据彭博社报道，引述一份西方情报报告，伊朗目前每月能够制造约50枚弹道导弹——大致为战前产能的一半——这使其在敌对行动若重启时，相对于报复行动拥有显著优势，尽管已遭受数月空袭。
Iran is capable of building about 50 ballistic missiles per month — roughly half its pre-war capacity — giving it a significant edge over retaliation if hostilities resume despite months of airstrikes, Bloomberg reported, citing a western intelligence report.
美国自战争伊始就坚称，伊朗的导弹储备及其重建能力已遭严重削弱。唐纳德·特朗普总统多次宣称，美军已摧毁伊朗的海军、空军及军事基础设施。国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯周二重申该说法，称伊朗80%的工业基础已被摧毁。
The US has maintained since the early days of the war that Iran’s missile arsenal and its ability to rebuild it had been severely degraded. President Donald Trump has repeatedly claimed that the US military had destroyed Iran’s navy, air force and military infrastructure. Defence secretary Pete Hegseth reiterated the claim on Tuesday, saying that 80% of Iran’s industrial base had been destroyed.
然而据彭博社报道，一名西方官员援引军事情报评估称，伊朗很可能仍拥有至少1700枚弹道导弹，并继续以约战前一半的速度生产更多。
However, according to Bloomberg, Iran likely has at least 1,700 ballistic missiles remaining and is continuing to produce more at roughly half its pre-war rate, a western official said, citing military intelligence assessments.
伊斯兰革命卫队（IRGC）周二还发布画面，展示其所谓的新地下“导弹城市”揭幕仪式。根据彭博社报道，在半官方法尔斯通讯社发布的革命卫队视频中，武装部队参谋长阿里·阿卜杜拉希将军在导弹设施内对部队表示：“未来战争中的惊喜将接连揭晓。”
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) also released footage on Tuesday showing what it described as the unveiling of a new underground “missile city.”In the IRGC video, published by the semi-official Fars news agency, General Ali Abdollahi, the armed forces’ chief of staff, told troops in the missile facility that “surprises in a future war will be revealed one after the other,” according to Bloomberg.
伦敦国王学院战争研究系访问研究员、曾专门研究伊朗和中东事务的前中情局分析师吉姆·兰姆森表示，伊朗武库中可能还剩有数千架“见证者”型攻击无人机。
Iran may also have thousands of Shahed-type attack drones remaining in its arsenal, said Jim Lamson, a visiting research fellow in the Department of War Studies at King’s College London and a former CIA analyst specialising in Iran and the Middle East.
伊朗武库中剩余弹道导弹和“见证者”无人机的确切数量难以确定，因为其战前储备规模未知。
The exact number of ballistic missiles and Shahed drones remaining in Iran’s arsenal is difficult to establish, as its pre-war stockpile is unknown.
不清楚也有多少导弹Tehran在它们被发射或摧毁后能够更换。自2月28日冲突开始以来，伊朗已发射超过4,900架螺旋桨驱动的“沙赫德”攻击无人机，以及至少2,200枚弹道导弹，据Bloomberg Economics报道。西方情报官员也表示，俄罗斯正向伊朗提供打击武器，但具体型号和数量尚不清楚。特朗普否决军事行动特朗普周一表示，将不再对伊朗采取军事行动。
It is also unclear how many missiles Tehran has been able to replace after they were fired or destroyed. Since the conflict began on February 28, Iran has launched more than 4,900 Shahed propeller-driven attack drones and at least 2,200 ballistic missiles, according to Bloomberg Economics. Western intelligence officials have also said Russia is providing strike weapons to Iran, although the type and number are not known. Trump rules out military actionTrump on Monday ruled out further military action against Iran.
特朗普的言论紧随其与卡塔尔首相谢赫穆罕默德的闭门会晤，是特朗普领导的共和党在上周美国中期选举中大败后的最具决定性的表态。“伊朗在军事上已实质性垮台，”特朗普在周一白宫简报会对记者说。“我们只是维持现状。”然而，针对伊朗的封锁仍在继续——这是一项已构成战争的行为，已给德黑兰造成严重的经济痛苦——而伊朗仍在继续袭击商业航运。
Trump's comments, which came after a closed-door meeting with Qatar's PM Sheikh Mohammed, are his most decisive since the Trump-led Republican Party suffered a rout in the US midterm elections last week.“Iran militarily is effectively over,” Trump told reporters at a White House briefing Monday. “We’re just keeping it the status quo.”However, the blockade of Iran remains in place — an act of war that has imposed severe economic pain on Tehran — and Iran has continued to strike commercial shipping.
伊朗7条重启霍尔木兹海峡、与美国恢复谈判的条件据报道，伊朗议长穆罕默德·巴格尔·哈利法表示，下一步的责任现在由美国承担，伊朗等待收到针对其要求的官方回应。哈利法在接受Al Jazeera采访时表示，伊朗已向华盛顿发送了明确的条件回应，但未收到具体答复。“球现在在美国这边，他们必须做出决定并予以公布，”他说。
Iran’s 7 conditions for reopening Hormuz, resuming talks with USMeanwhile, Iran has laid out 7 conditions in order to reopen the Strait of Hormuz or resume negotiations with the United States. Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said the responsibility for the next move now rests with the US, as Iran waits for an official response to its demands. Speaking to Al Jazeera, Ghalibaf said Iran had already sent Washington a clear response outlining its conditions but had not received a specific answer.“The ball is now in the Americans’ court, and they must make a decision and announce it," he said.
他还警告美国总统特朗普不要重启对伊朗的军事行动，称：“如果特朗普决定再次开战，他将面临另一次失败。”(来源：Bloomberg)
He also warned US President Donald Trump against restarting military action against Iran, saying, “If Trump decides to go to war again, he will face another defeat."(With inputs from Bloomberg)