
民主党周二晚间取得了历史性选举胜利,承诺让美国人的生活更加负担得起,这一议题团结了跨越政治和人口分歧的选民。接下来才是难关。据NBC新闻选民出口民调,压倒性多数中期选举选民对经济持负面看法,超过80%的人表示担心汽油、杂货和医疗保健等必需品的价格。与2024年形成反转的是,今年选民表示,他们更信任民主党处理经济问题,而非共和党。
Democrats won historic electoral victories Tuesday night on a pledge to make life more affordable for Americans, an issue that united voters across political and demographic divides. Now comes the hard part. An overwhelming majority of midterm voters had a negative view of the economy, with more than 80% saying they were worried about the price of necessities like gas, groceries and healthcare, according to the NBC News Exit Poll. In a reversal from 2024, voters this year said they trusted Democrats on the economy more than they trusted Republicans.
周二晚间的惊人选举结果,是民主党数月来努力的成果,他们将高昂的生活成本作为全国各地各级选举中的核心竞选议题。从堪萨斯州到南卡罗来纳州,再到缅因州,民主党候选人一致抓住并坚持通胀这一话题,而共和党则试图将选民注意力转向对社会主义和犯罪的恐惧,这些恐惧常常掺杂着伊斯兰恐惧症。在NBC新闻周二晚间预测民主党将完全控制国会后的几个小时里,民主党继续强调其负担能力信息。
The stunning electoral results on Tuesday night were the culmination of a monthslong effort by Democrats to make the high cost of living a central campaign issue in races across the country up and down the ballot. From Kansas to South Carolina to Maine, Democratic candidates uniformly seized on and stuck to the topic of inflation, while Republicans sought to redirect voters’ attention to fears of socialism and crime, often laced with Islamophobia. In the hours after NBC News projected they would capture full control of Congress on Tuesday night, Democrats continued to hammer their affordability message.
“我们专注于解决一直在压垮普通美国人的负担能力危机,”众议院民主党领袖、纽约州民主党众议员哈基姆·杰弗里斯周三早上在NBC的《今日》节目中表示。但在国会解决负担能力问题,说起来容易做起来难。它如何可能实现当民主党在1月控制众议院和参议院时,他们有相当大的机会通过立法,限制特朗普的关税权力,或使他更难继续在伊朗开战。
“We are laser-focused on addressing the affordability crisis that has been crushing everyday Americans,” House Democratic leader Rep. Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., said Wednesday morning on NBC’s “TODAY” show. But tackling affordability in Congress is easier said than done. How it could actually happen When Democrats take control of both the House and Senate in January, they have a decent chance of passing legislation that could limit Trump’s tariff authorities, or make it more difficult for him to continue to wage war in Iran.

他们还讨论过立法,以恢复共和党对医疗保健资金的削减。这些行动中的任何一项,如果得到充分执行,都可能降低消费者的成本。但这只是一个很大的假设。作为总统,特朗普有权否决国会通过的任何立法。
They have also discussed legislation to reinstate Republican cuts to healthcare funding. Any one of these actions, if fully executed, could push down costs for consumers. But that is a big if. As president, Trump has the authority to veto any legislation passed by Congress.
如果他否决,民主党在众议院和参议院都没有推翻总统否决所需的三分之二多数。然而,在周二晚些时候民主党获胜后,特朗普表示愿意与在野党合作。这一提议与他在第一个任期内向民主党伸出的橄榄枝非常相似,当时民主党在2018年赢得了众议院和参议院的多数席位。最终,那次尝试未能产生任何有意义的立法。
If he does, Democrats don’t have the two-thirds majorities needed in the House and Senate to override his presidential veto. Following the Democrats’ wins Tuesday night, however, Trump said he would be willing to work with the opposition party. The offer was very similar to an olive branch he extended to Democrats during his first term after they won House and Senate majorities in 2018. Ultimately, that failed to produce any meaningful legislation.
这一次,民主党在竞选中做出了一系列经济承诺。被视为众议院议长热门人选的杰弗里斯表示,如果民主党重新夺回众议院,他们将恢复2025年到期的《平价医疗法案》健康保险税收抵免,并推翻共和党2025年税法案中的医疗补助削减和工作要求。在参议院,俄勒冈州民主党人罗恩·怀登表示,他希望参议院财政委员会关注税收和医疗成本上升等问题,同时调查据称涉及杰弗里·爱泼斯坦性贩卖罪行的银行。
This time around, Democrats made a string of economic promises on the campaign trail. Jeffries, who is considered a front-runner to become the speaker of the House, has said that if Democrats take back the House they will restore Affordable Care Act health insurance tax credits that expired in 2025 and reverse Medicaid cuts and work requirements in Republicans’ 2025 tax bill. In the Senate, Ron Wyden, D-Ore., said he would like to see the Senate Finance Committee focus on issues like taxes and rising healthcare costs, while investigating banks allegedly involved in Jeffrey Epstein’s sex trafficking crimes.
乐观的新人“我认为我们有授权去干成事,”当选参议员、密歇根州民主党人阿卜杜勒·埃尔赛德说。“我竞选的主张是把钱从政治中拿出来,把钱放进口袋,并通过全民医保。”在竞选期间,埃尔赛德表示他将推动让医疗保险——这项为老年人提供的健康保险计划——对所有美国人开放。他还大力关注生活成本问题,尽管特朗普反复攻击他的穆斯林信仰,并指控埃尔赛德是“圣战分子”。
The optimistic newcomers “I think we have a mandate to get stuff done,” said Sen.-elect Abdul El-Sayed, D-Mich. “I ran on getting money out of politics, putting money in pockets, and passing Medicare for All.”During his campaign, El-Sayed said he would push to make Medicare, the health insurance program for seniors, available for all Americans. He also focused heavily on cost-of-living issues, even as Trump repeatedly attacked his Muslim faith and accused El-Sayed of being a “jihadist.”
周二晚些时候的另一位大赢家,当选参议员、得克萨斯州民主党人詹姆斯·塔拉里科,提出取消惠及最富裕家庭的减税政策。他还提出,通过为所有3岁和4岁儿童提供免费学前班,并扩大首次购房者首付援助计划,来降低中产阶级家庭的成本。
Another one of Tuesday night’s big winners, Sen.-elect James Talarico, D-Texas, has proposed eliminating tax cuts that benefit the wealthiest households. He has also proposed lowering costs for middle-class households by offering free pre-K for all 3- and 4-year-olds and expanding a down payment assistance program for first-time homebuyers.
经济不平等是塔拉里科竞选活动的核心议题,这一议题在本轮中期选举选民中引起了共鸣。据NBC新闻选民出口民调显示,69%的选民认为美国经济体系偏袒富人,而只有31%表示该体系总体公平。其他民主党候选人提出,通过推动结束对伊朗的战争来帮助降低汽油价格,并提出暂停联邦汽油税的提案。另一项关键的民主党竞选承诺是限制新建数据中心,以帮助遏制不断上涨的电费。
Economic inequality, a central message of Talarico’s campaign, was an issue that resonated with midterm voters this cycle. According to the NBC News Exit Poll, 69% of them believed the U.S. economic system favors the wealthy, while only 31% said it is generally fair. Other Democratic candidates have proposed pushing to end the war in Iran as a way to help lower gas prices, along with a proposal to suspend the federal gas tax. Another key Democratic campaign pledge was to limit the construction of new data centers to help curb rising electricity costs.

塔拉里科周三表示,他愿意在双方能找到共同点的问题上与特朗普合作,例如暂停汽油和柴油的联邦税收,以及削减繁文缛节,使住房更加负担得起。“我同意总统关于合法化大麻和改革这个破碎的刑事司法制度的必要性,”塔拉里科在接受福克斯新闻采访时表示。“这些只是我与特朗普总统全心全意同意的一些问题,我期待与他为所有3100万德克萨斯人合作。”
Talarico said Wednesday that he was open to working with Trump on issues on which they can find common ground, like suspending federal taxes on gas and diesel and cutting red tape to make housing more affordable. “I agree with the president on the need to legalize marijuana and reform this broken criminal justice system,” Talarico said in a Fox News interview. “These are just some of the issues that I agree full-heartedly with President Trump, and I look forward to working with him for all 31 million Texans.”
民主党承诺采取与特朗普两年前赢得2024年总统大选时不同的降价方式。一个警示故事民主党和总统都以同样的承诺取得了历史性胜利:降低高昂的生活成本。特朗普曾向选民承诺更便宜的杂货、每加仑低于2美元的汽油以及一波新的制造业就业机会。然而,价格继续上涨,工资难以跟上通货膨胀,如今美国的工厂工人比特朗普就职时更少。
Democrats have pledged to take a different approach to lowering prices than Trump did two years ago when he won the 2024 presidential race. A cautionary tale Both Democrats and the president notched their historic victories on the same promise: to bring down the high cost of living. Trump promised voters cheaper groceries, gas below $2 a gallon, and a wave of new manufacturing jobs. Instead, prices kept rising, wages struggled to keep pace with inflation, and today there are fewer factory workers in America than there were when Trump took office.
尽管整体经济以相对健康的速度增长,但增长带来的收益不成比例地流向了最富有的家庭,使大多数美国人对自身财务状况的看法日益悲观。失业率一直保持低位,但除了医疗保健等少数领域外,新增就业岗位相对较少。
While the broader economy has grown at a relatively healthy rate, the gains from that growth have disproportionately flowed to the wealthiest households, leaving most Americans with an increasingly bleak view of their financial situation. Unemployment has remained low, but there are relatively few new jobs being added outside of a few areas, like healthcare.
同样,美国和以色列对伊朗的战争对全球石油市场造成的更广泛动荡,可能会持续超过任何暂时的停火期。这并不是说当今美国经济的每个要素都受特朗普控制。例如,人工智能的快速发展更多是有机经济力量的结果,而非任何单一政策选择的结果。但经济学家们迅速将特朗普自己的政策视为共和党当前经济困境的主要驱动因素。
Likewise, broader disruptions to global oil markets from the U.S. and Israel’s war on Iran could outlast any temporary pause in active combat. This is not to say that every element of the U.S. economy today is under Trump’s control. The rapid developments in artificial intelligence, for instance, are the result of organic economic forces more than they are of any single policy choice. But economists are quick to point to Trump’s own policies as primary drivers of the GOP’s current economic quagmire.

他竞选时主张的关税推高了消费者价格,而围绕关税的不确定性则拖累了他承诺要振兴的制造业。美国与伊朗的战争推高了汽油价格,重新点燃了人们对通胀的担忧,导致购房者的抵押贷款利率上升。特朗普确实兑现了减税承诺,经济学家将其视为有助于为企业投资提供资金的亮点。然而,根据华盛顿非营利组织税务基金会的一项分析,这些减税带来的部分节省已经被更高的价格所抵消。
The tariffs he campaigned on have pushed up consumer prices, while the uncertainty around them has weighed on the manufacturing sector he pledged to revive. The U.S. war with Iran has driven up gas prices and reignited fears around inflation, contributing to higher mortgage rates for homebuyers. Trump did follow through on his promise to cut taxes, which economists see as a bright spot that is helping to fund corporate investments. Still, some of those tax savings have already been offset by higher prices, according to an analysis by the Washington-based nonprofit Tax Foundation.
特朗普在中期选举竞选中宣扬自己的减税政策,同时却对选民关于生活成本的担忧置之不理。他将可负担性称为“骗局”,并将高成本归咎于民主党。上个月在佐治亚州的一次集会上,特朗普宣扬石油公司从消费者支付的高汽油价格中获得了巨额利润。“我们正在赚大钱,”他说。在蒙大拿州的另一次集会上,特朗普宣布,“我们的通胀非常低”,随后告诉支持者,“价格已经大幅下降。”
While Trump has touted his tax cuts on the midterm campaign trail, he has simultaneously dismissed voters’ concerns about the cost of living. He has called affordability a “hoax” and blamed high costs on Democrats. During a rally last month in Georgia, Trump touted the large profits oil companies were making off high gas prices paid by consumers. “We’re making a freaking fortune,” he said. At another rally in Montana, Trump announced, “We have very little inflation,” before telling supporters that “prices have come way down.”
那次演讲发生在劳工统计局发布新数据仅几个小时后,数据显示9月份通胀率飙升至年率3.7%。
That speech took place just hours after the Bureau of Labor Statistics had released new data that showed inflation had jumped in September, to 3.7% annually.