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美伊战事重燃担忧再起,油价走高Renewed US-Iran war fears drive oil prices higher

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阿姆尔·阿尔菲基/路透社Amr Alfiky/Reuters

在持续数日的抛售之后,油价一度逼近每桶100美元,原因是市场对美国与伊朗重启战事的担忧再度升温。美国总统唐纳德·特朗普与卡塔尔埃米尔通了话,卡塔尔一直在寻求斡旋达成停火,但华盛顿与德黑兰之间也相互发表了激烈言论,伊朗称有三艘油轮在霍尔木兹海峡遭袭,凸显出这条水道航运面临的持续威胁。

Oil prices briefly neared $100 a barrel following a days-long selloff on revived concerns of a resumption of the US-Iran war. US President Donald Trump spoke with the emir of Qatar, which has sought to mediate a truce, but Washington and Tehran have also traded heated rhetoric and Iran said three tankers were hit in the Strait of Hormuz, underscoring the persistent threat to shipping through the waterway.

一些分析师预测,由于中期选举失利限制了特朗普的国内权力,他可能会把重点放在为自己的外交政策遗产增光添彩上。研究公司拉皮丹能源预测,战事重启的可能性为80%,而标普分析师今天上调了对2026年和2027年原油价格的假设。

Some analysts forecast that Trump, his domestic power circumscribed by midterm election losses, could focus on burnishing his foreign-policy legacy. Rapidan Energy, a research firm, predicted an 80% likelihood of fighting resuming, while S&P analysts today raised their 2026 and 2027 assumptions for crude prices.

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