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中期选举惨败后,万斯试图打造自己的2028年政治品牌After midterm rout, Vance tries to build his own 2028 brand

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华盛顿11月7日电 - 在力挽狂澜拯救共和党中期选举命运的冲刺阶段临近尾声时,副总统JD·万斯改变了策略。他减少谈论总统唐纳德·特朗普,转而更多地谈论那些定义其自身政治身份的议题。

WASHINGTON, Nov 7 - Late in his blitz to salvage Republicans' midterm fortunes, Vice President JD Vance shifted strategy. He talked less about President Donald Trump and more about the issues that define his own political identity.

路透社对9月共和党全国代表大会以来的半打演讲进行了审阅,结果显示,万斯几乎完全通过其政策组合的视角来为共和党辩护,而共和党已在周二的投票中失去了对国会的控制权。

Vance argued the case for Republicans, who lost control of Congress in Tuesday’s vote, almost exclusively through the lens of his policy portfolio, according to a Reuters review of half a dozen speeches since the Republican convention in September.

随着民调显示总统不断下滑的人气拖累了共和党竞选人,万斯绕过了特朗普的标志性政策,包括对伊朗战争和驱逐出境。

He bypassed Trump's signature policies including the Iran war and deportations as polls showed the president's sagging popularity dragging down Republican office-seekers.

据两位熟悉该策略的人士透露,这一转变是有意为之。万斯及其顾问将他所倡导的议题——经济民族主义、外交政策克制以及公共安全——视为他能够以权威态度应对的具有政治潜力的主题。知情人士称,尽管特朗普将这些议题作为其“让美国再次伟大(MAGA)”运动的一部分来拥抱,但万斯已经成为这些议题的主要十字军。

The change was deliberate, according to two people familiar with the strategy. Vance and his advisers saw the issues he championed — economic nationalism, foreign policy restraint, and public safety — as politically potent subjects he could address with authority. While Trump embraced them as part of his MAGA movement, Vance had emerged as their lead crusader, the people said.

这一转变初次展现了这位42岁的副总统如何在共和党开始将目光投向特朗普之后开辟自己的道路。

The shift offered an early glimpse of how the 42-year-old vice president could chart his own course as Republicans begin looking beyond Trump.

万斯尚未表示他是否会在2028年竞选总统,特朗普也未曾背书他或任何其他人。但万斯被视为潜在的领跑竞争者,一些共和党官员表示,他需要继承特朗普的大部分联盟,同时与他老板的政治包袱划清界限。

Vance hasn’t said whether he will run for president in 2028, and Trump hasn’t endorsed him or anyone else. But Vance is viewed as a leading potential contender who some Republican officials say will need to inherit much of Trump’s coalition while separating himself from his boss's baggage.

周三,万斯朝着巩固自身政治品牌迈出了更加公开的一步,发表了一篇异常直率的选举事后剖析。他在一篇社交媒体贴文中,将共和党的中期惨败归咎于对伊战争,并为共和党东山再起规划了一个纲领。

Vance took a more public step on Wednesday toward reinforcing his own political brand with an unusually blunt election postmortem. In a social media post, he blamed the Iran war for Republicans’ midterm defeat and laid out a platform for a Republican rebound.

他呼吁迅速结束这场冲突,并敦促共和党人专注于负担能力、重新评估对外关系以及彻底重塑美国与以色列的关系。

He called for a swift end to the conflict and urged Republicans to focus on affordability, reevaluate foreign relations and overhaul the US relationship with Israel.

特朗普曾称美国民众对生活负担能力的担忧是民主党人的“骗局”。在以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡持续游说后,他发起了对伊朗的战争。特朗普随后在以色列大选中为内塔尼亚胡背书。

Trump has called Americans’ affordability concerns a Democratic “hoax.”He launched a war against Iran following sustained lobbying from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Trump went on to endorse Netanyahu in the Israeli election.

万斯公开对战争表现出不安 这篇贴文首次将万斯公开置于结束战争的一端。

VANCE MAKES UNEASE AT THE WAR PUBLIC The post for the first time put Vance openly on the side of ending the war.

三位熟悉白宫和万斯沟通情况的人士告诉路透社,副总统并非与特朗普决裂,并表示白宫办公厅主任苏西·维尔斯事先知晓万斯的这篇贴文。

Three people familiar with the White House and Vance's communications told Reuters that the vice president was not breaking with Trump and said White House chief of staff Susie Wiles knew in advance about Vance's post.

周五,特朗普改组了白宫高级领导层,由斯蒂芬·米勒取代了维尔斯,此举表明白宫计划在特朗普的一些更为强硬的政策上加倍下注。

On Friday, Trump reshuffled senior White House leadership, replacing Wiles with Stephen Miller in a move that suggests the White House plans to double down on some of Trump’s more hardline policies.

特朗普承认,对伊战争由于导致的汽油价格高企而在共和党惨败中发挥了作用,但他继续为这场战争辩护。“我不会做任何改变,”他周三对记者表示。路透社无法确定特朗普是否事先知晓该贴文。

Trump has acknowledged the Iran war played a role in the Republican rout because of the resulting high gas prices but has continued to defend it. "I would have done nothing different," he told reporters on Wednesday. Reuters could not determine whether Trump was aware of the post in advance.

总统的长子小唐纳德·特朗普在社交媒体上背书了万斯的言论,一些保守派盟友也表示支持。

Donald Trump Jr., the president's eldest son, endorsed Vance's remarks on social media, along with some conservative allies.

共和党战略师、众议院前议长约翰·博纳和保罗·瑞安的前顾问迈克尔·里奇表示,这一对话进一步提升了万斯作为后特朗普时代保守派旗手的地位。

The dialogue further elevated Vance as a potential post-Trump conservative standard-bearer, said Michael Ricci, a Republican strategist and former adviser to House Speakers John Boehner and Paul Ryan.

利用副总统的扩音器 他说,万斯的信息迫使保守派辩论战争的优劣,以及更广泛地探讨,2028年共和党总统候选人应拥抱哪些核心信条。

USING THE MEGAPHONE OF THE VICE PRESIDENCY He said Vance’s message forced conservatives to debate the merits of the war, and more broadly, what core tenets Republican presidential candidates should embrace in 2028.

“把这说成是他在寻找与特朗普划清界限的方法未免过于简单化了,”里奇说。“这是关于他利用副总统的扩音器来设定辩论条款。”万斯的代表拒绝置评。白宫代表则将路透社转向了特朗普周三的言论,当时他对记者表示他理解万斯对选举结果的看法。

"It’s simplistic to say this about him looking for ways to differentiate himself from Trump," Ricci said. "This is about him using his megaphone of the vice presidency to set the terms of debate." Representatives for Vance declined to comment. White House representatives referred Reuters to Trump's comments on Wednesday, when he told reporters he understood Vance's perspective on the election results.

民主党人正准备在2028年将万斯——或任何共和党提名人——与特朗普绑定,特别是如果特朗普在审查保守派希望之星方面扮演重要角色的话。

Democrats are poised to tie Vance – or any Republican nominee – to Trump in 2028, especially if Trump plays a large role in vetting conservative hopefuls.

“你面临着一个真正的挑战,即如何在赢得初选的同时,在全国大选中保持生存能力,而初选仍然要求你顶礼膜拜,”民主党战略师伊戈尔·沃尔夫斯基说。

"There’s a real challenge of how you position yourself to be viable in a general election while winning a primary that still requires you to bow down and kiss the ring,” said Igor Volsky, a Democratic strategist.

万斯的品牌并未毫发无损地度过中期选举。共和党在他助选的州遭遇了失利。他背书的一些策略——包括俄亥俄州长候选人维韦克·拉马斯瓦米的一则广告,该广告对获胜的民主党候选人埃米·阿克顿遭受的性虐待提出质疑——可能已经让选情倒向了民主党。

Vance’s brand did not emerge from the midterms unscathed. Republicans lost in states where he campaigned. Some of the strategies he endorsed – including an ad by Ohio gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy that cast doubt on the sexual abuse suffered by the victorious Democratic candidate, Amy Acton – may have swung races away from Republicans.

其他潜在的2028年总统竞争者也对中期选举的失利给出了各自的诊断。美国得克萨斯州联邦参议员特德·克鲁兹表示,共和党在生活负担能力方面做得还不够。佛罗里达州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯表示,落败的候选人过于关注跨性别议题,而忽视了选民对数据中心和人工智能的担忧。国务卿马尔科·鲁比奥则保持了沉默。万斯塑造辩论的努力在竞选的最后几天清晰可见。

Other possible 2028 presidential contenders have offered their diagnoses of the midterm defeat. US Senator Ted Cruz of Texas said Republicans hadn't done enough on affordability. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis said losing candidates had focused too heavily on transgender issues and neglected voter concerns about data centers and artificial intelligence. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has stayed silent. Vance's effort to shape the debate was visible during the closing days of the campaign.

在竞选集会的演讲中,他告诉选民支持共和党,因为他们将调查联邦医疗保健和反贫困项目中的欺诈行为,并将此与白宫的移民议程和生活成本联系起来。他几乎完全忽略了对伊战争和油价,也极少提及特朗普的名字。

In stump speeches, he told voters to support Republicans because they would investigate fraud in federal health care and antipoverty programs, tying that to the White House's immigration agenda and cost of living. He almost entirely ignored the Iran war and gas prices, and seldom mentioned Trump by name.

“我希望我的孩子们在一个充满活力、繁荣、自由且富裕的国家抚养家庭。我想要简单的东西,”万斯在北卡罗来纳州他的最后几场集会之一上说道,“因为我为自己想要这些,我也希望你拥有这些。”路透社

“I want my kids to raise a family in a country that is vibrant and thriving and free and prosperous. I want the simple things,” Vance told one of his final rallies in North Carolina. “And because I want that for me, I want it for you too.”REUTERS

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