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战争威胁再起之际,JD·万斯接触伊朗强硬派,探讨谈判可能性JD Vance reaches out to Iranian hardliner over possibility of talks amid fresh war threats

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美国副总统JD·万斯据报道已联系上伊朗一名“最强硬的强硬派”人士,此举发生在总统唐纳德·特朗普权衡下周中期选举后是否恢复对伊朗采取军事行动的可能性之际。据《华尔街日报》报道,万斯在特朗普指示下,向伊朗最高国家安全委员会高级人物、伊斯兰革命卫队(IRGC)前长期指挥官穆赫森·雷扎伊发送了一封信。

US vice president JD Vance has reportedly reached out to one of Iran's “most powerful hardliner” as President Donald Trump weighs the possibility of resuming military action against Iran following next week’s midterm elections. According to a report in The Wall Street Journal, Vance sent a letter, at Trump’s direction, to Mohsen Rezaei, a senior figure in Iran’s Supreme National Security Council and a former longtime commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).The move appears to be an attempt by Vance to explore whether Washington and Tehran could find enough common ground to persuade Trump not to give a final order for a short, intense attack on Iran in the coming weeks.

此举似乎是万斯试图探讨华盛顿和德黑兰是否能找到足够的共同点,以说服特朗普在未来几周内不对伊朗发动短期、高强度攻击的最终命令。据知情人士向该报透露,万斯的信以及随后美伊官员之间的交流并未涉及和平提议的具体内容,而是集中于建立可能的谈判框架。特朗普称“不喜欢”巴基斯兰斡旋的伊朗和平协议,德黑兰予以反击。

Vance’s letter and subsequent exchanges between US and Iranian officials have not included specifics for a peace proposal, but have instead focused on establishing a possible framework for negotiations, according to a person familiar with the matter cited in the report. Trump says ‘never liked’ Pakistan-brokered Iran peace deal, Tehran hits backHowever, both Trump and Rezaei have shown little interest in negotiations.

然而,特朗普和雷扎伊都对谈判兴趣不大。上周,美国总统表示政府不与伊朗人谈判,并暗示即将发动打击。“我们不与他们谈判,我们无论如何都会有所行动,很快就会发生,”他说。雷扎伊也强调,除非先满足伊朗的关键要求,否则伊朗不会与华盛顿进行谈判,这凸显了缓和两国紧张关系所面临的挑战。据《华尔街日报》报道,一些美国官员认为,与伊朗强硬派交谈可能会取得更好的外交结果,这些强硬派自战争初期美以攻击杀害政权领导人以来,在德黑兰积累了权力。

Last week, the US President said the administration wasn’t talking with the Iranians, and hinted at forthcoming strikes.“We’re not negotiating with them, we are going to have something one way or another, it’ll happen soon,” he said. Rezaei also stressed that Iran would not enter talks with Washington unless its key demands were met first, highlighting the challenges facing efforts to ease tensions between the two countries. Some US officials believe that talking to Iranian hard-liners, who have amassed power in Tehran since the US and Israel attacks killed regime leaders at the war’s outset, might yield a better diplomatic result, according to WSJ.

万斯在中期选举前的接触。万斯的接触发生在共和党面临在中期选举中失去众议院和参议院席位、可能失去一院或两院控制权的风险之时。

Vance’s outreach before midterm electionsVance’s outreach comes as Republicans face the risk of losing seats in the House and Senate in the midterm elections, potentially losing control of one or both chambers.

与伊朗的冲突以及燃料价格上涨加剧了选民对特朗普及其共和党同僚的不满。万斯的一位发言人拒绝就谈话发表评论,白宫则将问题转交给副总统团队。伊朗外交部表示,没有关于万斯接触的信息,据《华尔街日报》报道,礼萨伊和最高国家安全委员会无法置评。伊朗外长阿巴斯·阿拉格奇表示:“虽然我们勇敢的武装力量已做好捍卫家园的充分准备,但伊朗继续给外交成功留出机会。”

The conflict with Iran and rising fuel prices have added to voters’ frustration with Trump and his fellow Republicans.A spokesman for Vance declined to comment on the talks, while the White House referred questions to the vice president’s team. Iran’s foreign ministry said it had no information about Vance’s outreach, and Rezaei and the Supreme National Security Council could not be reached for comment, according to WSJ. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said, “While our Brave Armed Forces are fully prepared to defend the Homeland, Iran continues to give diplomacy a chance to succeed.”m off’: Trump says it's ‘decision time’ on Iran as US midterms nearVance’s reservations about prolonging warWhile Vance has publicly supported the war against Iran, he has privately expressed concerns about prolonging the conflict.

特朗普称,随着美国中期选举临近,对伊朗问题已到了“决策时刻”。万斯对延长战争持保留态度。尽管万斯公开支持对伊朗的战争,但他私下对延长冲突表示担忧。特朗普2月发动“史诗般的狂怒行动”之前,万斯主张加强外交努力。他后来被任命为首席谈判代表,两次出国与伊朗官员会面,试图达成最终协议。礼萨伊曾在1980年代伊朗与伊拉克的战争中领导伊朗革命卫队,在日益增长的美国威胁中成为一位有影响力的强硬派。

Before Trump launched “Operation Epic Fury” in February, Vance pushed for stronger diplomatic efforts. He was later appointed as the lead negotiator, and travelled abroad twice to meet Iranian officials in an attempt to reach a final agreement. Rezaei, who led Iran’s Revolutionary Guard during the 1980s war with Iraq, has become an influential hardliner amid growing US threats.

本月早些时候,他警告称,伊朗可能会袭击阿拉伯联合酋长国,以及该地区的数据中心和互联网电缆。周日,礼萨伊在德黑兰与沙特阿拉伯、巴基斯坦和土耳其的安全负责人举行了一次罕见会晤。据《华尔街日报》报道,此次会晤发生在地区国家寻求降低紧张局势之际,此前的访问更多涉及外交官而非高级安全官员。美国与伊朗的谈判持续进行。美国与伊朗之间的多次谈判未能达成持久协议。

Earlier this month, he warned that Iran could target the United Arab Emirates, along with data centres and internet cables across the region. On Sunday, Rezaei held a rare meeting in Tehran with security chiefs from Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkey. The meeting came as regional countries sought to reduce tensions, with previous visits more commonly involving diplomats rather than senior security officials, according to WSJ. Continued negotiations between US and IranRepeated talks between the US and Iran have failed to produce a lasting agreement.

6月签署的一份“谅解备忘录”仅两周后便告破裂,双方在如何恢复霍尔木兹海峡航运问题上存在分歧。特朗普希望伊朗在其核计划上做出重大让步,而德黑兰要求立即获得经济救济。与此同时,美国继续封锁伊朗港口,经霍尔木兹海峡的石油运输仍受影响。在外交解决前景不明的情况下,特朗普近期在竞选集会上表示,他预计与伊朗的战争将重燃,并坚称冲突只有在他决定结束时才会终结。

“他们想达成协议,但喜欢拖着。也许他们在等大选之类的——但这对他们没好处,”特朗普周二晚对记者说。

A “memorandum of understanding” signed in June collapsed just two weeks later, as both sides disagreed over how to reopen shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Trump wants Iran to agree to major concessions on its nuclear programme, while Tehran is demanding immediate economic relief. Meanwhile, the US continues to block Iranian ports, and oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz remain affected. With no clear path to a diplomatic solution, Trump has said in recent campaign appearances that he expects the war with Iran to resume, insisting that the conflict will end only when he decides it is time.“They’ve wanted to make a deal, but they like tapping it along. Maybe they’re waiting for the election or something—but that’s not gonna help them,” Trump told reporters on Tuesday night.

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