11月11日 - Vanda Research在周三的一份报告中表示，Anthropic在上市首日可能迎来散户投资者创纪录的买入，有望超过SpaceX，成为历史上单日散户买入规模最大的案例之一。
Nov 11 - Anthropic could see record buying by retail investors in its market debut, potentially surpassing SpaceX and making it one of the biggest single-day retail purchases in history, Vanda Research said in a note on Wednesday.
这家研究公司预计，基于对上市首日散户交易活动的分析以及其在Hyperliquid上交易的IPO前永续合约成交量，Anthropic的上市将吸引约2.5亿美元的散户净买入。这将是SpaceX首次公开募股时1.18亿美元散户买入纪录的两倍。
The research firm expects Anthropic’s debut to attract about $250 million in net retail buying, based on its analysis of retail activity on listing days and the volume of its pre-IPO perpetual futures traded on Hyperliquid. This would be twice SpaceX’s IPO record of $118 million in retail buying.
“从IPO前永续合约交易来看，Anthropic有望成为散户参与规模创纪录的IPO，”Vanda Research全球宏观策略师维拉杰·帕特尔在报告中表示。
"Judging by pre-IPO perp trading, Anthropic is shaping up to be a record retail IPO," Viraj Patel, global macro strategist at Vanda Research said, in the note.
IPO前永续合约是一种衍生品合约，在Hyperliquid和Coinbase等交易所交易，允许交易者对非上市公司的估值进行押注。它们与标的股票没有直接关联，但定价参照公司最新披露的IPO前估值。
Pre-IPO perpetual futures are a type of derivative contract which trade on exchanges like Hyperliquid and Coinbase, and allow traders to bet on private companies’ valuation. They have no direct link to the underlying shares but are priced with reference to the company’s latest disclosed pre-IPO valuation.
这家数据公司补充说，自2024年以来，仅有六只股票的单日散户买入额超过2.5亿美元。
Only six stocks have topped $250 million in single-day retail buying since 2024, the data firm added.
“Anthropic下周可能吸引到我们数据中罕见的散户买入规模，”Vanda表示。
"Anthropic next week could draw the kind of retail buying that we’ve rarely seen in our data," Vanda said.
Anthropic的目标是在IPO中达到最高1.4万亿美元的估值，股票预计将于11月19日在纳斯达克开始交易。
Anthropic is targeting a valuation of up to $1.4 trillion in its IPO, with shares expected to start trading on the Nasdaq on November 19.
Vanda Research称Anthropic IPO可能吸引创纪录的散户买入 风险披露：金融工具和/或加密货币交易涉及高风险，包括可能损失部分或全部投资金额，并非适合所有投资者。加密货币价格极度波动，可能受到金融、监管或政治事件等外部因素的影响。保证金交易会增加财务风险。
Anthropic IPO could draw record retail buying, Vanda Research says Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
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