早上好。副总统JD·万斯周三早上对总统特朗普关于伊朗战争的表述进行了令人震惊的否定。他说，共和党人输掉中期选举是因为这场战争。这篇614字的社交媒体帖子说了很多事情。但它没有说他支持这场战争。一次也没有。
Good morning. Vice President JD Vance delivered a stunning repudiation of President Trump’s messaging on the Iran War Wednesday morning. He said Republicans lost the midterms because of the war. The 614-word social-media post said many things. But it didn’t say he supported the war. Not once.
伊朗战争以及随之而来的汽油价格上涨，一直是特朗普第二任期的决定性问题。万斯被视为2028年共和党总统候选人，而随着特朗普的低支持率和民主党在中期选举中的惨败，特朗普的品牌受到了损害。
The Iran War and the ensuing rise in gas prices have been the defining issue of Trump’s second term. Vance is seen as a GOP presidential candidate in 2028, and with Trump’s low approval ratings and the Democratic rout in the midterms, Trump’s brand is damaged.
那么万斯该怎么办呢？是继续支持总统，可能失去MAGA支持者？还是与他划清界限？
So what does Vance do? Stick with the president and possibly lose the MAGA faithful? Or cut himself loose?
周三，一些共和党人已经在寻找机会打击万斯。与白宫关系密切的前众议院议长纽特·金里奇对万斯说：“光环大不如前。”特朗普的第一任副总统迈克·彭斯直到2021年1月6日，即特朗普政府的最后几天，才与特朗普划清界限。但特朗普认为彭斯当天的行为是如此严重的背叛，以至于彭斯的政治生涯再也没有恢复过来。
Some Republicans were already looking to take Vance down Wednesday. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who is close to the White House, said of Vance: “A good bit of the luster has come off the bloom.”Trump’s first Vice President, Mike Pence, didn’t distance himself from Trump until Jan. 6, 2021, the final days of the Trump administration. But Trump saw Pence’s actions that day as such an act of betrayal that Pence’s political career never recovered.
以另一种方式，总统拜登的副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯也很难与支持率低下、努力说服美国人他仍掌控局面的拜登划清界限。哈里斯从未真正摆脱拜登的不受欢迎程度，并在2024年输给了特朗普。
In a different way, President Biden’s Vice President, Kamala Harris, had a very difficult time distancing herself from Biden, who had poor approval numbers and struggled to convince Americans that he was in control. Harris was never able to really separate herself from his unpopularity and lost to Trump in 2024.
那么万斯能做什么呢？他能否现在就开始为自己开辟一条道路，走钢丝般地试图既留在特朗普的恩宠之中，又显得独立？这在特朗普身边可能吗？（万斯最近说，如果他竞选总统，特朗普会支持他。特朗普立即说这不是真的。）万斯支持伊朗战争吗？他支持国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯吗？这是一次性的，还是未来几周万斯会找到新的方式与自己划清界限？
So what can Vance do? Can he start carving out a lane for himself now, walking a tightrope that attempts to stay inside Trump’s good graces while also seeming independent? Is that possible with Trump? (Vance recently said if he ran for president, Trump would support him. Trump immediately said this wasn’t true). Does Vance support the war in Iran? Does he support Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth? Was this a one-off, or will Vance find new ways to distance himself in the weeks to come?
有一点需要注意。赛义德赢得了选举，现在万斯很可能将负责监督赛义德宣誓就职。让我们看看这两位男子将如何应对这一可能具有重大意义的时刻。
One thing to . El-Sayed won his race, and now Vance is likely going to be charged with swearing El-Sayed in. Let’s see how both men handle this potentially seismic moment.
舒默：这位欣喜若狂的民主党参议院领袖明确表示，他预计将在下届国会再次当选为参议院民主党领袖，但他一些新当选的同僚并不认同他。
Chuck Schumer: The jubilant Democratic Senate leader made it clear he expects to be re-elected leader of Senate Democrats in the next Congress, but some of his newly elected colleagues aren’t fans.
阿拉斯加和密西西比：这两个尚未决出胜负的参议院席位竞争都处于胶着状态。
Alaska and Mississippi: The two outstanding Senate races are both on a knife-edge.
特朗普上诉：纽约州一家上诉法院将就特朗普针对其因伪造商业记录以隐瞒向色情演员斯托米·丹尼尔斯支付封口费而被判犯有的34项重罪指控提出的上诉进行辩论听证。
Trump appeal: A New York appeals court will hear arguments in Trump’s appeal of his conviction on 34 felony counts of falsifying business records to conceal payments to porn actor Stormy Daniels.
保守派政治行动大会在海湖庄园举行：支持特朗普和“让美国再次伟大”运动的保守派政治行动大会在佛罗里达州举办其最新聚会。
CPAC at Mar-a-Lago: The Conservative Political Action Conference, which has backed Trump and the MAGA movement, hosts its latest gathering in Florida.
特朗普的周四行程：总统上午接受情报简报，随后将在全天举行政策会议。
Trump’s Thursday: The president receives an intelligence briefing this morning, then will hold policy meetings throughout the day.
民主党聚焦经济以巩固党派的历史性胜利。民主党很大程度上成功地将聚光灯集中在经济上，候选人们反复强调特朗普的政策正在损害民众的钱包。即使在党内路线之争持续发酵之际，他们仍坚持这一策略。
Democrats focused on the economy to secure the party’s historic victory. Democrats largely managed to keep the spotlight on the economy as candidates drove home the message that Trump’s policies are hurting pocket books. They kept to this playbook even as a fight for the party’s direction continues to boil.
美国的人工智能繁荣面临选举日反弹的威胁。美国选民投票支持旨在禁止或减缓数据中心建设的候选人和投票议题，这可能会遏制人工智能的快速增长，并成为处于技术进步前沿的公司的一大商业难题。这也威胁到推动美国经济繁荣的动力。
America’s AI boom is threatened by an Election Day revolt. Americans’ vote for candidates and ballot measures to ban or slow data center development could rein in AI’s rapid growth and become a big business problem for the companies on the edge of technological progress. It also threatens to hobble a boom powering the U.S. economy.
在拥有两年不受制约的权力后，特朗普面临新现实。仅在周短短几小时内，特朗普总统任期剩余两年的权力格局发生了剧变。如果特朗普想在未来取得任何持久成果，他将不得不接受权力的限制并妥协——这些都是他在政治生涯中鲜有表现出兴趣的事情。
After two years of unchecked power, Trump is facing a new reality. In the span of just a few hours on Tuesday, the power dynamic for the remaining two years of the Trump presidency shifted dramatically. If Trump wants to accomplish anything durable going forward, he will have to accept limits to his authority and compromise—things he’s shown little interest in doing during his political career.
我是达米安·帕莱塔，《华尔街日报》华盛顿报道部主管。作为记者和编辑，我报道华盛顿已有22年。我曾报道白宫、国会、国家安全、联邦预算、经济以及多次市场崩盘。
I’m Damian Paletta, The Wall Street Journal’s Washington coverage chief. I’ve covered Washington for 22 years as a reporter and editor. I’ve covered the White House, Congress, national security, the federal budget, economics and multiple market meltdowns.