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美国中期选举:特朗普严阵以待应对可能的打击,民主党瞄准共和党对国会的控制权US midterms: Trump braces for possible blow as Democrats target Republican grip on Congress

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2026年11月3日,美国中期选举期间,在南卡罗来纳州西哥伦比亚,一名选民带着孩子前往投票站投票。——路透社A voter visits a polling station to cast their ballot with a child during the US midterm elections in West Columbia, South Carolina, US, on November 3, 2026. — Reuters

一名选民在2026年11月3日美国中期选举期间,带着孩子前往南卡罗来纳州西哥伦比亚的一个投票站投票。 — 路透社 经济不满、高昂能源成本、伊朗战争拖累共和党。超过5700万选民提前投票,竞选广告支出超过110亿美元。纽约投票机故障助长了毫无根据的舞弊指控。

A voter visits a polling station to cast their ballot with a child during the US midterm elections in West Columbia, South Carolina, US, on November 3, 2026. — Reuters Economic discontent, high energy costs, Iran war weigh on Republicans. More than 57m voted early, with campaign advertising topping $11b. NY voting machine malfunctions fuelled unfounded fraud claims.

数百万美国人周二在中期选举中投票,这场选举被视为对唐纳德·特朗普的公投,可能会让共和党失去对国会的控制权,并给总统任期剩余两年施加重大制约。

Millions of Americans voted Tuesday in midterm elections seen as a referendum on Donald Trump, which could wrest control of Congress from Republicans and impose major constraints on the president for the remaining two years of his term.

民调预测民主党将赢得众议院多数席位,也可能夺取参议院控制权,利用选民对一位不受欢迎的总统、飙升的能源成本以及与伊朗持续冲突的不满。

Polls predict Democrats will win a majority in the House of Representatives and could also seize control of the Senate, capitalising on voter resentment over an unpopular president, soaring energy costs and the ongoing conflict with Iran.

共和党如果失去众议院,将赋予民主党阻挠特朗普立法议程和对其政府发起全面调查的权力。

A Republican loss of the House would give Democrats the power to block Trump's legislative agenda and launch sweeping investigations into his administration.

参议院失利将威胁到他任命最高法院大法官和高级官员的能力,同时表明特朗普对美国政治的压倒性主导地位可能终于在衰退。

A Senate defeat would threaten his ability to appoint Supreme Court justices and senior officials, while signalling that Trump's overwhelming dominance of US politics may finally be waning.

在佐治亚州亚特兰大投票的69岁退休人员加布里埃勒·施卢特表示,她全票投给了民主党。

Gabrielle Schlueter, a 69-year-old retiree casting her ballot in Atlanta, Georgia, told she was voting for Democrats across the board.

“国家发展的方向不太好。经济。所有东西的价格,”施卢特说。“医疗保健。我自己没受其苦,但别人不应该有这种担忧。” 80岁的特朗普周二在最后一次电视电话连线呼吁选民投票时为其执政记录辩护,称他通过打击非法移民、对伊朗战争和关税政策重建了国家。

"The way the country is going is not very good. The economy. The prices of everything," Schlueter said. "Healthcare. I'm not suffering from it, but others shouldn't have that worry." Trump, 80, defended his record in a final television phone-in appeal to voters on Tuesday, saying he had rebuilt the country through his crackdown on immigration, war on Iran and tariffs.

“我们必须让美国保持伟大。我们现在很伟大。两年前我们很糟糕,”特朗普对“福克斯与朋友们”节目说。

"We have to keep America great. We're great now. We were terrible two years ago," Trump told "Fox & Friends".

众议院全部435个席位和参议院100个席位中的35个正在角逐之中,此外还有36个州的州长职位。民主党在众议院仅需再赢得三个席位,在参议院实现净增四席,即可从共和党手中夺回两院控制权。

All 435 seats in the House and 35 of the 100 Senate seats are being contested, along with governorships in 36 states. Democrats need just three additional seats in the House and a net gain of four in the Senate to take control of both chambers from Republicans.

特朗普重返白宫时承诺降低物价,但通胀、关税以及中东冲突推高的燃油成本,已让美国家庭财务紧绷。

Trump returned to office promising to bring down prices, but inflation, tariffs and fuel costs driven up by the conflict in the Middle East have squeezed American households.

经济不满 共和党人坚称,特朗普的减税政策和强硬移民立场将惠及选民。他们将民主党候选人描绘为左翼激进分子,这一信息似乎引起了部分选民共鸣。

Economic discontent Republicans insist Trump's tax cuts and tough stance on immigration will benefit voters. They have portrayed Democratic candidates as left-wing radicals, a message that appears to have resonated with some voters.

“民主党过去还不错,但他们变得非常社会主义了,”70岁、哥伦比亚裔选民马鲁·雷斯特雷波在迈阿密表示,“共和党维护美国的价值观。他们热爱国家。” 在周一最后一次公开竞选露面时,特朗普几乎未提及选举,转而发表了一场漫无边际的演讲,内容关乎他那场麻烦不断的华盛顿倒影池翻修工程。参议院民主党领袖舒默将其斥为“可悲的收官信息”。

"Democrats used to be decent in the past, but they became very socialist," Maru Restrepo, a 70-year-old voter of Colombian origin, told in Miami. "The Republicans maintain America's values. They love the country." At his final public campaign appearance on Monday, Trump barely addressed the election, instead delivering a rambling speech about his troubled renovation of Washington's Reflecting Pool. Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer branded it a "pathetic closing message".

共和党目前在参议院以53比47占据多数,但选战战场已延伸至曾被视为可靠保守派大本营的州份,包括堪萨斯、得克萨斯、爱荷华、俄亥俄和阿拉斯加。

Republicans currently hold a 53-47 majority in the Senate, but the electoral battleground has extended into states once considered reliably conservative, including Kansas, Texas, Iowa, Ohio and Alaska.

民主党也必须捍卫竞争激烈的席位,其中包括密歇根州,那里因激烈的内部纷争,联邦众议员海利·史蒂文斯背书共和党人迈克·罗杰斯,而非民主党提名人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德。

Democrats must also defend competitive seats, including in Michigan, where a bitter internal dispute saw Congresswoman Haley Stevens endorse Republican Mike Rogers rather than the Democratic nominee, Abdul El-Sayed.

“决策台总部”最终预测显示,民主党将在众议院赢得241席,共和党194席;参议院则以更微弱的52比48占据多数。结果有争议?

Decision Desk HQ's final forecast projected Democrats would win 241 seats in the House against 194 for Republicans, and a narrower 52-48 majority in the Senate. Disputed results?

在周二之前,已有超过5700万美国人提前投票,显示选民参与度极高。

More than 57 million Americans had already voted early before Tuesday, signalling high voter engagement.

这场竞选已吸引超过110亿美元的政治广告支出,而亿万富翁、特朗普盟友埃隆·马斯克已向共和党竞选投入数亿美元。

The campaign has attracted more than $11 billion in political advertising, while billionaire Trump ally Elon Musk has poured hundreds of millions of dollars into Republican efforts.

一旦投票站关闭,预计外界将更加担忧共和党是否会接受选举结果。

As soon as polling stations close, concerns are expected to mount over whether Republicans will accept the results.

曾试图推翻2020年总统大选败局的特朗普,多次指控存在大规模选民欺诈,并无证据指责民主党作弊。

Trump, who tried to overturn his defeat in the 2020 presidential election, has repeatedly alleged widespread voter fraud and accused Democrats, without evidence, of cheating.

周二,在纽约州一场竞争激烈的众议院选举中,投票机出现故障,促使右翼网红提出毫无根据的欺诈指控,尽管当地选举官员坚称所有选票都将被计数。

Voting machines malfunctioned in a fiercely contested House race in New York state on Tuesday, prompting right-wing influencers to make unfounded allegations of fraud even as local election officials insisted all ballots would be counted.

由特朗普前私人律师领导的司法部,已提起诉讼,试图在共和党现任参议员丹·沙利文以微弱劣势落败时,阻止阿拉斯加参议院选举结果获认证,但法院驳回了这一尝试。

The Justice Department, led by Trump's former personal lawyer, has already sued to potentially block certification of Alaska's Senate race if Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan narrowly loses, but a court rejected the effort.

最高法院周一也驳回了一项紧急申请,该申请要求加利福尼亚州搁置超过2万张邮寄选票,理由是这些选民可能不是美国公民。

The Supreme Court also rejected on Monday an emergency bid to force California to set aside mail-in ballots cast by more than 20,000 people because they might not be US citizens.

特朗普将于周二晚在白宫关注中期选举结果,他表示如果失去对国会的控制权,已有一项对抗民主党的计划。“我将否决一切,”他发誓道。

Trump, who will watch the midterm results at the White House on Tuesday night, said he had a plan to defy Democrats if he lost control of Congress. "I veto everything," he vowed.

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