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美国油价连续六周下跌,但感恩节燃油成本或仍将创纪录US gas prices fall for six weeks, but Thanksgiving fuel costs may hit record despite recent decline

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美国汽油价格已连续六周下跌,在感恩节假期前为美国司机提供了一些缓解。然而,汽油价格仍高于以往感恩节假期的水平,这意味着司机在今年的假期出行季可能最终支付创纪录的燃油费用。

US gas prices have fallen for six weeks in a row, giving some relief to American drivers ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday. However, petrol prices are still higher than they were during previous Thanksgiving holidays, meaning drivers could end up paying a record amount for fuel during this year's holiday travel season.

根据美国汽车协会(AAA)的数据,周一美国普通汽油的平均价格为每加仑4.01美元。根据美国能源信息署(EIA)的数据,这比9月下旬近4.48美元每加仑的近期峰值低约10%。

The average price of regular gasoline in the US stood at $4.01 per gallon on Monday, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA). This is around 10% lower than the recent peak of nearly $4.48 per gallon in late September, based on data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA).US gas prices fall for six weeks in a rowWholesale gasoline prices have fallen even faster than the prices drivers pay at fuel stations.

美国汽油价格连续六周下跌批发汽油价格的跌幅甚至快于司机在加油站支付的价格。汽油期货价格在9月18日至周五收盘之间下跌了约21%。

Gasoline futures dropped around 21% between September 18 and Friday's market close.

油价也有所下跌。美国油价从4月峰值下跌了约20%,有助于降低汽油成本。

Oil prices have also declined. US oil prices fell around 20% from their April peak, helping bring down the cost of gasoline.

加油站价格通常比批发汽油期货价格高出每加仑约1美元。根据周五的收盘价,这表明美国平均汽油价格可能进一步下跌至每加仑3.70美元至3.80美元左右。据雅虎财经测算,这意味着美国司机在未来几天在加油站可能再获得20美分至30美分的减价优惠。

Gas station prices have usually been around $1 per gallon higher than wholesale gasoline futures. Based on Friday's closing prices, this suggests that average US gas prices could fall further to around $3.70 to $3.80 per gallon. This means American drivers could get another 20 to 30 cents of relief at the pump in the coming days, according to Yahoo Finance calculations.

市场分析师迈克·扎卡迪也预计汽油价格很快将跌破每加仑4美元。“到下周中旬将跌至3美元区间,”他在11月6日于X平台发帖写道。当时,据雅虎财经报道,全国平均价格为每加仑4.07美元。

Market analyst Mike Zaccardi also expects gasoline prices to fall below $4 per gallon soon. "That'll be a 3-handle by mid-next week," he wrote in a November 6 post on X. At the time, the national average price was $4.07 per gallon, according to Yahoo Finance.

感恩节汽油价格可能创历史新高然而,即使汽油价格跌破4美元,感恩节出行的司机仍可能面临创纪录的燃油成本。根据追溯至1990年的EIA数据,感恩节周记录的最高平均汽油价格是2022年的每加仑3.65美元。

Thanksgiving gas prices may hit a record highHowever, even if gas prices fall below $4, Thanksgiving drivers could still face record fuel costs. The highest average gasoline price recorded during Thanksgiving week in EIA data going back to 1990 was $3.65 per gallon in 2022.

涵盖11月2日当周的最新周度数据显示,美国平均汽油价格仍为每加仑4.15美元。

The latest weekly reading, covering the week of November 2, showed that average US gasoline prices were still at $4.15 per gallon.

这明显高于此前感恩节周的纪录3.65美元。然而,考虑通胀因素后,对比情况发生了变化。据雅虎财经测算,今年最高汽油价格出现在5月,为每加仑4.50美元。经通胀调整后,该金额按当前美元价值约为4.53美元。这仍远低于2022年经通胀调整后的汽油价格5.71美元和2008年的6.33美元。这意味着,虽然驾驶者面临的感恩节周平均价格在实际美元计价下可能创纪录,但考虑通胀因素后,汽油价格并未处于最高水平。

This is significantly higher than the previous Thanksgiving-week record of $3.65. However, the comparison changes when inflation is taken into account. The highest gasoline price this year was $4.50 per gallon in May. After adjusting for inflation, that amount comes to around $4.53 in today's dollars, according to Yahoo Finance calculations. This is still much lower than the inflation-adjusted gasoline price of $5.71 in 2022 and $6.33 in 2008. This means that while drivers could face a record Thanksgiving-week average in actual dollar terms, gas prices are not at their highest levels when inflation is considered.

在11月3日美国中期选举所在周,汽油价格近期的跌势加快。那一周,加油站平均价格每加仑下跌12美分,创下自6月以来最大单周跌幅。

The recent fall in gasoline prices became faster during the week of the November 3 US midterm elections. During that week, average prices at fuel stations dropped by 12 cents per gallon, marking the biggest weekly decline since June.

然而,荷兰国际集团经济学家詹姆斯·史密斯认为,美国中期选举不会对汽油价格产生重大影响。据雅虎财经报道,他表示,燃料成本是美国选民关注的重要议题,政客们曾公开讨论其重要性。

However, ING economist James Smith does not expect the US midterm elections to make a major difference to gasoline prices. He said fuel costs were an important issue for American voters and politicians had openly discussed their importance, according to Yahoo Finance.

史密斯还质疑选举后的政治变化是否会带来局势的重大改善。他表示,如果外交努力在选举前未能找到解决方案,现在政治周期又重置为未来两年,就没有理由指望会突然发生变化。高柴油价格加剧美国通胀担忧即使汽油价格下跌,柴油价格仍是主要担忧。卡车和火车广泛使用柴油在美国各地运输货物,柴油价格依然高企。9月21日当周,柴油价格触及每加仑6.53美元的纪录高位。最新周度数据显示,柴油价格仍为每加仑6.29美元,表明运输燃料成本居高不下。柴油供应也面临压力。

Smith also questioned whether the political changes after the elections would lead to any major improvement in the situation. He said that if diplomatic efforts had failed to find a solution before the elections, there was little reason to expect a sudden change now that the political cycle had reset for another two years. High diesel prices add to US inflation fearsDiesel prices are still a major concern, even as gasoline prices fall. Diesel, which is widely used by trucks and trains to transport goods across the US, remains expensive. Diesel prices reached a record $6.53 per gallon during the week of September 21. They were still at $6.29 per gallon in the latest weekly reading, showing that transport fuel costs remain high. The supply of diesel is also under pressure.

美国能源信息署(EIA)数据显示,十月下旬美国柴油库存跌破1亿桶,创下自2003年以来的最低水平。高企的柴油价格正在增加全国货物运输的成本。这可能使企业在运输产品和交付供应时费用上升,进而对消费者支付的价格形成进一步压力,雅虎财经指出。

US diesel stockpiles fell below 100 million barrels in late October, reaching their lowest level since 2003, according to the EIA. High diesel prices are adding to the cost of transporting goods across the country. This can make it more expensive for businesses to move products and deliver supplies, potentially putting further pressure on prices paid by consumers, according to Yahoo Finance.

更高的燃料成本对美国企业的影响也日益显现。企业对通胀的担忧日益加剧,担心费用上升可能侵蚀利润。彭博社报道,标普500指数成分公司在十月财报电话会议中提及“通胀”或“通胀性”一词共计820次,为2024年2月以来的最高次数。

The impact of higher fuel costs is also becoming visible across American businesses. Companies are increasingly worried about inflation and the possibility that rising expenses could affect their profits.S&P 500 companies mentioned the words "inflation" or "inflationary" 820 times during their October earnings calls. This was the highest number of mentions since February 2024, Bloomberg reported.

燃料、化肥和塑料树脂成本上升是导致企业费用增加的因素之一。这些成本的上升可能使企业更难控制支出并保护利润率。

Higher costs of fuel, fertiliser and plastic resin are among the factors adding to companies' expenses. These rising costs could make it harder for businesses to control their spending and protect their profit margins.

TheStreet Pro的克里斯·维萨斯表示,关键问题在于燃料供应恢复到正常水平需要多长时间。他称,恢复供应所需的时间将决定通胀压力何时缓解,以及企业利润率何时获得一定 relief。美国汽油价格前景:预计将有更多缓解投资者和消费者正等待最新的通胀和燃料供应数据。能源信息署下周的燃料价格周报将于11月9日星期一晚上发布。

Chris Versace of TheStreet Pro said the key question is how long it will take for fuel supplies to return to normal levels. He said the time needed to rebuild supplies would help determine how quickly inflation pressures ease and companies get some relief in their profit margins.US gas prices outlook: More relief expectedInvestors and consumers are now waiting for fresh inflation and fuel supply data. The EIA's next weekly fuel price reading is scheduled for Monday evening, November 9.

美国十月消费者物价指数(CPI)数据预计于11月10日星期二公布。CPI衡量商品和服务价格的变动,是了解国内通胀走向的关键指标,雅虎财经称。

The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for October is expected on Tuesday, November 10. The CPI measures changes in the prices of goods and services and is closely watched to understand the direction of inflation in the country, according to Yahoo Finance.

另一重要更新将在11月23日,届时能源信息署将发布感恩节周的汽油价格数据。

Another important update will come on November 23, when the EIA releases its Thanksgiving-week gasoline price reading.

这将更清晰地呈现驾驶员在假日出行期间为燃油支付了多少费用。ING经济学家詹姆斯·史密斯认为,汽油价格仍有进一步下跌的空间。据雅虎财经报道,他说来自中东的燃油供应已连续数周保持强劲。史密斯补充称,如果该地区的战争不再升级,计入石油和汽油价格中的风险溢价可能进一步下降。据雅虎财经解释,风险溢价是因担心可能出现供应中断或地缘政治紧张局势而加在价格上的额外金额。

This will provide a clearer picture of how much drivers are paying for fuel during the holiday travel period.ING economist James Smith believes there could still be room for gasoline prices to fall further. He said fuel supplies coming from the Middle East have remained strong for several weeks, according to Yahoo Finance. Smith added that if the war in the region does not become more serious, the risk premium included in oil and gasoline prices could fall further. A risk premium is the extra amount added to prices because of concerns about possible supply disruptions or geopolitical tensions, according to Yahoo Finance.

这有助于进一步降低石油和汽油价格。不过,下跌速度将取决于燃油供应、中东局势发展以及柴油库存恢复的速度。目前,美国驾驶员因汽油价格下跌获得了一定缓解,但感恩节出行费用仍可能居高不下。虽然汽油价格已连续六周下跌,但最新数据显示,假日周均价可能仍高于以往纪录。

This could help bring down oil and gasoline prices further. However, the speed of the decline will depend on fuel supplies, developments in the Middle East and how quickly diesel stockpiles recover. For now, US drivers are getting some relief from falling gasoline prices, but Thanksgiving travel could still be expensive. While petrol prices have declined for six straight weeks, the latest figures suggest that the holiday-week average could remain above previous records.

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