随着民主党准备在下届国会掌控关键调查委员会的主导权，外部团体正敦促他们利用监督资源，将重点更多地放在生活成本和企业行为体上，而非唐纳德·特朗普总统身上。
As Democrats prepare to take back the gavels in key investigative committees in the next Congress, outside groups are urging them to use their oversight resources to focus more on the cost of living and corporate actors than on President Donald Trump.
据多个起草监督计划并向国会议员提供建议的团体和个人表示，这种做法可能更能引起选民共鸣。预计民主党将在1月掌权后，对与特朗普政府有业务往来的科技、加密货币和预测市场行业公司发起大量调查。
Such an approach could resonate more deeply with voters, according to several groups and individuals who have been drafting oversight plans and advising members of Congress. Democrats are expected to launch myriad investigations into companies that have done business with the Trump administration in the technology, cryptocurrency and prediction market industries when they assume power in January.
进步智库“Groundwork Collaborative”的政策、倡导与研究高级副总裁亚历克斯·哈奎兹周四对CNBC表示：“我们相当担心会重蹈2019年的覆辙，当时民主党带着巨大的新多数优势上台……却花了一年多时间在弹劾上。”
"We were pretty worried that we were going to repeat the same mistake of 2019, where Democrats came with a big new majority... and they spent a year-plus on impeachment," Alex Jacquez, a senior vice president of policy, advocacy and research at Groundwork Collaborative, a progressive think tank, told CNBC on Thursday.
他说：“那个议题从未真正引起民众共鸣。弹劾在参议院结束的那一天，唐纳德·特朗普的受欢迎程度比在众议院启动时还要高。”
"The issue never really resonated for people. Donald Trump was more popular the day that impeachment ended in the Senate than he was when it started in the House," he said.
多个倾向民主党的团体和策略师向CNBC表达了类似观点。他们敦促民主党——在两院均赢得可观多数席位且对特朗普政府怀有芥蒂——保持克制。哈奎兹等人表示，他们应避免花费过多时间试图将总统赶下台的错误，并将重心保持在可负担性问题上。
Several Democratic-aligned groups and strategists expressed similar sentiments to CNBC. They're urging Democrats — who won sizable majorities in both chambers and have an axe to grind against the Trump administration — to show restraint. They should avoid the mistake of spending too much time trying to remove the president from office and stay focused on affordability, Jacquez and others said.
“选民不希望我们仅仅为了政治报复而进行调查。这对我们作为一个民主国家来说是不健康的。这正中了特朗普自己所为的下怀，”中间偏左智库“第三条道路”的高级政治顾问卢卡斯·霍尔茨说，他表示该智库一直与民主党领袖就监督及其国会议程的其他方面保持密切联系。“希望民主党已经从特朗普那里吸取了教训，并将负责任地进行调查，方式要能关联回生活成本问题。”最近由Groundwork和民调公司Hart Research进行、并独家分享给CNBC的民调支持这一策略。
"Voters don't want us to investigate just for the sake of political vendettas. It's not healthy for us as a democracy. It plays into a lot of what Trump has done himself," said Lucas Holtz, a senior political advisor at Third Way, a center-left think tank, which he said has been in close contact with Democratic leaders on oversight and other aspects of their congressional agenda. "Democrats hopefully have learned lessons from Trump and will responsibly investigate in a way that connects back to cost of living." That strategy is supported by recent polling conducted by Groundwork and polling firm Hart Research that was shared exclusively with CNBC.
调查发现，三分之二的选民认为调查企业贪婪应属高优先级，高于认为国会应优先调查特朗普个人腐败问题的58%。
It found that two in three voters think investigations of corporate greed should be a high priority, more than the 58% who believe Congress should prioritize Trump's personal corruption.
该智库开展的焦点小组讨论中，哈奎兹说，选民认为首席执行官和企业领袖坑害了他们，针对这些人的愤怒情绪清晰可感。
And in focus groups conducted by the think tank, Jacquez said there was palpable anger aimed at CEOs and corporate leaders who voters feel have ripped them off.
“很多人对监督能否产生任何结果持悲观态度……所以他们想要赔偿。他们想让首席执行官坐牢。他们想让相关人员辞职。他们想要降价，”哈奎兹说。
"A lot of people were pessimistic … that oversight would result in anything, and so they want restitution. They want CEOs to go to jail. They want people to resign.
“特别是在焦点小组中，我对提到让首席执行官坐牢的呼声之高颇感震惊，”他补充道。是否有调查授权 民主党是否会听取这一建议仍有待观察。
They want prices to be lowered," Jacquez said. "In the focus groups in particular, I was pretty shocked at how much jail time came up for CEOs," he added. A mandate to investigate Whether Democrats heed that advice remains to be seen.
众参两院领袖正在推出其立法和调查议程的基础框架，几个关键委员会的预定主席已透露他们将调查的对象和内容。他们目前列出了一份庞大的打击名单，包括特朗普、其家人、内阁官员、大型银行和科技公司。
House and Senate leaders are rolling out the foundations of their legislative and investigative agendas, and some presumptive chairs of key committees have flicked at who and what they'll target. They've so far laid out a sprawling hit list, which includes Trump, his family, cabinet officials, big banks and tech companies.
其中，俄勒冈州参议员罗恩·怀登预计将领导参议院财政委员会，并已为雄心勃勃的监督议程奠定了基础。
For one, Sen. Ron Wyden of Oregon is expected to lead the Senate Finance Committee and has already set the table for an ambitious oversight agenda.
一位知情人士周四向CNBC表示，该委员会将调查摩根大通与已故性犯罪者杰弗里·爱泼斯坦的银行业务关系，尤其是摩根大通资产与财富管理部门首席执行官玛丽·卡拉汉·埃尔多斯所做的决定。由于针对这家美国最大银行的调查尚未公布，该人士要求匿名。
A person familiar with the matter told CNBC on Thursday that the committee would probe JPMorgan Chase's banking relationship with the late sex offender Jeffrey Epstein, and in particular decisions made by Mary Callahan Erdoes, the CEO of JPMorgan's asset and wealth management division. The person spoke on condition of anonymity because the probe of the nation's biggest bank has not been announced.
这一消息传出前一天，怀登在一份声明中表示，该委员会的首要任务“将是为我们争取可负担性，让他们承担责任”。怀登说，委员会将加大力度确保亿万富翁缴纳其应缴的税款，解决“企业对我国医疗保健体系的扼制”问题，并重新确立国会在贸易方面的权威。他还誓言要打击过去两年讨好特朗普的“特殊利益集团”。
The news comes a day after Wyden said in a statement that the panel's top priorities "will be affordability for us, accountability for them." Wyden said the committee would double down on its efforts to make sure billionaires pay their fair share in taxes, address the "corporate chokehold on our nation's health care system" and reassert congressional authority over trade. He also vowed to target the "special interests" that had cozied up to Trump in the past two years.
预计将出任众议院司法委员会主席的杰米·拉斯金（民主党-马里兰州）也将爱泼斯坦列为潜在调查对象，特别是司法部涉嫌掩盖其人口贩卖活动的行为。拉斯金还表示，委员会可能会调查特朗普的18亿美元“法律战基金”、总统试图赦免自己及其家人和企业的行为，以及特朗普及其内阁违反薪酬条款的行为——该条款禁止联邦官员接受外国政府的礼物。
Presumptive House Judiciary Committee Chair Jamie Raskin, D-Md., also listed Epstein as a potential source for probes, specifically the Department of Justice's alleged efforts to cover up his human trafficking operation. Raskin also said the committee could probe Trump's $1.8 billion "lawfare fund"; the president's attempt to pardon himself, his family and their businesses; and violations of the emoluments clause by Trump and his Cabinet, which prohibits federal officials from accepting gifts from foreign states.
另一位了解民主党监督计划的知情人士告诉CNBC，其策略是积极针对企业，同时扮演更传统的行政部门监督角色。该人士未获授权公开表态。该人士表示，任何与特朗普政府有关联的企业都可能成为目标。
Another person familiar with Democrats' oversight plans, who was not authorized to speak publicly, told CNBC the strategy is to aggressively target business while also taking a more traditional watchdog role of the executive branch. Any business that has affiliations with the Trump administration could come into the crosshairs, the person said.
民主党人认为，选举结果赋予了他们授权，可以对科技、预测市场和加密货币等行业展开激进调查——上述行业在过去两年里都曾向特朗普政府低头或从中获益，上述知情人士表示。确实，CNBC选民民调显示，选民对民主党反腐败和可负担性信息做出了强烈回应，该信息将科技领袖置于聚光灯下。该民调是多家新闻机构合作的成果，基于约10万次通过电话、网络和投票站现场进行的访谈，误差范围为0.6%。
Democrats believe they have a mandate after the election to conduct aggressive investigations into industries like tech, prediction markets and cryptocurrency — all of which have kowtowed to or benefited from the Trump administration over the past two years, the person said. Indeed, the CNBC Voter Poll showed voters did respond resoundingly to Democrats' anti-corruption and affordability message that put tech leaders in the spotlight. The poll was a collaborative effort across several news organizations that drew on about 100,000 interviews conducted by phone, online and in-person at polling locations with a margin of error of 0.6%.
科技公司公开拥抱特朗普政府，出席并捐款支持总统就职典礼，在某些情况下还向总统赠送礼物。白房子在人工智能问题上采取不干预态度，同时鼓励建设数据中心——这一大规模基建赌注如今岌岌可危，因为数据中心在选举中成了输家。
Tech companies have publicly embraced the Trump administration, attending and donating to the president's inauguration and, in some cases, giving gifts to the president. The White House has been hands-off with artificial intelligence while encouraging the buildout of data centers — a massive infrastructure gambit that is now in jeopardy after data centers proved a loser at the ballot box.
上述知情人士表示，加密货币和预测市场这两个相对新晋的参与者也将置于显微镜下。加密货币调查将由参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦（民主党-马萨诸塞州）牵头，她将出任参议院银行委员会新任主席，是向选举政治倾注数百万美元的该行业的知名批评者。
Cryptocurrency and prediction markets, two relatively new players, are also going to be under the microscope, the person said. The crypto investigations will be led by Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., the incoming chair of the Senate banking committee and a known critic of the industry that has dumped millions of dollars into electoral politics.
加密货币面临的另一个变数是当选参议员谢罗德·布朗（民主党-俄亥俄州）的回归。2024年，在加密货币斥资数百万欲使其落选后，布朗败给了参议员伯尼·莫雷诺（共和党-俄亥俄州）失去席位。周二，布朗当选俄亥俄州另一个参议院席位。
Another wrinkle for crypto is the return of Sen.-elect Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio, who lost his seat in 2024 to Sen. Bernie Moreno, R-Ohio, after crypto spent millions to have him defeated. Brown was elected Tuesday to Ohio's other Senate seat.
特朗普家族也与预测市场公司交织在一起，并通过加密货币项目赚取数十亿美元。
The Trump family has also been intertwined with prediction market companies while making billions on crypto ventures.
第二位知情人士表示，监督策略既将回应企业对政府拥有不当影响并从中获益的外界看法，也将威慑企业从事腐败行为或向政府俯首帖耳。
The second person said the oversight strategy will both address the perception that companies hold undue influence with the government and benefit from it and will deter the companies from pursuing corrupt behavior or rolling over for the administration.
一名知情人士表示，鉴于选举结果对民主党如此有利，预计各公司会竭尽全力配合。有利于他们的是，公司无法规避国会传票，且公司本身无法获得赦免。
Democrats expect companies will try to do everything in their power to cooperate, given that the election results were so heavily in their favor, the person said. Helping their cause is that companies cannot avoid congressional subpoenas, and a company itself cannot be pardoned.
该知情人士表示，监督本身也将成为达到目的的手段，公开那些可能对公司产生重大影响的信息。
The oversight itself will also serve as a means to an end, the person said, publicly surfacing information that could later materially impact a company.
前联邦贸易委员会主席利娜·汗周四在X平台发帖也表达了这一观点。
Former Federal Trade Commission Chair Lina Khan echoed that point in a post to X on Thursday.
“如果国会民主党的使命是带来真正的经济变革，为什么还要调查美国企业？因为调查是推动改革和立法的关键催化剂，”汗说。
"Why should Congressional Democrats investigate corporate America if their mandate is to deliver real economic change? Because investigations are a key catalyst for securing reform and legislation," Khan said.
她强调了特朗普第一个任期期间众议院司法委员会的工作，称该委员会对亚马逊、苹果、脸书和谷歌进行了“为期18个月的调查，获取了其商业行为如何破坏竞争、损害民众利益的关键证据，为诉讼和拟议立法奠定了基础”。
She highlighted the work of the House Judiciary Committee during Trump's first term, which she said conducted an "18-month investigation into Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Google, securing key evidence of how their business practices were undermining competition and harming people, setting the basis for both lawsuits and proposed legislation."