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就业报告强于预期 交易员加大美联储12月加息押注Traders raise bets of Fed rate hike after jobs report

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2026年10月28日,美国华盛顿特区,美国联邦储备委员会大楼的施工仍在继续。路透社/凯莉·库珀Construction continues on the US Federal Reserve building in Washington, DC, US, October 28, 2026. REUTERS/Kylie Cooper

政府周五发布的报告显示,上月就业增长强于预期,交易员因此加大了美联储将在12月实施第二次加息的押注。

Traders added to bets that the Federal Reserve will deliver a second interest-rate hike in December after a government report on Friday showed stronger-than-expected job gains last month.

与美联储政策利率挂钩的期货定价显示,报告发布后,市场对下月加息25个基点的概率定价约为80%。报告显示,失业率微降至4.1%,雇主新增就业岗位16.5万个,是经济学家预期值的两倍多。报告发布前,交易员对12月加息的概率定价约为75%。

Futures tied to the Fed's policy rate were pricing about an 80% probability of a quarter-point rate increase next month after the report, which showed the unemployment rate ticked down to 4.1% and employers added 165,000 jobs, more than twice what economists had anticipated. Before the report, traders were pricing about a 75% chance of a rate hike in December.

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