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加州计票之际,亿万富翁征税提案落后Billionaire tax measure trails as California tallies votes

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包括美国参议员伯尼·桑德斯在内的进步派曾大力推崇的一项财富税,被视为缓解经济不平等的良方,并有望成为全美其他地区的效仿模式,但这项提案在加利福尼亚州似乎正走向失败,尽管官员仍在统计选票,且尚无主流媒体宣布最终结果。

A wealth tax that progressives including US Senator Bernie Sanders had championed as an antidote for economic inequality and a potential model for the rest of the country looked headed to defeat in California, though officials were still counting votes and no major outlet had yet called the outcome.

这项拟议的亿万富翁税措施若告失败,将对民主党左翼构成打击,尽管民主党在选举日全国范围内大胜共和党,以此回击唐纳德·特朗普总统及其政策。加利福尼亚州的民主党籍州长、2028年总统竞选潜在人选加文·纽森曾反对该措施,尽管该州选民登记册显示民主党选民以近两比一的优势领先共和党选民,但该措施仍处于落后状态。

Failure of the proposed billionaire tax measure would represent a blow to the left wing of the Democratic Party, even as Democrats swept Republicans nationally on election day in a rebuke of President Donald Trump and his policies. The state's own Democratic governor, 2028 presidential hopeful Gavin Newsom, had opposed the measure, which was trailing despite voter rolls that favor Democrats over Republicans by a nearly two-to-one margin.

党内领导层的分歧模糊了该税收是民主党针对共和党减税政策和收入不平等给出的答案这一信息,民调中原本的初步支持率在投票前已有所下降。

The division among party leadership muddied the message that the tax was a Democratic answer to Republican tax cuts and income inequality, and initial support in polls had diminished ahead of the vote.

据美联社报道,截至周三上午,全州已统计选票中有55.6%反对该措施,预计已统计约60%的选票。

By Wednesday morning, 55.6% of counted ballots statewide opposed the measure, with 60% of the estimated vote counted, AP reported.

洛杉矶县作为加州最大县,该措施在已统计选票中仅以微弱多数领先,但在接下来的六大县中,该措施均以两位数的差距落后,据各县选民登记官统计显示。

The measure was drawing a razor-thin majority of counted ballots in Los Angeles County, California's largest, but was down by double-digit margins in each of the next six largest counties, county voter registrar tallies showed.

尽管美国首个、也是迄今唯一一个州级亿万富翁财富税提案的前景似乎正在消退,但即将出任参议院财政委员会主席的罗恩·怀登表示,向超级富豪征税仍是民主党整体的核心目标。

Even as prospects for the nation's first and so far only statewide billionaire wealth tax proposal appeared to fade, incoming Senate Finance Committee Chairman Ron Wyden signaled taxing the ultrawealthy is still a central goal for the party as a whole.

他在一份概述该委员会优先事项的新闻稿中表示:“委员会将加倍努力,确保亿万富翁支付其应尽的公平份额,并追究偷税漏税者的责任。”

“The committee will redouble its efforts to ensure billionaires pay their fair share and hold tax cheats accountable,” he said in a press release outlining the panel's priorities.

40号提案旨在对加利福尼亚州估计的250位亿万富翁的资产征收一次性5%的税。支持者预计该提案将筹集约1000亿美元,其中大部分将专门用于医疗保健项目。这些项目面临失去数十亿美元联邦资金的风险,这是去年减税方案的一部分,该方案仅获得美国参议院共和党人的支持而通过。

Proposition 40 was designed as a one-time, 5% levy on the assets of California's estimated 250 billionaires. Most of the estimated $100 billion proponents projected it would raise was to be earmarked for healthcare programs that stand to lose billions of dollars in federal funding as part of last year's tax cut package, which passed with Republican-only support in the US Senate.

周二,选民将美国众议院和参议院的控制权交给了民主党,民主党已将废除这些减税措施列为优先事项,尽管他们没有足够的票数来推翻总统的否决。

On Tuesday, voters handed control of both the US House and the Senate to Democrats, who have made reversing those cuts a priority, though they do not have the numbers to overcome a presidential veto.

反对者辩称,该税收会迫使超级富豪离开该州,带走他们的所得税缴纳额和创造就业的企业,并会阻碍企业家在加州创办初创公司。

Opponents argued the tax would drive the ultrawealthy from the state, taking their income-tax payments and job-producing enterprises with them, and discourage entrepreneurs from building their startups in California in the first place.

在11月3日投票前几周,电视广告和精美邮寄宣传单铺天盖地地进行负面宣传,将该提案描绘成对所有加州居民征收更激进税收的入口。支持40号提案的人士称这些论点是毫无根据的恐吓手段,但这些论点可能引起了共鸣,因为当时较高的汽油价格和可负担性担忧让全国大部分地区对经济前景感到悲观。

An onslaught of negative ads on airwaves and glossy mailers in the weeks leading up to the November 3 vote also framed it as a gateway to more aggressive taxation for all Californians. The arguments, which Prop 40 supporters said were unfounded scare tactics, may have resonated at a time when the pinch of higher gas prices and affordability concerns have put a broad swathe of the country in a sour economic mood.

谷歌联合创始人谢尔盖·布林和至少其他11位亿万富翁共同向一个名为“建设更美好加州”的政治行动委员会捐赠了总计2.69亿美元,该委员会又投入3亿多美元用于反对40号提案、支持另外两项提案的竞选活动。根据州竞选财务文件显示,如果这两项提案中任意一项获得的赞成票更多,其中包含的条款将使亿万富翁税失效。

Google co-founder Sergey Brin and at least 11 other billionaires contributed a collective $269 million to a political action committee called Building a Better California, which in turn poured more than $300 million into campaigns opposing Prop 40 and supporting two other initiatives that contain language that would invalidate the billionaire tax if either passes with more votes, state campaign finance filings show.

其中一项竞争性提案称为42号提案,截至周三上午已获得410万张赞成票,约占已统计选票的54%,远高于亿万富翁税获得的340万张赞成票。亿万富翁税的批评者表示松了一口气。

One of those competing measures, known as Proposition 42, had won 4.1 million votes by Wednesday morning, about 54% of ballots counted and far more than the 3.4 million 'yes' votes tallied for the billionaire tax. Detractors of the billionaire tax expressed relief.

加州大学伯克利分校经济学教授恩里科·莫雷蒂周三表示:“这是一个进步州,并将继续保持进步。我希望未来它能成为一个‘聪明’的进步州。如果‘反对’方获胜,这将是朝那个方向发展的证据。”莫雷蒂根据以往关于财富税效应研究的发现得出结论,对超级富豪征收新税将耗尽该州的就业岗位,并导致州政府总收入减少。

"This is and will remain a progressive state. My hope is that going forward it can be a smart progressive state," University of California, Berkeley economics professor Enrico Moretti said on Wednesday. "If the NO prevails, it is evidence in that direction." Drawing conclusions from the findings of past studies of wealth tax effects, Moretti said that subjecting the ultrawealthy to a new tax would sap the state of jobs and lead to a reduction in overall revenue for the state.

据美联社判定,加州选民单独批准了另一项措施——第3号提案,该提案将针对该州最高收入者的较高所得税税率永久化。分析人士表示,结果显示加州民众仍希望富人多缴税。

California voters separately approved a different measure, Proposition 3, that makes higher income tax rates permanent for the state's top earners, according to an AP call. Analysts said the result showed Californians still want the wealthy to pay more.

加州公共政策研究所调查主任马克·巴尔达萨雷表示:“绝大多数加州民众认为该州贫富差距正在扩大,并对收入不平等感到担忧。”他补充说,加州民众支持向富人征税的想法,但认为亿万富翁税可能会产生意想不到的后果。

"A solid majority of Californians feel that there's a growing gap between the wealthy and the poor in the state, and they're concerned about income inequality," said Mark Baldassare, survey director at the Public Policy Institute of California. He added that Californians supported the idea of taxing the wealthy, but believed that the billionaires tax could have unintended consequences.

包括桑德斯和马萨诸塞州民主党联邦参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦在内的进步人士主张,强制最富有群体多缴税将提高穷人和中产阶级的生活水平,并遏制超级富豪日益增长的政治影响力。

Progressives including Sanders and US Senator Elizabeth Warren, a Massachusetts Democrat, have argued that forcing the richest to pay more in taxes will bolster living standards for the poor and the middle class, and curb the rising political clout of the ultrawealthy.

包括英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋在内的多位亿万富翁(黄仁勋是硅谷居民)也对这类措施表示了支持。

A number of billionaires, including Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, a Silicon Valley resident, have also expressed support for such measures.

该提案的设计者之一、加州大学伯克利分校经济学教授埃马纽埃尔·萨兹在投票前夕表示:“第40号提案在该州、全国乃至全世界都引起了巨大关注,因为它象征着民主与寡头政治之间的斗争。”

"Prop 40 has attracted enormous attention in the state, in the nation, and around the world because it symbolizes the fight between democracy and oligarchy," said UC Berkeley economics professor Emmanuel Saez, one of the proposal's architects, on the eve of the vote.

他说:“只要民主还有生命力,遏制顶级财富日益增长的力量和影响力的斗争就会继续。我预测,40号提案并不是反击亿万富翁的最后一次尝试。”

"As long as democracy has life in it, the fight to curb the growing power and influence of top wealth continues. I predict that Prop 40 is not the last attempt to fight back against billionaires," he said.

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