
本周,美国选民在投票箱前态度明确,表达了对科技亿万富翁的鄙夷以及对人工智能的不信任。在此背景下,Anthropic即将尝试上市。
Americans were unequivocal at the ballot box this week as they expressed disdain for tech billionaires and mistrust of artificial intelligence. With that backdrop, Anthropic is about to try to go public.
这家人工智能公司正在为一场可能具有历史意义的首次公开募股做准备,可能将于11月中旬在纳斯达克挂牌上市。CNBC周五报道称,Anthropic的投资者认为该公司瞄准的估值为1万亿美元至1.5万亿美元,低于近几个月曾传出的2万亿美元目标。
The AI company is gearing up for a potentially historic IPO, likely targeting mid-November for its Nasdaq debut. CNBC reported on Friday that Anthropic investors see the company aiming for a valuation of $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, down from a target of $2 trillion that had been floated in recent months.
从华尔街到主街,Anthropic的环境正变得越来越艰难。周四,纳斯达克遭遇了19个月来最大跌幅,且11月开局走低,此前10月是自2025年3月以来最糟糕的一个月。芯片制造商和新云公司——这些与人工智能建设联系最紧密的公司——受到的打击最为严重。
From Wall Street to Main Street, it's becoming a tougher environment for Anthropic. The Nasdaq on Thursday suffered its steepest drop in 19 months, and it's down to start November after October marked its worst month since March 2025. Chipmakers and neoclouds, the companies most closely tied to the AI buildout, are getting hit the hardest.
选民在周二的中期选举中否决了人工智能,同时让民主党在全国范围内赢得了国会选举的压倒性胜利。在密歇根州、俄亥俄州、得克萨斯州和佐治亚州等州,主张更严格人工智能监管的候选人大获全胜,这些州现在都将由民主党州长执政;此外,地方社区在41起与数据中心相关的投票提案中,有40起投了反对票。
Voters rebuked AI in Tuesday's midterm elections, while sending Democrats to sweeping congressional victories across the country. Candidates who advocated for more stringent AI regulation won handily in states like Michigan, Ohio, Texas and Georgia, which will all now have Democratic governors, and local communities opposed data center-related ballot measures in 40 out of 41 cases.
根据NBC新闻的选民出口民调,超过一半的选民表示,人工智能数据中心是他们支持国会候选人的“关键”或“主要因素”。
More than half of voters said AI data centers were a "crucial" or "major factor" in who they supported for Congress, according to an exit poll from NBC News.
弗吉尼亚大学行为科学家莫拉·奥斯汀对CNBC表示:“如果数据中心只是用来容纳帮助大型科技公司获利的人工智能,人们就不希望它建在自己附近。”她说:“Anthropic以如此高的估值上市,实际上是在迎合那种大型科技公司、亿万富翁式的刻板印象。我预计这不会受到公众的欢迎。”Anthropic长期以来一直试图将自己定位为一家安全意识强、认真对待人工智能潜在风险与收益的公司。
"People don't want a data center going near them if it's just going to house AI that's going to help a big tech company profit," Maura Austin, a behavioral scientist at the University of Virginia, told CNBC. "What Anthropic is doing when they're going public with such a high valuation is they're really leaning into that big tech, billionaire kind of caricature. I expect that's not going to go well with the public." Anthropic has long tried to position itself as a safety-conscious company that takes AI's potential risks and benefits seriously.
首席执行官达里奥·阿莫迪与几名从OpenAI(现为其主要竞争对手)跳槽的研究人员共同创立了该公司。Anthropic最知名的是开发了一系列名为Claude的人工智能模型,其产品和服务主要销售给其他企业。
CEO Dario Amodei co-founded the company alongside a handful of researchers who defected from OpenAI, now its chief rival. Anthropic is best known for developing a family of AI models called Claude, and it primarily sells its products and services to other businesses.
该公司对企业客户的侧重,帮助其避免成为人工智能的公众代表,这一头衔留给了OpenAI及其首席执行官萨姆·阿尔特曼。但随着Anthropic有望成为首家上市的纯人工智能公司,这一过程将诞生多名新亿万富翁和更多百万富翁,更高程度的审视即将到来。
The company's enterprise focus has helped it avoid becoming the public face of AI, leaving that distinction to OpenAI and CEO Sam Altman. But with Anthropic poised to become the first pure-play AI company to hit the public market, minting a number of new billionaires and many more millionaires in the process, a heightened level of scrutiny is coming.
乔治城大学金融学教授丽娜·阿加瓦尔在一次采访中说:“成为一家上市公司,仅此一点就会让你处于聚光灯下。而人工智能又是如此敏感的热点话题,Anthropic将更加处于聚光灯下。”文艺复兴资本高级首次公开募股市场策略师马特·肯尼迪表示,这对Anthropic来说不一定是坏事。
"Being a public company, just that by itself pushes you in the limelight," Reena Aggarwal, a professor of finance at Georgetown University, said in an interview. "And then AI is such a hot-button issue that Anthropic will be in the limelight even more." Matt Kennedy, a senior IPO market strategist at Renaissance Capital, said that's not necessarily a bad thing for Anthropic.
他说,公共市场迫使更高的透明度,该公司可以通过上市吸引新用户。而且,由于人工智能已成为如此主流的话题,几家私营公司已经是家喻户晓的名字。
Public markets force greater transparency, he said, and the company could attract new users through its debut. And since AI has become such a mainstream conversation topic, several private companies are already household names.
肯尼迪表示:“我认为,一家上市公司不应比一家同类私营公司承受更多批评。因此,Anthropic 不应仅因其上市地位,就比 OpenAI 置于更严苛的公众聚光灯下。”Anthropic 拒绝置评。
"I would say that a public company does not deserve more criticisms than a comparable private company," Kennedy said. "So Anthropic should not be put in a harsher public spotlight than OpenAI just because it's public." Anthropic declined to comment.
今夏,一系列备受瞩目的安全事故引发公众恐慌,导致对 AI 的反弹情绪加剧。随着担忧升级,围绕数据中心的辩论愈演愈烈,与此同时,科技巨头们同步上调了资本支出预期,各自投入规模均达数千亿美元。
AI backlash accelerated over the summer after a series of high-profile safety and security incidents rattled the public. As concerns mounted, the debate over data centers intensified, while tech's hyperscalers simultaneously boosted their forecasts for capital expenditures, each reaching into the hundreds of billions of dollars.
Anthropic 与 OpenAI 均依赖最先进的数据中心来训练模型并为客户提供服务,两家正竭力尽快扩充产能以满足需求。Anthropic 本周在修订后的 IPO 招股说明书中披露,已签订采购承诺和租赁协议,累计承诺支出约 8954 亿美元,“绝大部分与算力和基础设施相关”。面对通胀和居高不下的汽油价格,美国民众担忧这些设施会加剧环境破坏、推高水电账单并导致就业岗位流失。对许多人而言,自家后院拟建的数据中心,成了大众对 AI 普遍反感情绪的具象化体现。
Anthropic and OpenAI depend on state-of-the-art data centers to train models and serve customers, and they're trying to build out capacity as quickly as possible to meet demand. Anthropic said in an amended IPO prospectus this week that it has entered into purchase commitments and lease agreements with an aggregate committed spend of about $895.4 billion, "substantially all of which is related to compute and infrastructure." Americans grappling with inflation and stubbornly high gas prices have grown worried that the facilities could exacerbate environmental harms, raise utility bills and contribute to job loss. For many, a proposed data center in their backyard became the physical manifestation of the widespread antipathy toward AI.
在招股说明书的风险因素章节中,Anthropic 指出,针对数据中心建设的反对声音在各辖区内变得更有组织,而公司的公众知名度可能会使与其相关的项目受到特别关注。
In the risk factors section of its prospectus, Anthropic said opposition to data center development has become more organized across jurisdictions, and that the company's public profile could draw particular scrutiny to projects associated with it.
Gartner 分析师 Nicole Greene 表示,考虑到该技术的颠覆性,她预计 Anthropic 高管早已做好应对 AI 反弹的准备。
Nicole Greene, an analyst at Gartner, said she expects that Anthropic's executives have long been prepared to contend with AI backlash, especially given the disruptive nature of the technology.
“会有强烈的情绪,”格林告诉CNBC。“伴随着强烈的情绪和感受——恐惧和兴奋——而来的是更严格的审视。”
"There's going to be big emotions," Greene told CNBC. "With big emotions and feelings — fear and excitement — comes heightened scrutiny."
阿莫代伊在8月于X平台发布的一篇帖子中承认,围绕AI的情绪正在恶化。他说,这是“信任危机”的结果,人们认为公司、政府和科技行业总在“想出新办法坑害他们”。随着公司开始提供季度财务更新,重建公众信心将是一场艰难的战役。
Amodei acknowledged the souring sentiment around AI in a post on X in August. He said it's the result of a "crisis of trust," and that people believe companies, the government and the tech industry are always "cooking up some new way to screw them over." Rebuilding public confidence is going to be an uphill battle as the company begins providing quarterly financial updates.
南加州大学周一发布的一项调查显示,71%的受访者“完全不”信任大型科技公司在数据中心建设方面为社会最大利益行事。
The University of Southern California published a survey on Monday that found that 71% of respondents don't trust big tech companies to act in society's best interest "at all" around data center development.
“失去信任后,要重新赢回很难,”南加州大学谢弗研究所教授温迪·布鲁因·德布鲁因在接受采访时说。“这些数字不好看。”
"Once you've lost trust, it's hard to gain it back," Wändi Bruine de Bruin, a professor at the University of Southern California's Schaeffer Institute, said in an interview. "The numbers are not good."
