
众议院民主党人将对特朗普的愤怒转化为对共和党的压倒性胜利。现在的难题是:如何利用他们庞大的多数优势
House Democrats channeled anti-Trump fury into a landslide victory over Republicans. Now comes the hard part: Figuring out what to do with their huge majority
为什么重要:这个问题已经在民主党内部的意识形态派系之间点燃了权力斗争,他们在为未来两年的治理描绘相互矛盾的愿景。
Why it matters: That question is already igniting a power struggle between Democrats' ideological factions as they lay out contradictory visions for what the next two years of governing looks like.
- 本报道基于对十余名现任和即将上任的众议院民主党人的采访,涵盖了政治光谱的各个层面。
• This story is based on interviews with more than a dozen sitting and incoming House Democrats from across the political spectrum.
“昨晚是对现状的谴责,”进步派众议员德利亚·拉米雷斯(D-伊利诺伊州)对Axios表示,并补充说,“对左派来说,这是一次肯定和验证,我们正走在正确的道路上。”
"Last night was a rebuke of the status quo," progressive Rep. Delia Ramirez (D-Ill.) told Axios, adding that "for the left it was an affirmation and a validation that we are on the right track."
- 拉米雷斯表示,众议院民主党人“绝对没有理由”不在接下来的两年里“做最重要的事,并尽快完成。”
• There is "absolutely no excuse," Ramirez said, for House Democrats not to do "the most over the next two years, and as quickly as possible."
- 中间派众议员乔什·戈特海默(D-新泽西州)称周二是“中间派的巨大之夜”,并认为其授权更为温和:“我们需要压制高成本和腐败。”
• Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-N.J.), a centrist, said Tuesday was a "gigantic night for the middle ground," and that the mandate is far more modest: "We need to crush high costs and corruption." State of play:
现状:众议院民主党人正走在赢得超过250个席位的轨道上,这将为他们提供数十票的舒适多数。
House Democrats are on track to win more than 250 seats, which would give them a comfortable majority of dozens of votes.
- 这打破了被称为“集团”的一批即将上任的进步派的计划,他们希望以换取党内投票的方式向领导层索要让步。
• That blows up the plans of a cohort of incoming progressives known as the "Bloc" to demand concessions from leadership in exchange for voting with the party.
- 可能的让步包括修改众议院规则、优先委员会分配以及通过医疗保险全民化、削减移民执法局(ICE)资金并切断对以色列的美国援助的投票。
• The potential concessions included changes to House rules, plum committee assignments and votes to enact Medicare-for-All, defund ICE and cut off U.S. aid to Israel.
我们正在听到的声音:左派的新策略是试图说服国会进步党团(Congressional Progressive Caucus),正如一名现任众议院民主党人所说,“以一种前所未有的方式主张其权威。”
What we're hearing: The left's new tactic is to try to convince the Congressional Progressive Caucus to, as one sitting House Democrat put it, "assert its authority in a way it has never done before."
- “这绝对应该是游戏计划的一部分,”一名即将加入集团的成员告诉Axios,“我们有这么多CPC成员,我认为我们又增加了25名。”
• "That should definitely be part of the game plan," an incoming Bloc member told Axios, "we've got so many members of the CPC and I think we're adding 25 more."
- 曾任国会进步派党团主席的众议员普拉米拉·贾亚帕尔(民主党-华盛顿州)表示:“我们当然已经多次运用过我们的权力……我们还会再次这样做。”
• Said Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.), a former CPC chair: "We have certainly used our power many times ... and we will do that again."
- 国会进步派党团目前约有100名成员,但并非所有人都是好斗的意识形态斗士。
• The CPC is currently around 100 members, though not all are pugnacious ideological brawlers. The new strategy
新策略还包括积极招募来自摇摆选区的 incoming 众议院民主党人,而这一群体传统上并不在国会进步派党团成员的核心之列。
also involves aggressively recruiting incoming House Democrats from battleground districts, a group that hasn't traditionally been at the core of the CPC's membership.
- 左翼人士满怀期待地关注着“伯尼狗”:出身工人阶级背景的民粹主义候选人,他们在进步派和中间派的支持下赢得了红区。
• The left is hopefully eyeing the "Bernie Dogs": Populist candidates from working class backgrounds who won red districts with support from both progressives and centrists.
- 他们也在密切关注“浪潮宝宝”:在甚至不在党内雷达范围内的选区爆冷获胜的候选人,其政治立场在国会山基本上不为人知。
• They are also taking a close look at the "wave babies": Candidates who won upset victories in districts that weren't even on the party's radar and whose politics are largely unknown on Capitol Hill.
国会进步派党团主席格雷格·卡萨尔(民主党-得克萨斯州)在接受采访时辩称,通过进步派议程或许并不会那么艰难,并指出众议院少数党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯(民主党-纽约州)已呼吁进行“剧烈变革”。
CPC chair Greg Casar (D-Texas) argued in an interview that it may not be such a fight to pass a progressive agenda, noting that House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) has called for "dramatic change."
- “美国人民发出了对大胆变革的要求,进步派乐于将其付诸实现,”卡萨尔说,并补充称“全民联邦医疗保险”计划“广受欢迎”,民主党人“应当推动这类立法向前迈进”。
• "Americans delivered a demand for bold change, and progressives are excited to deliver it," Casar said, adding that Medicare-for-All is "overwhelmingly popular" and that Democrats "should move that kind of legislation forward."
- 贾亚帕尔对Axios表示:“我们将推动一项真正宏大而大胆的议程,并期待[杰弗里斯]发挥领导作用,确保我们实现这一目标。”
• Jayapal told Axios: "We will be driving an agenda that truly is big and bold and looking for [Jeffries'] leadership to make sure that is what we deliver."
- 这位前国会进步派党团主席表示,她“百分之百支持”杰弗里斯百日议程上的各项内容,但“我只是认为我们不可能止步于此……我们必须通过一项生活工资法案,我们必须通过全民儿童保育。”
• The former CPC chair said she is "100% down" for the items on Jeffries' 100-days agenda but "I just don't think there's any way we can stop there. ... We have to pass a living wage bill, we have to pass universal childcare."
另一方:中间派蓝狗联盟的领导人之一、众议员亚当·格雷(民主党-加利福尼亚州)对Axios表示:“最极端的分子……想搞些传递信息的法案,大喊大叫、指指点点。”
The other side: Rep. Adam Gray (D-Calif.), a leader of the centrist Blue Dog Coalition, told Axios, "The most extreme elements ... want to do messaging bills and yell and scream and point the finger."
- “做这些事有的是时间,只是别让它占据大部分时间,”他继续说道,“而且我认为你会发现很多人……在这一点上同意我的看法。”
• "There's time for that, let's just not make it the majority time," he continued, "and I think you're going to find a lot of people ... agree with me on this."
得克萨斯州民主党众议员马克·维西是杰弗里斯的盟友,他说,结果是“常识的胜利,而非任何极端主义意识形态”,并且杰弗里斯“明白昨晚的意义所在,并将据此领导”。杰弗里斯一贯对自己将如何执政保持沉默。
• Rep. Marc Veasey (D-Texas), an ally of Jeffries, said the results were a "victory for common sense, not any extremist ideology" and that Jeffries "understands what last night was all about and he will lead accordingly." Jeffries is being characteristically taciturn about how he will govern.
“我们将在返回后作为党团就议程是什么样子进行一次谈话,”他在周三的新闻发布会上对记者说。
• "We're going to have a conversation as a caucus upon our return about what the agenda looks like," he told reporters at a press conference on Wednesday.
被问及是否要审议“全民医保”时,杰弗里斯表示,众议院民主党将就通过哪些医疗保健措施进行一次“家庭谈话”,这些措施是在续签已过期的《平价医疗法案》税收抵免和扭转共和党对医疗补助计划削减之外的内容。
• Asked about marking up Medicare-for-All, Jeffries said House Democrats will have a "family conversation" about what health care measures to pass beyond renewing expired Affordable Care Act tax credits and reversing the GOP's cuts to Medicaid.
结论:“全民医保在未来两年内不会实现,人人都知道这一点,”加利福尼亚州民主党众议员贾里德·赫夫曼说,他是“全民医保”法案的联合提案人,也是一位进步派议员。
The bottom line: "Medicare-for-All is not going to happen in the next two years and everybody knows that," said progressive Rep. Jared Huffman (D-Calif.), a co-sponsor of Medicare-for-All.
“我听到所有这些争权夺利,坦白说,我觉得很乏味,”他对《Axios》说。“我们将拥有巨大的多数席位来处理这些问题,一切都会好起来的。……我们大多在同一支队伍里。”
• "I hear all of this jockeying, and frankly I find it tedious," he told Axios. "We're going to have a huge majority to navigate these issues and it's all going to be fine. ... We're mostly on the same team here."
另一位众议院进步派议员说:“有了这么大的多数席位,老实说,集团的影响力远小了,但好消息是,那些按箱购买成人纸尿裤的议员们的影响力也远小了。”“总体来说,这是一个中左翼党团,”第三位众议院民主党人说。
• Said another House progressive: "With this big of a majority, honestly, the Bloc has way less influence, but the good news is so do the members who buy Depends by the carton." • "On balance, this is a center-left caucus," a third House Democrat said.