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民主党人如何立即开启移民改革的下一个时代How Democrats Can Start the Next Era of Immigration Reform Now

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2026年中期选举结果谴责了唐纳德·特朗普总统在经济方面的失败,并在几场竞争激烈的竞选中谴责了他的移民议程。2024年支持他的拉美裔选民重新转向民主党,帮助实现了政治上难以想象的结果。德克萨斯州选出了自1988年以来的首位民主党参议员和首位拉美裔女州长,而民主党赢得了所有四个南部边境州的州长职位和每一个南部边境国会选区。

The 2026 midterm election results rebuked President Donald Trump’s failures on the economy and, in several competitive races, his immigration agenda. Latino voters who backed him in 2024 swung back to Democrats, helping deliver the politically unthinkable. Texas elected its first Democratic senator since 1988 and its first Latina governor, while Democrats won governorships in all four southern border states and every southern border congressional district.

过去两年里,特朗普让边境趋于平静,但针对其大规模驱逐行动的反弹掩盖了这一成就,这表明选民想要一个安全的边境,但不希望在他们的社区看到同样的激进执法手段。

Over the last two years, Trump quieted the border but the backlash against his mass deportation campaign overshadowed that achievement, suggesting voters want a secure border without seeing the same aggressive enforcement tactics in their communities.

民主党获得了一个机会,可以说服选民它能在移民问题上提供比共和党更好的替代方案。如果民主党搞砸了,他们在2028年可能不会再有机会。

The party has been given a chance to persuade voters that it can offer a better alternative to Republicans on immigration. If Democrats blow it, they may not get another one in 2028.

特朗普当然不会让这变得容易。他针对中期选举失利的回应是提拔大规模驱逐政策的设计师斯蒂芬·米勒为白幕僚长。然而,在米勒获任命前接受罗斯·杜萨特在《60分钟》节目中的采访时,特朗普暗示他愿意与民主党达成移民协议。一天后,他收回了这些言论,表示不会给予无证移民大赦,且他的政策没有改变。

Trump is certainly not going to make it easy. He responded to his midterm losses by elevating Stephen Miller, the architect of mass deportations, to White House chief of staff. Yet in an interview with Ross Douthat on 60 Minutes recorded before Miller’s appointment, Trump suggested he was open to an immigration deal with Democrats. He walked those comments back a day later, saying there won’t be amnesty for undocumented immigrants and that his policy hasn’t changed.

民主党不应等待白宫,而应立即行动。他们可以利用监督权力减缓大规模驱逐,并通过移民立法提交到他桌面上。

Rather than wait for the White House, Democrats should act now. They can use their oversight power to slow down mass deportations and pass immigration legislation to put on his desk.

在防御层面,国会限制大规模驱逐行动的手段有限。美国移民与海关执法局(ICE)在过去两年获得的多年期拨款超过1130亿美元,若无新立法且缺乏足以推翻总统否决的多数席位,这笔资金无法被收回,也就需要特朗普的签署。话虽如此,如果他们能凑齐推翻否决的多数席位,国会应尝试通过新立法来限制这笔资金的用途。既然资金和基础设施已落实到位,对ICE和边境巡逻队的监督将至关重要,这有助于揭露滥权行为、追究政府责任并拖慢其行动步伐。

On the defensive front, Congress is limited in what it can do to rein in mass deportations. The multi-year funding Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) received in the last two years, more than $113 billion, cannot be taken away without new legislation and, absent a veto-proof majority, Trump’s signature. That being said, if they can collect a veto-proof majority, Congress should try to limit how that funding is used by passing new legislation. With the money and infrastructure already in place, oversight of ICE and the Border Patrol will be essential to exposing abuses, holding the administration accountable, and slowing them down.

但遏制ICE并不意味着不需要一个积极的愿景。民主党必须整顿队伍,两手都要抓。任何民主党方案都必须回应边境问题。而解决这一问题的关键掌握在当地当选的民主党人手中。与其等待下一位民主党总统在该问题上表现更好,南部边境四个州新当选的民主党州长现在就有机会重建信任。

But reining in ICE doesn’t eliminate the need for an affirmative vision. Democrats have to get organized and do both. Any Democratic plan needs to address the border. And the key to doing so lies in the hands of locally elected Democrats. Rather than waiting for the next Democratic president to do better on the issue, the four newly elected Democratic governors along the southern border have an opportunity to rebuild trust now.

几十年来,华盛顿制定边境政策时,很少听取被迫承受其后果的美国民众的意见。我在新墨西哥州南部的这类社区长大。立法者无视边境巡逻队针对拉美裔边境居民的暴力执法手段和种族定性,未能提供资源帮助社区应对移民紧急情况,也忽视了生活在贫民窟的美国人——这些服务欠缺的定居点缺乏大多数美国人视为理所当然的基本生活条件,从洁净饮用水到功能正常的污水系统。

For decades, Washington has made border policy with too little input from the Americans forced to live with its consequences. I grew up in one of these communities in southern New Mexico. Lawmakers have ignored Border Patrol’s violent tactics and racial profiling against Latino border residents, failed to provide resources to help communities manage migration emergencies, and neglected Americans who live in colonias, underserved settlements that lack the basic necessities most Americans take for granted, from clean drinking water to functioning sewage systems.

从我在华盛顿工作的经历来看,我见过对边境地区及其经济知之甚少的决策者做出决定,导致当地居民因更大的动荡、更高的成本和日常生活的中断而付出代价。

From my time working in Washington, I’ve watched policymakers with little understanding of the border region or its economy make decisions that leave residents paying the price through greater instability, higher costs, and disruptions to their daily lives.

如今,随着一位边境地区女性当选得克萨斯州州长,以及民主党掌控所有四个南部边境州的领导权,边境社区有机会塑造直接影响其生活的政策。这四位州长应制定一项边境安全协定,确立州级边境行动、经济发展、庇护制度改革以及应对未来移民紧急情况的共同优先事项,并以此协定为依据,向国会和政府施压,推动采取行动。

Now, with a fronteriza elected governor of Texas and Democratic leadership across all four southern border states, border communities have an opportunity to shape the policies that directly affect their lives. The four governors should develop a border security compact that sets shared priorities for state-level border operations, economic development, asylum reform, and preparations for future migration emergencies, and then use that compact to press Congress and the administration for action.

这可能是特朗普政府愿意合作的一个领域。通过与联邦官员和墨西哥合作,州长们可以明确表示:民主党不会容忍边境混乱,同时推动建立一套新制度,使寻求人道主义保护不再需要依赖偷渡客非法进入美国。

This is one area where there may be welcome collaboration from the Trump Administration. Working with federal officials and Mexico, the governors can make clear that Democrats will not tolerate chaos at the border while advancing a new system in which seeking humanitarian protection no longer requires relying on human smugglers to cross illegally into the United States.

无论特朗普卸任后由民主党人还是共和党人继任,州长们也必须为可能出现的另一波移民潮做好准备。四年的限制性移民政策和残酷执法可能会积压移民需求,关于边境是否会重新开放的错误信息将四处流传。边境州应当现在就开始准备,而不是等到下一次危机爆发。

The governors must also prepare for the possibility of another migration surge after Trump leaves office, regardless of who succeeds him, Democrat or Republican. Four years of restrictive immigration policies and cruel enforcement could create pent-up demand for migration, and misinformation about whether the border will reopen will abound. Border states should begin preparing now rather than waiting for another crisis.

在民主党致力于约束美国移民与海关执法局(ICE)并重建边境信任的同时,他们也必须回应那些将“我已投票”贴纸贴在雷妮·妮可·古德、亚历克斯·普雷蒂和洛伦佐·萨尔加多·阿劳霍纪念碑上的选民。这些致敬提醒人们:数百万美国公民与仍因国会未能给予合法身份途径而面临被驱逐风险的邻居、同事和亲人共同生活。

As Democrats move to constrain ICE and rebuild trust on the border, they must also respond to the voters who placed their “I Voted” stickers on the memorials of Renee Nicole Good, Alex Pretti, and Lorenzo Salgado Araujo. Those tributes were reminders that millions of American citizens live alongside neighbors, coworkers, and loved ones who remain vulnerable to deportation because Congress has failed to give them a path to legal status.

2026年11月3日,明尼苏达州明尼阿波利斯市亚历克斯·普雷蒂纪念活动现场的一张“我已投票”贴纸。布里奇特·贝内特—MinnPost/CatchLight via Getty ImagesAn "I Voted" sticker at the memorial for Alex Pretti on Nov. 3, 2026 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Bridget Bennett—MinnPost/CatchLight via Getty Images

民主党应在1月强势开局,通过《美国梦想与承诺法案》。该众议院法案不仅为“梦想者”创造获得永久居留权和公民身份的途径,也为在美国生活和工作多年的数十万临时保护身份持有者提供同样途径。这应是他们在合法化问题上的底线,而非上限。

Democrats should start strong in January and pass the American Dream and Promise Act, a House bill that creates a pathway to permanent residence and citizenship not only for Dreamers, but also for the hundreds of thousands of Temporary Protected Status holders who have lived and worked in the United States for years. That should be the floor of their ambitions on legalization, not the ceiling.

做到这一点可能需要跨党派合作,要么建立足以推翻总统否决的多数席位,要么与特朗普合作。民主党应主张,将因民事移民违规而无法获得合法身份的无证移民合法化,可以成为解决美国人每天面临的问题的方案,从建筑新房的工人短缺到托儿费用上涨。一个运作良好的移民制度应当引进社区所需的工人,同时为已经从事这些工作的无证移民提供获得合法身份的途径。这些新的合法途径应反映经济需求,包括为护理工人和建筑工人提供签证。

Doing so may require reaching across the aisle, either to build a veto-proof majority or to collaborate with Trump. Democrats should argue that legalizing undocumented immigrants who have had no chance to access legal status because of a civil immigration violation can be a solution to problems Americans experience every day, from the shortage of workers building new homes to the rising cost of child care. A functioning immigration system should bring in the workers communities need while providing a way for undocumented immigrants already doing those jobs to obtain legal status. These new legal pathways should reflect the needs of the economy, including visas for care workers and construction workers.

新墨西哥州联邦众议员加布·巴斯克斯已展示了这种做法的样子。在许多民主党人不愿讨论移民问题之际,他在一场竞争激烈的边境选区成功连任数月前,提出了《护理工人签证法案》。该法案为护理工人创设新签证,同时允许符合条件的已在美无证工人获得合法身份。我认为,这就是移民改革的未来。

Representative Gabe Vasquez of New Mexico has already demonstrated what this approach can look like. Months before winning reelection in a competitive border district, he introduced the Careworker Visa Act at a time when many Democrats were reluctant to discuss immigration. His bill creates new visas for careworkers while allowing eligible undocumented workers already in the U.S. to obtain legal status. This, I believe, is the future of immigration reform.

与其仅仅调查退伍军人和军人家庭的驱逐问题,民主党人应当推进立法,为现役军人家庭提供合法身份,并挑战共和党人予以反对。对建造新住房所需的建筑工人也应采取同样做法。并且应当提出法案,允许各州就劳动力短缺、人口萎缩的行业请求更多签证,这一做法可基于约翰·柯蒂斯参议员和马克·凯利参议员提出的立法。

Rather than simply investigating the deportation of veterans and military families, Democrats should advance legislation giving legal status to the families of service members and challenge Republicans to oppose it. They should do the same for construction workers needed to build new housing. And they should introduce a bill allowing states to request more visas for industries facing labor shortages and shrinking populations, building on legislation introduced by Senators John Curtis and Mark Kelly.

推进已有法案,通过引入社区所需的医生和护士,帮助农村医院维持运营。将每项提案提交国会,邀请共和党人签署,并给特朗普提供签署的机会。如果他拒绝,就向美国人展示其不作为会导致的损失。

Advance existing bills that help keep rural hospitals open by bringing in the doctors and nurses their communities need. Put each proposal before Congress, ask Republicans to sign on, and give Trump the opportunity to sign it. If he refuses, show Americans what they lose by his inaction.

民主党人不必花数年时间起草一部承诺一次性彻底改革整个移民体系的综合法案。全党各成员可以推出符合各自州和选区需求的立法,并在未来两年向美国人展示他们希望构建何种移民体系,以及该体系将如何改善民众生活。

Democrats don’t need to spend years writing a new comprehensive bill promising to fix the entire immigration system at once. Members across the caucus can introduce legislation tailored to the needs of their states and districts, and spend the next two years showing Americans what kind of immigration system they want to build and how it would improve their lives.

美国人应当得到数十年来两党都未实现的东西:一个公平、运作良好的移民体系,拥有安全的边境、专注于真正公共安全和国家安全威胁的移民执法局(ICE),以及为已在美国、未犯重罪的数百万无证移民提供永久居留的途径。移民进展不应等到一部一次性解决所有问题的法案通过。

Americans deserve something neither party has delivered in decades: a fair and functioning immigration system with a secure border, an ICE focused on genuine threats to public safety and national security, and a path to permanent residency for millions of undocumented immigrants already here who have committed no serious crimes. Progress on immigration shouldn’t have to wait for a bill that solves everything at once.

如果特朗普真心考虑重新审视其政策,民主党人应当向他提供可签署的立法。如果他拒绝,他们应在接下来的两年里向美国人展示更好移民体系能够带来的成果。

If Trump is serious about reconsidering his policies, Democrats should give him legislation to sign. If he refuses, they should spend the next two years showing Americans what a better immigration system could deliver.

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