专家告诉《邮报》，特朗普总统在中期选举后只有几周的时间窗口，在新国会可能限制其战争权力之前，发动对伊朗的新一轮战争。
President Trump has a narrow window of a few weeks after the midterm elections to launch a renewed war on Iran before a new Congress is likely to rein in his war powers, experts told The Post.
特朗普正在推动与伊朗重启谈判，但他警告说，如果伊斯兰共和国不屈服于他的要求，他将在伊朗“完成任务”。
While Trump is pushing renewed negotiations with Iran, he has warned that he would “finish the job” in Iran if the Islamic Republic fails to submit to his demands.
如果民主党如选举日预测的那样赢得众议院，总统将在一月前面临来自国会的重大阻力之前拥有时间。
If Democrats take the House, as they were projected to on election day, the president would have until January before facing major resistance from Congress.
“美国大选的结果可能会让一月份推动战争变得困难，但并非不可能，”民主防卫基金会智库执行主任乔纳森·尚泽说。
“The outcome of the US elections could make pursuing the war difficult come January, but not impossible,” said Jonathan Schanzer, executive director at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies think tank.
“继续在伊朗开展战争的行动自由窗口期为6到8周，”他补充道。
“There is a 6-8 week window for freedom of action to continue the war in Iran,” he added.
伊朗似乎对此非常清楚，该政权继续推动外交，同时在该地区加强威胁，试图拖延时间。美国将如何攻击伊朗？
Iran appears keenly aware of this as the regime continues to push for diplomacy — while also ramping up threats across the region in an attempt to run out the clock. How will the US attack Iran?
如果战争重启，特朗普最明显的行动方案将是对伊朗发动短暂但强大的轰炸行动，以迫使政权认真谈判，战略与国际研究中心高级顾问马克·坎西安说。
Should the war restart, Trump’s most obvious course of action would be to unleash a short but powerful bombardment campaign across Iran to pressure the regime to negotiate seriously, said Mark Cancian, a senior adviser with the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
“有几种可能性，最可能的是为期两周的强烈轰炸行动，”坎西安说。“这对美国来说风险较低，但也不太可能奏效，”他补充道。
“There are a few possibilities, the most likely of which is a two-week, intense bombardment campaign,” Cancian said. “It’s a low risk to the US, but it’s also unlikely to be effective,” he added.
“伊朗此前曾承受过五周的强烈轰炸，所以两周不会有太大区别。”专家指出，特朗普政府最可能瞄准战争早期被打击的同类军事设施，以及威胁霍尔木兹海峡的沿海基地。
“Iran withstood five weeks of intense bombings before, so two weeks won’t make much of a difference.”The Trump administration would most likely target the same type of military facilities that were hit earlier in the war, along with coastal bases that are threatening the Strait of Hormuz, the experts noted.
然而，如果他想进一步施压，特朗普可能会瞄准伊朗的石油基础设施和电网——这是他之前反复威胁过的目标。
However, if he wanted to step up the pressure, Trump could target Iran’s oil infrastructure and electrical grid — something he repeatedly threatened previously.
另一个强有力的信号将是向伊朗的“镐山”基地投掷巨型地堡炸弹，据信该基地深埋地下、藏有核设施。考虑到该基地位于花岗岩山脉深处，穿透弹可能无效，坎西安说。
Another powerful signal would be dropping enormous bunker-buster bombs on Iran’s Pickaxe Mountain base, which is believed to harbor a nuclear facility deep underground. The penetrator bombs may not be effective given the depth of the base beneath the granite mountain, Cancian said.
然而，这种打击将传递一个信息：美国不会允许伊朗的任何核设施在战争中毫发无损。美国将部署什么武器？
However, such a strike would send a message that the US would not allow any of Iran’s nuclear facilities to go unscathed during the war. What weapons will the US deploy?
美国目前在中东部署了两艘航空母舰，即“乔治·H·W·布什”号和“乔治·华盛顿”号——“西奥多·罗斯福”号航母打击群正在赶来提供额外火力。
The US currently has two aircraft carriers in the Middle East, the USS George HW Bush Aircraft and the USS George Washington — with the USS Theodore Roosevelt Strike Group on its way to provide additional firepower.
每艘航空母舰能够起飞约44架攻击机——要么是F/A-18“超级大黄蜂”，要么是隐身的F-35C“闪电II”。
Each aircraft carrier is capable of launching around 44 strike aircraft — either F/A-18 Super Hornets or stealth F-35C Lightning IIs.
根据国家安全研究所的数据，阿拉伯海湾周围还有22艘驱逐舰和其他军舰，其中17艘在霍尔木兹海峡外维持海上封锁。
There are also 22 destroyers and other warships surrounding the Arabian Gulf, with 17 maintaining the naval blockade outside the Strait of Hormuz, according to the Institute for National Security Studies.
一旦“罗斯福”号抵达，美国海军力量将包括2万多名水兵和海军陆战队员。美国在该地区的全部军事力量估计约为5万名士兵。
Why Trump has just a few weeks to restart Iran war — and what he could target with new strikes Iran slams US response to negotiations, demands America address its 7 outlandish conditions Trump calls Iran conflict a ‘soft war,’ insists US holds the cards ahead of midterm elections US forces hit Iran’s Qeshm Island as part of a series of secret strikes: report The US naval presence is set to include more than 20,000 sailors and marines once the Roosevelt arrives. America’s full military force in the region estimated at about 50,000 soldiers.
美国还能使用一系列已调往该地区空军基地的飞机。这些包括F-15E“打击鹰”战机，它们在上一轮战斗中曾被部署。
The US also has access to a wide-range of aircraft that have been moved to airbases in the region. These include F-15E Strike Eagles, which were deployed during the last round of fighting.
美国的防御能力也得到加强，其“爱国者”和“萨德”反导系统分布在整个地区，包括一套新抵达以色列的电池，坎西安说。伊朗将如何回应？
America’s defensive capabilities have also been bolstered with its Patriot and THAAD anti-missile systems spread across the region, including a new battery that arrived in Israel, Cancian said. What will Iran’s response be?
如果美国袭击伊朗的能源基础设施，这将代表显著的升级，并招致德黑兰的强烈回应，战争研究所中东副主任里亚·雷迪警告说。
If the US strikes Iran’s energy infrastructure, it would represent a notable escalation and invite a strong response from Tehran, warned Ria Reddy, the Middle East deputy at the Institute for the Study of War.
伊朗长期以来一直警告称，美国重新发动袭击将导致整个中东地区的大规模报复行动，仍下落不明的最高领导人穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊上周声称，袭击将“没有地理限制”。
Iran has long warned that renewed attack from the US would result in a mass retaliation campaign across the Middle East, with the still-missing Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei claiming last week that the attacks would have “no geographical limitations.”
“美国基地当然将成为主要目标，”雷迪说。“伊朗想要增加美国的战争成本。”雷迪补充说，伊朗的袭击预计也会更加危险，因为政权有机会改进其导弹和无人机系统，这从六月和七月的致命袭击中可见一斑。
“US bases will of course be the prime targets,” Reddy said. “Iran wants to increase the cost of the war for the US.”Iran’s attacks are also predicted to be more dangerous as the regime has had a chance to improve its missile and drone systems, as evidenced by the deadly attacks in June and July, Reddy added.
伊朗还预计将升级对霍尔木兹海峡商船的袭击，威胁要终止石油流动，而石油流动上个月已几乎恢复到战前水平。
Iran is also expected to ramp up its attacks on commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz, threatening to end the flow of oil that has nearly reached pre-war levels last month.
除了整个中东地区的导弹和无人机袭击外，伊朗还准备号召其在加沙、黎巴嫩和也门的恐怖代理人采取行动，包括目前正在威胁红海的胡塞武装。
Along with missile and drone attacks across the Middle East, Iran is also poised to call its terror proxies in Gaza, Lebanon, and Yemen to action, including the Houthi rebels who are currently threatening the Red Sea.
威胁还可能通过网络攻击或恐怖阴谋进一步扩大，例如最近在英国皇家空军费尔福德基地被挫败的行动。以色列将扮演什么角色？
The threats could also expand further through cyberattacks or terror plots, such as the recently foiled operation at the RAF Fairford military base in the UK. What role will Israel play?
虽然以色列在二月和三月战争初期的袭击中加入了美国，但如果冲突重燃，这个犹太国家将参与到何种程度仍不清楚，因为它仍因不确定的选举结果而摇摇欲坠。
While Israel joined the US in the initial strikes of the war in February and March, it remains unclear how involved the Jewish state will be if the conflict re-ignites as it is still reeling from an uncertain election outcome.
总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡一再推动重启战争以推翻伊朗政权，但他和以色列反对派在上周的选举中均未能获得多数席位，使得总理暂时留任。
Neither Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who has repeatedly pushed for war to restart to topple Iran’s regime, nor Israel’s opposition failed to gather a majority in last week’s election, leaving the premier in charge for now.
“内塔尼亚胡想要给政权致命一击，但特朗普倾向于外交手段，让施压行动迫使伊朗达成协议，”尚泽说。
“Netanyahu wants to deliver a knockout blow to the regime, but Trump is favoring diplomacy and letting the pressure campaign push Iran to make a deal,” Schanzer said.
申赞泽补充说，外交解决可能成为内塔尼亚胡政治生涯的丧钟，而且不清楚反对派是否还能对特朗普政府施加同样的影响，此前特朗普政府曾表示，其参战是应以色列的要求。
A diplomatic end could be a death knell for Netanyahu’s political career, Schanzer added, and it would be unclear if the opposition could hold the same sway over the Trump administration, which previously suggested it entered the war at the behest of Israel.
内塔尼亚胡的反对者指责这位总理想要重启战争，以阻止以色列正在进行的选举进程，从而继续掌权。
Netanyahu’s opponents have accused the prime minister of wanting to restart the war in an effort to halt Israel’s ongoing election process so he can remain in power.