
美国和中东官员以及了解谈判情况的人士称,副总统JD·万斯正考虑与伊朗一名高级安全官员面对面会谈。万斯正成为与伊朗谈判的主要负责人,目的是结束一场被视为拖累共和党的战争。
Vice President JD Vance is considering face-to-face talks with a top Iranian security official as he emerges as the lead negotiator with Iran, say U.S. and Middle East officials and people familiar with the negotiations, in an effort to end a war seen as a drag on the Republican Party.
美国和中东官员称,近日,特朗普总统已告知高级助手和对应官员,他对万斯重启与伊朗的谈判持开放态度,并授权万斯进行谈判。美国官员强调,关于派万斯直接会见伊朗官员的讨论仍处于初步阶段。
In recent days, President Trump has told top aides and counterparts he’s open to Vance restarting talks with Iran and has empowered him to negotiate, U.S. and Middle Eastern officials said. U.S. officials stressed that discussions about sending Vance to meet directly with Iranian officials remain preliminary.
万斯于10月致信伊朗最高安全机构强硬派秘书穆赫辛·雷扎伊,要求举行会晤。会晤日期尚未确定,但两国正通过调解方和盟友讨论下一步安排。
Vance sent a letter in October to Iran’s Mohsen Rezaei, the hard-line secretary of Iran’s top security body, asking for a meeting. No date has been set, but the countries are talking through mediators and allies about what comes next.
副总统与伊朗高级安全官员直接会晤将非同寻常,显示万斯为结束这场战争愿意付出多大努力。
A direct meeting between the vice president and top Iranian security officials would be unusual and show the lengths Vance is willing to go to try to end the war.
美国官员称,万斯近来在伊朗外交中扮演的角色比特使史蒂夫·威特科夫和贾里德·库什纳更为积极。威特科夫和库什纳也在参与结束俄罗斯与乌克兰战争的谈判。
The vice president has taken a more active role in Iran diplomacy lately than special envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, who are also negotiating to end to the war between Russia and Ukraine, U.S. officials said.
其中一些官员称,把自己定位为与伊朗的主要对话者,对万斯而言存在政治风险,因为这可能使他成为又一轮和平谈判的门面,而如果伊朗拒绝作出重大让步,谈判可能以失败告终。反过来,他也可能成为结束一场不受欢迎冲突的胜利者。
Positioning himself as the primary interlocutor with Iran is politically risky for Vance, some of these officials said, as it potentially makes him the face of another round of peace talks that could end in failure if Iran refuses to make significant concessions. Alternatively, he could emerge as a victor who ended an unpopular conflict.
两名官员表示,特朗普近几周私下批评了万斯协助谈判达成的六月谅解备忘录,质疑它是否是一个代价高昂的错误,认为它给了伊朗关键的时间来重整旗鼓并在美国实施海上封锁前攫取石油收入。一名白宫官员否认特朗普对这份谅解备忘录有重新考虑,并表示谈判代表是本着诚意行事的。万斯的发言人拒绝置评。
Trump in recent weeks has privately criticized the June memorandum of understanding that Vance helped negotiate and questioned whether it was a costly mistake, two officials said, arguing that it gave Iran critical time to regroup and rake in oil revenues before the U.S. imposed a naval blockade. A White House official denied that Trump had second thoughts about the MOU and said the negotiators had operated in good faith. A spokesman for Vance declined to comment.
在白宫内部,万斯还因公开将共和党在中期选举中的惨败归咎于这场战争而显得与众不同。特朗普表示他理解万斯的立场,但他仍会再次这样做。
Within the White House, Vance has also set himself apart by publicly blaming the war for Republicans’ disastrous performance in the midterms. Trump said he understood Vance’s position but would do it again.
其他内阁官员,包括国务卿马尔科·鲁比奥和国防部长皮特·赫格塞思,都为总统开战的决定辩护,称特朗普没有其他选择来阻止伊朗获得核武器。伊朗否认寻求原子弹,尽管它拥有高浓缩铀库存。一名白宫官员表示,只有特朗普知道他在伊朗问题上的下一步行动。
Other cabinet officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, have defended the president’s decision to go to war, saying Trump had no other option to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. Iran denies seeking an atomic bomb, though it has a stockpile of highly enriched uranium. A White House official said only Trump knows what his next move will be on Iran.
万斯周一上午会见了卡塔尔首相,两人随后与特朗普及其他白宫官员会面。特朗普称这次会面非常出色。据知情人士透露,如果万斯与伊朗官员同意会面,多哈被视为下一阶段谈判的可能地点。
Vance met with the Qatari prime minister on Monday morning, and the two later met with Trump and other White House officials. Trump called the meeting excellent. Doha has been considered as a possible venue for the next phase of negotiations if Vance and Iranian officials agree to meet, people familiar with the discussions said.
伊朗的要求使美国重启谈判的努力变得复杂,伊朗官员称中期选举的失利是争取更有利条件的良机。据了解其想法的人士透露,伊朗官员希望美国解除封锁、释放冻结资产并放松石油制裁,以此作为重启谈判的前提条件。
Iran’s demands have complicated U.S. efforts to restart talks, with Iranian officials saying the midterm loss is an opportunity to drive a hard bargain. Iranian officials want the U.S. to lift the blockade, release frozen assets and ease oil sanctions as a precondition for renewed talks, according to people familiar with their thinking.
“伊朗的要求完全不切实际。我们预计情况可能会改变,如果改变了,我们将准备好进行外交接触,”鲁比奥周二表示。
“The Iranian demands are totally unrealistic. We expect that could change, and if it does, we’ll be prepared for diplomacy,” Rubio said on Tuesday.
调解方已提出旨在双方之间建立信任的立即措施。中东官员表示,这些措施包括美国将航母后撤到足够远的距离,以降低发生大规模打击的风险,并放松对伊朗港口的封锁。官员们称,作为交换,伊朗将允许25艘油轮通过霍尔木兹海峡。
Mediators have proposed immediate measures to build confidence between the two sides. They include the U.S. pulling back its aircraft carriers far enough to reduce the risk of major strikes and easing the blockade on Iranian ports, Middle East officials said. In exchange, Iran would allow 25 tankers to cross the Strait of Hormuz, according to the officials.
伊朗外交官私下表示怀疑协议是否能够达成。他们担心特朗普仍可能发动攻击,以证明其此前决定开战是正确的,并指出此前的谈判是被以色列和美国的打击所中断的。
Iranian diplomats are privately expressing doubt that a deal is within reach. They are concerned Trump may still attack to vindicate his previous decision to go to war and have noted that previous talks were halted by Israeli and U.S. strikes.
一些中东调解方也对未来几天内能否达成协议持怀疑态度,理由是伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队官员向他们转达了更为强硬的讯息。
Some Middle East mediators also remain skeptical that a deal can be reached in the coming days, citing more aggressive messages relayed to them via officials from Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.
其他中东官员担心,革命卫队强硬派总司令艾哈迈德·瓦希迪的影响力大于立场不那么鹰派的雷扎伊,可能破坏与美国的任何谈判。
Other Middle East officials worry that Ahmed Vahidi, the hard-line commander in chief of the Guard, holds more sway than the less hawkish Rezaei and could undermine any talks with the U.S.

近日,随着可能与万斯会面的传闻升温,雷扎伊也升级了自己的言论。他将任何谈判斥为“想象中的会谈”,并坚称伊朗“不会从本国运出哪怕一粒浓缩核材料”。这些言论可能有助于他保住自己的地位,因为在伊斯兰堡会谈期间,万斯的对话方、议会议长穆罕默德·巴格尔·卡利巴夫做出了和解姿态,导致卡利巴夫被边缘化。
Rezaei in recent days escalated his own rhetoric as rumors of a possible meeting with Vance gained momentum. He dismissed any negotiations as “imaginary talks” and insisted that Iran “won’t remove even a single particle of enriched nuclear material from the country.”Those remarks may help him maintain his position, as conciliatory moves from Vance’s interlocutor during talks in Islamabad—parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf—led to Ghalibaf being sidelined.
特朗普周一下午在白宫再次发出打击威胁,称美国在封锁问题上维持现状,但仍可能改变路线。“伊朗,我希望我们能够与他们达成协议,”特朗普说,随后又补充说,美国正在向该地区调动另一艘航空母舰,如有必要,美国“已装填得满满当当”。
Trump threatened strikes again on Monday afternoon from the White House, saying the U.S. was maintaining the status quo on the blockade but could still change course. “Iran, I hope we’re going to be able to make a deal with them,” Trump said, before adding that the U.S. was moving another aircraft carrier into the region and was “loaded up to the gills” if necessary.
万斯为推动和平所作的最后努力——6月在瑞士与伊朗会谈——促成了战斗暂停并达成一份谅解备忘录,但未能获得伊朗任何承诺,既未承诺限制其核计划,也未承诺放弃对霍尔木兹海峡航运的控制。
Vance’s last push for peace—talks with Iran in Switzerland in June—resulted in a pause in fighting and a memorandum of understanding, but secured no Iranian commitments to limit its nuclear program or relinquish its control over shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
在政府内部,关于下一步的辩论已从是否重启战争转向是否重启和谈,还是仅仅维持对伊朗的海上封锁和制裁,直到其领导人准备好达成一项可行的和平协议。
Within the administration, the debate over what comes next has shifted from whether or not to reignite war to whether to restart peace talks or simply maintain the naval blockade and sanctions on Iran until its leaders are ready to make a viable peace deal.
“目前,经济施压行动及其对伊朗政权造成的压力和破坏效果非常好,总统确实没有任何必要开展大规模作战行动,”鲁比奥周二在巴黎七国集团外长会议间隙对记者说。他还表示,如果伊朗越过任何红线,美军仍随时准备与其对抗。
“At this point, the economic campaign and the pressure and the devastation that our economic campaign is having on the Iranian regime is working so well that the president really doesn’t have any need to conduct major combat operations,” Rubio told reporters on Tuesday on the sidelines of a Group of Seven foreign ministers meeting in Paris. He added that the U.S. military remains ready to confront Iran if it crosses any red lines.
两名美国官员说,鲁比奥和白宫新任幕僚长斯蒂芬·米勒都支持维持对伊朗的施压行动,等待德黑兰屈服。
Rubio and new White House chief of staff Stephen Miller are supportive of maintaining the pressure campaign on Iran and waiting for Tehran to fold, two of the U.S. officials said.