
民主党人准备利用对众议院和参议院的控制权,对特朗普、其助手及关联企业发起激进调查,预计将出具传票、举行听证会并发布报告。
Democrats are set to use House and Senate control to launch aggressive probes into Trump, his aides and linked firms, with subpoenas, hearings and reports likely.
共和党律师表示,他们已准备数月,预计从特朗普盟友到两党律所及前官员,对辩护工作的需求将增加。
Republican lawyers say they have prepared for months and expect more demand for defence work, from Trump allies to bipartisan firms and former officials.
双方预计将就行政特权、传票和藐视国会罪展开激烈法律斗争,民主党将聚焦自利交易、消费者损害和可负担性等问题。
Both sides expect hard legal fights over executive privilege, subpoenas and contempt, as Democrats focus on issues like self-dealing, consumer harm and affordability.
在11月3日晚间预测显示共和党将失去对美国众议院和参议院的控制权后数小时内,民主党人对启动针对唐纳德·特朗普总统及其周边人员和公司的调查表现出了热情。
AI generated Within hours of projections on the night of Nov 3 that Republicans would lose control of the US House and Senate, Democrats were enthusiastic about launching investigations into President Donald Trump and the people and companies in his orbit.
“请律师吧,”加利福尼亚州众议员罗伯特·加西亚在X平台发帖警告,他将出任众议院监督委员会主席。
“LAWYER UP,” California Representative Robert Garcia, set to lead the House Oversight Committee, warned in an X post.
俄勒冈州参议员罗恩·怀登,预计将出任参议院财政委员会主席,给出了一个单词的预测:“传票。”该委员会民主党方面用一句粗话为怀登的信息助威:“他妈的,冲啊。”一众共和党律师在采访和声明中表示,他们早在选举日前就已为这一情景做好充分准备,同时也指出,调查对象将有不同的法律需求。
Oregon Senator Ron Wyden, expected to chair the Senate Finance Committee, offered a one-word prediction: “Subpoenas.”The committee’s Democratic side offered an expletive-laden boost to Wyden’s message: “Let’s f*cking go.”An array of Republican lawyers said in interviews and statements that they have been preparing for this scenario well in advance of Election Day, while also noting that subjects of these investigations will have different legal needs.
前白宫和司法部官员可能已做好准备,作为意识形态一致的斗士出场。资深白鞋律所合伙人可提供更传统的法律咨询。
Ex-White House and Justice Department officials may be primed to serve as ideologically-aligned brawlers. Veteran white-shoe law firm partners could provide more traditional counsel.
一些共和党律师正吹嘘其两党人脉,为希望与民主党建立更友好关系的客户服务。“增长产业”“过去几个月,作为华盛顿的律师,你开始看到律所内部那些不那么隐晦的变动和宣告,比如‘某某现在将负责政府事务’,而这个人显然是共和党人,”詹姆斯·特拉斯蒂说,他曾是特朗普的私人辩护律师。
Some GOP attorneys are touting bipartisan ties for clients hoping for friendlier relations with Democrats. ‘Growth industry’“For the last few months as a lawyer in DC you start to see these not-so-subtle shifts and announcements within law firms, like, ‘So and so is now going to be handling government affairs,’ and it’s a person that’s obviously a Republican,” said James Trusty, a former personal defence lawyer for Trump.
共和党律师们“在观察风向,认为这将在未来几年成为一个增长领域”。
GOP lawyers are “reading the tea leaves and thinking this is going to be a growth industry for a couple of years”.
当被问及是否愿意再次代表特朗普时,特拉斯蒂表示,如果民主党人追究他所认为的“轻率”弹劾指控,他“绝不会犹豫片刻”。
Asked if he would be open to representing Trump again, Trusty said that he “wouldn’t hesitate for a moment” if, for instance, Democrats pursued what he considered “frivolous” impeachment charges.
司法部和白宫法律顾问办公室负责应对国会对行政部门调查的许多方面,但如果官员和联邦雇员担心个人面临法律风险,他们可以聘请外部律师。
The Justice Department and White House counsel’s office handle many aspects of responding to congressional investigations into the executive branch, but officials and federal employees may bring on outside counsel if they are concerned about personal legal exposure.
据多位共和党律师透露,一些可能为民主党主导调查的调查对象提供辩护的候选人包括:前司法部幕僚长查德·米泽尔;曾代表特朗普和其他著名保守派人士的杰西·比纳尔;长期从事华盛顿政府调查业务的律师马修·马滕斯和雷金纳德·布朗;最近卸任特朗普白宫法律顾问的大卫·沃灵顿;以及广泛地说,那些在特朗普打击大型律所行动中与特朗普达成和解的律所合伙人。
According to multiple Republican attorneys, some of the potential candidates to defend targets of Democrat-led probes include former Justice Department chief of staff Chad Mizelle; Jesse Binnall, who has represented Trump and other prominent conservatives; long-time Washington government investigations lawyers Matthew Martens and Reginald Brown; David Warrington, who recently stepped down as Trump’s White House counsel; and broadly, partners at law firms that settled with Trump in his crackdown on Big Law.
比纳尔表示:“国会监督权在用于合法立法目的时是一项重要工具,但它不是骚扰政治对手的许可证。”
Binnall said that “congressional oversight is a vital tool when used for legitimate legislative purposes, but it is not a license to harass political opponents”.
他补充道:“如果即将上任的国会领导层认为情况并非如此,他们将面临残酷的现实。”
He added “if incoming congressional leadership believes otherwise, they are in for a rude awakening”.
马滕斯的律所曾成功挑战特朗普的一项行政令,他保持中立语气,表示:“这些案件需要在法律考量和政治现实之间进行微妙的平衡,而这两者往往相互冲突。”米泽尔、布朗和沃灵顿在11月4日未回复置评请求。
Martens, whose firm successfully challenged one of Trump’s executive orders, struck a neutral tone, saying that “these cases require a delicate balancing of legal considerations and political realities, and the two can often be at cross-currents”. Mizelle, Brown and Warrington did not return requests for comment on Nov 4.
激进部署 民主党人拥有一套可预测的法律工具,但鉴于他们在中期选举中的压倒性胜利,预计将激进地部署这些工具。
Aggresively deploy Democrats have a predictable set of legal tools to work with, but are expected to aggressively deploy them in light of their sweeping midterm wins.
他们可以要求联邦官员、企业高管及其他个人自愿作证或提交文件,发出强制传票,举行闭门或公开听证会,发布报告,甚至移交刑事案件。
They can make requests for voluntary testimony or document productions from federal officials, corporate officers and other individuals, issue compulsory subpoenas, hold closed-door or televised hearings, issue reports and even make criminal referrals.
白宫发言人劳伦·比斯在一份声明中表示,特朗普“愿意与任何人合作,继续为勤劳的美国人带来胜利”,并称“如果民主党选择进行虚假调查并推行激进左翼政策,他们就是在选择与美国人民为敌”。
White House spokesperson Lauren Bis said in a statement that Trump is “willing to work with anyone to continue delivering victories for hardworking Americans,” and that “if Democrats choose to pursue sham investigations and radical left policies, they are choosing to work against the American people”.
民主党在过去两年的公开声明和信息要求为未来的调查提供了路线图。
Public statements and information demands from Democrats over the past two years offer a roadmap for future investigations.
他们表示有兴趣探究特朗普或高层官员是否利用权力为自己、与政府达成交易的公司、或与总统及其家庭成员有关联的实体谋取经济利益,以及一系列其他有争议的政府行为——包括伊朗战争、移民执法打击行动,以及埃隆·马斯克的政府效率部工作和机构裁员,仅举几例。
They have expressed interest in exploring whether Trump or top officials have used their power to financially enrich themselves, companies that made deals with the administration or have ties to the President and his family members, and a host of other controversial administration actions – the Iran war, immigration enforcement crackdowns and Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency effort and agency firings, to name a few.
“很明显,民主党将会非常激进,”阿比·坎布利说。他在今夏离任司法部高级官员职务后,加入了倾向共和党的霍尔茨曼·沃格尔律师事务所。“我们一直在为2027年的局面做准备。”坎布利的客户包括彼得·纳瓦罗,后者是特朗普的高级贸易顾问,正在进行一项长期努力,试图推翻他在拜登时代因蔑视国会罪被判刑的判决。
“It’s very clear that Democrats are going to be very aggressive,” said Abhi Kambli, who joined Republican-aligned firm Holtzman Vogel this summer after stepping down as a senior Justice Department official. “We have been gearing up for what 2027 looks like.”Kambli’s clients include Peter Navarro, a senior trade counsellor to Trump who is pursuing a long-running effort to overturn his Biden-era conviction for contempt of Congress.
纳瓦罗在下级法院败诉后,坎布利已请求美国最高法院受理此案,并表示他们希望确立新的判例,提高此类起诉的门槛。“相处融洽”罗德·罗森斯坦曾在特朗普第一任期担任副司法部长,最终招致总统的愤怒,他表示自己律所的国会调查业务是有意的两党合作;他与一位有民主党背景的合伙人艾莉森·墨菲共同领导该业务。
Kambli has asked the US Supreme Court to hear Navarro’s case after he lost in lower courts, and said they’re hoping to secure new precedent that raises the bar for such prosecutions. ‘Get along’Rod Rosenstein, who served as deputy attorney-general during Trump’s first term and ended up facing the President’s ire, said his firm’s congressional investigations practice is deliberately bipartisan; he co-leads it with a partner with Democratic ties, Allison Murphy.
罗森斯坦说,他们的客户在过去一年收到了来自国会民主党议员的信件,要求提供信息,并正在与这些议员合作,准备将这些请求升级为传票。
Rosenstein said they have clients who received letters from congressional Democrats over the past year seeking information and are working with them to prepare for those to escalate to subpoenas.
面对“争议性听证会”的可能,他表示,“重要的是你要挑选一位懂得与各方相处的律师”。
Faced with the prospect of “contentious hearings,” he said, “it’s important that you pick a lawyer who knows how to get along with everybody”.
前国务院代理监察长戴安娜·肖的执业范围现在包括国会监督,她表示,她预计民主党将把调查引向与该党选举成功相关的问题,例如可负担性,并警惕因过度关注特朗普而招致批评。
Diana Shaw, a former acting inspector general at the State Department whose practice now includes congressional oversight, said she expects Democrats to steer probes in directions that align with issues that drove the party’s electoral success, such as affordability, and to be wary of inviting criticism that they are spending too much time on Trump alone.
她说:“例如,如果加西亚有机会从消费者伤害角度展开调查,同时还能抓住自利或收受贿赂的角度,那将使其成为一个非常有吸引力的监督目标。”
“If, for instance, there’s an opportunity for Garcia to pursue a consumer harm angle and also manage to hit some self-dealing or pay-to-play angle at the same time, that’s going to make for a very attractive target for oversight,” she said.
司法部在一份声明中表示,官员已依法行事,“不怕国会民主党议员的威胁”,并指责其成员进行“武器化行动”。
The Justice Department said in a statement that officials have followed the law and “are not afraid of threats from Democrats on the Hill,” and accused members of “weaponisation efforts”.
共和党法律辩护策略可能采取多种形式。他们可能尝试与民主党委员会谈判,以获得更有利的证词条件——让访谈不在摄像机前进行,限制时间,并将提问安排在国会山之外。
Republican legal defence strategies could take a variety of forms. They could try to negotiate with Democratic committees for more favourable testimony conditions – to keep interviews off camera, limit the amount of time and have the questioning take place away from Capitol Hill.
白宫可以主张行政特权,以保护特朗普与其顾问之间的对话,包括在最近司法部法律顾问办公室发布的有争议意见下,涉及政府外部人士的交流。
The White House can make executive privilege claims to shield conversations between Trump and his advisers, including individuals outside of the administration under a recent controversial opinion from the Justice Department’s Office of Legal Counsel.
多年来,围绕传票的争斗屡屡诉至华盛顿特区的联邦法院,但要成功挑战国会议员行使调查权的方式,门槛很高。
Investigative authority Subpoena fights have landed in the federal court in Washington, DC, over the years, but the bar is high to win challenges to how congressional lawmakers exercise their investigative authority.
法官驳回了数起案件,这些案件针对的是众议院对2021年1月6日美国国会大厦袭击事件以及特朗普试图推翻其2020年选举失利所展开的特别调查中发出的传票。
Judges rebuffed several cases filed contesting subpoenas issued as part of a special House investigation into the Jan 6, 2021, attack on the US Capitol and Trump’s efforts to overturn his 2020 election loss.
如果调查对象不予配合,民主党人不指望能从司法部长托德·布兰奇那里得到支持。
Democrats do not expect to have an ally in Attorney-General Todd Blanche if the subjects of investigations are not cooperative.
尽管如此,曾为国会民主党人以及拜登政府处理监督事务的彼得·雷克特表示,共和党人不应对请求或传票置之不理,因为藐视国会等罪行的诉讼时效可能延续到特朗普任期的最后两年之后。
Still, Peter Rechter, who handled oversight matters for congressional Democrats and in the Biden administration, said Republicans should not ignore requests or subpoenas because the statute of limitations for offences such as contempt of Congress can extend past Trump’s final two years in office.
肖如今与雷克特同为威利律师事务所的合伙人,她预测民主党人不会对冗长的时限有耐心,并将以“更大的热情”寻求强制执行调查要求。
Shaw, now a partner at Wiley along with Rechter, predicted Democrats would have little patience for drawn-out timelines and would seek to enforce investigation demands with “more fervour”.
“我认为我们不会再看到过去那种一成不变的节奏了,”她说。彭博社
“I don’t think we’re going to see the same cadence to the dance that has existed in the past,” she said. BLOOMBERG