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沙皮罗连任宾夕法尼亚州州长Shapiro wins reelection as Pennsylvania governor

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宾夕法尼亚州州长乔什·沙皮罗(民主党)将赢得该州州长第二个任期,宾夕法尼亚州是美国最大的摇摆州之一,决策桌总部(Decision Desk HQ)预测称。

Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro (D) will win a second term as governor of one of the biggest battleground states in the U.S., Decision Desk HQ projects.

沙皮罗的胜利并不意外,他原本预计将轻松击败州财政官斯泰西·加里蒂(共和党)。东部标准时间晚上8点23分刚过,早期计票显示沙皮罗获得超过84%的选票。

Shapiro’s victory comes as no surprise, as he was expected to coast to victory over state Treasurer Stacy Garrity (R). Just after 8:23 p.m. EST, Shapiro had more than 84 percent of the vote in early returns.

民调一直显示,这位现任州长领先对手多达20个或更多百分点。与此同时,加里蒂在竞选期间筹款困难,远远落后于这位民主党州长,筹款和支出都被远远甩在后面。

Polls consistently showed the incumbent ahead by as much as 20 points or more. Meanwhile, Garrity struggled with a lack of fundraising throughout the campaign, being overwhelmingly outraised and outspent by the Democratic governor.

加里蒂大势已去的一个迹象是,共和党州长协会从未在该竞选中大规模投入资金,而是将资源投向其他被视为更具竞争力的选战。

In one sign of the writing being on the wall for Garrity, the Republican Governors Association never significantly invested in the race, focusing resources elsewhere in contests seen as more competitive.

宾夕法尼亚州当晚更大的问题是,沙皮罗能取得多大胜利。如果他能以大幅优势获胜,超过四年前15个百分点的胜选差距,民主党可能将迎来一个大夜。

The bigger question of the night in Pennsylvania is how big of a win Shapiro can attain. If he can win by a large margin, surpassing his 15-point victory from four years ago, Democrats may be in for a big night.

在联邦层面,民主党希望争取最多四个额外的众议院席位,瞄准共和党众议员斯科特·佩里、瑞安·麦肯齐、罗布·布雷斯纳汉和布莱恩·菲茨帕特里克。翻转其中多个席位,可能有助于民主党在新一届任期中扩大在众议院的多数席位优势。

On the federal level, Democrats are looking to pick up as many as four additional House seats, targeting GOP Reps. Scott Perry, Ryan Mackenzie, Rob Bresnahan and Brian Fitzpatrick. Flipping multiple of these seats could help Democrats pad their margin in a potential House majority in the new term.

在州一级,民主党希望时隔30多年首次实现“三控”。该党目前在州众议院仅持微弱多数,需要在州参议院再赢得几个席位才能实现翻转。控制两院并非易事,但多年来首次被视为至少有可能实现。

On the state level, Democrats are hoping to win a trifecta for the first time in more than 30 years. The party currently holds a narrow majority in the state House and needs to pick up a few seats in the state Senate to flip it. Winning control of both won’t be easy, but it’s viewed as at least conceivable for the first time in years.

沙皮罗的胜利还可能引起更多人对他作为2028年总统竞选潜在人选的关注。这位州长此前一直回避关于可能参选的问题,称他专注于帮助民主党在今年赢得选举。

Shapiro’s win also will likely draw more attention to him as he’s a speculated 2028 presidential contender. The governor has dodged questions about a potential bid previously, saying he’s focused on helping Democrats win this year.

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