周三，原油价格仍维持在每桶100美元以上。投资者担忧中东地区的冲突以及即将侵袭美国主要产油区的风暴可能扰乱全球石油供应。截至格林尼治时间周三上午8点，布伦特原油期货价格上涨35美分，涨幅为0.35%，报每桶100.93美元。据路透社报道，美国西德克萨斯中质原油价格同样有所上涨，涨幅为15美分，即0.17%，报每桶89.59美元。
Oil prices remained above $100 a barrel on Wednesday, as investors worried about possible disruptions to global oil supplies from the Middle East conflict and a storm moving toward major US oil-producing areas. Brent crude futures rose 35 cents, or 0.35%, to $100.93 a barrel by 0800 GMT on Wednesday. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude also gained, rising 15 cents, or 0.17%, to $89.59 a barrel, according to Reuters.
石油供应风险依然严峻当前石油市场的主要担忧在于：在中东地区冲突持续、船只遭袭事件频发的背景下，近期增加的石油供应量能否得以维持。荷兰国际集团的大宗商品策略师指出，由于任何新的供应中断都可能迅速推高油价，预计石油市场仍将处于紧张状态。据路透社报道，该机构还强调，中东地区的供应风险依然不容小觑，尤其是船只袭击事件仍在不断发生。
Oil supply risks remain highThe main concern in the oil market is whether the recent increase in oil supplies from the Middle East can continue, as the region remains affected by military conflict and attacks on ships.ING commodity strategists said the oil market is likely to remain nervous because any new disruption to supplies could quickly push prices higher. ING also said Middle East supply risks remain serious, especially because attacks on ships are continuing, according to Reuters.
高利率或致2035年美国债务占GDP比重升至132%？高盛发出警告与此同时，中东地区的石油供应已开始逐步恢复，为市场带来一丝宽慰。沙特能源大臣阿卜杜勒阿齐兹·本·萨勒曼周二透露，沙特东西输油管道的日输油量已提升至580万桶。据路透社报道，维托尔能源公司负责人称，过去7至10天内，每天约有1200万桶原油及200万桶成品油通过油轮从中东地区运出。
Could higher interest rates push US debt-to-GDP to 132% by 2035? Goldman Sachs warnsSaudi Arabia boosts oil supplyAt the same time, oil supplies from the region have started recovering, giving the market some relief. Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline has increased its oil flows to 5.8 million barrels per day, Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said on Tuesday. More oil has also been shipped out of the Middle East recently. Around 12 million barrels per day of crude oil and 2 million barrels per day of refined oil products left the region on tankers over the past seven to 10 days, Vitol's head said, Reuters reported.
战争令油价承压不过，交易员们尚不能完全确信这种较高的供应与出口水平能够持续。据路透社报道，PVM分析师塔马斯·瓦尔加指出，投资者对中东地区近期石油出口增长能否长期维持缺乏信心。
War keeps oil prices under pressureHowever, traders are not fully convinced that this higher level of supply and exports will last. PVM analyst Tamas Varga said investors lack confidence that the recent rise in Middle East oil exports is sustainable, according to Reuters.
这意味着，尽管近期石油出口量有所上升，但市场仍将该地区的战争与袭击视为未来石油供应的重大威胁。据沙特阿拉伯民航局称，周一晚间该国两座机场遭到袭击后，安全局势进一步恶化。据路透社报道，随着沙特阿拉伯与也门境内受伊朗支持的胡塞武装之间的交火愈发激烈，位于吉赞和纳季兰的两座机场均成为袭击目标。
This means the market is still watching the war and attacks in the region as a major threat to future oil supplies, even though exports have recently increased. The security situation also worsened after two Saudi Arabian airports were hit in attacks on Monday evening, Saudi Arabia's aviation authority said. The airports in Jazan and Najran were targeted as fighting between Saudi Arabia and Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis became more intense, Reuters reported.
今日油价分析：为何在七国集团增加供应且中东战争风险持续上升的背景下，布伦特原油价格仍能维持在100美元以上？美伊关系紧张加剧石油市场风险美伊关系依旧紧张，目前尚无迹象表明两国正朝着修复关系的方向迈进。据路透社报道，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普周二表示，在美以两国与伊朗交战的八个月期间，没人知道伊朗由谁掌权。
Oil price today: Why Brent stays above $100 despite G7 supply boost and rising Middle East war risksUS-Iran tensions add to oil risksUS-Iran relations also remain tense, with no clear sign that the two countries are moving closer to repairing their relationship. US President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that nobody knew who was running Iran during the eight-month US-Israeli war with Iran, Reuters reported.
与此同时，美国本身也构成了新的石油供应威胁。墨西哥湾风暴威胁美国石油产业美国气象部门周二称，墨西哥湾正在形成的风暴预计将在两天内演变为2026年的首个大西洋飓风。这场风暴对石油市场意义重大，因为它有可能逼近美国墨西哥湾沿岸的重要石油与天然气设施。风暴预计路径上的近海区域，产出了全美约15%的原油以及5%的天然气。
The oil market is also facing a new supply threat from the United States. Gulf storm threatens US oilUS weather forecasters said on Tuesday that a storm forming in the Gulf of Mexico was expected to become the first Atlantic hurricane of 2026 within two days. The storm is important for oil markets because it could move toward major oil and gas facilities in the US Gulf region. The offshore areas in the storm's expected path produce about 15% of US crude oil and 5% of US natural gas.
因此，一场强风暴可能暂时导致部分石油与天然气生产放缓甚至中断，给市场带来新的供应难题。美国炼油厂亦面临风暴威胁据路透社报道，KCM Trade首席分析师蒂姆·沃特雷尔称这场风暴是原油市场“不受欢迎的变数”。他指出，在石油市场本就面临多重供应问题的当下，这场风暴可能引发生产与炼化环节的混乱。这场风暴有可能波及美国六家炼油厂；而位于墨西哥湾沿岸的各炼油厂对美国而言尤为重要，它们贡献了全美约50%的炼油产能。
This means a major storm could temporarily force some oil and gas production to slow or stop, creating another supply problem for the market.US refineries face storm threatKCM Trade chief analyst Tim Waterer called the storm an "unwelcome complication" for crude oil, Reuters reported. Waterer said the storm could lead to production and refining disruptions at a time when the oil market is already dealing with several supply-side problems. The storm could potentially affect six US refineries. US refineries in the Gulf states are especially important because they account for about 50% of the country's total refining capacity.
据路透社报道，目前美国的炼油总产能约为每日1820万桶。布伦特原油价格之所以能维持在每桶100美元以上，主要原因在于未来供应情况存在不确定性。虽然中东地区的原油出口量有所增加，有助于缓解供应压力，但持续的袭击事件、日益紧张的局势以及美国飓风的威胁仍令交易商担忧可能出现新的供应中断。目前，即便中东地区的供应状况有所改善，布伦特原油价格依旧高于每桶100美元，因为交易商们无法确定在战争风险及飓风威胁下，这些供应能否保持稳定。
The US has around 18.2 million barrels per day of total refining capacity, Reuters reported. The key reason Brent is staying above $100 is the uncertainty over future supply. Higher Middle East exports are helping supply, but continued attacks, rising tensions and the threat of a US hurricane are keeping traders worried about new disruptions. For now, Brent remains above $100 a barrel even as supply from the Middle East improves, because traders are not sure whether those supplies will remain stable while war risks and the US storm threaten production and refining.