
华盛顿——在周二举行的选举中,民主党以席卷全国之势夺得众议院和参议院的控制权,将数十名共和党人赶下台。他们现在会怎么做?
WASHINGTON—Democrats captured control of the House and Senate in Tuesday’s election with a sweeping national wave that ousted dozens of Republicans. What will they do now?
未来两年,特朗普总统仍将握有否决权,这限制了民主党通过立法推翻其政策的能力,并可能引发比2019年和2020年特朗普与掌控众议院的民主党人之间冲突更为激烈的对抗。
President Trump will still have a veto pen for the next two years, limiting Democrats’ ability to enact laws that reverse his policies and setting up clashes that could be even more intense than the conflicts between Trump and Democrats when they controlled the House in 2019 and 2020.
但民主党人带着非凡的势头进入新一届国会,而共和党人在意外失利后则陷入震荡。
But Democrats enter the new Congress with extraordinary momentum and Republicans reeling after surprise losses.
“这是一场变革性的选举,我们作为众议院民主党人明白,我们需要带来剧烈的变革,”众议院少数党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯(民主党-纽约州)周二晚间表示。“事情已经出了问题。我们需要一个把美国人民放在首位的国会。”政府的新格局——杰弗里斯有望成为众议院议长,查克·舒默(民主党-纽约州)将重新升任参议院多数党领袖——将给民主党人一个机会,让他们得分,并向选民展示如果其政党在2028年选举中全面掌控政府将会推行什么政策。
“This is a change election, and we understand as House Democrats that we need to deliver dramatic change,” House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D., N.Y.) said late Tuesday. “Things are broken. We need a Congress that puts the American people first.”The new configuration of government—with Jeffries poised to become House speaker and Chuck Schumer (D., N.Y.) set to be promoted back to Senate majority leader—will give Democrats a chance to make some points and show voters what they would pursue if their party gained full control of the government in the 2028 election.
同时,他们还必须在必须通过的事项上与特朗普和共和党人谈判,例如维持政府运转和拨款的立法。
And they will have to negotiate with Trump and Republicans over must-pass items such as legislation to keep the government open and funded.
“参议院共和党人不会袖手旁观,任由民主党内的极左社会主义翼试图推翻我们所做的一切,”参议院多数党领袖约翰·图恩(共和党-南达科他州)说。“值得庆幸的是,白宫仍有特朗普总统,我们将与他合作,阻止民主党极端主义最恶劣的冲动。”以下是民主党一些首要优先事项的简要一览。
“Senate Republicans will not stand idly by as the far-left, socialist wing of the Democrat Party attempts to unwind everything we’ve done,” Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R., S.D.) said. “Thankfully, we still have President Trump in the White House, and we’ll work with him to stop the worst impulses of Democrat extremism.”Here is a quick look at some top Democratic priorities.
共和党人去年利用其微弱多数强行通过了一项重大的税收与支出法案。所有民主党人都对这项“一项大而美的法案”投了反对票,并且他们已誓言要设法推翻该立法的大部分内容。
Republicans used their slim majorities to push through a major tax-and-spending law last year. All Democrats voted no on the “one big, beautiful bill,” and they have vowed to try to reverse much of that legislation.
他们将致力于撤销医疗补助计划中要求受助人工作的修改,这些修改定于不久后生效;同时撤销营养援助政策的修改,这些修改已导致食品券领取人数减少13%。他们还将试图恢复奥巴马医改的医疗保险补贴,该补贴在乔·拜登担任总统期间由民主党人扩大,后在特朗普任内失效。
They will aim to undo changes to Medicaid that require recipients to work and are slated to take effect soon, as well as changes to nutrition-assistance policies that have contributed to a 13% reduction in food-stamp rolls. They also will try to revive Obamacare health-insurance subsidies that Democrats expanded during Joe Biden’s presidency and that lapsed under Trump.
民主党人还可能试图撤销特朗普签署成为法律的部分减税措施,尤其是那些惠及高收入家庭和企业的减税措施。
Democrats also might attempt to undo some of the tax cuts that Trump signed into law, particularly the ones that benefited high-income households and corporations.

民主党人预计将利用其新的多数地位进行监督,并且当他们进入多数党地位时将拥有传票权。过去两年他们向政府发出的那些表达不满的信件将变成要求和听证会。
Democrats expect to use their new majority to conduct oversight, and they will have subpoena power when they enter the majority. The frustrated letters they have sent to the administration over the past two years will turn into demands and hearings.
“请好律师吧,”加州民主党众议员罗伯特·加西亚周二晚间表示,他很可能出任众议院监督委员会主席。俄勒冈州民主党参议员罗恩·怀登将成为财政委员会主席,他在推特上只发了一个词:“传票。”他们很可能调查特朗普的加密货币交易、其家族的企业关系、他在华盛顿特区的建筑项目、他接受卡塔尔飞机一事、他与自己政府达成的税收豁免协议,以及共和党议员尚未审查的许多其他有争议的话题。
“Lawyer up,” Rep. Robert Garcia (D., Calif.), the likely chairman of the House Oversight Committee, said late Tuesday. Sen. Ron Wyden (D., Ore.), who would become chairman of the Finance Committee, tweeted a single word: “Subpoenas.”They are likely to investigate Trump’s cryptocurrency dealings, his family’s business ties, his construction projects in Washington, D.C., his acceptance of a Qatari jet, the tax-immunity deal he struck with his own administration and many other controversial subjects that Republican lawmakers haven’t examined.
埃隆·马斯克——这位与特朗普结盟的亿万富翁在政府执政初期领导了一项削减政府的努力——也可能受到审查,尤其是因为他卷入导致星链速度变慢、从而影响了乌克兰作战行动一事。
Elon Musk, the Trump-allied billionaire who led a government-reduction effort early in the administration, is also likely to get scrutiny, particularly for his involvement in slower Starlink speeds that impaired Ukrainian war activity.
在弹劾特朗普的问题上,议员们立场不一,毕竟他第一任期的两次弹劾均未导致定罪和免职。但他们已将目光投向弹劾其他政府官员,包括国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯。
Lawmakers have taken mixed stances on impeaching Trump, after neither of his first-term impeachments yielded a conviction and removal. But they have their eyes set on impeaching other administration officials, including Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth.
民主党人还可能把矛头对准人工智能,传唤高管就他们与白宫的密切关系作证,并推动出台首批为新型模型设定防护栏的联邦法规。在近期模型遭到一波黑客攻击、以及行业研究人员警告这项迅速发展的技术可能在未来十年内具备毁灭人类的能力之后,人工智能监管对许多议员而言已成为更优先的事项。
Democrats also are likely to focus on artificial intelligence by bringing in top executives to testify about their close relationships with the White House and pushing for the first federal regulations setting guardrails for new models. AI regulation has become more of a priority for many lawmakers after a wave of hacks by recent models and warnings from industry researchers that the rapidly evolving technology could be capable of destroying humanity within the next decade.
进步派还提出了针对支撑人工智能热潮的数据中心的法案,希望限制其用电量,并回应近期席卷全国的不满情绪。
Progressives have also proposed bills targeting the data centers underpinning the AI boom, hoping to curtail their power usage and address a recent backlash that swept across the country.

特朗普的两项主要单边举措——伊朗战争和关税扩大——助推了物价上涨,并把民主党人推向了胜利。
Trump’s two main unilateral initiatives—the Iran war and the tariff expansion—helped push prices up and propel Democrats to victory.
“我们确实必须审视一切可用的立法手段,去做美国人民希望我们做的事,也就是结束这场鲁莽、不必要的战争,”杰弗里斯在近期一次电视采访中说。
“We do have to look at every available legislative mean in order to do what the American people want us to do, which is bring an end to this reckless, unnecessary war,” Jeffries said in a recent television interview.
但要停止战争或逆转关税将很困难,因为特朗普拥有国家安全权力、能够否决立法,而且在共和党人中拥有支持。民主党人可能尝试动用国会的钱袋权,限制为他们所反对的特朗普举措提供资金。但他们将不得不冒着政府停摆的风险,或承受他们正在损害军队的批评。
But stopping the war or reversing the tariffs will be difficult because of Trump’s national-security powers, his ability to veto legislation and his support among Republicans. Democrats could attempt to use Congress’s power of the purse, restricting funding for Trump initiatives they oppose. But they would have to risk government shutdowns or criticism that they’re harming the troops.
社会保障正走向2032年的无力偿付,民主党人可能会尝试推动立法,以避免随之而来的自动福利削减。他们中许多人赞成提高工资税停止征收的收入上限——目前为184,500美元。
Social Security is heading toward insolvency in 2032, and Democrats may take a shot at legislation that would stave off the automatic benefit cuts that would bring. Many of them favor raising the earnings cap—now $184,500—where payroll taxes stop.
杰弗里斯曾谈到扩大低收入住房税收抵免、劳动所得税抵免和儿童税收抵免。
Jeffries has talked about expanding the low-income housing tax credit, the earned-income tax credit and the child tax credit.
随着民主党掌控参议院,他们将能够阻止特朗普的司法和行政分支提名人选,包括任何最高法院大法官人选。共和党人可能会在1月3日失去权力之前,尽可能多地推动确认任命。但一旦出现空缺,党派分歧将意味着要么关键政府职位由代理官员担任,要么提名能让民主党满意的折中人选。
With Senate control, Democrats will be able to block Trump’s judicial and executive-branch nominees, including any Supreme Court picks. Republicans will likely push through as many confirmations as possible before they lose power Jan. 3. But once vacancies emerge, the partisan divide will either mean acting officials in key administration positions or compromise nominees who can satisfy Democrats.
特朗普与民主党之间存在潜在的妥协领域,包括对农民的支持、电影制作的税收抵免,以及对重大项目许可规则的全面改革。
There are potential areas of compromise between Trump and Democrats, including support for farmers, a tax credit for film production and an overhaul of permitting rules for major projects.
冲突很可能围绕必须通过的立法展开。政府拨款定于12月中旬到期。国会还必须在2027年之前的某个时候提高债务上限。如果在跛脚鸭国会最后两个月共和党占多数期间这些基本任务无法完成,特朗普和民主党人将不得不找到一条前进的道路。
Conflict is likely over must-pass legislation. Government funding is scheduled to lapse in mid-December. And Congress also must raise the debt limit by some time in 2027. If those fundamental tasks don’t get done under Republican majorities in the next two months of the lame-duck Congress, Trump and Democrats will have to figure out a path forward.
除了在拨款金额上的争议之外,民主党人还对政府撤销或改变国会批准的支出水平的做法感到不满。在支出法案的斗争中,他们可能会寻求额外的防护措施,以防止特朗普和管理与预算办公室主任拉塞尔·沃特绕过国会——要么拒绝使用国会指定的资金,要么支出国会未批准的资金。
Beyond disputes over the amounts of funding, Democrats have been frustrated by the administration’s actions to rescind or change spending levels approved by Congress. In the spending-bill fights, they may seek additional guardrails to prevent Trump and budget director Russell Vought from sidestepping Congress, either by refusing to use money directed by Congress or by spending funds that Congress didn’t approve.
这些必须通过的法案也可能成为民主党人就伊朗战争、关税和其他问题提出要求的战场,他们试图在这些问题上对特朗普施加压力。在特朗普的第一个任期内,民主党人在2018年选举中赢得众议院后不久,特朗普就引发了一次政府停摆,因为他坚持要求国会将边境墙资金纳入一项必须通过的支出法案。
The must-pass bills could also become the fighting ground for Democrats’ demands on the Iran war, tariffs and other issues where they’re seeking leverage over Trump. During Trump’s first term, right after Democrats won the House in the 2018 election, Trump triggered a government shutdown by insisting that Congress include border-wall funding in a must-pass spending bill.