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美国中期选举结果对加拿大人是“胜利”,他们期待关税减免US midterm results a 'victory' for Canadians hopeful of tariff relief

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美国对加拿大征收的关税在密歇根州和缅因州成为重要议题,民主党候选人在周二于这两州大获全胜。US tariffs on Canada featured heavily in Michigan and Maine, where Democratic candidates won big on Tuesday

盖蒂图片社 美国对加拿大的关税在密歇根州和缅因州成为重要议题,民主党候选人在这些地方大获全胜。这正是许多加拿大人所希望的中期选举结果——民主党的横扫,在一定程度上是美国选民对唐纳德·特朗普向亲密贸易盟友征收关税的否定。

Getty Images US tariffs on Canada featured heavily in Michigan and Maine, where Democratic candidates won big on It was the midterm result that many in Canada had hoped for - a Democratic sweep that was in part a repudiation by American voters of Donald Trump's tariff on close trade allies.

“我当时在街上翻起了跟头,”安大略省省长道格·福特周三上午表示,称这是“加拿大的胜利”。

"I was doing cartwheels down the street," said Ontario Premier Doug Ford on Wednesday morning, calling it "a victory for Canada".

周二晚间的结果不太可能让加拿大很快从这些关税中获得缓解,但人们预期,政治格局的变化可能为渥太华创造更有利的环境,以争取达成最好的协议,因为时断时续的贸易谈判已经重启。

Tuesday night's result is unlikely to grant Canada relief from those tariffs any time soon, but there is anticipation that the political shifts could create a more favourable environment for Ottawa to get the best deal now that on-again-off-again trade talks are back on.

美国选民在中期选举前将生活负担能力列为主要关切,卡托研究所9月的一项调查显示,约75%的人认为关税推高了物价。在缅因州和密歇根州等地,关税在激烈的选战中发挥了重要作用。

US voters cited affordability as a main concern heading into the midterms and a survey by the Cato Institute in September suggested that about 75% believe the tariffs have raised prices. In states like Maine and Michigan, tariffs played a significant role in the hard-fought races.

在缅因州,现任共和党参议员苏珊·柯林斯与白宫在关税问题上发生冲突。

In Maine, incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins clashed with the White House over tariffs.

她成功游说取消了一些直接影响该州的关税,包括道路用盐、制冷设备和海藻的关税,但最终败给了民主党人特洛伊·杰克逊。

She successfully lobbied to have some duties that directly affected the state removed, including on road salt, refrigeration equipment and seaweed, but in the end lost to Democrat Troy Jackson.

密歇根州也出现了类似的情况,该州的汽车制造业与加拿大紧密相连——民主党候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德在那里击败了共和党人迈克·罗杰斯。

A similar story played out in Michigan, where state's the automobile manufacturing industry is deeply intertwined with Canada's - and where Democratic candidate Abdul El-Sayed defeated Republican Mike Rogers.

据美国全国纳税人联盟基金会的分析,特朗普对非美国制造的汽车和卡车征收25%的关税,已导致安大略省出现裁员,并给密歇根州家庭增加了数千美元的额外开支。与柯林斯一样,罗杰斯也试图与特朗普的关税保持距离,上个月在一则电视广告中宣称“加拿大不是我们的敌人”。

Trump's 25% tariffs on non-US made cars and trucks have led to layoffs in the province of Ontario, and have contributed to thousands of dollars in additional household costs for Michiganders, according to an analysis by the US-based National Taxpayers Union Foundation Like Collins, Rogers sought to distance himself from Trump's tariffs, declaring in a TV ad last month that "Canada is not our enemy".

与此同时,埃尔-赛义德直言不讳地评价这些关税“愚蠢”,并直接将成本上涨归咎于它们。

El-Sayed, meanwhile, bluntly assessed the tariffs as "dumb" and blamed them directly for driving up costs.

在俄亥俄州,击败共和党人乔恩·赫斯特德的当选参议员谢罗德·布朗将这些关税称为“灾难”,并誓言通过取消它们来为选民削减成本。民主党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯和查克·舒默如今掌握了新权力,两人近几个月都在推动限制对加拿大的关税。

In Ohio, Senator-elect Sherrod Brown, who defeated Republican Jon Husted, called the levies a "disaster" and vowed to slash costs for voters by getting rid of them Democratic leaders like Hakeem Jeffries and Chuck Schumer, now newly empowered, have both pushed to rein in the tariffs on Canada in recent months.

尽管如此,民主党控制国会可能对关税政策影响不大。特朗普的关税主要是通过行政命令实施的,无需国会批准。

Still, Democratic control of Congress might not do much to move the needle on tariffs. Trump's levies have been largely enacted using executive orders without approval from Congress.

周二晚间在接受福克斯新闻采访时,特朗普吹嘘他拥有“终极权力”行使否决权,以阻挠国会通过他不喜欢的法案。

And speaking to Fox News on Tuesday night, Trump touted his "ultimate power" of veto to shut down bills passed by Congress that he does not like.

一些民主党议员过去也曾支持某些关税,作为保护美国制造业就业的一种方式,并可能支持保留其中一些关税。

Some Democratic lawmakers have also supported certain tariffs in the past as a way to protect American manufacturing jobs, and could back keeping some in place.

民主党接管参议院将如何影响特朗普 目前对加拿大征收着多层关税,主要针对汽车、钢铁、铝和林业等行业。

How the Democratic takeover of the Senate could impact Trump There are currently several layers of tariffs on Canada, notably on sectors like autos, steel, aluminium and forestry.

在渥太华与华盛顿的贸易谈判于8月破裂后,特朗普政府对价值200亿美元(约合150亿英镑)的各类加拿大商品(从乳制品到化妆品和家具)额外加征了50%关税。美国还宣布全面禁止进口摩托车、乳清蛋白和酒精。

After trade talks between Ottawa and Washington collapsed in August, the Trump administration imposed an additional 50% tariff on $20bn (£15bn) worth of various Canadian goods, from dairy to cosmetics and furniture. The US also declared a total import ban on motorcycles, whey protein and alcohol.

加拿大以对等的50%“美元对美元”关税进行报复。大多数省份也禁止销售美国酒精作为报复。

Canada retaliated by slapping the US with its own 50% "dollar-for-dollar" tariffs. Most provinces have also banned the sale of US alcohol in retaliation.

特朗普此前还曾威胁,最早于1月1日起进一步升级与加拿大的贸易战,提高包括汽车制造业在内的行业关税。

Trump had also previously threatened to escalate the trade war with Canada further by raising tariffs on sectors, including auto manufacturing, as of 1 January.

在大选前夕,有迹象表明其政府对对加关税的舆论形势变得更加敏感。

There were signs that his administration had become more sensitive to the optics of its tariffs on Canada in the run up to the election.

就在投票前几天,特朗普在与总理马克·卡尼通话后告诉记者,贸易协议“非常接近”达成。

Just a few days before the vote, Trump told reporters that a trade deal is "very close" after speaking with Prime Minister Mark Carney.

周二晚间,卡尼在与记者交谈时表示,美国谈判代表在最近的讨论中“要求变少了,提供的东西变多了”。

Speaking to reporters on Tuesday evening, Carney said of US negotiators that "they're asking less and they're offering more" in recent discussions.

周三,加美贸易部长勒布朗表示,中期选举结果短期内不会改变任何事情,并将关于新国会明年履新后可能采取何种行动的猜测斥为“教职员工俱乐部午餐会上有趣的谈资”。

On Wednesday, US-Canada Trade Minister Dominic LeBlanc said the midterm results won't change anything in the short term, and dismissed speculation over what the new Congress might do when they're seated in the new year as "an interesting discussion at a faculty club luncheon".

他说:“我们的做法不会改变,我们也不打算对美国人采取的做法进行猜测。”

"Our approach will not change and we don't intend to speculate on the approach being taken by the Americans," he said.

前加拿大外交官、加拿大全球事务研究院研究员科林·罗伯逊表示,既然美国选民已明确传达了他们的不满,特朗普现在可能会感到更大的压力,去与加拿大签署协议。

Trump may feel more pressure to sign a deal with Canada now that American voters have clearly communicated their frustration, said Colin Robertson, a former Canadian diplomat and a fellow at the Canadian Global Affairs Institute.

“会改变特朗普的想法吗?可能会,因为他在选举中遭遇了惨败。”但他补充说,特朗普将如何应对这次惨痛的中期选举失利,仍有待观察。

"Will this change Trump's mind? It might, because he suffered such a beating at the polls." But he added it remains to be seen how Trump will react from the bruising midterm loss.

罗伯逊指出,从现在到明年1月——新任民主党议员宣誓就职之际——加拿大拥有一个理想的时间窗口来敲定协议。

Canada has an ideal window between now and January - when the new Democratic lawmakers are sworn in - to finalise a deal, Robertson noted.

他说,在此之后,特朗普很可能会因民主党发起的针对特朗普家族和财务以及其政府部分成员的调查而分心。

After that, Trump is likely to be distracted by investigations launched by Democrats into Trump's family and finances and some members of his administration, Robertson said.

美国贸易代表格里尔今年早些时候也表示,他有意在年底前就北美自由贸易协定(在美国称为USMCA,在加拿大称为CUSMA)与加拿大和墨西哥达成临时协议。

US trade representative Jamieson Greer also said earlier this year that he had ambitions to have interim deals in place with Canada and Mexico around the North American free trade deal, known as the USMCA in the US and CUSMA in Canada, before the end of the year.

虽然卡尼近日对加美贸易谈判现状的语气更为乐观,但他上个月曾告诉《政治报》(Politico),如果有必要,他准备等待新任美国总统上任,以达成与美国的协议。加美中期选举 2026

And while Carney struck a more optimistic tone in recent days on the current state of Canada-US trade talks, he also told Politico last month that he was prepared to wait for a new American president if necessary to reach a deal with the US. Canada US midterm elections 2026

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