
“不要过早庆祝胜利”是一条古老的谚语,关于中期选举,我们都应该牢记这一点。虽然民意调查专家和评论员认为民主党很有可能赢得众议院和参议院的多数席位,但这并非必然结果。
“Don’t count your chickens before they hatch” is an ancient proverb we should all keep in mind regarding the midterm elections. While pollsters and pundits say Democrats have a good chance of winning majority control of the House and Senate, this isn’t inevitable.
我同意,特朗普总统的支持率急剧下滑,加上许多民主党候选人在民意调查中的出色表现,表明民主党有可能夺回一个或两个议院的控制权。但如果许多支持民主党的选民因为认为自己的选票无关紧要而选择弃权,共和党仍可能保住他们在国会中的多数席位。
I agree that President Trump’s plummeting approval ratings, along with strong showings by many Democratic candidates in polls, indicate Democrats could flip control of one or both congressional chambers. But if many voters who favor Democrats skip voting because they believe their votes aren’t needed, Republicans could retain their congressional majorities.
此外,如果特朗普成功实现其压制或作废大量本应投给民主党的选票的目标,共和党在中期选举中的表现可能会超出预期。
In addition, if Trump achieves his goal of suppressing or invalidating many votes that would go to Democrats, Republicans could do better than expected in the midterms.
特朗普——他至今仍错误地声称自己在2020年总统选举中击败了乔·拜登——很可能会声称民主党的中期选举胜利是“被操纵”的。他或许会试图推翻选举结果,不仅与民主党对抗,甚至与美国民主制度本身为敌。
Trump — who still falsely claims he defeated Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election — will likely say Democratic midterm victories are rigged. He may try to overturn them, going to war not just against Democrats but against America’s democracy.
我们绝不能让特朗普摧毁我们自由公正的选举体系。阻止他的唯一方法,就是从现在到11月3日选举日,积极投票支持民主党。
We must not let Trump destroy our system of free and fair elections. The only way we can stop him is to vote for Democrats between now and Election Day on Nov. 3.
与橄榄球不同——我们有数百万人通过电视或现场观看——民主并非一项旁观者的运动。如果我们希望捍卫宝贵的自治权以及其他权利和自由,每个人都必须亲自参与,投下自己的一票。
Unlike football, which millions of us watch on TV and from the stands, democracy isn’t a spectator sport. We all have a responsibility to get on the field and cast ballots if we are to preserve our precious right of self-government and our other rights and freedoms.
如果共和党继续控制国会两年,特朗普将更有能力持续发动他那毫无意义且代价高昂的对伊战争,并继续采取其他诸多无能、破坏性、腐败和专制的行动。这将加剧经济负担能力危机以及特朗普引发的其他所有危机,并危及我们的权利和自由。
GOP control of Congress for two more years would empower Trump to keep waging his senseless and costly war of choice against Iran, and continue his many other incompetent, destructive, corrupt and authoritarian actions. This would worsen the affordability crisis and all the other crises Trump has caused, and would endanger our rights and freedoms.
无论民意调查专家和评论员如何说,投票都是必要的,因为选举预测有时并不准确。不要让他们阻止你投下选票。
No matter what pollsters and pundits say, voting is necessary because election predictions are sometimes wrong. Don’t let them keep you from casting a ballot.
正如皮尤研究中心在2016年总统选举后不久所报告的那样:“主要依赖民意调查,选举预测者将[希拉里]·克林顿的胜选概率估计在70%到高达99%之间,并认为她在多个州是压倒性的热门人选……而这些州最终却被特朗普赢得。”特朗普试图压制他认为会投给民主党人的选票——其依据是他毫无根据的指控,即大规模非法投票导致了民主党的选举胜利——这种做法旨在逆转投票权扩展方面取得的进步。
As the Pew Research Center reported shortly after the 2016 presidential election: “Relying largely on opinion polls, election forecasters put [Hillary] Clinton’s chance of winning at anywhere from 70% to as high as 99%, and pegged her as the heavy favorite to win a number of states … that in the end were taken by Trump.”Trump’s efforts to suppress votes that he believes would go to Democrats — based on his baseless claims that widespread illegal voting is responsible for Democratic election victories — seek to turn back the clock on progress made in the expansion of voting rights.
正是由于这一进步,最初仅属于白人男性土地所有者的投票权,经过多年逐步扩展,最终涵盖了所有白人男性、女性以及有色人种。
Because of this progress, the right to vote that originally went only to white male landowners was gradually extended over many years to all white men, women and people of color.
在20世纪50年代和60年代的民权运动中,所有种族的人们都曾因抗议剥夺非裔美国人的投票权及其他权利而被监禁、殴打,甚至有时被杀害。不投票的行为,是对他们辛勤努力、勇气和牺牲的蔑视与忘恩。
In the civil rights struggles of the 1950s and 1960s, people of all races protesting the denial of voting rights and other rights to African Americans were jailed, beaten and sometimes even killed. Failing to vote shows disrespect and ingratitude for their hard work, courage and sacrifices.
遗憾的是,如今拥有投票权的美国人中,有太多人并未行使这一权利,尤其是在中期选举中。正如非党派组织“公平投票”(Fair Vote)所报告的那样:“美国的投票率远低于其他国家,总统选举的投票率徘徊在60%左右,而中期选举年份的投票率则约为40%。”2018年的投票率达到了自1914年以来任何一次中期选举中的最高水平,为49%。而在2022年的中期选举中,投票率则略微下降至46%。
Unfortunately, far too many Americans who now have the right to vote don’t exercise it, especially in midterm elections. As the nonpartisan group Fair Vote reports: “Voter turnout in the United States is much lower than in other countries, hovering around 60% in presidential elections and 40% in midterm election years.”Voter turnout in 2018 was the highest for any midterm since 1914, reaching 49 percent. Turnout dropped slightly to 46 percent in the 2022 midterms.
多个州已经开始提前投票和缺席投票。在剩余的时间里,民主党需要专注于动员尽可能多的选民参与投票——这些选民已经对那些懦弱无能的国会共和党人感到厌倦和失望,后者无视支持宪法和法治的责任,反而给了特朗普一张空白支票,让他几乎可以为所欲为。
Early and absentee voting is already underway in several states. In the time they have left, Democrats need to focus on turning out as many voters as possible who are sick and tired of spineless congressional Republicans who have ignored their duty to support our Constitution and the rule of law, and have instead given Trump a blank check to do almost everything he wants.
尽管法院已经采取行动,阻止了特朗普最严重的滥用权力行为,但国会不应再对特朗普的每一个任性要求都充当橡皮图章,而应履行美国建国者赋予其作为政府平等分支的职责。共和党人不会这样做,而民主党人则会。
While the courts have acted to stop some of Trump’s worst abuses, Congress should stop acting like a rubber stamp for Trump’s every whim and do the job America’s founders gave it as a co-equal branch of government. Republicans won’t do this. Democrats will.
尽管特朗普荒谬地将民主党人斥为共产主义者,但他本人却试图以铁腕统治国家,就像他羡慕的共产主义独裁者——中国、俄罗斯和朝鲜的领导人一样,正是这些领导人拥有不受约束的权力,而特朗普也对他们极尽奉承之能事。这使得我们的总统不仅成为国家的耻辱,更构成了国家安全风险。
While he absurdly denounces Democrats as communists, Trump is trying to rule with an iron fist like the communist dictators of China, Russia and North Korea, whom he envies for their unfettered power and showers with fawning praise. This makes our president not just a national embarrassment, but a national security risk.
我敦促我的美国同胞——包括独立选民以及对特朗普感到失望的共和党人——通过选举民主党在众议院和参议院占据多数席位,来恢复美国真正的伟大。在庆祝国家250岁生日的这一年,没有比这更好的方式来保护我们的国家免受特朗普的失当统治,并捍卫和尊崇我们的宪法与法治。
I urge my fellow Americans — including independents and Republicans disillusioned with Trump — to restore America’s true greatness by electing Democratic majorities in the House and Senate. There is no better way to protect our country from Trump’s misrule, and to preserve and honor our Constitution and the rule of law in the year we celebrate our nation’s 250th birthday.
A·斯科特·博尔登是一名律师、NewsNation专栏作者、华盛顿特区民主党前主席,以及前纽约州检察官。
A. Scott Bolden is an attorney, NewsNation contributor, former chair of the Washington, D.C. Democratic Party and a former New York state prosecutor.