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普京升级的轰炸行动无法动摇乌克兰人的决心。历史表明这注定会失败 | 拉詹·梅农Putin's escalating bombing campaign won't break Ukrainians' resolve. History shows that it's doomed to fail | Rajan Menon

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随着冬季临近,俄罗斯全面入侵的第五周年即将来临,值得铭记的是,这种战争模式很少能摧毁士气。

尽管战争已持续四年半之久,弗拉基米尔·普京的军队今年在乌克兰并未取得多少进展,其领土目标——吞并乌克兰四个省份——依然遥不可及。

As winter approaches and the fifth anniversary of Russia’s full-scale invasion looms, it’s worth remembering that this mode of warfare rarely crushes morale Vladimir Putin’s army hasn’t made much headway in Ukraine this year, and his territorial goals – annexing four Ukrainian provinces – remain elusive, despite more than four and a half years of war.

这解释了他为何近期试图通过发动针对乌克兰城市的持续无人机和导弹袭击来削弱乌克兰人的抵抗意志——袭击目标包括住宅楼、大型露天市场、购物中心、基辅的多布罗布特医疗中心和国家科学院等。

That explains his recent efforts to sap Ukrainians’ will to resist by launching relentless drone and missile strikes against their cities – targeting, among other sites, residential buildings, large open-air markets, shopping malls, the Dobrobut medical centre and the National Academy of Sciences, both in Kyiv.

首都基辅遭受打击最重,但其他城市——第聂伯罗、哈尔科夫、赫尔松、敖德萨、尼古拉耶夫、苏梅——也未能幸免。防空警报划破夜空的宁静。

The capital has been hit the hardest, but other cities – Dnipro, Kharkiv, Kherson, Odesa, Mykolaiv, Sumy – haven’t been spared. Air-raid sirens pierce the quiet of night.

人们争相冲向防空洞(假设附近有的话),或者在基辅奔向地下地铁站。

People scramble to shelters (assuming there are any nearby) or, in Kyiv, race to below-ground subway stations.

即使是在城市街道上行走、购物,或在加油站给汽车加油——这些都是主要袭击目标——都可能导致受伤甚至死亡。

Even walking along city streets, shopping, or filling up your car at a garage forecourt – which are prime targets – can lead to injury, or even death.

拉詹·梅农是纽约城市学院国际关系荣誉退休教授,也是哥伦比亚大学萨尔兹曼战争与和平研究所的高级研究学者。

Rajan Menon is a professor emeritus of international relations at the City College of New York and a senior research scholar at Columbia University’s Saltzman Institute of War and Peace Studies