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民主党夺取国会控制权,将重塑美国经济政策并挑战特朗普的议程Democratic takeover of Congress set to reshape US economic policy, challenge Trump's agenda

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根据周二美国中期选举的非官方结果,民主党横扫参众两院,改变了该国经济政策的走向,可能阻挠唐纳德·特朗普总统的议程,并引入对科技行业更严格的联邦监管。

Democrats' sweep of both the Senate and the House of Representatives, according to unofficial results from Tuesday's US midterm elections, has altered the course of the country's economic policy, potentially blocking President Donald Trump's agenda and introducing greater federal oversight of the technology sector.

目前的计票显示,民主党获得的席位多于共和党,反映出全国选民对通胀性关税、因中东冲突导致的能源价格上涨以及不断扩大的预算赤字感到不满。

Current vote counts show Democrats securing more seats than Republicans, reflecting nationwide voter frustration over inflationary tariffs, rising energy prices due to the Middle East conflict and growing budget deficits.

分析人士预计,特朗普政府可能会试图在过渡期内推行其剩余举措,因为现任的共和党多数派将继续掌权,直到新当选的议员于2027年1月3日宣誓就职。

Analysts expect the Trump administration may try to push through its remaining initiatives during the transition period, as the outgoing Republican majority will remain in power until newly elected lawmakers are sworn in Jan. 3, 2027.

民主党候选人以加强对税收、贸易和预算政策的立法监督为竞选纲领,赢得了两院的多数席位。虽然特朗普此前曾威胁如果共和党在中期选举中失利将否决任何立法,但他在选举之夜释放了更具和解与合作意味的信号。

Democratic candidates campaigned on stronger legislative oversight of taxation, trade and budget policies, winning majorities in both chambers. While Trump previously threatened to veto any legislation if Republicans lost the midterms, he signaled a more conciliatory and cooperative tone on election night.

新一届国会将面对2万亿美元的预算赤字和债务上限问题,同时准备应对经济挑战、推动废除关税的立法并寻求结束与伊朗的战争。

The incoming Congress will grapple with a $2 trillion budget deficit and the debt ceiling as it prepares to address economic challenges, pursue legislation to dismantle tariffs and seek an end to the war with Iran.

新任众议院议长哈基姆·杰弗里斯在选后新闻发布会上表示,必须扭转对医疗补助的削减,并恢复《平价医疗法案》下的税收抵免。他还呼吁结束推高汽油价格的昂贵海外战争,并取消增加家庭年度开支的关税。

Incoming House Speaker Hakeem Jeffries said at a post-election news conference that Medicaid cuts must be reversed and tax credits under the Affordable Care Act restored. He also called for ending costly overseas wars that drive up gasoline prices and eliminating tariffs that have added to households' annual expenses.

联邦开支与债务上限构成重大挑战 在新一届国会会期中,共和党与民主党之间最具争议的议题将是联邦预算和开支优先事项。议员们必须在临时拨款措施于12月11日到期前,就2027财年预算进行谈判。

Federal spending, debt ceiling pose major challenges Among the most contentious issues between Republicans and Democrats in the new congressional session will be the federal budget and spending priorities. Lawmakers must negotiate a budget for fiscal year 2027 before a temporary funding measure expires Dec. 11.

民主党多数派可能会阻挠共和党政府要求增加国防开支和削减社会项目的诉求,如果资金谈判拖延到明年,联邦政府停摆的风险将会增加。

The Democratic majority may block the Republican administration's demands for higher defense spending and cuts to social programs if funding negotiations extend into the new year, increasing the risk of a federal government shutdown.

民主党将寻求向医疗保健和社会项目分配更多资源。分析人士警告,如果党派分歧在明年使债务上限谈判陷入瘫痪,由此产生的政治僵局可能引发国债收益率波动,并对美国信用评级造成显著下行压力。

Democrats will seek to allocate more resources to health care and social programs. If partisan disagreements paralyze debt limit negotiations next year, the resulting political gridlock could trigger fluctuations in Treasury bond yields and put significant downward pressure on the US credit rating, analysts warn.

与此同时,截至周一,美国国家债务总额达到40.5万亿美元,逼近41.1万亿美元的法定债务上限。任何一方拒绝妥协都可能使债务上限谈判陷入停滞。

Meanwhile, total US national debt reached $40.5 trillion as of Monday, approaching the statutory debt ceiling of $41.1 trillion. A refusal by either side to compromise could bring debt ceiling negotiations to a halt.

关税、能源成本和伊朗战争 民主党的优先事项之一是审查现有的保护主义贸易政策以缓解通胀压力,因为降低关税可能改善美国与盟友的贸易关系,并减轻企业和消费者的财务负担。

Tariffs, energy costs and Iran war One of the Democrats' priorities is to review existing protectionist trade policies to ease inflationary pressures, as reducing tariffs could improve US trade relations with its allies and ease the financial burden on companies and consumers.

生活成本危机仍是一大担忧,特别是自美国和以色列于2月28日对伊朗发动袭击以来。根据美国汽车协会的数据,由此引发的战争使平均汽油价格维持在每加仑4美元以上,柴油价格维持在每加仑6美元以上,分别同比上涨35%和69%。

The cost-of-living crisis remains a major concern, particularly since the US and Israel launched attacks on Iran on Feb. 28. The resulting war has kept average gasoline prices above $4 per gallon and diesel prices above $6 per gallon, representing annual increases of 35% and 69%, respectively, according to the American Automobile Association.

民主党控制的国会预计将利用其预算批准权限限制国防开支,并寻求限制总统的战争权力,以缓解地缘政治风险对供应链的冲击。然而,此类努力可能面临总统否决。

The Democratic-controlled Congress is expected to use its budget approval authority to restrict defense spending and seek to limit the president's war powers to ease geopolitical risks to supply chains. However, such efforts may face a presidential veto.

科技、数据中心面临更严格审查 新一届国会还预计将加强对数字资产和科技行业的联邦监管,加大环境审查力度,出台新的人工智能(AI)安全标准,并调查特朗普政府与加密货币行业的个人关系。这些预期可能导致科技股出现短期波动。

Technology, data centers face greater scrutiny The new Congress is also expected to tighten federal oversight of the digital asset and technology sectors, increase environmental scrutiny, introduce new artificial intelligence (AI) safety standards and investigate the Trump administration's personal ties to the cryptocurrency industry. These expectations could cause short-term volatility in technology stocks.

由于当地反对,第二季度至少有 45 个数据中心项目面临延期,总投资额达 680 亿美元。

At least 45 data center projects worth a combined $68 billion faced delays in the second quarter due to local opposition.

民主党在得克萨斯州和佐治亚州获胜,而这两个州的数据中心投资尤为集中,这可能引发进一步波动。得克萨斯州当选州长吉娜·伊诺霍萨批评该州授予科技巨头的 20 年免税优惠,并承诺在建立法律保障之前暂停新建数据中心。

Democratic victories in Texas and Georgia, where data center investments are particularly concentrated, could create further volatility. Texas Governor-elect Gina Hinojosa criticized the 20-year tax exemptions granted to technology giants in the state and pledged to impose a moratorium on new data centers until legal safeguards are established.

对中期选举民主党大胜后监管和管制加强的担忧,已经给 AI 和数据中心股票带来压力。

Concerns over increased oversight and regulation following the Democratic sweep in the midterms have already put pressure on AI and data center stocks.

民主党还可能推动针对加密货币行业的全面监管,开启一段新的不确定时期。

Democrats may also pursue comprehensive regulations for the cryptocurrency industry, ushering in a new period of uncertainty.

美联储独立性 与此同时,民主党控制的参议院有助于维护美联储的独立性,使央行免受政治纠纷影响。

Federal Reserve independence At the same time, a Democratic-controlled Senate could help preserve the Federal Reserve's independence and shield the central bank from political disputes.

美联储曾面临特朗普要求降息的压力,但新参议院可行使权力维护央行独立性并批准人事任命。

The Fed has faced pressure from Trump to cut interest rates, but the new Senate could use its authority to safeguard the central bank's independence and confirm appointments.

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