亚历山大·韦伯报道,欧洲央行管理委员会成员约阿希姆·纳格尔表示,由于中东局势持续主导消费者价格前景,欧洲央行必须为各种通胀结果做好准备。
The European Central Bank must be ready for various inflation outcomes as the situation in the Middle East continues to dominate the outlook for consumer prices, Governing Council member Joachim Nagel said.
这位德国央行行长周一表示,虽然霍尔木兹海峡的“持续重新开放”和能源流动的正常化将缓解压力,但新一轮升级可能带来额外干扰,并进一步推高石油和天然气成本。
While a “sustained reopening” of the Strait of Hormuz and a normalization of energy flows would ease the pressure, a renewed escalation could generate additional disruption and send costs for oil and gas even higher, the Bundesbank president said Monday.
他在意大利索伦托表示:“未来的通胀路径将继续在很大程度上取决于地缘政治。”“通胀前景 surrounding 的高度不确定性要求灵活应对,而非无所作为。欧洲央行管理委员会将继续在每次会议基础上,根据数据依赖原则做出决策。”欧洲央行已因伊朗战争两次加息,政策制定者不排除进一步行动。经济学家预计12月将进行最后一次加息,使存款利率升至2.75%。
“The future path of inflation will continue to depend heavily on geopolitics,” he said in Sorrento, Italy. “This high uncertainty surrounding the inflation outlook calls for flexibility, not inaction. The ECB Governing Council will continue to take decisions on a data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting basis.”The ECB has raised interest rates twice in response to the Iran war, with policymakers not ruling out further action. Economists predict a final move in December, taking the deposit rate to 2.75%.
纳格尔重申,通胀前景的上行风险占主导地位。他表示,由于欧洲库存水平较低,天然气价格“尤其脆弱”,而炼油能力的破坏推高了相关产品的价格。
Nagel reiterated that upside risks to the inflation outlook dominate. Gas prices are “especially vulnerable” because storage levels in Europe are low, while the destruction of refining capacity drives up prices for related products, he said.
同时,他强调,迄今为止“没有明确迹象表明通胀已传导至价格和工资设定”。纳格尔表示,消费者价格预期也仍与欧洲央行2%的目标一致。关于经济增长,纳格尔表示:
At the same time, he highlighted that there are so far “no clear signs that inflation has fed through to price and wage setting.”Expectations for consumer prices are also still consistent with the ECB’s 2% target, Nagel said. On economic growth, Nagel said: