华盛顿/利雅得，11月14日 —— 据三名知情人士透露，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普最近几天告诉高级顾问，如果美国没有面临来自德黑兰或也门伊朗支持的胡塞武装的新挑衅，他可能会暂缓对伊朗发动打击。
WASHINGTON/RIYADH, Nov 14 - President Donald Trump has told senior advisers in recent days that he may hold off on attacking Iran if the US faces no new provocations from Tehran or the Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen, according to three people familiar with the matter.
特朗普在通过新打击升级战争和缓和敌对行动之间反复摇摆。现任和前任官员表示，对于如何解决这场他于2月与以色列共同发动的不得人心的冲突，他似乎还没有下定决心。
Trump has alternated between threats of escalating the war with new strikes and winding down hostilities, and current and former officials say he does not appear to have made up his mind about how to resolve the unpopular conflict, which he launched in February with Israel.
但知情人士称，在与国家安全顾问的会议上以及在一系列情报简报会后，特朗普表示他正在考虑暂缓打击。像本文采访的其他知情人士一样，这些人要求匿名。他还对要求他不要重返全面战争的地区盟友表示了同情。
But in meetings with his national security advisers and after a series of intelligence briefings, Trump said he was considering holding off on strikes, said the people, who, like others interviewed for this story, spoke on condition of anonymity. He has also indicated sympathy for allies in the region who have asked him not to return to a full-fledged war.
特朗普周四对体育广播员斯蒂芬·A·史密斯说：“我本可以立刻结束它，但应我希望保护的各国的请求，我们正以一种稍微久一点、更加文明的方式来做这件事。”
"I could end it immediately, but at the request of the nations that I am looking to protect, we are doing it a little bit longer way, a bit more civilly," Trump told sports broadcaster Stephen A. Smith on Thursday.
这场战争推高了全球燃料价格，在选民中不得人心。在11月3日的中期选举中，选民将国会控制权交给了民主党。在11月3日选举前不久进行的一项路透社/益普索民调中，55%的美国人表示这场战争不值得付出代价，副总统J·D·万斯将其归咎为特朗普所在的共和党失去国会的原因。特朗普的私下言论印证了他淡化全面战争恢复可能性的公开表态。
The war has hiked global fuel prices and proven unpopular with US voters, who handed control of Congress to the Democrats in last week's midterm elections In a Reuters/Ipsos poll taken shortly before the November 3 elections, 55% of Americans said the war was not worth the cost and Vice President JD Vance cited it as the reason Trump's Republicans lost Congress. Trump's private comments build on public remarks playing down the likelihood of major warfare resuming.
白宫官员在一份声明中表示：“作为三军统帅，特朗普总统是掌握着所有底牌并始终确保美国利益得到保护的设计师和唯一决策者。美国处于非常强势的地位，控制着霍尔木兹海峡，伊朗经济正在崩溃。只有特朗普总统知道他将做什么以及何时去做。”中央情报局和国家情报总监办公室没有回应置评请求。
"As Commander-in-Chief, President Trump is the architect and sole decision-maker who holds all the cards and will always ensure that America’s interests are protected," a White House official said in a statement. "The United States is in a very strong position with control of the Strait of Hormuz and the Iranian economy collapsing. Only President Trump knows what he will do, and when." The CIA and Office of the Director of National Intelligence did not respond to requests for comment.
根据一名美国高级官员和另一名知情人士透露，在过去两周的电话中，特朗普征求了沙特王储穆罕默德·本·萨尔曼和土耳其总统雷杰普·塔伊普·埃尔多安的意见，两人都敦促他不要恢复对伊朗的攻击。他们称特朗普没有做出任何形式的承诺。
In phone calls over the past two weeks, Trump asked for opinions from Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan, who both urged him not to resume attacks on Iran, according to a senior US official and another person familiar with the matter. They said Trump made no commitment either way.
另外两名知情讨论的人士称，特朗普于10月31日告诉本·萨尔曼，他正计划在选举后发动攻击，但王储恳请他暂缓，并辩称针对伊朗的经济制裁正在发挥作用。沙特阿拉伯外交部没有回应置评请求。
Trump told bin Salman on October 31 that he was planning to attack after the elections, but the crown prince pleaded for him to hold off, arguing that economic sanctions against Iran were working, according to two more people familiar with the discussion. Saudi Arabia's Foreign Ministry did not respond to a request for comment.
根据土耳其总统府的消息，特朗普自10月28日以来已与埃尔多安通了三次电话。11月7日通话的官方纪要强调，伊朗和美国之间的紧张局势需要结束。
Trump has spoken with Erdogan three times since October 28, according to Turkey's presidency. An official readout from the November 7 call stressed that tensions between Iran and the US need to end.
两名看过简报的美国官员表示，美国情报机构评估认为，美国的的海上封锁和经济制裁正在损害伊朗经济，并将继续对德黑兰施加压力。
US intelligence agencies have assessed that the US naval blockade and economic sanctions are hurting the Iranian economy and would continue to put pressure on Tehran, two US officials briefed on the intelligence said.
路透社上周率先报道，在对伊朗海上交通进行数月封锁的基础上，美军还试图阻止武器和其他受制裁物资通过陆路或里海进入该国。
Building on its months-long blockade of Iranian sea traffic, the US military is also seeking to prevent weapons and other sanctioned material from entering the country by land or through the Caspian Sea, Reuters first reported last week.
三名熟悉美国规划的其他知情人士表示，与此同时，美军已准备好在需要时进行升级。
At the same time, the US military is ready to escalate if needed, three more people familiar with US planning said.
这些人称，第三艘航空母舰将在未来几天驶入中东，以替换目前在该地区运营的两艘航母中的一艘，但如果需要，所有三艘航母都可以留下来。
A third aircraft carrier is moving into the Middle East in the coming days to replace one of the two currently operating in the region, but all three carriers could stay if needed, the people said.
熟悉特朗普与沙特和土耳其领导人通话情况的一名知情人士表示，特朗普可能会选择轰炸伊朗的地下核设施。但美国已经打击了这些设施，目前尚不清楚进一步的打击是否会成功。
Trump could opt to bomb Iran's underground nuclear facilities, one of the people familiar with Trump's calls with the Saudi and Turkish leaders said. But the US has already struck those facilities, and it is unclear whether further strikes would be successful.
两名美国官员表示，美国情报机构评估认为，重新打击不会显著改变伊朗在谈判中的要求。
US intelligence agencies have assessed that renewed strikes would not significantly shift Iran’s demands in negotiations, two US officials said.
两名熟悉情报简报的人士表示，特朗普还听取了关于美国武器库存的简报，其中一些库存已经降至令人担忧的水平。路透社8月曾报道，美国已经使用了“几乎所有”远程精确弹药，另一名听取了相关简报的人士表示，这些弹药尚未得到补充。
Trump was also briefed on US weapon stockpiles, some of which have drawn down to worrying levels, the two people familiar with the intelligence briefings said. Reuters reported in August that the US had used “virtually all” of its long-range precision munitions, and another person briefed on the matter said they have not been replenished.
白宫官员说：“美军拥有足够的军火和弹药来服务于三军统帅所有的战略目标及其他。”
"The United States Military has enough munitions and ammo to serve all of the Commander-in-Chief’s strategic goals and beyond," the White House official said.
一名美国官员称，以色列官员继续游说美国政府参与另一场军事行动。
Israeli officials have continued to lobby the administration to engage in another military campaign, according to a US official.
特朗普本周暗示，美国已经从谈判中取得了可能取得的成果，但没有说明他是否会恢复打击。
Trump signaled this week that the US has already achieved what it could from negotiations, but did not say whether he would resume strikes.
特朗普在周四的一篇社交媒体帖子中说：“我们不需要与伊朗达成协议。我们已经拿到了他们的钱，数千亿美元，而且我们控制了他们的海峡！”
“We don’t need a deal with Iran,” Trump said in a social media post on Thursday. “We’ve got their money, Hundreds of Billions of Dollars, and we’ve got their Strait!”