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文字记录:特朗普怪异插话中背刺赫格塞思,共和党人拔刀相向Transcript: Trump Shivs Hegseth in Weird Aside as GOP Knives Come Out

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2026年10月15日,国防部长皮特·赫格塞思在华盛顿特区。Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth in Washington, DC on October 15, 2026.

以下是《每日爆料》播客11月6日节目的经编辑文字记录。点此收听。

The following is a lightly edited transcript of the November 6 episode of the Daily Blast podcast. Listen to it here.

格雷格·桑杰特:这里是《新共和》杂志出品、DSR网络呈现的《每日爆料》。我是主持人格雷格·桑杰特。

Greg Sargent: This is The Daily Blast from The New Republic, produced and presented by the DSR Network. I’m your host, Greg Sargent.

唐纳德·特朗普对伊朗的战争在本周共和党惨败的选举中扮演了重要角色,结果国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯陷入严重麻烦。特朗普刚为他辩护,但随后在一番奇怪的旁白中似乎暗示他很脆弱。与此同时,共和党人和特朗普盟友真的在磨刀霍霍对付赫格塞斯,将其赶下台的行动似乎动真格的。他甚至在下周面临弹劾表决。

Donald Trump’s war on Iran played a major role in the GOP’s massive electoral drubbing this week, and as a result, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is in serious trouble. Donald Trump just defended him, but then in a strange aside seemed to suggest he’s vulnerable. Meanwhile, Republicans and Trump allies really have their knives out for Hegseth, and the campaign to remove him appears serious. He even faces an impeachment vote next week.

但我们想深入探讨民主党控制的国会真能对赫格塞斯的灾难性任期做些什么。所以我们连线了华盛顿州联邦众议员亚当·史密斯,他是众议院军事委员会即将上任的主席。议员先生,非常感谢您来参加节目。亚当·史密斯:嗯,谢谢邀请,格雷格。很高兴来到这里。

But we want to get into what the Democratic Congress can really do about Hegseth’s disastrous reign. So we’re talking to Congressman Adam Smith of Washington State, the incoming chair of the House Armed Services Committee. Congressman, thanks so much for coming on. Adam Smith: Well, thanks for having me, Greg. It’s always a pleasure.

桑杰特:关于赫格塞斯岌岌可危的处境,美国广播公司新闻记者乔纳森·卡尔周四报道称,他与总统通话,特朗普说:“我完全打算留用他。”

Sargent: So, on Hegseth’s tenuous position, ABC News’ Jonathan Karl spoke to the president and reported Thursday that Trump said, “I have every intention to keep him.”

但特朗普说,对赫格塞斯不满的人没有联系他,他说:“我接到过关于他的电话。我不明白为什么。”特朗普甚至承认,在明年民主党控制参议院之前,确认一位新国防部长会更容易。

But Trump said people unhappy with Hegseth aren’t contacting him, saying, “I get these calls about him. I don’t understand why.”And Trump even admitted it would be easier to confirm a new defense secretary before Dems control the Senate next year.

议员先生,这就是特朗普背叛人的方式,用这种言论。您打交道五角大楼很长时间了。您怎么解读?

Congressman, this is how Trump turns on people, with talk like this. You’ve been around the Pentagon a long time. How do you read it?

史密斯:我认为特朗普撤换赫格塞斯的可能性是五五开,理由正如您所述。还因为对伊朗的战争彻底失败了。特朗普需要一个替罪羊。我们都知道特朗普不会为这事承担个人责任。

Smith: I think it’s 50-50 that Trump does get rid of Hegseth for the reasons you stated. And also because the Iran war has been a complete disaster. Trump needs a fall guy. And we all know Trump’s not going to take personal responsibility for it.

所以海格塞斯会是一个方便的替罪羊,而且也是罪有应得。海格塞斯曾为这场冲突以及许多导致这场冲突的灾难性决策充当啦啦队长,他深陷其中。所以我认为这是一种截然可能的情况。

So Hegseth would be convenient, and deservedly so. Hegseth was a cheerleader for this and a lot of the disastrous decisions that have been made going into it, Hegseth has been right in the middle of. So I think that’s a distinct possibility.

另一个需要权衡的因素是,周三马西众议员提出的动议已具备表决条件。据各方估计,该动议将会通过,他将被弹劾。随后案件将移交参议院。届时参议院依法必须将所有时间用于处理此事,直到审结为止。

The other thing to weigh here is that on Wednesday the motion by Congressman Massie is ripe for a vote. And by every estimation, it will pass and he will be impeached. And off that goes to the Senate. Then the Senate is legally required to spend all of their time dealing with that until it’s done with.

萨金特:那将是一场好戏。而《MS NOW》报道称,特朗普一直在询问盟友对海格塞斯的看法,其中一些人正在推动寻找替代者。一位官员表示:“有很多人想要他的脑袋,他们嗅到了水中的血腥味。”在我看来这事儿是真的,众议员。您从五角大楼内部听到了什么风声?那里有人感到不安吗?

Sargent: That’s going to be quite a scene. And MS NOW reports that Trump has been asking allies what they think about Hegseth, and some of them are pushing for a replacement. One official says, “There’s a lot of people who want his scalp, and they smell blood in the water.”This looks real to me, Congressman. What are you hearing from inside the Pentagon? Is there consternation?

史密斯:是的,我们从五角大楼内部听到的消息不多。但我可以告诉你,从更广泛的军队内部来看,是的。有人对皮特·海格塞斯管理该部门的方式感到担忧。首先,这归结为该部门的政治化。

Smith: Yeah, well, we don’t hear a lot from inside the Pentagon. I can tell you, from inside the military more broadly, yes. There are people who have been concerned with the way Pete Hegseth has been running the department. And it comes down to politicization of it, first of all.

其次,一切变得如此以个人为中心。看,军队内部存在着职业精神。这并不是说军队里没有持有强烈政治观点的人,无论哪一方。当然有。但他们一直将这些观点搁置一旁,以工作、任务和团队合作为重。

And second of all, it’s become so much about personality. Look, there is a professionalism within the military. And that’s not that there aren’t people who serve in the military who don’t have strong political views one way or the other. There certainly are. But they’ve always put those aside in favor of the job, the mission, and working together.

皮特·海格塞斯没有这么做。我是说,他搞过那两场荒唐的座谈会,把所有将级军官召集在一起搞一种加油鼓劲的集会,他在其中似乎痴迷于外表形象,而非实际成果。

Pete Hegseth has not done that. I mean, he’s had those two, you know, ridiculous forums where he brought every flag officer together to give a pep rally of sorts, in which he seems to be obsessed with physical appearance more than with actual results.

我们听说发生了解职事件,在许多情况下,当事人根本不知道为什么会发生。赫格塞斯是历史上第一位直接插手中层晋升决定的国防部长,你知道的,他亲自介入划掉名字。

We’ve had the firings that, from what we’ve heard, in many instances people have no idea why they happened. Hegseth is the first secretary of defense ever to directly involve himself in mid-level promotion decisions, you know, to go in and cross off names.

我认为,所有这些对五角大楼内部的士气产生了非常负面的影响。看,这并不是说军队里没有一些人,我确信有,喜欢赫格塞斯,喜欢他所做的事。但据我们所听到的,或者说我们被告知的,五角大楼内部对他的领导不满情绪很高。萨金特:我确信是这样。肯定有很多人希望他走人。

So all of that, I think, has had a very negative effect on morale within the Pentagon. And look, none of this is to say that there aren’t some people, I’m sure, in the military who love Hegseth and love what he does. But dissatisfaction within the Pentagon about his leadership is high, from what we have heard, or what we’ve been told. Sargent: I’m sure it is. I’m sure there would be a lot of people who’d like to see him go.

伊朗战争迄今已耗资470亿美元。特朗普仍在谈论大规模袭击。你是否被简报过袭击内容?墨菲参议员称其为“疯狂”。他说得对吗?

The Iran war has cost $47 billion so far. Trump is still talking about a major attack. Have you been briefed on what the attack is? Senator Murphy says it’s “insane.”Is he right?

史密斯:是的,我是说,看,从一开始他们就没有持续地向我们简报此事。他们在过去几天、过去几周一直在实施袭击。

Smith: Yeah, I mean, look, they haven’t briefed us consistently on this from the very start. They have been doing attacks in the last few days, last few weeks.

外界不太了解的是,几个月来,我们一直在进行一项大规模军事行动,以确保霍尔木兹海峡的安全通行。现在,是的,我们已恢复到战前通行量的约80%。但保护这些通过的船只、轰炸伊朗试图建造的潜在导弹发射装置和导弹,花费了我们巨额资金。所以这变得非常、非常昂贵。

What isn’t widely understood is, for months now, we have been engaged in a major military operation to secure safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Now, yeah, we’re up close to, like, 80 percent of traffic of what was there before the war. But it’s costing us an enormous amount of money to protect those ships coming through, and to bomb potential missile launchers and missiles that Iran’s trying to build. So it’s become very, very expensive.

萨金特:能多谈谈这方面的情况吗?因为这似乎是民主党未来的一个脆弱压力点。具体涉及多少资金?仅护送这些船只驶出海峡就花了多少钱?

Sargent: Can you talk a little bit more about that? Because it seems like there’s a vulnerable pressure point here for Democrats going forward. How much are we talking about? How much is being spent just to escort these ships out of the strait?

史密斯:我不太清楚具体数字,因为他们拒绝报告。这就是我们所说的缺乏透明度,也是赫格塞斯不向我们提供信息的表现。但你可以看到资金和数字在不断累积,这绝对对五角大楼支付其他一切事务的方式产生了巨大影响。

Smith: I don’t know exactly, because they won’t report it. And that’s the lack of transparency we’re talking about, and the lack of information that Hegseth just isn’t providing to us. But you see the dollars and the figures adding up, and it is definitely having a huge impact on how the Pentagon pays for everything else.

还有,这究竟何时才能结束?伊朗似乎没有很快放弃的意思。那么我们能维持多久?这还没算上我们在中东遭受损毁和摧毁的所有基地,顺便说一句,那些不在470亿美元的计算之内。萨金特:您认为这里存在被掩盖的巨额成本吗?

And also, where does it end? Iran does not appear to be interested in giving up anytime soon. So how long can we keep this up? And this isn’t even talking about all the bases that we’ve had damaged and destroyed in the Middle East, which are not calculated in that $47 billion, by the way. Sargent: Do you think that there’s a massive cost here that’s being buried?

史密斯:是的,毫无疑问。被摧毁的装备和基地没有计入那笔成本。那只是我们花掉的钱。萨金特:民主党人将不得不获取那些信息,对吧?

Smith: Yeah, no question. I mean, the equipment that has been destroyed and the bases that have been destroyed have not been calculated into that cost. That’s just what we’ve spent. Sargent: Democrats are going to have to get that information, right?

史密斯:是的,这将是我们的一大推动重点,争取透明度,争取获得信息提供。

Smith: Yeah, that’s going to be one of our big pushes, is to get some transparency and get some information provided.

萨金特:那么民主党将如何制止这场战争?是否会到一个需要拨款、从而可以在那切断资金的时刻?

Sargent: So how are Democrats going to stop this war? Is there a coming point at which they’ll need money and can be defunded there?

史密斯:没有简单的办法,因为特朗普不断挪用他能挪用的每一个账户,以维持资金并推进战争。我们将做的是,我们将压倒性投票结束战争。我们将投票切断所有用于战争的资金。但请记住,他仍将是总统。他仍将拥有否决权。

Smith: There’s no easy way to do it, because Trump keeps robbing every account he can rob to keep funding it and keep moving it forward. What we will do is we will vote resoundingly to end the war. We will vote to cut off all funds that go to the war. But remember, he will still be president. He will still have veto power.

我认为,如果我们能说服一些共和党人,战争就有可能停止。我们有可能凑齐三分之二多数来做这件事。也许特朗普最终会醒悟,开始在乎民众怎么想,而不是凭一时冲动行事。我对此不抱太大希望。

I think the war can be stopped if we can persuade a number of Republicans. We could conceivably get a two-thirds majority to do this. And maybe Trump finally wakes up and starts caring about what people think instead of just doing things on a whim. I wouldn’t hold my breath on that one.

但这还只是一方面,我们必须结束这场战争,而要结束战争,我们必须承认一些我们不愿承认的事实。我们输了。等这场战争结束时,伊朗的处境将比开战时更强,而我们的处境将更弱。这一点现在已经注定无法改变。

But the other part of this is, we have to end the war, but to end the war, we have to admit something that we’re not going to want to admit. We lost. Iran will be in a stronger position when this war is over than they were when it started. And we will be in a weaker position. And that’s just baked into the cake at this point.

这无法挽回。从历史上看,我们在越南待得太久,在阿富汗待得太久。部分原因在于,我们不愿承认失败。

There’s no fixing that. And historically, we stayed in Vietnam too long, we stayed in Afghanistan too long. And part of the reason was, well, we don’t want to admit that we lost.

萨金特:特朗普当然不愿承认。所以我要澄清一下,你认为明年两院的民主党人将通过一项切断资金的措施,即禁止为对伊朗战争提供资金?

Sargent: Trump certainly doesn’t. So just for clarification, you think that Democrats in both houses next year will pass a measure which cuts off funding, in the sense that it forbids funding for the Iran war?

史密斯:绝对会。我认为这将是我们要做的第一件事之一,也是我们应该做的最有力的事之一。

Smith: Absolutely. I think it’ll be one of the first things we do, and strongest things that we should do.

萨金特:然后我认为可以争取一些共和党人的支持,推翻总统必然会行使的否决权。但如果我理解正确,这将是一项禁止将任何资金用于这场战争的法案。

Sargent: And then I think there is a case to be made for then trying to get some Republican support to override the inevitable veto. But this will be a bill, if I understand you correctly, which forbids the use of any funding for this war.

史密斯:是的,那是计划。显然,法律措辞、漏洞以及特朗普可能钻的空子,这些都将继续构成挑战。但是的,这场战争是一场灾难,必须结束。

Smith: Yeah. That would be the plan. And obviously, look, the legal language and the loopholes and the ways that Trump can sort of jump out of it, those will all continue to be challenges. But yeah, the war has been a disaster. It needs to end.

但许多损害已经造成。战争结束并不意味着一切恢复正常。我们真正需要大力推动的是外交。目前,土耳其、卡塔尔、巴基斯坦、沙特阿拉伯和伊朗正在对话。因为这对我们不利,对国家大部分地区不利,但对不得不忍受这场持续蔓延战争的中东人民来说,简直是灾难性的。

But a lot of the damage has been done. It’s not like we end the war and everything goes back to normal. Another thing that we need to really push is diplomacy. I mean, right now, Turkey, Qatar, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Iran are talking. Because this, it’s horrible for us. It’s horrible for much of the country. But it’s really horrible for the people in the Middle East who are having to endure this constant and spreading war.

萨金特:我想你可以设想这样一种情形:也许这项法案在两院都获得通过。你甚至可能争取到几名共和党人,我不知道,在众议院也许能争取到,尽管目前共和党这边剩下的全都是真正的铁杆分子。

Sargent: I think there’s a scenario you can envision that looks a little something like this. Maybe you pass this thing out of both houses. You even get a couple of Republicans, I don’t know, in the House, maybe, although all that’s left is the really hardcore people at this point on the Republican side.

但法案通过后会切断资金,特朗普会行使否决权。也许你们可以去找共和党人说,你们为什么不去找总统,告诉他除非他悄悄退出,或者给他留条后路、给他个台阶下,否则你们将投票支持这项法案,对吧?有这种情形吗?毕竟你是这方面的老手。

But you pass it and it cuts off funding, Trump vetoes. Maybe you go to Republicans and say, why don’t you guys go to the president and tell him that you’re going to vote for this thing unless he exits it quietly, or give him a way out, give him an off-ramp, right? Is there a scenario like that? I mean, you’re a veteran of this stuff.

史密斯:这应该正在发生才对。应该有某种谈判正在进行。这对我们要脱身可不容易。

Smith: That should be happening right now. There should be some kind of a negotiation happening. This is not going to be easy for us to get out of.

萨金特:所以我想问你几件需要调查的事。五角大楼还没有公布关于美军轰炸伊朗女子学校的调查,那次袭击导致几十名儿童丧生。明年军事委员会将采取什么行动来获取该调查报告?

Sargent: So I want to ask you about a few things that need to be investigated. The Pentagon hasn’t released the investigation into the U.S. bombing of the girls’ school in Iran, which killed dozens and dozens of kids. What’s the Armed Services Committee going to do next year to get that?

史密斯:是的,我们将继续施压要求他们公布。我们一直在以两党合作的方式这么做,但迄今他们拒绝公布,这是个巨大的挑战。萨金特:发传票?

Smith: Yeah, we will continue to put pressure on them to release it. We’ve been doing that in a bipartisan way, and thus far they have rejected doing that, which is a huge challenge. Sargent: Subpoenas?

史密斯:是的,有可能。但是的,我们可以发传票,可以以藐视国会罪追究他们的责任。报告应该公布。我是说,已经九个月了。

Smith: Yeah, potentially. But yeah, we can subpoena them, we can hold them in contempt. The report should be released. I mean, it’s been nine months now.

萨金特:国会中呼吁公布报告的共和党人有充分理由支持这一点:好吧,你们想要报告,你们说想要报告。那么,加入我们,支持对该报告发出传票,对吧?

Sargent: There’s a strong case to be made to Republicans in Congress who have called for it: Well, OK, you want the report, you say you want the report. Well, join us in supporting a subpoena of it, right?

史密斯:是的,我们一定会尝试这么做。看,我们所有人将要面对的一个非常棘手的问题是,我们确实夺回了国会,但特朗普依然是总统。

Smith: Yeah, we will try that, to be sure. Look, one of the things that’s going to be really hard for all of us to deal with is, we’ve taken back Congress, certainly, but Trump is still president.

行政部门依然掌握着巨大的权力。特朗普无视国会,无视法院。这将是一场非常、非常艰难的斗争,我们必须持续施压,试图争取我们想要的一些改变。

The executive still has a lot of power. Trump ignores Congress. Trump ignores the courts. This is going to be a very, very difficult fight, and we’re going to have to consistently push to try to get some of the changes that we want.

萨金特:我认为这就是“切断资金”发挥作用的地方。我感觉民主党人将不得不比以往更习惯于动用“切断资金”这一杠杆。因为这是一位无视法律的总统。如果曾经有过动用切断资金的压力来迫使其守法的正当理由,那就是现在。

Sargent: Well, that’s where defunding comes in, I think. My sense is that Democrats are going to have to get a little more comfortable than they are usually with using the defunding lever. Because this is a lawless president. If there’s ever a case for using that defunding pressure to force lawful behavior, this is it.

史密斯:当然,但我们确实必须小心。你是说切断五角大楼的资金?

Smith: Sure, but we do have to be careful. You’re talking about defunding the Pentagon?

萨金特:不,更有针对性。更有针对性的措施。比如,我认为起步可以是两院都切断对这场战争的所有拨款,然后再逐步升级。史密斯:是的,不,我认为这大概是个不错的切入点。

Sargent: No, more targeted. More targeted things. Like, I think the start would be for both houses to cut off all funding for the war, and then maybe start to slightly escalate. Smith: Yeah, no, I think that’s probably a good place to start.

萨金特:美国继续在加勒比海实施打击船只的行动,导致人员死亡。最近一次是在10月4日。迄今已有200多人丧生。几乎没有证据被公布,证明这些人甚至是贩毒者。

Sargent: Well, the U.S. continues to kill people in boat strikes in the Caribbean. The last one was on October 4. Well over 200 people have been killed at this point. Little to no evidence is being released that these are even drug smugglers.

你批评过这件事,其他民主党人也批评过。现在你们将掌握权力。会不会对此进行深入严肃的调查,彻底弄清这场轰炸行动是如何产生的?是谁推动的,谁授权的,谁反对过,证据是什么,等等?史密斯:是的,我们将尝试这么做。绝对会。萨金特:能谈谈这具体是什么样子吗?你们试图确立什么?

You’ve criticized this, other Dems have criticized this. Now you’re going to have power. Is there going to be a deep and serious investigation here that gets to the bottom of how this bombing campaign came into existence? Who pushed it, who authorized it, who resisted, what’s the evidence, so forth? Smith: Yes, we are going to attempt to do that. Absolutely. Sargent: Can you talk a little bit about what that looks like? What do you try to establish in this?

史密斯:嗯,我是说,我认为我们想确立其正当性。我们将想传唤正如你描述的那些做出决定的人,获取一些解释。但关键在于,这将走向何方?它试图达成什么?未来将会发生什么?

Smith: Well, I mean, I think we want to establish the justification for it. And we’re going to want to bring in people who have made decisions around it, just like you described, and get some explanation. But crucially, Where is it going? What’s it trying to accomplish? What’s going to happen here going forward into the future?

萨金特:没错。那么,切断这些打击行动的资金是一个选项吗?我是说,假设他们回来提出——史密斯:是的。萨金特:好的,要采取这一步需要发生什么?

Sargent: Right. And is defunding these strikes an option? I mean, let’s say they come back with—Smith: Yes. Sargent: OK, what would have to happen for that step to be taken?

史密斯:我认为,这和伊朗战争的情况是一样的。我们必须通过立法,不授权任何资金用于拉丁美洲的船只打击行动。然后我们将不得不面对总统的否决。

Smith: The same thing, I think, as on the war in Iran. We have to pass, no fund is authorized for boat strikes in Latin America. And then we’d have to face the president’s veto.

而且,我是说,在我们深入探讨所有这些之前,我认为我们这边将会做出合理的努力,说:嘿,我们能不能用简单的办法解决?你们能不能改变这些显然不得人心的政策?能不能停止战争,停止船只打击,转向另一个方向?同时做好准备,动用你刚才描述的那些更强有力的手段。

And I mean, look, before we get into all of that, I think there is going to be a legitimate effort on our part to say, hey, can we do this the easy way? Can you change these policies that are manifestly unpopular? Can you stop the war, stop the boat strikes, and move in a different direction? While at the same time being prepared to use those stronger levers that you described.

萨金特:我确实想多问你一点关于这些更强有力手段的事。政府将无视你们的传票。所以你们将传唤人员出庭讨论船只打击行动。你们将传唤人员公开或讨论关于女子学校遭轰炸的报告。

Sargent: I do want to ask you a little bit more about these stronger levers. The administration’s going to defy your subpoenas. So you’re going to subpoena people to appear and discuss the boat strikes. You’re going to subpoena people to release or discuss the report on the bombing of the girls’ school.

特朗普会告诉人们不要作证。这是我的推测,但似乎合理地预期会有激烈的阻挠。他们会把传票扔进垃圾桶。

Trump’s going to tell people not to testify. This is my speculation, but it seems reasonable to expect that there’s going to be intense obstruction. They’re going to throw subpoenas in the garbage.

我认为,在总体上,必须对动用切断资金这一手段更有把握一些。我想知道你是否认为民主党人必须达到那个程度。

There will have to be, in a general sense, a little more of a comfort level, I think, about using the defunding lever. I’m wondering if you could just kind of talk about whether you think Democrats have to get to that point a little bit.

史密斯:嗯,我们必须。正如我所说,我们需要国防资金,并通过立法规定,不得将任何资金用于这些特定目的。我们将不得不进行这场斗争。听着,未来两年国会和行政部门之间将是一场丑陋的斗争,毫无疑问。

Smith: Well, we do. I mean, as I said, we need defense money, and pass legislation that says, no funding shall go to these particular purposes. And we’ll have to have that fight. Look, it’s going to be an ugly fight between Congress and the executive branch for the next two years. There’s no question about that.

史密斯:听着,我真的不知道。我是说,如果我说我知道——任何说自己知道的人,那都是——我们正在进入未知领域。特朗普总统任期绝对是前所未有的。他在某种程度上完全不予理睬,这是其他任何总统都没有过的,甚至在他们遭遇选举惨败之后也是如此。

Sargent: How far do you think you’re going to get? Do you think you can get that report on the girls’ school released? Do you think you’re going to be able to stop the boat strikes? Will you stop the war? Smith: Look, I really don’t know. I mean, and if I said I knew—anyone who says they know, it’s just—we are headed into uncharted territory here. The Trump presidency is absolutely unprecedented.

我是说,你看克林顿,他在1994年中期选举失利后,调整了方向。你也看到布什在2006年失利后甚至也调整了方向,当然也看到奥巴马在我们2010年失利后调整了方向。特朗普会怎么做?这是前所未有的。所以我们得设法弄清楚他会怎么做。而且,你知道,这将是一个重大挑战。

He is completely unresponsive in a way that no other president has been, even after the shellacking that they took in the election. I mean, you saw Clinton when he lost in the midterms in ‘94, he pivoted. You saw Bush even pivot after losing in 2006, certainly saw Obama pivot after we lost in 2010. What’s Trump going to do? It’s unprecedented. So we’ve got to try to figure out what he’s going to do. And, you know, so it’s going to be a major challenge.

萨金特:我确实想知道,这里是否真的能成功通过削减经费来终止战争,还是说实际上不得不走到那一步。

Sargent: I do wonder whether the war can actually be defunded successfully here, or whether it’s going to actually have to come to that.

史密斯:是的。不,听着,我希望人们明白的一件事是,特朗普造成的破坏不容易解开。因为即使你稍微深究一下结束战争意味着什么,你知道,我们撤出,我们后撤,然后会发生什么?这就是为什么我认为外交因素、和平谈判是如此关键的一部分。但这将是一个挑战。

Smith: Yeah. No, look, the one thing I hope people understand is, the damage that Trump has done is not easy to unravel. Because even if you sort of dig down a little bit on what ending the war means, you know, we pull out, we pull back, what happens then? That’s why I think the diplomatic element, the peace negotiations, are such a crucial part of this. But it’s going to be a challenge.

萨金特:你认为如果真走到削减经费的斗争那一步,比如你尝试的一切都失败了,你投票切断战争经费,你认为领导层会支持吗,国会民主党领导层?萨金特:你有什么特别的保证吗,还只是推测?史密斯:我认为结束战争是我们在这次选举中的核心承诺之一。

Sargent: Do you think that if it actually comes to a defunding fight, like if everything you’ve tried has failed and you vote to cut off funding for the war, do you think the leadership will be supportive of that, the Democratic leadership in Congress? Sargent: Do you have, like, special assurance of that, or is it just speculation? Smith: I think ending the war is one of our central pledges in this election.

萨金特:是的,必须这么做。如果民主党在这方面推诿,那将是一场灾难,你不觉得吗?

Sargent: Yeah, it has to be done. It would be a catastrophe if Democrats punted on that, don’t you think?

史密斯:绝对是。是的。但同样,问题很复杂。你知道,特朗普把我们拖入了一场将会很棘手的冲突。

Smith: Absolutely. Yeah. But again, the problems are complicated. You know, Trump has dragged us into a conflict that’s going to be problematic.

萨金特:是的,看起来是这样。你前几天表态支持弹劾唐纳德·特朗普。想简单陈述一下你的理由吗?

Sargent: Yes, it looks that way. You came out for impeachment of Donald Trump the other day. You want to just make your case?

史密斯:是的,听着,我是说,他已经失控了。他不是一位正常的总统。他所做的一切都不正常。他极其危险。他无视了250多项不同的法院裁决。他无视国会。他的腐败程度超乎想象,让自己致富,把特赦权当彩票抽奖,还有那整套比特币把戏,还有他的家人。

Smith: Yeah, look, I mean, he’s out of control. He’s not a normal president. What he’s doing is not normal. He’s incredibly dangerous. He has defied over 250 different court rulings. He ignores Congress. He is corrupt beyond imagination, enriching himself, raffling off pardons, the whole Bitcoin stuff, his family.

所有这些都很糟糕。但根本问题是,只要他还是总统,我们就无法真正相信他不会做出更多极具破坏性的事情。所以这是最大的担忧。

So all of that is terrible. But the bottom line is, as long as he’s president, we can’t really trust that he’s not going to do even more incredibly damaging things. So that’s the big concern.

现在听着,我清楚地知道,我们众议院的许多新成员将来自不希望弹劾的选区。所以我们将不得不就什么对我们党团最有利进行这番对话。我将追随我们的领导层。我不会试图破坏他们的领导。

Now look, I’m mindful of the fact that a lot of our new members in the House are going to come from districts that don’t want impeachment. So we’re going to have to have this conversation about what’s best for our caucus. And I will follow our leadership. I’m not going to try to undermine them.

我认为我们需要努力实现某种凝聚力——“团结”这种说法有点言过其实——但我们在众议院将拥有大约260名成员。就去向何方达成某种凝聚力一致,是其中的关键部分。

I think we need to try to have a cohesive—unity is an overstated way of putting it—but we’re going to have right around 260 members in the House. Getting some sort of cohesive agreement on where to go is a key part of this.

萨金特:我不想处在你的位置上,众议员。让我只问你一点,谈到所有这些外围成员,这些来自特朗普以八、九、十个百分点优势获胜的选区的成员,你认为归根结底他们是否愿意支持结束战争所需的一切?

Sargent: I wouldn’t want to be in your shoes, Congressman. Let me just ask you, speaking about all these outer-tier members, these members from districts that Trump carried by eight, nine, 10 points, do you think at the end of the day they will be willing to support whatever it takes to end the war?

史密斯:我不知道。我认为他们自己也不知道。我是说,看,该怎么准确说呢?这次选举主要关乎几件不同的事。第一,特朗普有多糟糕。当然是他的政策,但也包括他的总体举止和态度。

Smith: I don’t know. I don’t think they know. I mean, look, how to put this exactly? This election was primarily about, well, a couple different things. One, how terrible Trump is. His policies, certainly, but also just his general demeanor and attitude.

我们在全国各地都有候选人,他们只是正直的人,他们说,受够了这种恶毒。你知道,让我们回到与邻里合作,设法弄清楚如何让事情运作得更好。

We had candidates all across the country who were just decent people, who said, enough of this nastiness. You know, let’s get back to working with our neighbors, trying to figure out how to make things work better.

还有特朗普的政策,关税、打击移民、与伊朗的战争,以及美国民众普遍感到美国的生活从根本上说并不公平。因此,你可以去竞选集会上说,我是农民,我是退伍军人,我是教师,我了解我们的社区,我站在你们这边,我会帮助你们,我会保护你们。但这在政策层面意味着什么?

And then there were Trump’s policies, the tariffs, the immigration crackdown, the war in Iran and huge feeling amongst the American people that life in America fundamentally isn’t fair. And so you could go out there on the stump and you could say, I’m a farmer, I’m a veteran, I’m a teacher, I understand our community, I’m with you, I’m going to help you, I’m going to help protect you. But what does that mean in terms of policy?

我们背负着39万亿美元的债务。是的,我们需要取消对医疗补助的削减。我们需要取消对《平价医疗法案》的削减,以及许多其他削减。这些怎么买单?人们是否支持为达到这一目标而必要的增税?考虑到已经挖下的这个大坑,我们如何完成这些事情?当然是特朗普挖的,但即使在特朗普之前,我们就已经让自己处于更弱势的地位,使整个局面更加困难。

We’re $39 trillion in debt. Yeah, we need to get rid of the Medicaid cuts. We need to get rid of the Affordable Care Act cuts, a lot of other cuts. How’s it going to be paid for? Are people in favor of the tax increases that are going to be necessary to get us there? How are we going to accomplish those things, given the hole that has been dug? Certainly by Trump, but even before Trump, we just put ourselves in a weaker position that made the whole thing more difficult.

萨金特:您认为有哪些追回选项应该行使,以尝试为恢复医疗补助等提供资金?

Sargent: Are there clawback options that you think should be exercised to try to fund the restoration of Medicaid and stuff?

史密斯:是的。我认为我们应该废除整个“一个宏伟美丽的法案”,这意味着我们应该提出增税方案。但我们必须,我认为,作为民主党人,论证增税并不总是坏事。好吗?如果我们无法论证这一点,那么我们在如何帮助人们的承诺上就会很难兑现。

Smith: Yeah. I think we should repeal the entire One Big Beautiful Bill, which means we should put taxes out there. But we have to, I believe, as Democrats, make the case that tax increases are not always bad. All right? If we can’t make that case, then we’re going to have a difficult time delivering on our promises in terms of how to help people.

现在,部分原因在于所有亿万富翁和千万富翁,所有本可用于我们需要的项目的资金都流向了他们。但这些事情将会很难办。就像我说的,我认为参选的人都是好人,但实际的立法解决方案将难得多。

Now, and part of that is all the billionaires and multimillionaires, all the money that has gone there instead of being available for the programs we need. But those things are going to be difficult. And like I said, I think the people who run for office, they’re great people and everything, but the actual legislative solutions are going to be a lot harder.

萨金特:这肯定将极具挑战性,也极其紧张。亚当·史密斯众议员,非常感谢您参加我们的节目。精彩的内容。我们非常感激。史密斯:谢谢,格雷格。谢谢给我这个机会。

Sargent: It certainly is going to be extremely challenging and extremely tense stuff. Congressman Adam Smith, thank you so much for coming on with us. Great stuff. We really appreciate it. Smith: Thanks, Greg. Thanks for the chance.

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