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“罗马正在燃烧”:新当选众议院民主党人异常敢于违抗领导层"Rome is burning": Incoming House Democrats prove unusually willing to defy leaders

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当选众议员达里亚利萨·阿维拉·切瓦利耶和克里斯·拉布于11月10日步行前往美国国会大厦。照片:Aaron Schwartz/Getty ImagesReps.-elect Darializa Avila Chevalier and Chris Rabb walk to the U.S. Capitol on Nov. 10. Photo: Aaron Schwartz/Getty Images

新一届众议员新人班子成立尚不足一周,已开始以大多数在任同僚不敢尝试的方式挑战党魁权威。

incoming freshman class is barely a week old and already threatening to defy party leaders in ways most of their incumbent colleagues wouldn't dare.

为何重要:众议院领导层可能不得不学会与这种动态共存,因为他们必须消化一大批新成员——这些人是在一股民粹主义、反建制愤怒浪潮中当选的。

Why it matters: It's a dynamic House leaders may have to learn to live with as they integrate a massive group of new members who were swept into office on a wave of populist, anti-establishment anger.

  • “我们这个班人数众多,不是因为……民主党及其品牌,而是尽管有它,”当选众议员唐·伦纳德(民主党-俄亥俄州)说。“我们许多人是局外人,不是靠党内机器晋升的,不认同那些惯例。”

• "My class is huge not because of ... the Democratic Party and its brand but despite it," said Rep.-elect Don Leonard (D-Ohio). "Many of us are outsiders who didn't come up through the machine, don't buy into the conventions."

  • 国会进步核心小组主席格雷格·卡萨尔(民主党-得克萨斯州)告诉Axios:“任何刚刚经历选举的新成员都会非常贴近选民立场,而我们知道选民非常愤怒。”

• Congressional Progressive Caucus chair Greg Casar (D-Texas) told Axios: "Any members that are new and have just run their elections are going to be very close to where the voters are, and we know the voters are very upset."

现状:众议院少数党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯(民主党-纽约州)有望成为议长,部分归功于他在现任众议院民主党人中的坚实支持。

State of play: House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) is on track to become speaker, in part thanks to his rock-solid support among sitting House Democrats.

  • 他的支持者包括卡萨尔、亚历山德拉·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯(民主党-纽约州)、普拉米拉·贾亚帕尔(民主党-华盛顿州)和罗·卡纳(民主党-加利福尼亚州)等知名进步派。

• His supporters include high-profile progressives such as Casar and Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.), Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.) and Ro Khanna (D-Calif.).

  • “这场竞选只有一位候选人,哈基姆·杰弗里斯,我认为大家更关心的是这种领导意味着什么,它承诺了什么,”奥卡西奥-科尔特斯周二对记者说。

• "There is one candidate in this race, Hakeem Jeffries, and I think that everyone is far more concerned about what that leadership means, what is it promising," Ocasio-Cortez told reporters on Tuesday.

情况变得更加扑朔迷离当考察杰弗里斯在新当选新人中的支持度时,其中一些人已公开拒绝承诺支持他的领导地位。

Things get more spotty when gauging Jeffries' support among incoming freshmen, some of whom have openly declined to commit to supporting his leadership.

  • 其中包括非正式进步派“集团”成员,如当选众议员达里亚利扎·阿维拉·舍瓦利耶(民主党-纽约州)、梅拉特·基罗斯(民主党-科罗拉多州)、克莱尔·瓦尔德兹(民主党-纽约州)、亚当·哈马维(民主党-新泽西州)和克里斯·拉布(民主党-宾夕法尼亚州)。

• That includes members of the informal progressive "Bloc," including Reps.-elect Darializa Avila Chevalier (D-N.Y.), Melat Kiros (D-Colo.), Claire Valdez (D-N.Y.), Adam Hamawy (D-N.J.) and Chris Rabb (D-Pa.).

  • “据我所知,杰弗里斯是唯一在竞选的人,”进步派当选众议员兰迪·维莱加斯(民主党-加利福尼亚州)说。“但……我认为我们需要看到一些立法优先事项,特别是在医疗保健、外交政策和移民方面。”

• "As far as I've heard, Jeffries is the only one running," said progressive Rep.-elect Randy Villegas (D-Calif.). "But ... I think we need to see some prioritization of some legislation, particularly around health care, foreign policy and immigration."

  • Axios此前报道,一些当选和在任的众议院民主党人收到了大量电话和电子邮件,敦促他们不要选举杰弗里斯为议长。

• Some incoming and sitting House Democrats have been flooded with calls and emails urging them not to elect Jeffries speaker, Axios previously reported. The intrigue:

深度看点:不仅是进步派犹豫是否全力支持杰弗里斯。名单上还包括一些温和派,他们所在选区在2024年大选中以两位数优势支持特朗普。

It's not just progressives hesitating to throw their full-throated support behind Jeffries. The list also includes some moderates in districts President Trump carried by double digits in 2024.

  • 当选众议员特雷莎·贝尼特斯-汤普森(民主党-内华达州)是中间偏左的新民主党联盟成员,她说:“我刚赢下一个两年前特朗普以14个百分点优势拿下的选区。……我必须转过身来表明我们在推动变革。”

• Said Rep.-elect Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D-Nev.), a member of the center-left New Democrat Coalition: "I just won a district that went for Trump two years ago by 14%. … I've got to turn around and show that we're making change."

  • 她补充道:“对于任何竞选议长的人,这就是我回应他们的信息。这更多关乎,比如,你能为内华达州做什么?”

• "For anyone running for speaker, that's my message back to them," she added. "It's much more about, like, what can you do for Nevada?"

  • 当选众议员杰克·约翰逊(民主党-明尼苏达州)同时是新民主党和中间派蓝狗联盟成员,他说:“我想看看选票上有谁。在我有机会交谈、有机会看看有谁参选之前,我不会做任何决定。”

• "I'd like to see who's on the ballot," said Rep.-elect Jake Johnson (D-Minn.), a member of both the New Dems and the centrist Blue Dogs. "Until I've had an opportunity to chat, until I've had an opportunity to see who's out there, I'm not making any decisions."

但也有例外:许多新人也支持杰弗里斯。

Yes, but: Plenty of freshmen are supporting Jeffries as well.

  • 在这一群体中,在备受瞩目的竞选中获得众议院民主党竞选机构大力支持的当选成员占据相当比例,包括当选众议员马尼·冯·维尔珀特(民主党-加利福尼亚州)、曼尼·鲁蒂内尔(民主党-科罗拉多州)、丹尼斯·鲍威尔(民主党-内布拉斯加州)、凯特·康利(民主党-纽约州)和丽贝卡·贝内特(民主党-新泽西州)。

• Well-represented in that contingent are incoming members who ran in marquee races with substantial backing from House Democrats' campaign apparatus, including Reps.-elect Marni von Wilpert (D-Calif.), Manny Rutinel (D-Colo.), Denise Powell (D-Neb.), Cait Conley (D-N.Y.) and Rebecca Bennett (D-N.J.).

  • 当选众议员扎克·马洛克(民主党-新泽西州)没有获得全国党组织支持,他告诉Axios,作为新成员他“不会大张旗鼓”:“你会看到对哈基姆相当强的支持,我将成为那部分支持的一员。”

• Rep.-elect Zack Mullock (D-N.J.), who didn't have support from the national party, told Axios he is "not making many big splashes" as a new member: "You're going to have pretty strong support for Hakeem, and I'll be part of that support."

聚焦:包括莱纳德和当选众议员理查德·奥赫达(民主党-北卡罗来纳州)在内的几位成员表示,他们希望看到杰弗里斯承诺禁止企业政治行动委员会捐款,作为投票给他的前提条件。

Zoom in: Several members, such as Leonard and Rep.-elect Richard Ojeda (D-N.C.), have said they want to see Jeffries commit to a ban on corporate PACs as a prerequisite for voting for him.

  • 莱纳德说:“我们需要在2028年或之前通过第28条修正案,以切断埃隆·马斯克和企业资金,以及以色列游说团资金的来源。”

• "We need a 28th Amendment in the year 2028 or before to shut down Elon Musk and corporate money and Israeli lobby money, for that matter," Leonard said.

奥赫达表示:“我有不可妥协的底线:我要确保我们把大笔政治献金赶出政治。是时候停止让亿万富翁阶层买断我们的选举了。”

• Said Ojeda: "I have hard lines: I want to make sure that we are making sure we are getting big money out of politics. It's time for us to stop allowing the billionaire class to buy our elections."

核心看法:莱纳德说,想到可能要反对首位黑人众议院议长,他感到“心痛”,但“罗马正在燃烧。”

The bottom line: Leonard said it "aches" his heart to potentially oppose the first Black speaker of the House, but that "Rome is burning."

这位俄亥俄州民主党人表示,他需要能够告诉选区选民,“领袖与我们有着同样的变革紧迫感,并愿意动用其党团的规模去大干一场。”

• The Ohio Democrat said he needs to be able to tell his districts "the leader shares our sense of urgency for transformational change and is willing to take the size of his caucus and take it for a spin."

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