美国盟友认为，特朗普总统的权力面临新的限制，但他们也提醒说，他仍可能采取难以预测的行动，尤其是在伊朗问题上。
US allies see new limits on President Trump’s powers, but they caution that he may still act unpredictably, especially on Iran.
外国领导人表示，特朗普目前仍掌控外交政策，他接下来在伊朗问题上的举动将受到密切关注。一些人警告欧洲，不要指望与华盛顿的关系会改善，也不要指望干扰会减少。
Foreign leaders say Trump still controls foreign policy for now, and his next moves on Iran will be watched closely. Some warn Europe not to expect better ties with Washington or less disruption.
中期选举结果可能提振对乌克兰的支持，并在中国和贸易问题上限制特朗普，但不会终结他的影响力。分析人士预计，将出现更多否决、调查和政治僵局，政策变化不大。
The midterm result may boost support for Ukraine and limit Trump on China and trade, but not end his influence. Analysts expect more vetoes, probes and political deadlock, with little policy change.
人工智能生成 巴黎——美国选举结果在许多国家首都受到欢迎，被视为唐纳德·特朗普的权力面临新限制的迹象，尤其是在伊朗问题上。
AI generated PARIS – US election results were welcomed in many capitals as a sign that Donald Trump faces new limits on his power, particularly on Iran.
然而，外国官员提醒说，这位被削弱的美国总统在其任期的最后两年里，仍可能被证明更具破坏性。
Foreign officials, however, cautioned that the weakened American president could yet prove more disruptive during the final two years of his term.
“在国际事务上，他仍然掌权，”法国财政部长罗兰·莱斯屈尔11月4日对RMC电台说。“你知道美国总统可以多么难以预测。”特朗普所在的共和党在一场历史性的中期选举中失去了对国会两院的控制，而这场选举的主导议题正是那居高不下的能源价格——它正在冲击各国预算，并在世界各地引发动荡。
“On international affairs, he remains in charge,” French Finance Minister Roland Lescure told RMC radio on Nov 4. “You know how unpredictable the US president can be.”Trump’s Republican Party lost control of both houses of Congress in a historic midterm election dominated by the same sky-high energy prices that are blowing out budgets and spurring unrest around the world.
特朗普接受了这一失败。他在接受福克斯新闻采访时承认，至少“其中一部分是伊朗”，并另外对《金融时报》表示，他没有立即升级对德黑兰行动的计划。
The defeat was accepted by Trump, who acknowledged in an interview with Fox News that at least “part of it was Iran” and separately told the Financial Times he had no immediate plans to escalate with Tehran.
尽管如此，过去十年里屡次被特朗普出其不意的美国盟友提醒说，在外交事务上，总统仍保留着令人意外的权力，而国会在这方面影响力有限。
Still, US allies, who have been repeatedly caught out by Trump over the past decade, cautioned that the president retained the power to surprise in matters of foreign affairs where Congress wields limited influence.
数周来，一些欧洲官员私下表示担心，特朗普可能在中期选举后升级对伊朗的行动。
Some European officials have privately expressed concern for weeks that Trump might escalate in Iran after the midterms.
莱斯屈尔补充说：“要么他决定超越纷争，承认事情需要改变，要么他不这么做。坦率地说，未来几天我们将不得不密切关注此事。”一位高级官员警告其欧盟同僚，不要以为这一结果会带来跨大西洋关系的实质性改善，并表示他们应继续努力减少该集团对华盛顿的依赖。
“Either he decides to rise above the fray and acknowledges that things need to change,” Lescure added, “Or he doesn’t. Frankly, we’re going to have to watch this closely over the coming days.”One senior official warned their European Union colleagues not to assume the result will lead to a meaningful improvement in transatlantic relations and said they should continue efforts to cut the bloc’s reliance on Washington.
在国会正式易手、民主党获得通过立法、扣留资金和推进限制总统发动战争权力的决议之前，总统还有两个月时间。
The president still has two months before Congress officially changes hands and Democrats gain the power to pass legislation, withhold funding and advance resolutions constraining his power to wage war.
特朗普未来几周对伊朗的行动，可能最清楚地表明他将如何应对这一挑战。
Trump’s actions toward Iran in the next few weeks may provide the clearest signal about how he will handle that challenge.
伊朗议会议长穆罕默德·巴格尔·卡利巴夫在X上发帖庆祝选举结果，称美国人“对战争说不”，原因是“良心或生活成本”。
Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf cheered the election result in a post on X, saying Americans have said “NO TO WAR” because of “conscience or the cost of living”.
这一结果还将增强那些主张加大对基辅支持者的力量，预计基辅将经历又一个在俄罗斯轰炸下度过的艰难冬天。
The result will also strengthen the hand of those who advocate giving greater support to Kyiv through what is expected to be another difficult winter under bombardment from Russia.
俄罗斯副外长谢尔盖·里亚布科夫对国家通讯社俄新社表示，尽管他说民主党对莫斯科的政策“极为负面”，俄罗斯不会改变对乌克兰的方针。
Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov told state news service RIA that Russia will not change its approach towards Ukraine, despite what he said is the Democrats’ “sharply negative” policy toward Moscow.
尽管特朗普在征收关税方面仍拥有广泛自由，但共和党在受贸易战打击最严重的州失利，可能会限制他与加拿大和欧洲升级冲突的能力。
While Trump retains wide latitude to levy tariffs, Republican losses in states hardest hit by trade wars could limit his ability to escalate conflicts with Canada and Europe.
反过来，特朗普也可能被限制进一步向中国开放，因为国会在对北京采取强硬立场上存在两党共识。他还可能因针对政府官员的调查而陷入围攻。
Trump could conversely be restricted from any further opening to China, since there is bipartisan support in Congress for taking a hard line with Beijing. He may be under siege from investigations into administration officials.
捷克总理安德烈·巴比什对记者说：“特朗普总统剩余任期将以弹劾、否决和某种程度的瘫痪为标志。”
“The remainder of President Trump’s term will be marked by impeachments, vetoes and a certain paralysis,” Czech Prime Minister Andrej Babis told reporters.
“但另一方面，特朗普当然会为所欲为。但愿他能回到结束乌克兰战争的承诺上来，并结束霍尔木兹海峡的冲突，”他补充道。
“On the other hand, of course, Trump will simply do whatever he wants. Let’s hope he returns to his promise to end the war in Ukraine and ends the conflict in the Strait of Hormuz,” he added.
一些左倾的欧洲官员表示，他们希望美国中期选举——此前匈牙利、塞尔维亚和巴西也出现了类似结果——能够修正外界对法国等国在2027年极右翼势力扩张的预期。
Some left-leaning European officials said they hope the US midterms, which followed similar results in Hungary, Serbia and Brazil, would revise expectations for far-right gains in places like France in 2027.
英国首相安迪·伯纳姆认为，这一结果可能标志着全球极右翼运动走向终结的开端。
British Prime Minister Andy Burnham believes the result could signal the beginning of the end of the global far-right movement.
尽管如此，他们警告称，特朗普在第二任期的所作所为已永久性地改变了美国与盟友的关系，包括向俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京作出新的示好姿态。
Still, they warned that the US’ relationship with its allies has been permanently changed by Trump’s actions in his second term, including new overtures to Russian President Vladimir Putin.
他曾表态支持欧洲的极右翼政党，威胁要从丹麦手中夺取格陵兰，并以一次成功的突袭行动推翻委内瑞拉总统尼古拉斯·马杜罗，令伙伴国家措手不及。
He has signalled support for far-right parties in Europe, threatened to seize Greenland from Demark and blindsided partners with a successful raid to oust Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.
新加坡前外交部常任秘书比拉哈里·考斯甘淡化了此次选举对特朗普的影响，并援引了特朗普在第一任期失去美国众议院后的反应作为例证。
Bilahari Kausikan, Singapore’s former permanent secretary for foreign affairs, played down the election’s impact on Trump, citing the president’s response to losing the US House of Representatives in his first term.
即便取得了中期选举的胜利，民主党仍缺乏推翻总统否决权所需的票数，而特朗普已暗示他可能准备动用这一权力。
Even after the midterm gains, Democrats will lack the numbers necessary to override a presidential veto, a power that Trump has signalled that he may be ready to use.
“我预计在预算通过、债务上限以及一连串针对各类官员和内阁成员的政治报复性弹劾企图上，会出现比往常更大的喧嚣，”考斯甘说，并预测在中国、伊朗或关税问题上“政策方向不会发生重大变化”。
“I expect louder than usual noise over passing the budget, debt ceilings and a flurry of attempts at revenge impeachments of various officials and Cabinet members,” Kausikan said, predicting “no major change of policy direction” on China, Iran or tariffs.
“如果我是个赌徒，我会给出五五开的赔率，赌特朗普会感到‘被解放了’，并在他想做的事情上加倍下注。”——彭博社
“If I were a gambling man, I would give even odds that Trump will feel ‘liberated’ and double down on what he wants to do.”BLOOMBERG