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纽约时报

推动中国出口繁荣的隐形政策The Hidden Policies That Power China’s Export Boom

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巨额税收减免和疲软货币维持了出口,扩大了政府预算赤字,并使该国重新平衡经济的努力复杂化。

The Hidden Policies That Power China’s Export Boom Huge tax breaks and a weak currency sustain exports, widen the government budget deficit and complicate the country’s efforts to rebalance its economy.

中国通过出口退税和疲软货币的组合,保持了出口引擎的强劲运转,在维持国内经济增长的同时,将大量中国商品涌入海外市场。

China has kept its export engine roaring with a combination of tax rebates and a weak currency, helping sustain economic growth at home while sending a surge of Chinese goods into markets abroad.

但这一战略正在加剧与其贸易伙伴的紧张关系。本周,来自布鲁塞尔的官员抵达北京,准备就欧洲对华贸易逆差(每天超过11亿美元)向中国官员施压。

But that strategy is fueling tension with its trading partners. And this week, officials from Brussels arriving in Beijing are preparing to press Chinese officials about a European trade deficit with China that exceeds $1.1 billion a day.

欧洲领导人表示,中国通过政府补贴和低息贷款向制造商倾斜,使廉价商品充斥欧洲市场。

Europe’s leaders say China tilts the scale with government subsidies and low-interest loans to its manufacturers, flooding European markets with inexpensive goods.

但补贴只是中国出口商享有的部分优势。人民币(中国的货币)仍然异常疲软,使中国商品在海外更便宜。与此同时,北京每年向出口商退还数千亿美元的税款,进一步降低了他们的成本。这两项政策都已成为中国难以摆脱的负担。

But subsidies are only part of the advantage Chinese exporters enjoy. The renminbi, China’s currency, remains unusually weak, making China’s goods cheaper overseas. At the same time, Beijing refunds exporters hundreds of billions of dollars a year in taxes, further lowering their costs. Both policies have become difficult for China to unwind.

按通胀调整后的汇率计算,人民币兑一篮子货币较2022年初的水平下跌了逾14%。在同一时期,中国的贸易顺差几乎翻了一番。虽然疲软货币有利于出口商,但也使外国商品对中国消费者和企业来说更加昂贵。

The renminbi is down more than 14 percent in inflation-adjusted terms from its early-2022 level against a broad set of currencies. Over roughly the same period, China’s trade surplus has nearly doubled. While the weak currency helps exporters, it also makes foreign goods more costly for Chinese consumers and businesses.

中国的出口退税也大幅增加。根据中国财政部数据,去年对出口企业的增值税退税达到3182亿美元,相当于中国经济的1.5%。

China’s export tax rebates have also surged. Rebates to export companies for value-added taxes reached $318.2 billion last year, equivalent to 1.5 percent of China’s economy, according to data from the country’s Ministry of Finance.