新闻 宾夕法尼亚州雷丁讯——在以22个百分点的优势赢得连任前几天，州长乔什·夏皮罗几乎不再提及他的共和党对手。他与当地民主党候选人同台亮相，呼吁选民让民主党在州参议院获得多数席位，并解释这样做能带来什么成果。
The News READING, Pa. — A few days before he won re-election by 22 points, Gov. Josh Shapiro was barely mentioning his Republican opponent anymore. He’d share his stages with local Democratic candidates, ask for a Democratic majority in the state Senate, and explain what it could do.
“我要去见宾夕法尼亚的好人们，告诉他们：我想提高你们的最低工资，”夏皮罗对Semafor表示。“我想设立一个大型住房和关键基础设施基金。这些就是他们能指望我们做到的事，我将信守承诺。”周二民主党的大胜使该党完全控制了多个摇摆州——不仅是夏皮罗的宾夕法尼亚州，还有威斯康星州、亚利桑那州、密歇根州、内华达州和明尼苏达州。民主党赢得了足以通过进步法案的立法“三权合一”局面，这些法案在共和党控制下积灰蒙尘、束之高阁。
“I’m going to the good people of Pennsylvania, saying: I want to raise your minimum wage,” Shapiro told Semafor. “I want to have a big housing and critical infrastructure fund. That’s the stuff they can expect to see from us, and I’m going to stay true to that.”Tuesday’s Democratic landslides gave the party full control of multiple swing states — not just Shapiro’s Pennsylvania, but Wisconsin, Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, and Minnesota. Democrats won legislative trifectas big enough to pass progressive bills that had gathered dust and lint under Republican control.
然而，摇摆州州长们计划专注于赢得选民青睐的热门经济提案——降低生活成本、税收和医疗费用——而不是在数十亿美元共和党广告中被妖魔化的左翼议程项目。
Instead, swing-state governors plan to focus on popular economic proposals that won over voters –– lowering living costs, taxes, and healthcare — and not the left-wing agenda items demonized in billions of dollars in GOP ads.
在取得数十年来最大胜利后，民主党州级领导人正围绕温和路线团结一致，而非在特朗普首个任期和乔·拜登总统任期内塑造该党的进步派政治。
After their biggest wins in decades, Democratic state leaders are coalescing around moderation, rather than the progressive politics that shaped the party in Trump’s first term and during Joe Biden’s presidency.
“我致力于推动本州向前发展，”明尼苏达州民主党参议员艾米·克洛布查在作为当选州长的首次新闻发布会上对记者说。“不是向左，不是向右，而是向前。”在威斯康星州，民主党赢得了自2008年以来的首个执政“三权合一”局面，当选州长大卫·克劳利竞选时主张扩大医疗补助，而在卸任州长托尼·埃弗斯执政的八年里，麦迪逊的共和党人拒绝这样做。
“I’m committed to moving our state forward,” Sen. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn., told reporters at her first press conference as governor-elect. “Not to the left, not to the right, but forward.”In Wisconsin, where Democrats won their first governing trifecta since 2008, Gov.-elect David Crowley ran on expanding Medicaid, which Republicans in Madison refused to do for eight years under retiring Gov. Tony Evers.
“我们将扩大优质负担得起的医疗保健服务，为家庭、儿童、老年人和残疾人提供真正的选择，”克劳利在击败共和党众议员汤姆·蒂法尼后表示。
“We’re going to expand access to quality affordable healthcare that offers real options for families, our children, our seniors, and people with disabilities,” Crowley said after beating GOP Rep. Tom Tiffany.
医疗补助扩张也是佐治亚州和得克萨斯州民主党获胜者关注的重中之重，民主党在这两州赢得了州长职位并控制了州议会下院。在华盛顿特区，民主党计划明年争取恢复共和党在2025年削减或限制的医疗补助资金；在各州，民主党有信心认为，因选举失利而受挫的共和党可能愿意扩大医疗保障覆盖面。
Medicaid expansion was also top of mind for Democratic winners in Georgia and Texas, where the party elected governors and won control of the lower house of their state legislatures. In DC, Democrats plan to fight next year to restore Medicaid funding that was cut or restricted by Republicans in 2025; in states, Democrats are confident that Republicans, chastened by their losses, might be willing to expand health care coverage.
“我真心认为这是一个我们可以争取到两党支持的议题，”佐治亚州当选州长基莎·兰斯·博特姆斯周三表示。不在议程上的：聚焦犯罪和社会问题的进步派法案。
“I truly believe that this is an issue we can get bipartisan support with,” Georgia Gov.-elect Keisha Lance Bottoms said on Wednesday. Not on the agenda: progressive bills focused on crime and social issues.
在纽约州，特朗普总统任内通过的现金保释金改革，成为共和党在2022年和2024年表现超预期后的攻击靶子，他们指责民主党导致犯罪率暂时上升。
In New York state, the passage of cash bail reform during Trump’s presidency became a target for Republicans who over-performed in 2022 and 2024, blaming Democrats for a temporary rise in crime.
在明尼苏达州，州长蒂姆·沃尔兹2022年的大胜帮助民主党通过了一堆此前被共和党阻挠的法案。这让他在左倾民主党中意外成为明星——也给了共和党多个2024年的攻击点，例如他们嘲讽“卫生棉条蒂姆”在公立学校男生洗手间提供卫生用品。
In Minnesota, Gov. Tim Walz’s 2022 sweep helped Democrats pass a pile of bills that were halted by Republicans. That made him a surprising star among left-leaning Democrats — and gave Republicans a number of attack points against his party in 2024, such as when they mocked “Tampon Tim” for making sanitary products available in boys’ restrooms in public schools.
民主党现在表态更加谨慎，党内在华盛顿也为他们加油。周四，在美国进步中心举办的选后会议上，参议院民主党领袖查克·舒默表示，那些击败了看似不可战胜的共和党人的人，需要空间按自己的方式投票和施政。他说，这有助于整个党。
Democrats are talking more cautiously now, and the party is rooting them on from DC. At a Thursday post-election conference organized by the Center for American Progress, Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer said that the people who’d beaten invincible-looking Republicans needed space to vote and govern their way. That, he said, could help the whole party.
“与其让福克斯新闻定义什么是民主党人，不如让这些州的民主党人自己定义什么是民主党人，”舒默说。
“Instead of letting Fox News define what a Democrat is, our Democrats in these states will define what a Democrat is,” said Schumer.
甚至一些过去曾背书更进步政策的民主党人，也在敦促党优先关注经济需求，并说服今年脱离共和党的选民，相信民主党值得获得长期授权。
Even some Democrats who had endorsed more progressive policies in the past were urging the party to focus on economic needs first, and convince the voters who broke from the GOP this year that the party deserved a long-term mandate.
在一份与进步派捐赠者团体“民主联盟”支持者分享的备忘录中，该团体敦促掌握三权的民主党人“推动结构性改革，使每个人更容易参与我们的民主，并改善工薪家庭的生活——为全国范围内可能实现的目标树立典范”。
In a memo shared with supporters of the Democracy Alliance, a progressive donor collective, the group urged Democrats with trifectas to “pass structural reforms that make it easier for everyone to participate in our democracy, and to improve the lives of working families — setting a model for what’s possible nationwide.”
该团体表示，民主党若“把这个选举周期中的任何人口结构变化视为理所当然”，那将是一个错误。戴维的观点：过去两年民主党缓慢演变的叙事主线，就是旧的“崛起的美国选民”理论走向终结。在2018年获胜后，许多有影响力的民主党人及其捐赠者曾认为，作为对唐纳德·特朗普的反应，一个新的、更进步的多数派正在形成。2020年胜利比他们预期的优势更小，这种信心随之减弱，并在2024年被彻底粉碎。
It would be a mistake, it said, for the party to “take any of this cycle’s demographic swings for granted.”David’s view The slow-moving Democratic story of the last two years has been the end of the old “rising American electorate” theory. After their 2018 wins, many influential Democrats and their donors suggested that a new, more progressive majority was forming as a reaction to Donald Trump. That confidence decreased after their 2020 victory, which was narrower than they expected, and it was shredded in 2024.
这一次，民主党人普遍认为，“经济民粹主义”在所有地方都奏效了，选民给他们机会是因为物价太高，而且他们通过告诉选民自己不会推动某些文化议题，已经化解了这些议题的威力。这一点明年将受到检验，但目前这就是他们的计划。
This time, Democrats generally agree that “economic populism” won everywhere, that voters gave them a chance because prices were too high, and that they had defused the power of some cultural issues by telling voters they would not act on them. That is going to be tested next year, but it’s the plan right now.
分歧空间：LGBTQ+倡导组织“人权运动”主席凯利·罗宾逊对Semafor表示，“我们首先要要求（民主党人）做到的是，展示他们如何让所有美国人，包括LGBTQ+群体，生活更负担得起。”她说，如果民主党人认为他们可以通过经济法案，却不通过《平等法案》——该法案将把基于性取向和性别认同的民权保护写入法律——那他们就错了。
Room for Disagreement Kelley Robinson, the president of the LGBTQ+ advocacy group the Human Rights Campaign, told Semafor that the “first thing that we’re going to ask [Democrats] to deliver on is showing how they can make life more affordable for all Americans, including the LGBTQ+ community.”If Democrats believed that they could pass economic bills and not pass the Equality Act, which would enshrine civil rights protections based on sexual orientation and gender identity, they were mistaken, she said.
罗宾逊说：“我只想提醒大家，为LGBTQ+群体发声是一个关乎生活负担能力的问题。你看，如果我因为性取向或性别认同而在工作中被解雇，那就是一个经济问题。如果我因为性取向或性别认同而不被允许在某些商店购物，那就是一个经济问题。如果我的孩子因为是LGBTQ+父母的孩子而无法上某所学校，请相信，那就是一个会掏我钱包的经济问题。”
“I would just remind folks that advocating for the LGBTQ+ community is an affordability issue,” said Robinson.
值得关注的是，托里·范·奥特为Axios报道了克洛布彻，以及她的民主党同僚如何为他们新的“三连胜”局面（同时掌控白宫、参议院和众议院）铺路。
“Look, if I can get fired at work because of my sexual orientation or gender identity, that is an economic issue. If I’m not allowed to shop in certain stores because of my sexual orientation or gender identity, that is an economic issue. If my kids cannot go to a school because they are the children of LGBTQ+ parents, please believe that is an economic issue that’s going to be hitting my pocketbook.”
参议院民主党领袖艾琳·墨菲说：“我们并没有一份人们想要通过的、积压已久的议案清单。”墨菲曾在2018年以左翼立场与沃尔兹竞争州长一职。
Notable For Axios, Torey Van Oot covered Klobuchar and how her fellow Democrats were setting the table for their new trifecta. “We don’t have a list of pent-up things that people want to pass,” said Senate Democratic Leader Erin Murphy, who in 2018 ran against Walz for governor from the left.