
民主党在从德州到堪萨斯的胜利改变了唐纳德·特朗普最后两年执政的条件。
A Democratic victory that reached from Texas to Kansas changed the terms of Donald Trump’s final two years in office.
当新一届美国国会于一月召开时,民主党将掌控两院。他们可以阻止他的立法,挑战伊朗战争的开支,并审查他与北京达成的交易。
When the new US Congress convenes in January, Democrats will control both chambers. They can block his legislation, challenge spending on the war in Iran and scrutinise the deals he strikes with Beijing.
在其党派失去国会控制权的第二天,特朗普邀请记者到他新白宫舞厅的施工现场观看工人们吊起最后一根钢梁。
The day after his party lost control of Congress, Trump invited reporters to the construction site of his new White House ballroom to watch workers raise the final steel beam.
当被问及弹劾前景时,他否认了这一想法,然后又回到他带记者来此的原因。“看钢梁升起,”他说。
Asked about the prospect of impeachment, he dismissed the idea, then turned back to the reason he had brought them there. “Watch the beam go up,” he said.
这次访问也给特朗普一个机会回应他的副总统J.D. Vance,后者曾把伊朗战争归咎于败选。
The visit also gave Trump a chance to respond to his vice-president, J.D. Vance, who had blamed the Iran war for the defeat.
Vance表示,许多在2024年支持特朗普的选民周二再次投票给了民主党。
Many voters who backed Trump in 2024 had turned out again on Tuesday and voted for Democrats, Vance said.
特朗普强调燃油价格上涨,并坚持他决定发动战争。“如果我能再做一次,我就会再做一次,”他说。以下是美国中期选举的五个要点。
Trump put the emphasis on higher fuel prices and stood by his decision to go to war. “If I had it to do again, I’d have to do it again,” he said. Here are five takeaways from the US midterms.
在德州,詹姆斯·塔拉里科击败共和党人肯·帕克斯顿,成为自1988年以来该州第一位赢得美国参议院席位的民主党人。在南卡罗来纳州,医生安妮·安德鲁斯击败共和党参议员达林·格雷厄姆。特朗普在两年前以两位数优势赢得这两个州,并支持两位败选者。
In Texas, James Talarico defeated Republican Ken Paxton to become the first Democrat to win a US Senate race in the state since 1988. In South Carolina, doctor Annie Andrews defeated Republican Senator Darline Graham. Trump had carried both states by double digits just two years earlier and had backed both losing candidates.
堪萨斯的胜利是过去最长的中断。亚当·汉密尔顿击败共和党参议员罗杰·马歇尔,终结了自1932年以来的参议院连胜。俄亥俄州,民主党人谢罗德·布朗赢得了Vance因成为副总统而空出的席位。多数席位的最终规模仍在周三形成。
Kansas delivered the longest break with the past. Adam Hamilton defeated Republican Senator Roger Marshall, ending a Senate winning streak that dated to 1932. In Ohio, Democrat Sherrod Brown won the seat Vance had vacated to become vice-president. The final size of the majority was still taking shape on Wednesday.
东部时间中午,美联社尚未确定阿拉斯加和密西西比州的参议院竞选结果。民主党已在未获得这两席的情况下确保了控制权。
At noon Eastern time, the Associated Press had yet to call the Senate races in Alaska and Mississippi. Democrats had already secured control without either seat.
共和党人在竞选的大部分时间里都在观察,2024年支持特朗普的选民是否会再次出来投票。万斯表示,共和党此前过于乐观地认为这些选民会现身投票。他说,许多人确实回来了,却把票投给了民主党。
Republicans had spent much of the campaign watching whether the people who backed Trump in 2024 would turn out again. Vance said the party had drawn too much comfort from seeing those voters show up. Many came back, he said, and cast their ballots for Democrats.
“我们输掉选举的原因是这场战争,”万斯在X上写道。他引用了一位未具名民调专家的话,这位民调专家曾询问前特朗普选民,怎样才能赢回他们的支持。
“The reason we lost is the war,” Vance wrote on X. He cited an unnamed pollster who had asked former Trump voters what it would take to win them back.
万斯说,结束这场冲突排在首位,其次是应对生活成本问题。美国全国广播公司新闻台的一项出口民调发现,62%的选民认为美国对伊朗采取军事行动是错误决定。
Ending the conflict topped the list, Vance said, followed by tackling the cost of living. An NBC News exit poll found that 62 per cent of voters thought the US had made the wrong decision in taking military action against Iran.
特朗普在宴会厅所在地发表讲话时,给出了一个更为狭窄的解释。他说,这场战争推高了汽油价格,从而伤害了共和党,但他为自己的军事行动决定进行了辩护。
Speaking from the ballroom site, Trump offered a narrower explanation. He said the war had hurt Republicans by driving up petrol prices, but defended his decision to take military action.
他还坚持认为,如果他的名字出现在选票上,共和党人本会获胜。“我们没能把这份爱转移到候选人身上,”他谈到自己集会上的人群时说。
He also maintained that Republicans would have won had his name been on the ballot. “We weren’t able to transfer the love to candidates,” he said of the crowds at his rallies.
参议院民主党领袖查克·舒默用家庭在家中面临的选择来描述本党的首要任务:是买汽油去上班,还是买食品杂货养活孩子;是支付医疗费用,还是维持供暖。
Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer described his party’s first assignment in terms of choices families faced at home: buying petrol to get to work or groceries to feed their children, paying for healthcare or keeping the heat on.
他说,降低这些成本是民主党人必须做的第一件事,以赢得那些给了他们又一次机会的选民的信任。
Lowering those costs, he said, was the first thing Democrats had to do to earn the trust of voters who had given them another chance.
在伊朗问题上,舒默对目标态度坚决,但对手段的表述不那么具体。“这场战争必须结束。必须结束,”他说。
On Iran, Schumer was emphatic about the goal and less specific about the means. “This war must end. It must end,” he said.
当被问及民主党人是否会以国防拨款作为筹码时,他提到国会的“钱袋子权力”,并说一些共和党人已经支持结束这场冲突。但他没有提出削减拨款。
Asked whether Democrats would use defence funding as leverage, he pointed to Congress’s “power of the purse” and said some Republicans already supported ending the conflict. He stopped short of proposing a funding cut.
施默尔还承诺要打击政府腐败。他关于调查的警告附带一个条件:如果特朗普违背法律或美国人民的意愿,民主党将进行调查并将其告上法庭。“特朗普的求饶参议院时代已经结束,”他表示。
Schumer also pledged to tackle government corruption. His warning on investigations came with a condition: if Trump defied the law or the will of the American people, Democrats would investigate and take him to court. “The days of Trump’s supplicant Senate are over,” he said.
截至十月,众议院议长迈克·约翰逊仍预计即使民主党夺回议院,他也会继续领导共和党。“我打算留下来并继续领导,”他对《CBS 新闻》说。
As recently as October, House Speaker Mike Johnson expected to keep leading Republicans even if Democrats took the chamber. “I intend to stay and lead,” he told CBS News.
周三,路易斯安那州的共和党人——他刚刚连任自己的席位——告诉工作人员,他不会竞选少数党领袖职位。
On Wednesday, the Louisiana Republican, who won re-election to his own seat, told staff he would not seek the minority leader’s job.
路易斯安那州众议院多数党领袖史蒂夫·斯卡利斯和俄亥俄州司法委员会主席吉姆·乔丹看起来是最有可能取代他的强有力候选人。两人在 2023 年曾竞选议长,但都未能集结足够支持,约翰逊成为折衷选择。
House Majority Leader Steve Scalise of Louisiana and Judiciary Committee chairman Jim Jordan of Ohio looked like the strongest candidates to replace him. The two had sought the speakership in 2023, when neither could assemble enough support and Johnson emerged as the compromise choice.
这一次,只有共和党成员将投票,领导层选举定于 11 月 10 日举行。
This time, only Republican members will vote, in a leadership election scheduled for November 10.
当被白宫问及是否会站队时,特朗普给出了简短回答:“我们会保持中立。”北京称这次选举是美国的“内部事务”,中国外交部发言人毛宁表示,中国希望在特朗普与习近平主席达成的共识基础上继续推进。特朗普仍能直接与习近平会谈,但民主党控制的国会可能会限制他能为北京提供的让步。
Asked at the White House whether he would take sides, Trump offered a short answer: “We’ll stay out of it.”Beijing called the election a US “domestic affair”, and Chinese foreign ministry spokeswoman Mao Ning said China wanted to build on the understandings Trump and President Xi Jinping had reached. Trump will still be able to negotiate directly with Xi, but Democratic control of Congress could narrow what he can offer Beijing in return for concessions.
一个例子是美国技术出口限制的豁免。北京咨询公司胡同研究的创始人冯楚成告诉《南华早报》,共和党国会可能会授予此类豁免,为特朗普在谈判桌上提供可向习近平提供的筹码。冯说,民主党则不太倾向于授予此类豁免。
One example is a waiver from US technology export restrictions. Feng Chucheng, founder of Beijing-based consultancy Hutong Research, told the South China Morning Post that a Republican Congress might have granted such a waiver, giving Trump something to offer Xi at the negotiating table. Democrats would be less inclined to grant one, Feng said.
科技也是议员们可以向北京加大施压的领域。复旦大学教授赵明昊预计,民主党控制的国会将在人工智能、出口管制和台湾问题上采取更强硬立场,尽管华盛顿对华整体战略保持稳定。
Technology is also an area where lawmakers could press Beijing harder. Fudan University professor Zhao Minghao expects a Democratic Congress to take a tougher stance on artificial intelligence, export controls and Taiwan, even as Washington’s broader strategy towards China holds steady.
加州众议员刘云平周三表示,众议院民主党人将利用其新的多数党地位,就人工智能行业举行公开听证会,并推动立法对其进行监管。
California congressman Ted Lieu said on Wednesday that House Democrats would use their new majority to hold public hearings on the AI industry and advance legislation to regulate it.
刘云平是众议院民主党人工智能与创新经济委员会联合主席,他指责特朗普政府和众议院共和党人“有意让AI行业野蛮生长”。
Lieu, a co-chair of the House Democratic Commission on AI and the Innovation Economy, accused the Trump administration and House Republicans of making a “conscious decision to let the AI industry run wild”.
他认为,无论从政策还是政治角度看,这都是一个错误,并指出公众对数据中心快速扩张的反对日益强烈。
He called that a mistake both as policy and as politics, citing growing public opposition to the rapid expansion of data centres.