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油价小幅上涨,美伊谈判进展好坏参半Oil Edges Higher as Progress on US-Iran Talks Remains Mixed

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油价在连跌两日后小幅反弹,交易员权衡美伊战争前景,因和平谈判传出相互矛盾的信号。

Oil edged higher after a two-day decline as traders weighed the outlook for the US-Iran war following conflicting signals on the trajectory of peace talks.

西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)升向每桶97美元,周二在约5美元区间内震荡。布伦特原油收于104美元下方。据一名知情外交官透露,德黑兰和华盛顿正在审议调解人提出的新方案,以化解分歧。不过,伊朗国家安全委员会秘书长在X平台上表示,美方回应迄今“令人不满意”。由于这场持续九个月的战争扰乱了波斯湾石油流向并颠覆能源市场,全球基准布伦特原油今年以来累计飙升逾70%。汽油、柴油等燃料价格涨幅更大,包括在美国,可能影响中期选举结果。

West Texas Intermediate rose toward $97 a barrel after swinging in a range of around $5 on Tuesday. Brent closed below $104. Tehran and Washington are reviewing fresh proposals from mediators on how to resolve their differences, according to a diplomat briefed on the matter. Still, Iran’s national security chief said on X that the US response has so far been “not satisfactory.”Global benchmark Brent has jumped more than 70% this year as the nine-month war disrupted flows from the Persian Gulf and upended energy markets. Fuel prices such as gasoline and diesel have rallied even harder, including in the US, potentially influencing the outcome of the midterm elections.

除外交信号外,海湾原油出口恢复开始对实物市场构成压力。中东石油指标显示,近期供应首次自7月以来超过需求,北海原油货价也有所回落。

Beyond the diplomatic signals, the revival of crude exports from the Gulf is starting to weigh on the physical market. Middle East oil metrics indicate near-term supply is outpacing demand for the first time since July, while prices for North Sea cargoes have also eased.

另外,行业资助的美国石油协会(API)报告称,上周美国原油库存减少530万桶,据彭博看到的一份文件。若官方数据周三证实,将标志着连续第五周下降。

Separately, the industry-funded American Petroleum Institute reported US crude inventories declined by 5.3 million barrels last week, according to a document seen by Bloomberg. If confirmed by official data later Wednesday, that would mark a fifth weekly decline.

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