
没有哪个州比德克萨斯州更能体现美国政治、治理和人工智能未来的走向,也没有哪个州更具主导性或更具启示意义。
No state looms larger, more dominant or more instructive about the future of American politics, governance and AI than Texas
为何重要:德克萨斯州突然——且出人意料地——成为美国的故事。它是移民政策、人工智能、数据中心增长、西班牙裔投票模式以及民主党方向的战场和试验场。
Why it matters: Texas is suddenly — and unexpectedly — American story. It's the battleground and proving ground for immigration policy, AI, data center growth, Hispanic voting patterns, and the direction of the Democratic Party. Put simply,

简单来说,如果没有孤星州,共和党人在2028年保住总统职位似乎几乎不可能。而如果德克萨斯州拒绝人工智能或大幅放缓其发展,人工智能似乎也几乎不可能继续如此快速地增长。
it seems nearly impossible for Republicans to retain the presidency in 2028 without the Lone Star State. And it seems nearly impossible for AI to keep growing so fast if Texas rejects or dramatically slows it.
- 德克萨斯州人口如此之多,财富如此之丰厚,西班牙裔如此之多,能源资源如此之丰富——而且现在从上到下如此蓝——以至于两党都将其视为事实上的国家,有能力重新排列……一切。
• Texas is so populous, so wealthy, so Hispanic, so energy-rich — and now so top-to-bottom blue — that both parties see it as a de facto nation-state capable of reordering ... everything.
“德克萨斯州是”史蒂夫·班农,MAGA的顶级声音之一,告诉我们。班农今年对德克萨斯州如此着迷,以至于他将其有影响力的播客“战情室”带到了德克萨斯州的“前线”,一次待上数月。
"Texas is Steve Bannon, one of the top voices of MAGA, told us. Bannon has been so Texas-obsessed all year that he took his influential podcast, " War Room, " on the road to the " forward lines " of Texas for months at a time.
- 班农说,德克萨斯州需要成为新任白宫幕僚长斯蒂芬·米勒的早期关注点。休斯顿市长约翰·惠特米尔周五指示警方限制与移民与海关执法局的合作,并表示:“选举很重要。”班农说,他预计会有更多此类行动,除非采取戏剧性行动,否则德克萨斯州将“迅速”成为庇护州。
• Bannon said Texas needs to be an early focus for Stephen Miller, the new White House chief of staff. Houston Mayor John Whitmire on Friday directed police to limit cooperation with ICE, saying: "Elections matter." Bannon said he expects many more such actions, with Texas becoming a sanctuary state "quickly unless dramatic action is taken."
- “特朗普将被迫联邦化边境,”班农说,要么派遣国民警卫队部队,要么派遣联邦执法人员。
• "Trump is going to be forced to federalize the border," Bannon said, either with National Guard troops or federal law-enforcement agents.
大局:德克萨斯州在11月2日,即中期选举前一天,仍是血红的。现在它将拥有一位民主党州长……副州长……总检察长……审计长……土地专员……农业专员……德克萨斯州众议院和美国参议员,37岁的詹姆斯·塔拉里科。
The big picture: Texas was red as blood on Nov. 2, the day before midterms. Now it'll have a Democratic governor ... lieutenant governor ... attorney general ... comptroller land commissioner ... agriculture commissioner ...
- 塔拉里科以两位数优势击败州检察长肯·帕克斯顿,吉娜·伊诺霍萨——她将成为得克萨斯州首位拉美裔女州长——击败寻求连任第三届的州长格雷格·阿博特。民主党赢得选票上所有四个州最高法院席位,并有望翻转得克萨斯州教育委员会。
Texas House and U.S. senator, 37-year-old James Talarico. • Talarico won by double digits over state Attorney General Ken Paxton, and Gina Hinojosa — who'll be Texas' first Latina governor — upset three-term Gov. Greg Abbott. Democrats won all four state Supreme Court seats on the ballot and are set to flip Texas' Board of Education.
- 新任得克萨斯州众议院议长很可能是87岁的非裔女性森弗罗尼娅·汤普森,这位休斯顿民主党人首次当选正值水门事件时期。
• The new Texas House speaker is likely to be an 87-year-old Black woman, Senfronia Thompson, a Houston Democrat first elected during the Watergate era. Everything's bigger in Texas
得克萨斯凡事都大尤其是未来的政治版图:
especially in politics going forward: **1.
1. 南得克萨斯边境县打破了共和党的论断。共和党以特朗普总统2024年在那里的表现为基础,将得州未来押注在南得州西班牙裔身上。
South Texas' border counties broke the GOP's thesis.** Republicans built their Texas future on South Texas Hispanics, based on President Trump's performance there in 2024.
- 塔拉里科在伊达尔戈县以46个百分点领先,在卡梅伦县领先38个百分点,在韦伯县领先47个百分点。特朗普曾险胜这三个县!
• Talarico won Hidalgo by 46 points, Cameron by 38 and Webb by 47. Trump had narrowly carried all three!
- 教训是:里奥格兰德河谷没有发生政党重组。它只是摇摆了——或者正如许多南得州人所说,回归了民主党。
• The lesson: The Valley didn't realign. It swung — or came home to Democrats, as many South Texans would say. **2.
2. 移民问题也回归了随着特朗普总统的移民与海关执法局(ICE)在阿博特的喝彩声中打击南得州农村县份,随后将强硬执法推向全州各城市,共和党的边境安全论点遭到削弱。
Immigration came home, too** Republicans' border-security argument was undermined as President Trump's ICE, cheered on by Abbott, hit South Texas' rural counties and then moved hard-line enforcement into cities across the state.
- 伊达尔戈县选民受低迷经济和史无前例的移民打压驱动。在哈里斯县(休斯顿),选民表示移民、腐败和共和党领导人的政策促使他们投票——哈里斯县西班牙裔选区72%的选民支持伊诺霍萨。
• Hidalgo voters were driven by a sluggish economy and the historic immigration crackdown. In Harris County (Houston), voters cited immigration, corruption and GOP leaders' policies as motivating their votes — and 72% of voters in Hispanic precincts in Harris County backed Hinojosa.
- 结论:选民想要安全的边境、移走无证犯罪分子。他们不想要
• The takeaway: Voters wanted a secure border and undocumented criminals removed. They didn't