格·劳埃德扭转局势。
Piper said he "absolutely" believes Stevens’ endorsement will move the needle for Michigan Republican attorney general nominee Doug Lloyd.

“你知道,在底特律地区、格罗斯波因特、底特律及其他地方,我看到黑人教堂院子里自制的庭院牌写着‘非裔美国人和犹太人站在一起’。这很有力量。”劳埃德表示,他乐观地认为史蒂文斯对罗杰斯的背书可能会给他带来助力。
"You know, around the Detroit area, Grosse Pointe, Detroit, elsewhere, I saw homemade yard signs in the yards of black churches that said African-Americans and Jews stand together. And that was powerful." Lloyd said he is optimistic that Stevens’ endorsement of Rogers could give him a boost.
“我今天在新闻里看到一条消息,基本上说已有 50% 的可投票者通过缺席投票和提前投票完成投票。我们还有一天时间。正如我们所说,选举要到明晚 8 点投票站关闭时才算结束,”他说。“所以,如果这让那些一直在旁观的人决定出来投票,我对此感到兴奋。”民主党人认为,史蒂文斯的背书可能会增强而非削弱埃尔-赛义德的支持。密歇根州民主党主席柯蒂斯·赫特尔表示,他预计这件事会激励民主党人,而埃尔-赛义德的竞选团队周日报告称筹款 240 万美元,是本次竞选中最大的筹款日。
"Well, I saw something today in the news that basically said 50% of the available voters have voted through absentee and early voting. We still have one day left. And as we've said, you know, the race isn't done until 8 o'clock tomorrow night when the polls close," he said. "So, if this made a difference for someone who had been sitting on the sideline and they decided they were going to get out and vote because of it, I'm excited for that." Democrats have argued Stevens’ endorsement could strengthen, rather than weaken, El-Sayed’s support. Michigan Democratic Party Chair Curtis Hertel said he expected the episode to galvanize Democrats, while El-Sayed’s campaign reported raising $2.4 million Sunday, its largest fundraising day of the campaign.
虽然通过成功拉走黑人和犹太选民来削弱民主党优势可能对共和党有利,但阿拉伯选民的回归——他们在 2024 年倾向共和党,但强烈支持埃尔-赛义德——可能会抹去这些收益。福克斯新闻的最终权力排名将密歇根州参议院竞选评为“悬念”,意味着当选民走向投票站时,双方都没有明显优势。
While cutting into the Democratic Party’s margins by successfully pulling away Black and Jewish voters could prove valuable to the GOP, a reversion among Arab voters — who swung toward Republicans in 2024 but strongly favor El-Sayed — could erase such gains. Fox News’ final power ranking rated Michigan’s Senate race as a toss-up, meaning that, as voters head to the polls, neither party holds a clear edge.