美国副总统万斯周一表示审慎乐观,认为仍有可能达成协议,以阻止特朗普总统兑现其威胁,即可能下令对伊朗在美国大选期间发动新的打击。万斯上周致信伊朗安全事务高级官员穆赫辛·礼萨伊,但白鲜提供了关于该信函内容的极少细节。特朗普对记者表示,那封信的重点是协助伊朗提供“医疗物资和各种东西”。但万斯周一表示,有理由相信美国和伊朗仍可能达成协议。
US Vice President JD Vance offered measured optimism on Monday that a deal can still be struck to prevent President Trump from following through on his threat to potentially order new strikes on Iran elections in the United States. Vance sent a letter to Iran’s security chief, Mohsen Rezaei, last week, but the White House has offered scant details about the contents of that correspondence. Trump told reporters that letter was focused on assisting Iran with “medical supplies and various things.”But Vance on Monday suggested there's reason to believe that the U.S. and Iran could still come to an agreement.“We’ve had a number of good conversations with the Iranians,” Vance told reporters on Monday when asked about the letter.
“我们与伊朗人进行了多次良好的对话,”万斯周一在被问及该信函时对记者说。“我实际上就在大约一小时前刚与美国总统讨论过此事。看,总统和我都对通过谈判达成和解的前景感到相当乐观。我们将继续为此努力。”
“I actually just spoke with the president of the United States about an hour ago about this. Look, the president and I both feel pretty good about the prospects for potentially coming to a negotiated settlement. We’re going to keep on working at it.”
特朗普在中期选举后“不急于”发动伊朗打击,随着大选日临近释放“协议可能达成”信号万斯的言论发表之际,该地区对美国恢复对伊朗全面军事行动的前景仍处于紧张状态。这些幕后努力正在进行中,与此同时,以色列和一些中东盟友正在就这场已持续8个月、动摇全球市场并重创伊朗的战争的未来走向向特朗普施加影响。
Trump ‘in no rush’ to launch Iran strikes after midterms, signals deal ‘could happen’ as election day comes closeVance's comments came as the region remains on edge about the prospects of the U.S. resuming full-scale operations against Iran. The backchannel efforts are playing out as Israel and some Middle East allies lobby Trump on the way ahead in the 8-month-old war that's rattled global markets and wreaked havoc on Iran.
内塔尼亚胡在周末通话中推动特朗普发动打击据两名地区官员和一名知情人士透露,以色列总理内塔尼亚胡正在推动在美国周二大选后对伊朗发动另一轮打击。与伊朗重返全面战争可能有助于内塔尼亚胡在上周议会选举中他及其极右翼盟友失去议会多数席位后组建紧急政府。
Netanyahu pushed Trump for strikes in a weekend callIsraeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is pushing for another wave of strikes on Iran after Tuesday's elections in the United States, according to two regional officials and a third person familiar with the matter.A return to full-scale war with Iran could help Netanyahu to form an emergency government after he and his far-right allies lost their parliamentary majority in last week's elections.
特朗普在威胁大规模打击和推动与伊朗达成协议之间反复摇摆。两名官员表示,外交努力已取得进展,卡塔尔调解人上周与伊朗官员举行了两轮会谈。这两名官员称,调解人正试图推进一项框架,即伊朗停止在霍尔木兹海峡的袭击,作为交换,美国解除对伊朗港口的封锁。伊朗称两天内准备好重新开放霍尔木兹海峡:“一切取决于美国”他们表示,本周还计划举行更多会谈。
Trump has alternated between threatening major strikes and pushing for a deal with Iran. The two officials said diplomatic efforts have made progress, with Qatari mediators holding two rounds of talks last week with Iranian officials. The two officials said the mediators are trying to advance a framework for Iran to cease its attacks in the Strait of Hormuz in return for the U.S. lifting its blockade on Iran's ports. Iran says ready to reopen Strait of Hormuz in two days: ‘Everything depends on US’They said more talks are planned for this week.
这两名官员因讨论他们从美国官员(在其中一例中还包括以色列官员)那里收到的机密简报,要求匿名发言。一名官员表示,内塔尼亚胡正与美国政府高级官员合作,劝说特朗普发动一场迅速但大规模的空中行动,而总统似乎尚未做出决定。据一名知情人士透露,内塔尼亚胡在周末与特朗普的通话中施压要求打击,特朗普未承诺采取军事行动。
The two officials spoke on condition of anonymity because they were discussing classified briefings they had received from American, and in one case Israeli, officials. One official said Netanyahu was working with senior officials in the U.S. administration to persuade Trump to launch a quick but extensive air campaign and that the president does not appear to have made a decision. Netanyahu pressed for strikes during a call over the weekend with Trump, who would not commit to taking military action, according to a person who was briefed on it.
一名地区官员称,中东其他美国盟友警告不要进行更多打击,称这将使该地区局势动荡,并可能导致也门伊朗支持的胡塞武装加强对沙特阿拉伯和红海航运的袭击。伊拉克伊朗支持的民兵组织也可能介入。以色列政府未立即置评。白宫未直接回应关于内塔尼亚胡和特朗普在周末通话中讨论潜在新打击行动的问题。沙特国防大臣哈立德·本·萨勒曼王子表示,他周一通过电话与美国国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯就“最新地区和国际事态发展”以及胡塞武装持续袭击沙特阿拉伯一事进行了讨论。
Other U.S. allies in the Middle East are warning against more strikes, saying that would destabilize the region and could lead Iran-allied Houthi rebels in Yemen to step up their attacks on Saudi Arabia and Red Sea shipping, a third regional official said. Iran-backed militias in Iraq could also get involved. The Israeli government did not immediately comment. The White House did not directly respond to questions about Netanyahu and Trump’s discussion of potential new strikes during the weekend call. Saudi Defense Minister Prince Khalid bin Salman said he spoke by phone on Monday with U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth about “the latest regional and international developments" and the Houthis' continued attacks on Saudi Arabia.
特朗普在中期选举前夕淡化伊朗冲突规模内塔尼亚胡在以色列大选前便推动重启打击,试图向因哈马斯2023年10月7日袭击而深受创伤的选民展示其安全资历。但这场战争也在美国周二的中期选举前,对美国选民产生了重大影响。周一,随着重启外交努力结束美伊战争似显露曙光,油价大幅下跌。油价上涨是战争的副产品,一直拖累特朗普的共和党,后者正试图保持对国会两院的控制权。
Trump downplays scale of Iran conflict on Election Day eveNetanyahu had pushed for renewed strikes even before the Israeli election as he sought to highlight his security credentials to a public deeply scarred by Hamas' Oct. 7, 2023, attack. But the war has also loomed large for American voters ahead of Tuesday's midterm elections. Oil prices dropped sharply on Monday as renewed diplomatic efforts to end the war between the U.S. and Iran appeared to show signs of headway. Rising prices at the pump, a byproduct of the war, have been a weight on Trump’s Republican Party as it tries to maintain control of both chambers of Congress.
特朗普周一在华盛顿的演讲中提到油价下跌,该演讲被视为其向美国选民的最后陈词,他试图将冲突规模最小化,这场冲突已耗费美国纳税人至少470亿美元。“我甚至不知道该不该称之为战争,因为我们已经有几个月没有进行任何战斗了,”特朗普说。自以色列大选以来,内塔尼亚胡未就伊朗问题发表评论,其办公室也未就最近一次与特朗普的通话发布消息。
Trump noted the drop in a speech in Washington on Monday, which was billed as his closing argument to Americans, and sought to minimize the scale of the conflict, which has cost U.S. taxpayers at least $47 billion.“I don’t know if you even call it a war, because we haven’t been doing any fighting for months,” Trump said. Netanyahu has not commented on Iran since the Israeli election, and there was no word from his office on the latest call with Trump.
伊朗称备战同时寻求外交伊朗希望获得美国将落实协议任何条款的担保。美国和以色列曾两次在伊朗就其有争议的核计划进行谈判期间对其发动袭击。伊朗官员公开表示,他们既准备好应战,也准备好外交斡旋。新任最高领袖阿亚图拉·穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊会见伊朗军方高层,称对美国或以色列“任何种类和程度的威胁”都应立即回应,且不设“地理限制”,并敦促扩大潜在打击目标清单。
Iran says it is prepared for war while pursuing diplomacyIran wants guarantees that the U.S. will implement its side of any agreement. The U.S. and Israel have twice attacked Iran while it was engaged in negotiations over its disputed nuclear program. Iranian officials say publicly they are prepared for war or diplomacy. The new supreme leader, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, met with Iran’s military chiefs and said the response to “any kind and level of threat” from the U.S. or Israel should be immediate and without “geographic limits,” and urged an expansion of the list of potential targets.A recent analysis by The Associated Press found that Iranian strikes on more than two dozen U.S. bases since the start of the war have caused billions of dollars in equipment damage.
美联社近期的一项分析发现,伊朗对二十多个美国……战争爆发以来,对基地的袭击已造成数十亿美元的装备损失。自2月28日以色列和美国发动首轮打击、击毙其父、前任最高领袖以来,哈梅内伊未曾公开露面。
Khamenei has not been seen publicly since the opening strikes by Israel and the U.S. on Feb. 28, which killed his father, the previous supreme leader.
伊朗安全事务高级官员穆赫辛·雷扎伊对国家电视台表示,美国的“语调完全变了”,并称这是“非常好的迹象”。他未透露上周伊朗确认收到的万斯来信细节,并称尚未作出回应。
Iran’s security chief, Mohsen Rezaei, told state television that “the tone has completely changed” from the U.S. and called it a “very good sign.”He also gave no details about the letter he received from Vance, which Iran acknowledged last week, and said he had not responded.
与此同时,万斯周一对记者表示,共和党政府最关心的是伊朗同意在核计划问题上采取实质性行动。“我们认为那里确实存在一条路径,但这确实需要坚定的承诺和可核查的承诺,即他们不重建核计划,”万斯补充道。阿拉伯盟友陷入两难10月霍尔木兹海峡商船遭袭次数达到3月以来最高,伊朗试图加大对美经济施压,迫使其解除封锁。
Meanwhile, Vance told reporters on Monday that the Republican administration's foremost concern is Iran agreeing to take substantive action on its nuclear program.“We do think that there is a pathway there, but it really does require a firm commitment and a verifiable commitment that they don’t rebuild that nuclear program,” Vance added. Arab allies are caught in the middleOctober saw the most attacks on commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz since March, as Iran has tried to ramp up economic pressure on the U.S. to get it to lift its blockade.
在巴林举行的年度“麦纳麦对话”安全峰会上气氛凝重,该峰会由国际战略研究所主办。
The mood was grim at the Manama Dialogue, an annual security summit in Bahrain organized by the International Institute for Strategic Studies.
阿联酋总统顾问安瓦尔·加尔加什告诉与会者,美伊立场相距甚远,“如果这些立场无法弥合,我们就必须担心最坏的结果。”
United Arab Emirates presidential adviser Anwar Gargash told attendees the U.S. and Iranian stances are far apart, and “if these positions are not bridged, then we have to worry about the worst.”
自战争爆发以来,海湾国家已投入数十亿美元提升国防能力。埃及外长巴德尔·阿卜杜拉蒂在巴林会议上表示,下一轮升级“将更加危险、更具破坏性,且将一事无成”。
Gulf nations have spent billions of dollars to boost their defense capabilities since the war began. Egypt’s Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty told the gathering in Bahrain that the next escalation “will be more dangerous, more destructive, and it will lead to nowhere.”
中国外交部发言人毛宁周一表示,中国将于11月上中旬派遣特使前往伊朗、阿曼和沙特阿拉伯。
China will send a special envoy to Iran, Oman and Saudi Arabia in early to mid-November, Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning told reporters Monday.