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参议员泰德·克鲁兹预测,随着民主党掌控国会,特朗普将面临“无情的弹劾”Senator Ted Cruz predicts ‘relentless impeachment’ against Trump as Democrats gain Congressional control

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共和党参议员特德·克鲁兹警告称,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普未来两年可能在华盛顿面临密集的政治和法律审视,民主党人可能会对政府高级官员发起国会调查、发出传票并推进弹劾程序。这位得克萨斯州参议员在Polymarket的All In播客节目中预测,如果民主党拿下国会两院控制权,他们将积极运用国会权力调查特朗普、其家庭成员以及在其内阁任职的官员。

Republican Senator Ted Cruz has warned that US President Donald Trump could face an intense period of political and legal scrutiny in Washington over the next two years, with Democrats potentially launching congressional investigations, issuing subpoenas and pursuing impeachment proceedings against senior administration officials.

克鲁兹的言论表明,在特朗普总统任期的剩余时间里,白宫与民主党议员之间可能出现长期的政治对抗。特德·克鲁兹预测调查将针对特朗普、其家人及政府。克鲁兹表示,民主党一旦掌控国会,就可能启动一系列国会调查,总统及其核心圈子很可能成为审查对象。克鲁兹在播客中说:“我们会看到传票。我们会看到调查。我认为他们会针对特朗普总统。我认为他们会针对他的家人。我认为他们会针对内阁成员。”

Speaking on the Polymarket All In podcast, the Texas senator predicted that Democrats would aggressively use their congressional powers to investigate Trump, members of his family and officials serving in his Cabinet if the party takes control of both chambers of Congress. Cruz's remarks point to the possibility of a prolonged political confrontation between the White House and Democratic lawmakers during the remainder of Trump's presidency. Ted Cruz predicts probe targeting Trump, his family and administrationCruz said Democrats could initiate a series of congressional investigations once they assume control of Congress, with the President and his inner circle likely to come under scrutiny." We will see subpoenas.

阿伯·卡瓦斯成为首位当选纽约州参议员的巴勒斯坦裔美国人,击败共和党人韩孔·托。国会传票允许议员在立法调查中强制人们提供文件或作证。

We will see investigations. I think they will go after President Trump. I think they will go after his family. I think they will go after cabinet members," Cruz said during the podcast.

因此,国会领导层的变动可能赋予民主党更大的权力,来审查涉及特朗普政府的各项决定、政策和争议。特德·克鲁兹称可能发生多次弹劾。这位共和党参议员还预测,针对特朗普的新一轮弹劾战将再度上演,他认为如果民主党赢得众议院的控制权,可能会试图将总统免职。克鲁兹表示,反对党可能不会只进行一次弹劾,而可能在未来两年内发起多项弹劾程序。

Aber Kawas becomes first Palestinian-American elected to New York State Senate, defeats Republican Han-Khon ToCongressional subpoenas allow lawmakers to compel people to provide documents or testify as part of legislative investigations. A change in congressional leadership could therefore give Democrats greater authority to examine decisions, policies and controversies involving the Trump administration. Multiple impeachment efforts could follow, says Ted CruzThe Republican senator also forecast a renewed impeachment battle against Trump, arguing that Democrats could attempt to remove the President from office if they gain control of the House of Representatives.

他说:“我认为我们还将看到两年的无休止弹劾。我相信如果众议院由他们掌控,众议院就会弹劾唐纳德·特朗普。他们可能会多次弹劾他。”根据美国宪法,众议院有权弹劾在任总统,而参议院负责进行后续的审判。定罪需要出席参议员的三分之二多数同意,这使得免职的难度远高于在众议院获得弹劾通过。皮特·赫格塞斯可能面临弹劾程序。

According to Cruz, the opposition party may not limit itself to a single impeachment effort and could initiate multiple proceedings during the next two years."I think we will also see two years of relentless impeachment. I believe the House will impeach Donald Trump if they have the House. They may impeach him multiple times," he said. Under the US Constitution, the House of Representatives has the authority to impeach a sitting President, while the Senate conducts the subsequent trial. A conviction requires a two-thirds majority of senators present, making removal from office considerably more difficult than securing impeachment in the House.

克鲁兹进一步表示,在现任国会会期正式结束之前,国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯可能成为弹劾行动的目标。这位参议员说:“我预计在跛脚鸭会期,我们会看到对皮特·赫格塞斯的弹劾。”跛脚鸭会期指的是选举结束到新一届国会开始之间的过渡期,在此期间,即将离任的议员在新当选的议员就职前继续履行职责。克鲁兹的预测表明,甚至在下一届国会开始运作之前,围绕特朗普政府的紧张局势就可能加剧。

Pete Hegseth could face impeachment proceedingsCruz further suggested that Defence Secretary of War Pete Hegseth could become a target of impeachment efforts before the current congressional session formally ends."I expect in the lame duck we will see an impeachment of Pete Hegseth," the senator said. The lame-duck period refers to the transition between an election and the beginning of a new Congress, when outgoing lawmakers continue performing their duties before newly elected representatives take office. Cruz's prediction suggests that tensions surrounding the Trump administration could intensify even before the next Congress begins its work.

最高法院空缺可能成为另一个政治闪点除了调查和弹劾之外,克鲁兹表示担心民主党可能利用其在参议院的影响力阻挠司法提名。他专门警告称,由民主党控制的参议院可能会拖延或阻挠联邦法官的确认程序,可能导致美国最高法院的空缺长期不填。

Supreme court vacancy could become another political flashpointBeyond investigations and impeachment, Cruz expressed concern that Democrats could use their influence in the Senate to obstruct judicial nominations. He specifically warned that a Democratic-controlled Senate could delay or block confirmation proceedings for federal judges, potentially leaving a vacancy on the US Supreme Court unfilled for an extended period.

维韦克·拉马斯瓦米称艾米·阿克顿在俄亥俄州获胜后让让步电话转到了语音信箱:“我们给她留了言”“我认为舒默和民主党将直接叫停所有法官提名,这意味着如果我们出现最高法院空缺,我认为他们会让空缺空置两年,”克鲁兹说。最高法院提名需要参议院确认。

Vivek Ramaswamy says Amy Acton let concession call go to voicemail after Ohio win: ‘We left her a message’"I think Schumer and the Democrats will just halt all judges, which means if we have a Supreme Court vacancy, I think they'll keep the vacancy open for two years," Cruz said. Supreme Court nominations require Senate confirmation.

因此,控制参议院使参议员在司法任命过程中拥有重大影响力。然而,克鲁兹的言论代表了他对民主党可能如何行使这一权力的预测,而非民主党议员已确定的决定。克鲁兹指责民主党政治基础导致强硬路线这位得克萨斯州参议员还辩称,民主党议员将面临来自其支持者的压力,被迫对特朗普及其政府采取对抗立场。他表示,该党的政治基础倾向于支持激进的监督和反对,而非与共和党总统妥协。“我认为他们不在乎,因为他们的基本盘已变得如此激进,”克鲁兹补充道。

Consequently, control of the upper chamber gives senators significant influence over the judicial appointment process. However, Cruz's remarks represent his prediction of how Democrats might exercise that power, rather than a confirmed decision by Democratic lawmakers. Cruz blames Democratic Party's political base for aggressive approachThe Texas senator also argued that Democratic lawmakers would face pressure from their supporters to adopt a confrontational stance towards Trump and his administration. He suggested that the party's political base would favour aggressive oversight and opposition rather than compromise with the Republican President.“I don't think they care because their base is that radicalised,” Cruz added.

他的言论反映了华盛顿日益加深的党派分歧,国会控制权往往决定总统推进立法优先事项和抵御对政府政策审查的有效程度。民主党控制国会可能对特朗普意味着什么预计民主党将在11月3日的中期选举中获胜,这标志着共和党遭受重大政治挫折,此前共和党控制参众两院。

His comments reflect growing partisan divisions in Washington, where control of Congress often determines how effectively a President can advance legislative priorities and defend administration policies against scrutiny. What a Democratic Congressional majority could mean for TrumpThe projected Democratic victory in the November 3 midterm elections marks a major political setback for Republicans, who had previously controlled both chambers of Congress.

如果民主党如预期那样控制众议院和参议院,他们将获得更大的制度杠杆,可调查政府、审查联邦开支、举行监督听证会并影响立法程序。民主党控制的众议院还可启动弹劾程序,而控制参议院则可左右司法提名和其他总统任命的命运。

If Democrats secure control of the House and Senate as projected, they would gain greater institutional leverage to investigate the administration, scrutinise federal spending, conduct oversight hearings and influence legislative proceedings.A Democratic-controlled House could also initiate impeachment proceedings, while control of the Senate could shape the fate of judicial nominations and other presidential appointments.

然而,国会控制权并不自动转化为罢免总统或扭转政府政策的能力。

However, congressional control does not automatically translate into the ability to remove a President or reverse administration policies.

弹劾需要参议院以三分之二多数定罪,而立法通常需要两院达成一致,并由总统采取行动,或获得足够票数推翻否决。对特朗普而言,民主党控制国会的前景可能意味着在其总统任期的最后两年里,政治环境将明显更加艰难。克鲁兹的警告凸显出一种可能性:华盛顿可能进入一个旷日持久的党派对抗时期,国会调查、司法任命和弹劾之争可能主导政治议程。

Impeachment requires a Senate conviction by a two-thirds majority, while legislation generally requires agreement across both chambers and presidential action or sufficient votes to override a veto. For Trump, the prospect of a Democratic-controlled Congress could mean a substantially more difficult political environment during the final two years of his presidency. Cruz's warning underscores the possibility that Washington could enter a prolonged period of partisan confrontation, with congressional investigations, judicial appointments and impeachment battles potentially dominating the political agenda.

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