
在横扫美国国会两院后,民主党人将把他们新的调查权力转向特朗普家族的商业交易,同时将他们所称的腐败问题作为2028年白宫竞选的核心议题。
After sweeping both chambers of the US Congress, Democrats will turn their new investigative powers on the Trump family's business deals as they make what they call corruption a central part of a 2028 campaign for the White House.
民主党在周二的期中选举中夺取了参议院和众议院的控制权,数千万选民在这场选举中对总统唐纳德·特朗普发出了斥责。他们毫不迟疑地向共和党人发出了警告。
Democrats seized control of both the Senate and House of Representatives in Tuesday's midterm elections, in which tens of millions of voters delivered a rebuke to President Donald Trump. They wasted no time putting Republicans on notice.
“找好律师吧,”即将出任众议院监督委员会主席的众议员罗伯特·加西亚周二晚间在X上发文写道。
"LAWYER UP," US Representative Robert Garcia, who is set to become chairman of the House Oversight Committee, posted on X late on Tuesday.
“传票,”预计将领导参议院财政委员会的参议员罗恩·怀登一小时后写道。
"Subpoenas," Senator Ron Wyden, who is expected to lead the Senate Finance Committee, wrote an hour later.
“把日程空出来,”众议员迪莉娅·拉米雷斯在发给几位特朗普政府官员的帖子中说道。
"Clear your schedule," US Representative Delia Ramirez said in a post addressed to several Trump administration officials.
民主党委员会领导人周三开始勾勒一项监督议程,目标是特朗普政府和大型企业。怀登表示,他计划审查特朗普政府与制药公司之间关于药品定价的协议。
Democratic committee leaders began outlining an oversight agenda on Wednesday that targets both the Trump administration and major corporations. Wyden said he plans to scrutinize agreements between the Trump administration and pharmaceutical companies on drug pricing.
特朗普政府否认有任何不当行为,并于周三对即将到来的调查进行了反击。
The Trump administration has denied any wrongdoing and on Wednesday it pushed back against the looming probes.
“如果民主党人选择进行虚假调查和推行激进左翼政策,他们就是在选择与美国人作对,”白宫发言人劳伦·比斯说。
"If Democrats choose to pursue sham investigations and radical left policies, they are choosing to work against the American people," said White House spokesperson Lauren Bis.
另一位不愿透露姓名的白宫官员在谈到民主党人的言论时说:“应该提醒他们,我们仍然控制着联邦政府及其所有权力,”这名官员说。
Another White House official, speaking on the condition of anonymity, said of the comments by Democrats: "They should be reminded that we still control the federal government and all of its powers," the official said.
据路透社采访了约十几位律师、国会议员、国会助手和政治顾问,科技公司CEO兼共和党大金主埃隆·马斯克、特朗普的儿子们以及其他一大批共和党金主和承包商很可能被卷入这些调查,而这些调查可能主导特朗普任期的后半段。马斯克的代表未回应置评请求。
Tech CEO and Republican mega-donor Elon Musk, Trump's sons and a swath of other Republican donors and contractors are likely to be swept up in investigations that could dominate the second half of Trump's term, according to Reuters interviews with around a dozen lawyers, members of Congress, congressional aides and political consultants. A representative for Musk did not respond to a request for comment.
特朗普长子小唐纳德·特朗普的代表拒绝置评,而次子埃里克·特朗普的代表未回应置评请求。
A representative for Donald Trump Jr., one of the president's sons, declined to comment, while one for Eric Trump, another son, did not respond to a request for comment.
路透社此前报道,民主党选择展开调查,而非立即试图弹劾特朗普。
Democrats have opted for investigations rather than trying to impeach Trump immediately, Reuters previously reported.
“我们预计将面临大量激进且范围广泛的调查,这些调查将同时针对政府和私营部门,”阿诺德·波特律师事务所的国会监督专家、律师雷切尔·科顿表示。
"We expect a huge volume of aggressive and expansive investigations that will target both the administration and the private sector," said lawyer Rachel Cotton, a congressional oversight specialist at the Arnold & Porter law firm.
分析人士称,民主党将不得不在寻求揭露其所谓的特朗普治下“前所未有的腐败”与回应选民对消费品和汽油价格上涨的担忧之间走钢丝。
Analysts say that Democrats will have to walk a fine line between seeking to expose what they call unprecedented corruption under Trump and addressing voters' concerns about higher prices for consumer goods and gasoline.
民主党能否成功,将对目前完全开放的2028年总统大选接班人竞争产生重大影响。
Whether Democrats succeed will have major implications for a so far wide-open race to succeed Trump in the 2028 presidential election.
“民主党将较少关注特朗普本人,而更多地致力于将腐败与整个政府乃至整个共和党挂钩,”前共和党策略师、长期批评特朗普的萨拉·朗韦尔表示,并补充称,部分目标将是为特朗普政府官员斩断政治前途。
"The Democrats will be less concerned with Trump and more about tying the corruption to the whole administration and ultimately to the entire" Republican party, said Sarah Longwell, a former Republican strategist and longtime Trump critic, adding that part of the aim will be to erase a political path for Trump administration officials.
朗韦尔表示,民主党在政治上也可能从调查共和党如何处理已故性犯罪者杰弗里·爱泼斯坦的相关信息中获益。“即使这更多是政治表演而非实质内容,只要我们在谈论爱泼斯坦,特朗普的声望就会受损,”她说道。不过,共和党顾问罗恩·邦让表示,民主党有言过其实的风险。
Longwell said that Democrats could also benefit politically from probing how Republicans handled information around the late sex offender Jeffrey Epstein. "Even if it's more political theater than anything else, any time we're talking about Epstein, Trump's popularity is suffering," she said. Yet Democrats risk overplaying their hand, said Republican consultant Ron Bonjean.
“选民更关心负担能力,”邦让说。“如果民主党寻求的报复行动压倒了他们的立法议程,那么他们极有可能只能拥有非常短暂的立法多数地位。” 路透社/益普索上周四至周一进行的全国性民调显示,48%的登记选民表示生活成本是决定其投票的首要问题。
"Voters are more concerned about affordability," Bonjean said. "If the vengeance that Democrats are seeking overwhelms their legislative agenda then they're likely to have a very short legislative majority." Some 48% of registered voters in a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted nationwide from Thursday last week through Monday said cost of living was the top issue determining their vote.
但选民也对特朗普在其家族密集进行加密货币和房地产交易中谋取私利表示担忧。8月路透社/益普索民调显示,69%的美国人认为他的私人商业利益正在影响他的总统决策。
But voters have also expressed concern about Trump's personal enrichment amid his family's flurry of crypto and real estate deals. In an August Reuters/Ipsos poll, some 69% of Americans said they thought his private business interests were influencing his presidential decisions.
律师和国会助手表示,要使调查取得成功,民主党必须避免陷入与强硬白宫的诉讼泥沼,并管住可能难以驾驭的联盟。
For any investigations to succeed, Democrats will have to avoid getting bogged down in litigation with a combative White House and keep what could be a raucous coalition in line, lawyers and congressional aides said.
莫里森·福斯特律师事务所的律师金伯利·哈姆说:“民主党将面临巨大压力,要尽早发出传票。但他们决定诉讼的任何事项,收获都必须值得付出的代价。”
"There will be a lot of pressure on Democrats to issue subpoenas early. But the juice has to be worth the squeeze for whatever they decide to litigate," said lawyer Kimberly Hamm with Morrison Foerster.
哈姆表示,众议院行动可能比参议院快,调查要求应当狭窄具体,并采取策略设法限制白宫可能提出的异议。
The House, which will likely move faster than the Senate, should be narrow in its asks and strategically try to limit the potential objections from the White House, said Hamm.
律师们表示,企业是调查的主要目标,因为与白宫不同,它们不能主张其活动受行政特权保护,尽管白宫可能会介入并主张它们受保护。
Corporations are prime targets for investigations because, unlike the White House, they cannot claim their activities are protected by executive privilege, although the White House could step in and claim they are, lawyers said.
托里登律师事务所的律师迈克·弗拉戈索表示,赢得参议院多数席位让民主党拥有了“更广阔的舞台”。
Winning the Senate gives Democrats a "broader field" on which to play, said lawyer Mike Fragoso with Torridon Law.
弗拉戈索说:“但一天的时间有限,一个国会的时间也有限。问题是他们愿不愿意、能不能选定目标并集中精力攻坚。”
"But there's only so much time in the day and time in a Congress," said Fragoso. "The question is how willing and able they will be to pick their targets and focus on them."