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彭博社

调查显示:受沙特产量回升推动,OPEC产量接近战前水平OPEC Output Neared Pre-War Levels on Saudi Rebound, Survey Shows

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沙特阿拉伯拉斯坦努拉一家炼油厂和石油码头的原油储罐。摄影:西蒙·道森/彭博社Crude oil storage tanks at an oil refinery and oil terminal in Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia. Photographer: Simon Dawson/Bloomberg

根据彭博社的一项调查,OPEC的原油产量上月回升至接近战前水平,沙特阿拉伯率先推动波斯湾地区供应进一步恢复。

OPEC’s crude production rose toward pre-war levels last month as Saudi Arabia led a further recovery in Persian Gulf supplies, according to a Bloomberg survey.

石油输出国组织(OPEC)10月份的产量较上月增加93万桶/日,达到2280万桶/日,约为2月份同一成员国产量的88%,调查显示。

Output from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries increased by 930,000 barrels a day in October to 22.8 million a day, or roughly 88% of the volume the same members pumped in February, the survey indicated.

组织领头羊沙特阿拉伯贡献了大部分增量,尽管由美国与伊朗冲突引发的敌对行动仍在持续,但沙特越来越能够让油轮穿过霍尔木兹海峡,并在红海沿岸装载货物。

Group leader Saudi Arabia accounted for most of the hike, as it increasingly manages to shuttle tankers through the Strait of Hormuz and load cargoes on its Red Sea coast, despite ongoing hostilities triggered by the US-Iran conflict.

伊拉克和科威特的增产被尼日利亚和伊朗的减产所抵消,伊朗的产量因美国海军封锁而降至至少三十年来的最低水平。

Gains in Iraq and Kuwait were offset by losses in Nigeria and Iran, where production was squeezed to the lowest in at least three decades by a US naval blockade.

OPEC供应的恢复有助于冷却上月触及的油价高位,为全球经济摆脱高昂燃料成本带来了缓解的前景。随着特朗普总统在其所属政党中期选举失利后暗示可能降级冲突,布伦特原油期货本周暴跌,交易价接近每桶98美元。

The recovery in OPEC supplies has helped cool oil prices from the highs reached last month, offering the global economy the prospect of relief from elevated fuel costs. Brent futures slumped this week to trade near $98 a barrel, as President Donald Trump signaled potential de-escalation in the wake of his party’s defeat during midterm elections.

随着供应潮涌来而消费依然低迷,中东、北海和非洲等市场的实物原油货物成本(与原油期货存在价差)已大幅下跌。

The cost of physical oil cargoes, which trade at a differential to crude futures, has tumbled in markets ranging from the Middle East to the North Sea and Africa as the tide of supplies comes while consumption remains depressed.

调查显示,沙特阿拉伯10月份日产量增加97万桶,达到920万桶,仍低于年初产量约80万桶/日。

Saudi Arabia raised production by 970,000 barrels a day in October to 9.2 million a day, according to the survey. That’s still about 800,000 a day below rates pumped at the start of the year.

根据彭博社汇总的油轮追踪数据,沙特阿拉伯上月原油出口平均每天700万桶,接近战前水平。

The kingdom’s oil exports averaged 7 million barrels a day last month, approaching pre-war levels, according to tanker-tracking data compiled by Bloomberg.

沙特阿美首席执行官阿明·纳赛尔本周早些时候在阿布扎比的一个行业会议上表示,该公司旨在“在第四季度尽可能提高产量”。OPEC成员国中10月增幅第二大的是伊拉克,该国日产量增加14万桶,达到415万桶。紧随其后的是科威特,该国日产量增加13万桶,平均达到200万桶,该调查显示。最大的减产发生在尼日利亚和伊朗。

Saudi Aramco Chief Executive Officer Amin Nasser told an industry conference in Abu Dhabi earlier this week that the company aims to “maximize production going forward in the fourth quarter.”The next-biggest increase among OPEC members in October came from Iraq, which raised output by 140,000 barrels a day to 4.15 million a day. After that was Kuwait, which boosted by 130,000 to average 2 million barrels a day, the survey indicated. The largest decreases were in Nigeria and Iran.

伊斯兰共和国的产量下降12万桶,达到日产190万桶,这是彭博社月度数据中自1989年以来的最低水平。

Output from the Islamic Republic declined by 120,000 barrels a day to 1.9 million a day, the lowest in monthly data compiled by Bloomberg that extend back to 1989.

自8月下旬以来,在该国主要石油装运港口(如哈尔格岛)的卫星图像中未观察到油轮,因为美国继续对该国港口实施封锁。

No tankers have been observed in satellite images of the country’s main oil-loading terminals such as Kharg Island since late August, as the US continues to impose a blockade of the country’s ports.

OPEC及其盟友正在审查每个成员国技术上能够开采的产量,以便在部长们11月29日会面时为2027年设定产量目标。

OPEC and its allies are conducting a review of how much each member is technically able to pump, with a view to setting output targets for 2027 when ministers meet on Nov. 29.

彭博社的产量调查基于船舶追踪数据、官员信息以及咨询公司Rapidan Energy Group、FGE NexantECA、Kpler Ltd.和Rystad Energy AS的估算。

Bloomberg’s production survey is based on ship-tracking data, information from officials and estimates from consultants Rapidan Energy Group, FGE NexantECA, Kpler Ltd. and Rystad Energy AS.

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